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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 13, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Thunder78%10595
30Cavaliers22%9575
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 21.5
29.1
28.8
8
31%
14
0
2
1
7
1
4
10
2-2
100%
3-12
4-8
25%
57%
0-0
-
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.5
29.1
37.7
19
65%
3
2
1
1
1
2
0
3
6-6
100%
5-8
7-13
63%
52%
1-4
25%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 33.5
25.8
15.9
11
74%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
5-7
3-5
71%
52%
0-0
-
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.3
23.6
33.3
20
63%
1
5
3
2
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
10-16
7-15
63%
48%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.9
19.8
28.5
6
60%
6
0
1
1
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
53%
0-1
0%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 21.5
26.4
30.1
16
68%
5
3
4
1
0
2
0
5
3-4
75%
2-3
3-6
67%
51%
3-7
43%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.8
24.4
13.4
5
36%
2
8
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
45%
1-3
33%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.9
21.5
16.3
8
47%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-1
0%
1-1
1-2
100%
41%
2-7
29%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.4
18.9
25.2
2
20%
7
4
0
1
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
58%
0-0
-
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 22.4
13.1
4.6
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
56%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 29.2
8.4
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 26.8
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.1
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 26.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 22.5
27.1
29.6
8
40%
15
1
1
1
0
2
7
8
0-0
-
4-10
6-12
40%
48%
0-0
-
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 35.7
25.5
28.5
9
70%
1
1
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-1
0%
3-4
2-4
75%
45%
1-2
50%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 23.8
24.2
23.0
8
46%
3
1
0
1
1
1
1
2
4-6
67%
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Samardo Samuels
· 6'9" 260 · 22.2
23.1
28.9
10
38%
10
2
0
1
1
0
2
8
4-5
80%
3-11
5-10
27%
50%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.9
20.7
26.9
4
23%
2
5
1
1
0
4
1
1
2-4
50%
1-7
4-9
14%
47%
0-0
-
Manny Harris
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.5
27.3
11.2
6
44%
2
2
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-2
0%
0-3
1-2
0%
44%
2-3
67%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 25.0
23.8
21.5
13
55%
3
3
1
1
1
2
1
2
1-2
50%
3-8
2-4
38%
41%
2-3
67%
Christian Eyenga
F · 6'7" 210 · 21.7
22.5
21.4
4
33%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.4
20.9
13.8
6
44%
8
0
0
0
0
2
2
6
2-2
100%
2-6
2-3
33%
56%
0-0
-
Luke Harangody
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.2
16.4
7.5
3
15%
6
1
0
0
0
0
3
3
3-4
75%
0-4
1-2
0%
47%
0-4
0%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.8
8.4
12.1
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
51%
0-0
-
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 31.9
18.9
1
2-5
45%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 34.7
Semih Erden
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.6
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 28.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.