for complete access.
All Games Saturday, March 12, 2011
FinalWin Prob.pScore
22
Pistons
24%96
101
11
Nuggets
76%105
131
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
108.69384.4
DEN logo DEN
140.993103.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN101
0%
131
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0DENForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)101
0%
131
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0DETMISS Bynum 7' Jump Shot101
0%
131
100%
Q4 - 0:38.0DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (31 PTS) (Lawson 11 AST)101
0%
131
100%
Q4 - 0:42.0DETBynum 8' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)101
0%
128
100%
Q4 - 0:47.0DETGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)99
0%
128
100%
Q4 - 0:48.0DENMISS Mozgov 3' Jump Shot99
0%
128
100%
Q4 - 0:51.0DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)99
0%
128
100%
Q4 - 0:53.0DENMISS Koufos 7' Hook Shot99
0%
128
100%
Q4 - 1:12DETWilcox Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)99
0%
128
100%
Q4 - 1:21DENLawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Forbes 3 AST)96
0%
128
100%
Q4 - 1:26DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)96
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 1:27DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 1:34DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)96
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 1:36DETMISS Bynum 2' Alley Oop Layup96
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 1:41DETDaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)96
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 1:42DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)96
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 1:42DENMISS Mozgov 2' Putback Layup96
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 1:44DENMISS Lawson 3' Jump Shot96
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 1:57DETVillanueva 1' Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Bynum 9 AST)96
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 2:24DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Lawson 10 AST)94
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 2:30DENForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)94
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 2:31DETMISS Wilcox 18' Jump Shot94
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 2:47DETGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)94
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 2:48DENMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 3:01DETWilcox 4' Jump Shot (18 PTS)94
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 3:15DETDaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)92
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 3:16DENMISS Koufos Free Throw 2 of 292
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 3:16DENKoufos Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)92
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29DETWilcox 6' Jump Hook Shot (16 PTS)92
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 3:48DENLawson 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)90
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 4:05DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 4:06DETMISS Gordon 17' Jump Shot90
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 4:12DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)90
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 4:13DENMISS Smith 28' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 4:19DETLawson STEAL (4 STL)90
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 4:26DENSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS)90
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 4:32DETDaye 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)90
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 4:35DETDaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 4:36DETMISS Villanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 4:53DENLawson 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)88
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 5:06DETWilcox Dunk (14 PTS) (Bynum 8 AST)88
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 5:21DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)86
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 5:27DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 5:28DETMISS Gordon 20' Jump Shot86
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 5:38DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 5:39DETMISS Villanueva 7' Jump Shot86
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 6:04DENSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)86
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 6:06DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)86
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 6:08DENMISS Smith 3' Alley Oop Dunk86
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 6:14DETFelton STEAL (2 STL)86
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 6:24DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 6:25DENMISS Felton 18' Jump Shot86
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 6:43DETDaye 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)86
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 7:04DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Lawson 9 AST)84
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 7:16DETDaye 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)84
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 7:30DENAndersen 2' Layup (14 PTS) (Lawson 8 AST)82
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 7:37DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 7:38DETMISS Wilcox 14' Turnaround Jump Shot82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 7:58DENSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Lawson 7 AST)82
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 8:08DETBynum 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)82
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 8:21DENFelton Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)80
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 8:21DENFelton Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)80
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 8:24DETLawson STEAL (3 STL)80
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 8:26DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)80
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q4 - 8:26DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)80
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 8:35DETWilcox 7' Jump Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Bynum 7 AST)80
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 8:53DENFelton Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)78
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 8:53DENMISS Felton Free Throw 1 of 278
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 8:57DETLawson STEAL (2 STL)78
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 9:02DETGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 9:03DENMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot78
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 9:24DETWilcox 4' Jump Shot (10 PTS)78
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 9:41DETGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 9:42DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 9:53DETSmith STEAL (2 STL)76
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 10:00DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 10:01DENMISS Lawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 10:20DENNUGGETS Rebound76
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 10:21DETMISS Bynum 6' Running Jump Shot76
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 10:42DENChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)76
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 10:42DENChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)76
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 10:54DETDaye Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)76
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 10:54DETDaye Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)75
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 11:17DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 11:18DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 11:21DENFelton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)74
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 11:22DENMISS Chandler 3PT Jump Shot74
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 11:27DENFelton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 11:28DENMISS Felton 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 11:34DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)74
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 11:36DENMISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN74
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound74
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot74
0.9%
93
99.1%
Q3 - 0:13.0DENFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q3 - 0:15.0DETMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q3 - 0:33.0DENFelton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)74
0.9%
93
99.1%
Q3 - 0:41.0DETMartin STEAL (1 STL)74
1.4%
90
98.6%
Q3 - 0:54.0DENMartin 1' Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Felton 6 AST)74
1.7%
90
98.3%
Q3 - 0:58.0DENFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
2.2%
88
97.8%
Q3 - 0:59.0DETMISS Stuckey 8' Running Jump Shot74
2.3%
88
97.7%
Q3 - 1:17DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Felton 5 AST)74
2.8%
88
97.2%
Q3 - 1:23DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)74
4.2%
85
95.8%
Q3 - 1:24DETMISS Stuckey 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
4.4%
85
95.6%
Q3 - 1:54DENFelton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Martin 6 AST)74
5.0%
85
95.0%
Q3 - 2:16DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
7.5%
82
92.5%
Q3 - 2:17DETMISS McGrady 27' 3PT Jump Shot74
7.9%
82
92.1%
Q3 - 2:34DENChandler Foul Turnover (P3.T11)74
8.9%
82
91.1%
Q3 - 2:38DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
7.5%
82
92.5%
Q3 - 2:39DETMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
7.9%
82
92.1%
Q3 - 3:03DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)74
9.2%
82
90.8%
Q3 - 3:03DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 274
9.6%
81
90.4%
Q3 - 3:10DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)74
9.1%
81
90.9%
Q3 - 3:12DETMISS Prince 27' 3PT Jump Shot74
9.6%
81
90.4%
Q3 - 3:40DENMartin 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Felton 4 AST)74
10.8%
81
89.2%
Q3 - 3:52DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)74
12.6%
79
87.4%
Q3 - 3:53DETMISS Hamilton 21' Jump Shot74
13.2%
79
86.8%
Q3 - 4:09DENMartin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)74
15.1%
79
84.9%
Q3 - 4:38DETHamilton 8' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Stuckey 4 AST)74
12.6%
79
87.4%
Q3 - 4:54DENSmith 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)72
11.1%
79
88.9%
Q3 - 5:10DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)72
12.8%
77
87.2%
Q3 - 5:10DETPistons Rebound72
15.0%
77
85.0%
Q3 - 5:11DETMartin BLOCK (1 BLK)72
13.4%
77
86.6%
Q3 - 5:42DENLawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Martin 5 AST)72
15.0%
77
85.0%
Q3 - 5:51DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
19.6%
74
80.4%
Q3 - 5:52DETMISS McGrady 1' Driving Dunk72
20.5%
74
79.5%
Q3 - 6:11DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)72
22.3%
74
77.7%
Q3 - 6:15DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
19.4%
74
80.6%
Q3 - 6:16DETMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
20.2%
74
79.8%
Q3 - 6:32DENForbes 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)72
22.3%
74
77.7%
Q3 - 6:46DETMonroe 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS)72
24.9%
72
75.1%
Q3 - 6:48DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)70
22.3%
72
77.7%
Q3 - 6:49DETMISS Prince 12' Turnaround Jump Shot70
20.2%
72
79.8%
Q3 - 7:13DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)70
21.8%
72
78.2%
Q3 - 7:14DENMISS Chandler 3PT Jump Shot70
21.0%
72
79.0%
Q3 - 7:33DETPrince 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)70
19.2%
72
80.8%
Q3 - 7:50DENForbes Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)68
17.0%
72
83.0%
Q3 - 7:56DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)68
14.9%
72
85.1%
Q3 - 7:57DETMISS McGrady 3' Reverse Layup68
15.5%
72
84.5%
Q3 - 8:18DETPistons Rebound68
17.0%
72
83.0%
Q3 - 8:18DENMISS Chandler 21' Jump Shot68
16.3%
72
83.7%
Q3 - 8:24DENForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
14.9%
72
85.1%
Q3 - 8:29DETMISS Monroe 17' Jump Shot68
15.5%
72
84.5%
Q3 - 8:38DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
17.0%
72
83.0%
Q3 - 8:40DENMISS Nene 3' Layup68
16.3%
72
83.7%
Q3 - 8:52DENForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
14.9%
72
85.1%
Q3 - 8:53DETMISS Prince 20' Jump Shot68
15.5%
72
84.5%
Q3 - 9:19DENForbes 3' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)68
16.9%
72
83.1%
Q3 - 9:41DETPrince 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)68
19.0%
70
81.0%
Q3 - 9:50DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
16.9%
70
83.1%
Q3 - 9:53DENMISS Lawson 1' Layup66
16.2%
70
83.8%
Q3 - 10:11DETMonroe 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)66
14.8%
70
85.2%
Q3 - 10:23DENChandler 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Martin 4 AST)64
13.1%
70
86.9%
Q3 - 10:37DETHamilton 13' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Monroe 1 AST)64
14.8%
68
85.2%
Q3 - 10:55DENChandler 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)62
13.1%
68
86.9%
Q3 - 11:00DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)62
14.8%
66
85.2%
Q3 - 11:01DETMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot62
15.3%
66
84.7%
Q3 - 11:14DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)62
16.7%
66
83.3%
Q3 - 11:15DENMISS Forbes 21' Jump Shot62
16.1%
66
83.9%
Q3 - 11:38DETMcGrady 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)62
14.8%
66
85.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET60
13.2%
66
86.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
13.2%
66
86.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
12.7%
66
87.3%
Q2 - 0:19.0DETGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)60
12.1%
66
87.9%
Q2 - 0:35.0DENChandler Foul Turnover (P2.T7)57
9.3%
66
90.7%
Q2 - 0:38.0DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
8.4%
66
91.6%
Q2 - 0:39.0DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot57
8.7%
66
91.3%
Q2 - 0:45.0DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)57
9.3%
66
90.7%
Q2 - 0:49.0DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
8.4%
66
91.6%
Q2 - 0:50.0DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot57
8.7%
66
91.3%
Q2 - 1:10DETHamilton Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)57
9.4%
66
90.6%
Q2 - 1:23DETGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
8.3%
66
91.7%
Q2 - 1:24DENMISS Chandler 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
8.1%
66
91.9%
Q2 - 1:45DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)56
7.6%
66
92.4%
Q2 - 1:46DETMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot56
7.8%
66
92.2%
Q2 - 2:06DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)56
8.6%
66
91.4%
Q2 - 2:20DETGordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)56
10.7%
63
89.3%
Q2 - 2:43DETGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
8.5%
63
91.5%
Q2 - 2:44DENMISS Lawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
8.2%
63
91.8%
Q2 - 2:49DETNene STEAL (1 STL)53
7.6%
63
92.4%
Q2 - 3:03DENFelton Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)53
8.7%
63
91.3%
Q2 - 3:12DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)53
7.6%
63
92.4%
Q2 - 3:15DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 153
8.6%
63
91.4%
Q2 - 3:22DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
9.5%
61
90.5%
Q2 - 3:23DETMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
9.9%
61
90.1%
Q2 - 3:37DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)53
10.9%
61
89.1%
Q2 - 3:55DETWilcox 10' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)53
13.3%
58
86.7%
Q2 - 4:20DENSmith 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)51
12.0%
58
88.0%
Q2 - 4:28DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
13.2%
56
86.8%
Q2 - 4:29DETMISS Villanueva 8' Jump Shot51
13.7%
56
86.3%
Q2 - 4:38DETBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
14.9%
56
85.1%
Q2 - 4:40DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
14.3%
56
85.7%
Q2 - 5:12DETWilcox 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)51
13.4%
56
86.6%
Q2 - 5:39DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)49
12.1%
56
87.9%
Q2 - 5:39DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)49
12.4%
55
87.6%
Q2 - 5:56DETWilcox 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Bynum 6 AST)49
13.4%
54
86.6%
Q2 - 6:12DENLawson 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)47
12.4%
54
87.6%
Q2 - 6:27DETGordon 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS)47
13.5%
52
86.5%
Q2 - 6:44DENHarrington 1' Layup (10 PTS)45
12.4%
52
87.6%
Q2 - 6:47DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)45
13.5%
50
86.5%
Q2 - 6:49DENMISS Felton 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
14.6%
50
85.4%
Q2 - 6:56DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
13.5%
50
86.5%
Q2 - 6:57DETMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
14.0%
50
86.0%
Q2 - 7:18DENHarrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Felton 2 AST)45
14.9%
50
85.1%
Q2 - 7:30DETDaye Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)45
17.9%
47
82.1%
Q2 - 7:46DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
19.7%
47
80.3%
Q2 - 7:47DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
19.2%
47
80.8%
Q2 - 7:58DETVillanueva 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bynum 5 AST)45
17.9%
47
82.1%
Q2 - 8:13DENFelton Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)42
15.0%
47
85.0%
Q2 - 8:13DENMISS Felton Free Throw 1 of 242
15.2%
46
84.8%
Q2 - 8:18DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)42
14.9%
46
85.1%
Q2 - 8:18DETBynum Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)41
15.0%
46
85.0%
Q2 - 8:27DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)38
11.3%
46
88.7%
Q2 - 8:37DETWilcox 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Bynum 4 AST)38
13.6%
43
86.4%
Q2 - 8:55DENAndersen 5' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)36
12.4%
43
87.6%
Q2 - 9:04DETVillanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bynum 3 AST)36
13.6%
41
86.4%
Q2 - 9:23DETPistons Rebound33
11.4%
41
88.6%
Q2 - 9:23DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
11.1%
41
88.9%
Q2 - 9:44DETGordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bynum 2 AST)33
10.3%
41
89.7%
Q2 - 10:04DENHarrington 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)30
8.8%
41
91.2%
Q2 - 10:07DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
9.6%
39
90.4%
Q2 - 10:09DETAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)30
9.9%
39
90.1%
Q2 - 10:26DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)30
10.6%
39
89.4%
Q2 - 10:29DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
12.5%
36
87.5%
Q2 - 10:30DETMISS Bynum 1' Layup30
12.9%
36
87.1%
Q2 - 10:35DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)30
13.8%
36
86.2%
Q2 - 10:45DETSmith STEAL (1 STL)30
12.5%
36
87.5%
Q2 - 10:58DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
13.8%
36
86.2%
Q2 - 10:59DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 230
13.6%
36
86.4%
Q2 - 10:59DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)30
13.0%
36
87.0%
Q2 - 11:23DETGordon 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)30
13.9%
35
86.1%
Q2 - 11:37DENFelton 2' Layup (2 PTS)28
12.8%
35
87.2%
Q2 - 11:44DETFelton STEAL (1 STL)28
13.9%
33
86.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET28
15.2%
33
84.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound28
15.2%
33
84.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETMISS Prince 17' Jump Shot28
14.3%
33
85.7%
Q1 - 0:22.0DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
15.0%
33
85.0%
Q1 - 0:23.0DENMISS Martin 6' Jump Shot28
14.7%
33
85.3%
Q1 - 0:41.0DETHamilton 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS)28
14.0%
33
86.0%
Q1 - 0:53.0DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
12.7%
33
87.3%
Q1 - 0:54.0DENMISS Martin 21' Jump Shot26
12.4%
33
87.6%
Q1 - 1:14DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)26
12.0%
33
88.0%
Q1 - 1:14DETMonroe 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)26
12.0%
33
88.0%
Q1 - 1:17DETMISS Hamilton 1' Layup24
10.3%
33
89.7%
Q1 - 1:30DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
10.8%
33
89.2%
Q1 - 1:31DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 224
10.7%
33
89.3%
Q1 - 1:31DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)24
10.2%
33
89.8%
Q1 - 1:47DETPrince 10' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)24
11.0%
32
89.0%
Q1 - 2:11DENMartin 1' Dunk (5 PTS) (Felton 1 AST)22
10.2%
32
89.8%
Q1 - 2:21DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
11.1%
30
88.9%
Q1 - 2:22DETMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
11.4%
30
88.6%
Q1 - 2:44DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)22
12.0%
30
88.0%
Q1 - 2:44DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
14.2%
27
85.8%
Q1 - 2:44DENMISS Smith 2' Finger Roll Layup22
14.9%
27
85.1%
Q1 - 2:53DETMonroe Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)22
14.2%
27
85.8%
Q1 - 2:56DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
15.2%
27
84.8%
Q1 - 2:57DETMISS Stuckey 6' Jump Shot22
14.5%
27
85.5%
Q1 - 3:10DENNene Slam Dunk (10 PTS)22
15.2%
27
84.8%
Q1 - 3:20DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)22
16.4%
25
83.6%
Q1 - 3:20DETMcGrady 2' Tip Shot (6 PTS)22
16.4%
25
83.6%
Q1 - 3:21DETMISS Monroe 1' Layup20
14.4%
25
85.6%
Q1 - 3:23DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
15.2%
25
84.8%
Q1 - 3:24DETMISS Monroe 6' Jump Shot20
14.4%
25
85.6%
Q1 - 3:43DENForbes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Martin 3 AST)20
15.2%
25
84.8%
Q1 - 4:00DETMcGrady 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)20
17.7%
22
82.3%
Q1 - 4:19DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
16.2%
22
83.8%
Q1 - 4:20DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
15.8%
22
84.2%
Q1 - 4:37DETPrince 2' Dunk (6 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)18
14.9%
22
85.1%
Q1 - 4:43DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
13.9%
22
86.1%
Q1 - 4:44DENMISS Nene 5' Driving Layup16
13.6%
22
86.4%
Q1 - 4:58DETHamilton 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)16
12.8%
22
87.2%
Q1 - 5:22DENChandler Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)13
11.3%
22
88.7%
Q1 - 5:33DETHamilton 9' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)13
10.4%
22
89.6%
Q1 - 5:49DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)11
9.7%
22
90.3%
Q1 - 5:49DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 211
9.9%
21
90.1%
Q1 - 5:50DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
9.6%
21
90.4%
Q1 - 5:51DENMISS Lawson 15' Jump Shot11
10.2%
21
89.8%
Q1 - 5:56DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
9.6%
21
90.4%
Q1 - 5:57DETNene BLOCK (1 BLK)11
9.8%
21
90.2%
Q1 - 5:58DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
10.4%
21
89.6%
Q1 - 5:59DETMISS McGrady 2' Layup11
9.8%
21
90.2%
Q1 - 6:17DENForbes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)11
10.5%
21
89.5%
Q1 - 6:31DETMcGrady 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)11
12.1%
18
87.9%
Q1 - 6:56DENChandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)9
11.3%
18
88.7%
Q1 - 7:12DETPrince 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)9
13.0%
15
87.0%
Q1 - 7:19DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)7
12.2%
15
87.8%
Q1 - 7:37DETPrince 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)7
11.2%
15
88.8%
Q1 - 7:50DENForbes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
10.5%
15
89.5%
Q1 - 7:56DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
9.7%
15
90.3%
Q1 - 7:58DETMISS Prince 20' Jump Shot5
10.0%
15
90.0%
Q1 - 8:24DENNene 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)5
10.5%
15
89.5%
Q1 - 8:29DETLawson STEAL (1 STL)5
11.2%
13
88.8%
Q1 - 8:44DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)5
12.1%
13
87.9%
Q1 - 8:44DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)5
12.3%
12
87.7%
Q1 - 8:52DETMonroe 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)5
12.9%
11
87.1%
Q1 - 9:14DENChandler 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)3
12.3%
11
87.7%
Q1 - 9:24DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)3
13.1%
9
86.9%
Q1 - 9:50DENNene 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)0
11.4%
9
88.6%
Q1 - 10:00DENForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
12.3%
7
87.7%
Q1 - 10:01DETMISS Stuckey 19' Jump Shot0
12.8%
7
87.2%
Q1 - 10:27DENMartin 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Forbes 2 AST)0
13.4%
7
86.6%
Q1 - 10:36DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
14.1%
5
85.9%
Q1 - 10:37DETMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot0
14.4%
5
85.6%
Q1 - 10:58DENNene 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)0
15.2%
5
84.8%
Q1 - 11:07DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
16.0%
3
84.0%
Q1 - 11:09DETMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot0
16.3%
3
83.7%
Q1 - 11:37DENLawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Forbes 1 AST)0
16.9%
3
83.1%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nene vs. Monroe: Tip to Martin0
18.9%
0
81.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.10 54.9%
DEN
1.36 68.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
17
26
65%
DEN
18
26
69%
Midrange
DET
21
46
46%
DEN
10
19
53%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
DEN
18
27.0
37
49%
73%
Free Throws
DET
7
7
100%
DEN
21
29
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Wilcox2188%10.5 / 12
R. Hamilton1550%7.5 / 15
B. Gordon1372%6.5 / 9
T. Prince1250%6.0 / 12
G. Monroe857%4.0 / 7
T. McGrady840%4.0 / 10
W. Bynum857%4.0 / 7
A. Daye8100%4.0 / 4
C. Villanueva844%4.0 / 9
R. Stuckey0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith3170%15.5 / 22
Nene1882%9.0 / 11
T. Lawson1568%7.5 / 11
C. Andersen14100%7.0 / 7
R. Felton1267%6.0 / 9
W. Chandler1155%5.5 / 10
G. Forbes10100%5.0 / 5
A. Harrington1071%5.0 / 7
K. Martin956%4.5 / 8
K. Koufos125%0.5 / 2
T. Mozgov0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
81
+10
-12
91
DEN
82
+13
-11
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.10 54.9%
DEN
1.36 68.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
112.7
DET 108.6
DEN 140.9 +32.3
Pace
89.3
95.2
DET 84.4
DEN 103.6 +19.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.6
14.3
DET 17.1
DEN 13.9 +3.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.5%
52.6%
DET 53.4%
DEN 67.1% +13.7%
TO %
13.5%
14.5%
DET 12.5%
DEN 10.4% +2.1%
ORB %
27.4%
23.8%
DET 19.5%
DEN 30.6% +11.1%
FTrt
27.9
36.7
DET 8.0
DEN 35.4 +27.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.6%
57.6%
DET 54.5%
DEN 71.7% +17.2%
STL %
8.0%
7.7%
DET 7.5%
DEN 10.8% +3.3%
BLK %
6.6%
6.8%
DET 2.2%
DEN 4.2% +2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.9%
56.3%
DET 54.9%
DEN 68.2% +13.3%
Rim FG%
59.2%
58.5%
DET 65.4%
DEN 69.2% +3.8%
Mid FG%
38.8%
40.0%
DET 45.7%
DEN 52.6% +6.9%
3P %
37.6%
38.8%
DET 37.5%
DEN 48.6% +11.1%
FT %
73.7%
76.6%
DET 100.0% +27.6%
DEN 72.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.3%
42.5%
DET 29.5%
DEN 31.7% +2.2%
Mid Att. %
44.8%
31.8%
DET 52.3%
DEN 23.2% +29.1%
3P Att. %
18.9%
25.8%
DET 18.2%
DEN 45.1% +26.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsDETDEN
Possessions9393
Possession Minutes26.421.6
Points101131
Rebounds3344
Assists2433
Steals710
Blocks13
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (2)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (2)33 (1)
Field Goals44-8846-82
At-the-Rim FG17-2618-26
Midrange FG21-4610-19
2-Point FG38-7228-45
3-Point FG6-1618-37
Free Throws7-721-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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22 Detroit Pistons
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 31
29.6
12
50%
1
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
6-11
55%
0-1
0%
Greg Monroe
C · 6'11" 265 · 21
27.3
8
57%
6
1
3
0
2
1
3
3
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
F · 6'7" 193 · 33
24.2
15
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
5-13
38%
1-2
50%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 25
23.7
0
0%
3
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-1
0%
Tracy McGrady
G · 6'8" 225 · 32
21.6
8
40%
5
5
1
0
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-2
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 28
28.6
13
72%
6
1
0
0
4
3
0
6
0-0
-
2-4
50%
3-5
60%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 28
22.8
8
57%
1
10
1
0
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 23
20.8
8
100%
6
0
0
0
1
1
1
5
2-2
100%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29
20.8
21
88%
3
0
0
0
1
5
1
2
1-1
100%
10-12
83%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 27
20.8
8
44%
2
0
1
1
3
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
2-5
40%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 28
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 37
DaJuan Summers
#35 · F · 6'8" 240 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Jonas Jerebko
#33 · F · 6'10" 231 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Terrico White
#23 · G · 6'5" 213 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
55%
33
24
7
1
12
0
8
25
7-7
100%
38-72
53%
6-16
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.