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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 12, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Spurs48%102115
12Rockets52%103107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.8
34.6
31.2
21
48%
3
6
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-4
50%
8-18
6-12
44%
52%
1-2
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 33.6
34.5
29.9
19
53%
0
3
3
1
0
1
0
0
6-7
86%
2-8
4-8
25%
50%
3-7
43%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 30.7
33.6
26.4
10
74%
4
1
0
0
1
3
0
4
4-4
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
50%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.9
28.5
26.5
11
47%
7
3
2
1
1
0
0
7
5-6
83%
3-9
5-10
33%
50%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.5
21.8
16.9
12
55%
12
1
0
0
0
2
5
7
2-2
100%
5-10
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 24.9
27.5
30.0
14
68%
2
2
2
1
0
2
0
2
2-3
67%
6-8
3-6
75%
49%
0-1
0%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.4
21.3
24.5
10
56%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
49%
2-5
40%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 21.9
19.0
20.8
14
82%
9
1
3
1
1
1
3
6
6-8
75%
4-5
4-8
80%
52%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30.9
15.8
23.0
4
50%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.7
3.3
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 22.0
14.3
0
1-2
46%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 26.2
5.6
0
1-1
52%
Othyus Jeffers
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.6
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 22.8
36.0
33.3
12
58%
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
3-3
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
52%
1-2
50%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 25.0
35.4
31.5
13
57%
3
9
0
1
0
6
0
3
3-3
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
48%
2-6
33%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 28.1
35.2
29.4
28
53%
4
5
2
1
0
2
0
4
7-8
88%
6-15
4-9
40%
47%
3-8
38%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 27.8
28.8
27.5
8
58%
11
2
0
1
1
2
2
9
2-2
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
53%
0-0
-
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.6
17.7
10.8
8
80%
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
4-5
2-3
80%
49%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.4
32.2
25.9
16
55%
7
2
2
1
0
2
2
5
5-6
83%
4-9
3-7
44%
48%
1-3
33%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.0
24.3
20.1
6
61%
5
0
1
1
3
1
2
3
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
52%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.8
17.1
14.7
10
78%
1
2
2
1
0
4
0
1
0-1
0%
5-5
2-4
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 34.9
13.3
19.2
6
75%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
2-2
100%
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.7
4.3
0
1-1
43%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.6
2.3
0
0-1
43%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 24.1
2.0
0
0-0
52%
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 30.5
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 30.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.