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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 12, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1376ers49%9174
20Bucks51%92102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.6
34.3
32.8
13
65%
6
2
1
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
44%
3-7
43%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.1
25.6
36.1
10
83%
1
5
1
2
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
4-8
67%
48%
2-3
67%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 22.9
23.6
20.9
6
38%
7
3
0
0
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
49%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 32.0
21.6
32.0
3
39%
3
1
1
1
1
4
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
6-11
33%
49%
0-0
-
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 20.7
20.3
36.0
6
75%
1
2
1
2
0
6
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
4-9
75%
47%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.4
26.6
20.3
16
60%
1
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
3-3
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
45%
1-3
33%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 22.4
25.9
16.8
10
42%
2
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
5-12
2-5
42%
44%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.7
20.3
25.1
0
0%
4
1
0
1
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
0-4
5-10
0%
52%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 23.6
15.2
12.8
7
37%
6
1
1
0
1
0
3
3
1-1
100%
3-9
2-5
33%
49%
0-0
-
Craig Brackins
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.4
12.0
3.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 35.1
8.5
2.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 31.3
6.2
3.0
3
39%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
0-0
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 33.1
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 31.2
34.1
31.5
6
50%
1
7
3
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
4-8
50%
46%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.5
33.4
26.7
14
63%
12
3
5
1
0
0
6
6
6-7
86%
4-8
3-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 26.3
29.9
24.0
17
60%
9
2
1
0
1
6
2
7
3-5
60%
7-12
4-7
58%
53%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 21.5
28.6
29.2
15
47%
2
5
2
1
0
2
2
0
1-2
50%
1-8
4-9
13%
43%
4-7
57%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 28.5
28.0
26.6
12
67%
3
1
4
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
45%
2-4
50%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 22.3
26.5
21.7
8
58%
4
1
0
0
5
0
1
3
0-2
0%
4-6
3-7
67%
48%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.8
21.1
21.2
13
70%
7
0
1
1
0
1
0
7
3-3
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
2-4
50%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 34.8
19.4
16.6
8
57%
1
7
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 24.2
7.4
12.9
9
113%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
48%
1-1
100%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 24.0
6.2
19.2
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
52%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 29.6
5.4
5.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
40%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 31.3
17.3
0
3-6
51%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 29.5
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 31.5
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.