for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 12, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Jazz20%87100
8Bulls80%98118
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 26.2
44.7
33.4
33
54%
18
2
1
1
1
4
6
12
3-4
75%
15-29
8-17
52%
49%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.0
40.6
26.8
24
74%
3
3
0
1
0
1
2
1
12-14
86%
3-7
3-7
43%
44%
2-3
67%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 34.5
37.1
29.2
14
73%
8
3
1
1
0
0
1
7
6-6
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
44%
2-3
67%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.1
34.2
20.1
11
31%
6
2
3
1
1
2
3
3
7-8
88%
2-13
2-5
15%
50%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 23.4
12.9
13.1
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.0
29.8
27.9
13
48%
1
3
2
1
0
1
1
0
1-1
100%
6-10
4-8
60%
45%
0-3
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 31.7
19.4
22.3
2
100%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
0-0
-
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 19.7
10.6
18.3
1
27%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
2-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 21.0
7.4
21.6
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Marcus Cousin
F · 6'11" 255 · 24.2
3.3
7.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 26.1
13.5
0
2-5
51%
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 24.2
8.9
0
1-2
46%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.7
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 31.8
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 35.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.9
38.7
37.5
26
59%
7
6
3
1
0
2
3
4
3-7
43%
7-13
5-9
54%
51%
3-6
50%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.4
37.8
33.8
26
63%
1
4
1
1
0
4
0
1
7-8
88%
2-6
7-14
33%
51%
5-11
45%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 38.4
32.5
18.5
0
0%
9
3
3
0
2
3
3
6
0-0
-
0-4
2-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 26.0
30.9
29.8
16
66%
9
1
0
1
1
1
2
7
4-5
80%
6-10
4-7
60%
53%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 30.8
16.3
16.9
9
64%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
3-7
43%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 30.0
26.1
17.3
17
85%
0
6
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-7
1-3
57%
49%
3-3
100%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.7
17.9
19.7
6
80%
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
2-4
50%
2-2
3-5
100%
50%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.9
17.3
13.3
16
116%
5
8
0
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
48%
4-5
80%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 26.0
14.8
20.9
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
3-5
0%
53%
0-0
-
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.7
7.6
13.6
2
53%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-2
0%
1-1
1-2
100%
54%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 31.8
5.4
0
0-1
43%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.0
1.5
0
0-0
44%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 29.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.