FinalWin Prob.pScore
1425%92
85
175%101
118
ORTG#PossPace
MEM logo MEM
90.49499.8
MIA logo MIA
124.29591.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMEMMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA85
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MEMMISS Haddadi 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAMagloire 3' Jump Shot (4 PTS)85
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Howard 4' Dunk85
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:30.0MEMVasquez 3' Layup (10 PTS) (Powe 1 AST)85
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:34.0MEMPowe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:53.0MEMVasquez 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)83
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 1:04MEMPowe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 1:05MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot81
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 1:27MEMPowe Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)81
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 1:27MEMMISS Powe Free Throw 1 of 280
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 1:33MIAHoward 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)80
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 1:48MIAMISS House Free Throw 1 of 180
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:48MEMHaddadi Traveling Turnover (P1.T14)80
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:56MIAHouse 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)80
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 2:11MEMPowe Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)80
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 2:11MEMMISS Powe Free Throw 1 of 279
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 2:25MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)79
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 2:49MEMYoung Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)79
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 2:49MEMYoung Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)78
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 2:59MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 3:00MIAMISS House 27' 3PT Jump Shot77
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 3:07MEMHoward STEAL (1 STL)77
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 3:18MIAHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)77
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 3:18MIAHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)77
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 3:34MEMHaddadi 3' Dunk (2 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)77
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:47MIAHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)75
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:47MIAHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)75
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 4:06MEMMayo Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)75
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:06MEMMayo Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)74
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)73
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:34MEMMayo Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)73
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 4:45MEMYoung REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)70
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 4:46MIAMISS House 17' Jump Shot70
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:11MEMPowe 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)70
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:30MIABibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)68
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:30MIABibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)68
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 5:51MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)68
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 5:52MEMMISS Young Free Throw 2 of 268
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 5:52MEMYoung Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)68
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 5:59MIABibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)67
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 6:18MEMMayo 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)67
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 6:29MIAMiller Foul Turnover (P1.T14)65
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 6:41MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)65
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 6:42MEMMISS Haddadi 9' Jump Shot65
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 7:00MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)65
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 7:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)65
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 7:15MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 7:16MEMMISS Arthur 16' Jump Shot65
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 7:32MIAWade 20' Jump Bank Shot (26 PTS)65
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 7:39MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:40MEMMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot65
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 8:07MIAWade 2' Alley Oop Layup (24 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)65
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 8:23MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)65
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 8:24MEMMISS Conley 20' Jump Shot65
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 8:52MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)65
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 9:12MEMMayo 2' Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)65
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 9:25MIABibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)63
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 9:46MEMWade STEAL (3 STL)63
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 10:01MIABibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)63
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 10:18MEMVasquez Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)63
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 10:18MEMMISS Vasquez Free Throw 1 of 262
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 10:34MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)62
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 10:35MIAMISS Wade 2' Dunk62
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 10:47MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 10:48MEMMISS Mayo 10' Jump Shot62
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 10:54MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)62
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 11:15MEMArthur 7' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)62
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 11:27MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)60
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 11:27MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)60
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 11:47MEMMiller STEAL (1 STL)60
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA60
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q3 - 0:07.0MEMVasquez 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Conley 10 AST)60
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q3 - 0:12.0MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)57
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 0:33.0MEMBibby STEAL (1 STL)57
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 0:45.0MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 5 AST)57
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 1:08MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)57
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q3 - 1:08MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 256
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q3 - 1:19MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)56
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q3 - 1:19MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 256
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q3 - 1:26MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q3 - 1:28MEMAnthony BLOCK (3 BLK)56
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q3 - 1:32MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q3 - 1:33MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot56
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q3 - 1:45MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q3 - 1:46MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot56
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q3 - 2:14MEMVasquez 8' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)56
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q3 - 2:21MEMGrizzlies Rebound54
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q3 - 2:22MEMMISS Conley 8' Jump Shot54
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 2:34MIAHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T11)54
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 2:38MEMJames STEAL (1 STL)54
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 2:43MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)54
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 2:47MEMChalmers STEAL (2 STL)54
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 2:48MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)54
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 2:49MIAMISS James 3' Layup54
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 2:53MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 2:56MEMAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)54
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 3:01MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q3 - 3:02MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot54
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q3 - 3:23MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 3:24MEMMISS Randolph Free Throw 2 of 254
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q3 - 3:24MEMRandolph Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)54
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q3 - 3:31MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 3:32MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot53
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 3:47MEMChalmers STEAL (1 STL)53
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 3:47MEMConley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 3:49MEMMISS Conley 3' Layup53
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 3:58MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 4:01MIAMISS Chalmers 12' Jump Bank Shot53
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q3 - 4:18MEMMayo 3' Putback Layup (10 PTS)53
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 4:19MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 4:20MEMMISS Mayo 3' Finger Roll Layup51
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q3 - 4:29MIAWade 19' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS)51
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 4:53MEMRandolph 3' Layup (12 PTS)51
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q3 - 4:54MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)49
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q3 - 4:55MEMMISS Arthur 4' Jump Shot49
0.2%
78
99.8%
Q3 - 5:09MEMConley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q3 - 5:10MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q3 - 5:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q3 - 5:18MEMMISS Smith 6' Floating Jump Shot49
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q3 - 5:32MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)49
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q3 - 5:32MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)49
0.3%
77
99.7%
Q3 - 5:45MEMRandolph 17' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)49
0.4%
76
99.6%
Q3 - 6:03MIAJames 2' Dunk (27 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)47
0.4%
76
99.6%
Q3 - 6:16MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
0.5%
74
99.5%
Q3 - 6:17MEMMISS Arthur 9' Jump Shot47
0.5%
74
99.5%
Q3 - 6:31MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)47
0.5%
74
99.5%
Q3 - 6:31MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)47
0.5%
73
99.5%
Q3 - 6:46MEMAllen 3' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Conley 9 AST)47
0.6%
72
99.4%
Q3 - 6:52MIAJames 10' Running Jump Shot (25 PTS)45
0.5%
72
99.5%
Q3 - 7:22MEMRandolph 17' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Mayo 1 AST)45
0.7%
70
99.3%
Q3 - 7:38MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)43
0.6%
70
99.4%
Q3 - 7:55MIAJames 1' Slam Dunk (23 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)43
0.7%
69
99.3%
Q3 - 7:59MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)43
0.8%
67
99.2%
Q3 - 8:00MEMMISS Mayo 20' Jump Shot43
0.9%
67
99.1%
Q3 - 8:23MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)43
1.1%
67
98.9%
Q3 - 8:49MEMGasol 8' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Conley 8 AST)43
1.4%
64
98.6%
Q3 - 9:12MIAWade 9' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)41
1.3%
64
98.7%
Q3 - 9:14MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
1.5%
62
98.5%
Q3 - 9:18MEMJames BLOCK (2 BLK)41
1.6%
62
98.4%
Q3 - 9:20MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)41
1.7%
62
98.3%
Q3 - 9:24MIAMISS Dampier 4' Jump Shot41
1.7%
62
98.3%
Q3 - 9:28MEMBosh STEAL (1 STL)41
1.5%
62
98.5%
Q3 - 9:32MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)41
1.7%
62
98.3%
Q3 - 9:37MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
1.5%
62
98.5%
Q3 - 9:38MEMMISS Gasol 9' Hook Shot41
1.6%
62
98.4%
Q3 - 9:53MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)41
1.7%
62
98.3%
Q3 - 9:53MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)41
1.8%
61
98.2%
Q3 - 9:57MEMWade STEAL (2 STL)41
2.0%
60
98.0%
Q3 - 10:15MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)41
2.5%
60
97.5%
Q3 - 10:32MEMConley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)41
3.2%
57
96.8%
Q3 - 10:44MIAJames 16' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)41
3.7%
57
96.3%
Q3 - 11:08MEMAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)41
4.5%
55
95.5%
Q3 - 11:08MEMAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)40
4.3%
55
95.7%
Q3 - 11:11MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)39
3.9%
55
96.1%
Q3 - 11:19MEMRandolph 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)39
3.4%
55
96.6%
Q3 - 11:40MEMAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
3.0%
55
97.0%
Q3 - 11:41MIAMISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot37
2.9%
55
97.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEM37
2.6%
55
97.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEMGrizzlies Rebound37
3.0%
55
97.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEMMISS Gasol 69' 3PT Jump Shot37
2.7%
55
97.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)37
3.0%
55
97.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 237
3.2%
55
96.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)37
2.9%
55
97.1%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
3.3%
54
96.7%
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Wade 8' Floating Jump Shot37
3.5%
54
96.5%
Q2 - 0:33.0MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)37
3.3%
54
96.7%
Q2 - 0:33.0MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)36
3.2%
54
96.8%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)35
2.8%
54
97.2%
Q2 - 0:55.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
2.5%
54
97.5%
Q2 - 0:56.0MEMMISS Young 20' Jump Shot35
2.6%
54
97.4%
Q2 - 1:18MIABibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)35
2.9%
54
97.1%
Q2 - 1:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
3.9%
51
96.1%
Q2 - 1:34MEMMISS Conley 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
4.0%
51
96.0%
Q2 - 1:58MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)35
4.3%
51
95.7%
Q2 - 2:05MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)35
4.0%
51
96.0%
Q2 - 2:06MEMMISS Conley 2' Layup35
4.1%
51
95.9%
Q2 - 2:11MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)35
4.5%
51
95.5%
Q2 - 2:21MIABibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
4.0%
51
96.0%
Q2 - 2:22MEMMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
4.1%
51
95.9%
Q2 - 2:44MEMGrizzlies Rebound35
4.5%
51
95.5%
Q2 - 2:45MEMMISS Young 2' Layup35
4.1%
51
95.9%
Q2 - 3:03MIAWade 8' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)35
4.7%
51
95.3%
Q2 - 3:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
5.1%
49
94.9%
Q2 - 3:12MEMMISS Conley 18' Jump Shot35
5.3%
49
94.7%
Q2 - 3:19MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)35
5.9%
49
94.1%
Q2 - 3:20MEMMISS Young Free Throw 2 of 235
5.2%
49
94.8%
Q2 - 3:20MEMYoung Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)35
5.6%
49
94.4%
Q2 - 3:35MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS)34
5.2%
49
94.8%
Q2 - 3:45MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
5.8%
47
94.2%
Q2 - 3:46MEMMISS Gasol 17' Jump Shot34
6.0%
47
94.0%
Q2 - 4:03MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)34
6.7%
47
93.3%
Q2 - 4:03MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)34
6.8%
46
93.2%
Q2 - 4:09MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
7.4%
45
92.6%
Q2 - 4:10MEMMISS Mayo 19' Jump Shot34
7.7%
45
92.3%
Q2 - 4:32MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)34
8.3%
45
91.7%
Q2 - 4:49MIAHEAT Rebound34
7.4%
45
92.6%
Q2 - 4:50MEMMISS Conley 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
7.7%
45
92.3%
Q2 - 5:06MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)34
8.5%
45
91.5%
Q2 - 5:21MEMRandolph 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)34
10.5%
42
89.5%
Q2 - 5:43MIAMagloire 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)32
9.4%
42
90.6%
Q2 - 5:49MEMWade STEAL (1 STL)32
10.5%
40
89.5%
Q2 - 6:10MIABibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)32
12.0%
40
88.0%
Q2 - 6:14MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
14.4%
37
85.6%
Q2 - 6:15MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot32
15.6%
37
84.4%
Q2 - 6:32MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
14.4%
37
85.6%
Q2 - 6:33MEMWade BLOCK (5 BLK)32
14.9%
37
85.1%
Q2 - 6:57MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
16.1%
37
83.9%
Q2 - 6:58MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
15.6%
37
84.4%
Q2 - 7:17MEMGasol 3' Layup (10 PTS) (Conley 7 AST)32
14.4%
37
85.6%
Q2 - 7:32MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)30
13.2%
37
86.8%
Q2 - 8:00MEMBattier 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)30
15.9%
34
84.1%
Q2 - 8:01MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
14.6%
34
85.4%
Q2 - 8:02MEMMISS Mayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
13.7%
34
86.3%
Q2 - 8:31MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)28
14.6%
34
85.4%
Q2 - 8:32MIABibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
17.4%
31
82.6%
Q2 - 8:33MEMMISS Randolph 2' Layup28
17.9%
31
82.1%
Q2 - 8:35MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)28
19.1%
31
80.9%
Q2 - 8:36MEMMISS Randolph 3' Layup28
17.9%
31
82.1%
Q2 - 8:38MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)28
19.1%
31
80.9%
Q2 - 8:41MEMAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)28
17.9%
31
82.1%
Q2 - 8:49MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
19.1%
31
80.9%
Q2 - 8:50MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
18.6%
31
81.4%
Q2 - 9:00MEMMayo 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)28
17.4%
31
82.6%
Q2 - 9:08MEMGrizzlies Rebound26
16.0%
31
84.0%
Q2 - 9:08MEMMISS Smith 5' Floating Jump Shot26
15.0%
31
85.0%
Q2 - 9:21MIABosh 4' Driving Layup (11 PTS)26
16.0%
31
84.0%
Q2 - 9:34MIAHEAT Rebound26
17.4%
29
82.6%
Q2 - 9:35MEMMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot26
17.9%
29
82.1%
Q2 - 9:53MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
19.0%
29
81.0%
Q2 - 9:54MIAMISS Bosh 4' Jump Shot26
18.5%
29
81.5%
Q2 - 9:55MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)26
17.4%
29
82.6%
Q2 - 9:58MIAMISS James 3' Driving Layup26
18.5%
29
81.5%
Q2 - 10:24MEMMayo 3' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Conley 6 AST)26
17.4%
29
82.6%
Q2 - 10:39MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
16.1%
29
83.9%
Q2 - 10:40MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 224
15.9%
29
84.1%
Q2 - 10:40MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)24
15.0%
29
85.0%
Q2 - 10:59MEMMayo 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Conley 5 AST)24
16.0%
28
84.0%
Q2 - 11:03MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
14.9%
28
85.1%
Q2 - 11:04MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
14.5%
28
85.5%
Q2 - 11:27MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)22
13.6%
28
86.4%
Q2 - 11:28MEMMISS Battier 8' Jump Hook Shot22
14.0%
28
86.0%
Q2 - 11:43MEMConley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
14.9%
28
85.1%
Q2 - 11:44MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot22
14.5%
28
85.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA22
13.6%
28
86.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
13.8%
28
86.2%
Q1 - 0:02.0MEMMISS Arthur 20' Jump Shot22
14.1%
28
85.9%
Q1 - 0:12.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)22
14.7%
28
85.3%
Q1 - 0:12.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)22
15.0%
27
85.0%
Q1 - 0:34.0MEMArthur 3' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Conley 4 AST)22
16.3%
26
83.7%
Q1 - 0:45.0MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
14.8%
26
85.2%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot20
14.4%
26
85.6%
Q1 - 1:00MEMMayo 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
13.8%
26
86.2%
Q1 - 1:21MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)18
12.6%
26
87.4%
Q1 - 1:35MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
15.1%
23
84.9%
Q1 - 1:36MEMMISS Arthur 18' Jump Shot18
15.4%
23
84.6%
Q1 - 1:55MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)18
16.0%
23
84.0%
Q1 - 2:15MEMGasol 9' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Conley 3 AST)18
17.7%
21
82.3%
Q1 - 2:38MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)16
16.3%
21
83.7%
Q1 - 3:03MEMArthur Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
17.5%
19
82.5%
Q1 - 3:03MEMArthur Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
17.3%
19
82.7%
Q1 - 3:09MEMYoung REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
16.3%
19
83.7%
Q1 - 3:10MIAMISS Chalmers 3' Driving Layup14
15.9%
19
84.1%
Q1 - 3:24MEMGasol 8' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)14
15.0%
19
85.0%
Q1 - 3:41MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 4 AST)12
14.0%
19
86.0%
Q1 - 3:52MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
15.1%
17
84.9%
Q1 - 3:53MEMMISS Randolph 12' Jump Shot12
15.4%
17
84.6%
Q1 - 4:16MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 3 AST)12
16.1%
17
83.9%
Q1 - 4:23MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
18.5%
14
81.5%
Q1 - 4:24MEMMISS Allen 4' Jump Shot12
19.0%
14
81.0%
Q1 - 4:29MEMYoung REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
20.0%
14
80.0%
Q1 - 4:30MIAMISS Chalmers 7' Jump Shot12
19.6%
14
80.4%
Q1 - 4:52MEMGasol 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Conley 2 AST)12
18.5%
14
81.5%
Q1 - 5:14MIADampier 3' Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)10
17.5%
14
82.5%
Q1 - 5:21MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
18.6%
12
81.4%
Q1 - 5:22MEMMISS Gasol 9' Jump Shot10
19.0%
12
81.0%
Q1 - 5:31MEMAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
20.1%
12
79.9%
Q1 - 5:32MIAMISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot10
19.6%
12
80.4%
Q1 - 5:41MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
18.6%
12
81.4%
Q1 - 5:42MEMMISS Conley 11' Jump Shot10
19.0%
12
81.0%
Q1 - 5:57MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)10
20.1%
12
79.9%
Q1 - 6:18MEMConley 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
21.1%
10
78.9%
Q1 - 6:30MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)8
19.8%
10
80.2%
Q1 - 6:48MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
18.5%
10
81.5%
Q1 - 6:49MEMMISS Randolph 30' 3PT Jump Shot8
18.9%
10
81.1%
Q1 - 7:00MEMYoung REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
19.9%
10
80.1%
Q1 - 7:01MEMWade BLOCK (4 BLK)8
18.7%
10
81.3%
Q1 - 7:13MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
19.7%
10
80.3%
Q1 - 7:14MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup8
19.2%
10
80.8%
Q1 - 7:31MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
18.3%
10
81.7%
Q1 - 7:35MEMWade BLOCK (3 BLK)8
18.7%
10
81.3%
Q1 - 7:36MEMAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
19.7%
10
80.3%
Q1 - 7:37MEMJames BLOCK (1 BLK)8
18.7%
10
81.3%
Q1 - 7:38MEMYoung REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
19.7%
10
80.3%
Q1 - 7:39MEMWade BLOCK (2 BLK)8
18.7%
10
81.3%
Q1 - 7:42MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
19.7%
10
80.3%
Q1 - 7:44MIAMISS Chalmers 3' Jump Shot8
19.2%
10
80.8%
Q1 - 7:54MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
18.3%
10
81.7%
Q1 - 7:56MEMWade BLOCK (1 BLK)8
18.7%
10
81.3%
Q1 - 8:13MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
19.4%
10
80.6%
Q1 - 8:24MEMGasol 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Conley 1 AST)8
20.7%
8
79.3%
Q1 - 8:37MIAJames 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST)6
19.4%
8
80.6%
Q1 - 8:42MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
20.7%
6
79.3%
Q1 - 8:43MEMMISS Conley 11' Jump Shot6
21.1%
6
78.9%
Q1 - 9:11MIABosh 9' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)6
21.9%
6
78.1%
Q1 - 9:28MEMAllen 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Randolph 1 AST)6
23.2%
4
76.8%
Q1 - 9:46MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
21.9%
4
78.1%
Q1 - 10:01MEMYoung 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
22.9%
2
77.1%
Q1 - 10:12MIABosh Foul Turnover (P2.T2)2
21.8%
2
78.2%
Q1 - 10:24MEMRandolph Foul Turnover (P1.T2)2
20.4%
2
79.6%
Q1 - 10:42MIAWade 3' Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)2
21.8%
2
78.2%
Q1 - 11:06MEMRandolph 3' Layup (2 PTS)2
22.5%
0
77.5%
Q1 - 11:07MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
21.3%
0
78.7%
Q1 - 11:08MEMMISS Gasol 9' Hook Shot0
20.6%
0
79.4%
Q1 - 11:09MEMGrizzlies Rebound0
21.3%
0
78.7%
Q1 - 11:11MEMDampier BLOCK (1 BLK)0
20.6%
0
79.4%
Q1 - 11:23MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
21.3%
0
78.7%
Q1 - 11:36MEMGrizzlies Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)0
20.3%
0
79.7%
Q1 - 11:44MEMConley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
21.3%
0
78.7%
Q1 - 11:47MEMMISS Randolph 3' Layup0
20.6%
0
79.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Dampier vs. Gasol: Tip to0
21.3%
0
78.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
0.87 43.4%
MIA
1.34 67.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MEM
16
34
47%
MIA
12
21
57%
Midrange
MEM
16
40
40%
MIA
16
29
55%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MEM
1
1.5
10
10%
15%
MIA
12
18.0
19
63%
95%
Free Throws
MEM
18
25
72%
MIA
26
30
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
O. Mayo1968%9.5 / 14
M. Gasol1554%7.5 / 14
Z. Randolph1350%6.5 / 13
G. Vasquez1083%5.0 / 6
S. Young630%3.0 / 10
T. Allen638%3.0 / 8
D. Arthur638%3.0 / 8
L. Powe467%2.0 / 3
M. Conley29%1.0 / 11
S. Battier225%1.0 / 4
H. Haddadi233%1.0 / 3
I. Smith0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2874%14.0 / 19
L. James2771%13.5 / 19
C. Bosh1869%9.0 / 13
M. Bibby17142%8.5 / 6
M. Chalmers750%3.5 / 7
J. Howard675%3.0 / 4
J. Magloire4100%2.0 / 2
M. Miller350%1.5 / 3
J. Jones375%1.5 / 2
E. Dampier250%1.0 / 2
E. House220%1.0 / 5
J. Anthony150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM
81
+17
-13
98
MIA
82
+5
-13
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
0.87 43.4%
MIA
1.34 67.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.3
111.4
MEM 90.4 +33.8
MIA 124.2
Pace
91.5
91.3
MEM 99.8 +8.3
MIA 91.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.2
MEM 14.4 +1.3
MIA 15.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.3%
52.4%
MEM 39.9%
MIA 66.7% +26.8%
TO %
14.5%
14.4%
MEM 12.8% +2.6%
MIA 15.4%
ORB %
28.8%
25.2%
MEM 25.5% +9.4%
MIA 16.1%
FTrt
29.1
36.3
MEM 29.8
MIA 43.5 +13.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.8%
54.1%
MEM 51.5%
MIA 67.5% +16.0%
STL %
10.2%
7.3%
MEM 8.5%
MIA 10.5% +2.0%
BLK %
9.0%
8.5%
MEM 6.0%
MIA 14.9% +8.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.7 and 2.7.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
55.7%
MEM 43.4%
MIA 67.0% +23.6%
Rim FG%
59.4%
64.7%
MEM 47.1%
MIA 57.1% +10.0%
Mid FG%
39.8%
42.2%
MEM 40.0%
MIA 55.2% +15.2%
3P %
33.4%
37.0%
MEM 10.0%
MIA 63.2% +53.2%
FT %
75.0%
76.9%
MEM 72.0%
MIA 86.7% +14.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
41.6%
31.6%
MEM 40.5% +10.0%
MIA 30.4%
Mid Att. %
44.8%
44.9%
MEM 47.6%
MIA 42.0% +5.6%
3P Att. %
13.6%
23.5%
MEM 11.9%
MIA 27.5% +15.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMEMMIA
Possessions9495
Possession Minutes22.624.9
Points85118
Rebounds3840
Assists1727
Steals810
Blocks311
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)13 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (5)5 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (0)35 (2)
Field Goals33-8440-69
At-the-Rim FG16-3412-21
Midrange FG16-4016-29
2-Point FG32-7428-50
3-Point FG1-1012-19
Free Throws18-2526-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 175 · 23
35.0
2
9%
4
10
2
0
4
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-9
11%
0-2
0%
C · 7'1" 255 · 26
33.3
15
54%
7
2
3
1
2
2
1
6
3-4
75%
6-11
55%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 30
26.7
13
50%
9
1
0
1
2
2
4
5
1-2
50%
6-11
55%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 225 · 26
23.9
6
30%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
4-6
67%
1-7
14%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 213 · 29
22.7
6
38%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
24.9
19
68%
3
1
0
0
2
5
1
2
3-3
100%
8-12
67%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 220 · 33
20.5
2
25%
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 23
18.6
6
38%
4
0
1
0
2
3
0
4
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 23
11.7
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 217 · 24
8.6
10
83%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
1-1
100%
F · 6'8" 240 · 27
7.0
4
67%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 265 · 26
7.0
2
33%
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
#22 · F · 6'8" 230 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · F-G · 6'6" 220 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'1" 180 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
85
43%
38
17
8
3
13
0
12
26
18-25
72%
32-74
43%
1-10
10%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.