FinalWin Prob.pScore
764%104
120
1936%99
123
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
118.810189.2
GSW logo GSW
120.610294.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WarriorsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

WarriorsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLGSW
OT1 - 0:00.0GSW120
0%
123
100%
OT1 - 0:02.0ORLMISS Richardson 27' 3PT Jump Shot120
0.8%
123
99.2%
OT1 - 0:04.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:17)120
1.8%
123
98.2%
OT1 - 0:05.0ORLMISS Richardson 3' Layup120
0.8%
123
99.2%
OT1 - 0:06.0ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)120
5.5%
123
94.5%
OT1 - 0:07.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot120
2.3%
123
97.7%
OT1 - 0:11.0GSWCurry Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)120
9.2%
123
90.8%
OT1 - 0:11.0GSWCurry Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)120
9.8%
122
90.2%
OT1 - 0:19.0GSWEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (39 PTS)117
4.3%
121
95.7%
OT1 - 0:19.0GSWEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (38 PTS)117
5.2%
120
94.8%
OT1 - 0:20.0ORLNelson Foul Turnover (P5.T18)117
8.8%
119
91.2%
OT1 - 0:24.0GSWWright Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)117
29.0%
119
71.0%
OT1 - 0:25.0GSWWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)117
12.7%
119
87.3%
OT1 - 0:26.0ORLMISS Richardson Free Throw 3 of 3117
14.7%
119
85.3%
OT1 - 0:26.0ORLRichardson Free Throw 2 of 3 (27 PTS)117
23.3%
119
76.7%
OT1 - 0:26.0ORLMISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 3116
19.7%
119
80.3%
OT1 - 0:38.0GSWCurry 3' Turnaround Bank Shot (20 PTS)116
18.3%
119
81.7%
OT1 - 0:52.0ORLRichardson 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Nelson 8 AST)116
34.4%
117
65.6%
OT1 - 0:58.0GSWWright 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (32 PTS) (Lee 9 AST)113
13.4%
117
86.6%
OT1 - 1:18GSWWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)113
38.5%
114
61.5%
OT1 - 1:19ORLMISS Nelson 18' Fadeaway Jumper113
43.3%
114
56.7%
OT1 - 1:33ORLMagic Rebound113
54.9%
114
45.1%
OT1 - 1:34GSWMISS Curry 22' Jump Shot113
50.4%
114
49.6%
OT1 - 1:53ORLNelson Free Throw 3 of 3 (24 PTS)113
41.1%
114
58.9%
OT1 - 1:53ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 3 (23 PTS)112
39.3%
114
60.7%
OT1 - 1:53ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 3 (22 PTS)111
37.1%
114
62.9%
OT1 - 2:10GSWEllis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (37 PTS) (Lee 8 AST)110
22.2%
114
77.8%
OT1 - 2:26ORLNelson 18' Fadeaway Jumper (21 PTS)110
39.2%
111
60.8%
OT1 - 2:42ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:17)108
32.4%
111
67.6%
OT1 - 2:44GSWMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 1108
30.3%
111
69.7%
OT1 - 2:56ORLRichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)108
42.4%
109
57.6%
OT1 - 3:19GSWWright 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Lee 6 AST)105
25.0%
109
75.0%
OT1 - 3:34ORLHoward 4' Jump Hook Shot (13 PTS)105
47.1%
106
52.9%
OT1 - 3:50GSWCurry 2' Reverse Layup (18 PTS)103
38.1%
106
61.9%
OT1 - 4:04ORLNelson 21' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS)103
46.5%
104
53.5%
OT1 - 4:25GSWEllis 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (32 PTS) (Lee 5 AST)101
37.6%
104
62.4%
OT1 - 4:39GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)101
56.1%
101
43.9%
OT1 - 4:41ORLMISS Turkoglu 22' Pullup Jump Shot101
59.3%
101
40.7%
OT1 - 5:00GSWJump Ball Lee vs. Howard: Tip to Turkoglu101
66.2%
101
33.8%
Q4 - 0:08.0ORLTurkoglu 27' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)101
37.3%
101
62.7%
Q4 - 0:16.0GSWEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)98
11.1%
101
88.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0GSWWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)98
6.5%
101
93.5%
Q4 - 0:35.0ORLMISS Nelson 1' Driving Layup98
8.3%
101
91.7%
Q4 - 0:43.0GSWLee Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)98
19.3%
101
80.7%
Q4 - 0:43.0GSWMISS Lee Free Throw 1 of 298
21.4%
100
78.6%
Q4 - 0:58.0ORLNelson 12' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)98
22.1%
100
77.9%
Q4 - 1:10GSWEllis 17' Turnaround Fadeaway (29 PTS)96
15.6%
100
84.4%
Q4 - 1:23ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)96
26.6%
98
73.4%
Q4 - 1:23ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)95
24.9%
98
75.1%
Q4 - 1:29GSWCurry 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Ellis 11 AST)94
18.8%
98
81.2%
Q4 - 1:46GSWWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)94
41.0%
95
59.0%
Q4 - 1:48ORLMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
45.2%
95
54.8%
Q4 - 1:52ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)94
54.6%
95
45.4%
Q4 - 1:53ORLMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
45.2%
95
54.8%
Q4 - 2:03ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:16)94
56.2%
95
43.8%
Q4 - 2:05ORLMISS Turkoglu 16' Jump Shot94
44.7%
95
55.3%
Q4 - 2:19GSWWright 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Lee 4 AST)94
56.7%
95
43.3%
Q4 - 2:36ORLAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)94
74.6%
92
25.4%
Q4 - 2:56GSWLee Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)94
84.0%
92
16.0%
Q4 - 2:56GSWLee Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)94
85.0%
91
15.0%
Q4 - 3:12ORLNelson 19' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Howard 4 AST)94
88.0%
90
12.0%
Q4 - 3:34GSWCurry 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ellis 10 AST)92
80.5%
90
19.5%
Q4 - 3:43ORLLee STEAL (2 STL)92
89.7%
87
10.3%
Q4 - 3:49ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:16)92
93.0%
87
7.0%
Q4 - 3:50GSWMISS Lee 5' Jump Shot92
92.1%
87
7.9%
Q4 - 4:17ORLRichardson Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST)92
90.0%
87
10.0%
Q4 - 4:32ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:15)90
86.4%
87
13.6%
Q4 - 4:35GSWMISS Lee 14' Jump Shot90
84.9%
87
15.1%
Q4 - 4:48GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
80.7%
87
19.3%
Q4 - 4:49ORLMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
82.7%
87
17.3%
Q4 - 5:02GSWCurry 22' Step Back Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lee 3 AST)90
84.1%
87
15.9%
Q4 - 5:16GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
88.0%
85
12.0%
Q4 - 5:17ORLMISS Howard 8' Jump Shot90
89.1%
85
10.9%
Q4 - 5:35ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:14)90
91.4%
85
8.6%
Q4 - 5:37GSWMISS Radmanovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
90.4%
85
9.6%
Q4 - 5:54GSWLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)90
88.1%
85
11.9%
Q4 - 5:56ORLMISS Anderson 21' Fadeaway Jumper90
89.2%
85
10.8%
Q4 - 6:19ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)90
90.1%
85
9.9%
Q4 - 6:21GSWMISS Curry 19' Step Back Jump Shot90
89.1%
85
10.9%
Q4 - 6:42GSWWARRIORS Rebound90
86.8%
85
13.2%
Q4 - 6:44ORLMISS Turkoglu 28' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot90
87.9%
85
12.1%
Q4 - 7:09GSWRadmanovic 20' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)90
89.1%
85
10.9%
Q4 - 7:32ORLAnderson 2' Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)90
91.4%
83
8.6%
Q4 - 7:51GSWRadmanovic 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lee 2 AST)88
89.2%
83
10.8%
Q4 - 8:10ORLArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)88
92.5%
80
7.5%
Q4 - 8:10ORLArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)87
92.2%
80
7.8%
Q4 - 8:35GSWLaw Foul Turnover (P1.T9)86
90.5%
80
9.5%
Q4 - 8:38GSWWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
88.1%
80
11.9%
Q4 - 8:40ORLMISS Arenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
88.9%
80
11.1%
Q4 - 8:46ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)86
90.5%
80
9.5%
Q4 - 8:49GSWMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
89.8%
80
10.2%
Q4 - 9:06ORLRichardson 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (20 PTS)86
87.0%
80
13.0%
Q4 - 9:29GSWLee 17' Step Back Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ellis 9 AST)84
84.1%
80
15.9%
Q4 - 9:44ORLRichardson 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)84
87.1%
78
12.9%
Q4 - 9:48ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)81
80.6%
78
19.4%
Q4 - 9:52ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 281
77.2%
78
22.8%
Q4 - 9:52ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 281
79.3%
78
20.7%
Q4 - 10:19GSWEllis 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)81
79.9%
78
20.1%
Q4 - 10:40ORLLaw STEAL (1 STL)81
86.2%
75
13.8%
Q4 - 10:42ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)81
88.7%
75
11.3%
Q4 - 10:43ORLMISS Anderson 27' 3PT Jump Shot81
87.0%
75
13.0%
Q4 - 10:56GSWEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)81
88.8%
75
11.2%
Q4 - 11:15GSWLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
85.4%
75
14.6%
Q4 - 11:16ORLMISS Richardson 3PT Fadeaway Jumper81
86.2%
75
13.8%
Q4 - 11:34GSWRadmanovic 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ellis 8 AST)81
87.9%
75
12.1%
Q4 - 11:44ORLEllis STEAL (4 STL)81
91.8%
72
8.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0GSW81
93.3%
72
6.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0GSWWARRIORS Rebound81
91.8%
72
8.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0GSWMISS Williams 6' Floating Jump Shot81
92.9%
72
7.1%
Q3 - 0:13.0ORLTurkoglu 2' Driving Layup (21 PTS)81
91.2%
72
8.8%
Q3 - 0:17.0GSWCurry Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T7)79
89.3%
72
10.7%
Q3 - 0:35.0GSWWARRIORS Rebound79
87.4%
72
12.6%
Q3 - 0:36.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 27' 3PT Jump Shot79
88.0%
72
12.0%
Q3 - 0:43.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)79
89.3%
72
10.7%
Q3 - 0:44.0GSWMISS Curry 27' 3PT Jump Shot79
88.7%
72
11.3%
Q3 - 1:04ORLArenas 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)79
86.8%
72
13.2%
Q3 - 1:20GSWEllis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Curry 12 AST)77
84.2%
72
15.8%
Q3 - 1:40ORLRichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)77
89.0%
69
11.0%
Q3 - 1:51GSWEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)74
84.2%
69
15.8%
Q3 - 2:13GSWWARRIORS Rebound74
80.9%
69
19.1%
Q3 - 2:14ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
81.8%
69
18.2%
Q3 - 2:25ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)74
83.6%
69
16.4%
Q3 - 2:26ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot74
81.8%
69
18.2%
Q3 - 2:36ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)74
83.6%
69
16.4%
Q3 - 2:37GSWMISS Curry 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
82.9%
69
17.1%
Q3 - 2:59ORLRichardson 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)74
81.0%
69
19.0%
Q3 - 3:05ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
78.0%
69
22.0%
Q3 - 3:06GSWMISS Ellis 2' Layup72
77.0%
69
23.0%
Q3 - 3:26ORLTurkoglu 20' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)72
74.6%
69
25.4%
Q3 - 3:47ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)70
71.1%
69
28.9%
Q3 - 3:48GSWMISS Curry 17' Jump Shot70
69.9%
69
30.1%
Q3 - 4:06ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 3 of 3 (17 PTS)70
66.8%
69
33.2%
Q3 - 4:06ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 3 (16 PTS)69
66.0%
69
34.0%
Q3 - 4:06ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 368
65.1%
69
34.9%
Q3 - 4:28GSWWright 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Curry 11 AST)68
63.6%
69
36.4%
Q3 - 4:45ORLBass 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)68
70.6%
66
29.4%
Q3 - 5:02GSWWright 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Ellis 7 AST)66
67.0%
66
33.0%
Q3 - 5:16GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
73.6%
63
26.4%
Q3 - 5:17ORLMISS Richardson 18' Jump Shot66
74.7%
63
25.3%
Q3 - 5:23ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
77.1%
63
22.9%
Q3 - 5:24GSWMISS Curry 1' Layup66
76.1%
63
23.9%
Q3 - 5:44ORLTurkoglu 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)66
73.6%
63
26.4%
Q3 - 6:01GSWWright Alley Oop Layup (17 PTS) (Curry 10 AST)64
70.9%
63
29.1%
Q3 - 6:06ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)64
73.8%
61
26.2%
Q3 - 6:06ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 263
72.7%
61
27.3%
Q3 - 6:17ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)63
74.0%
61
26.0%
Q3 - 6:18GSWMISS Wright 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
73.0%
61
27.0%
Q3 - 6:39ORLRichardson 9' Running Hook Shot (13 PTS)63
70.5%
61
29.5%
Q3 - 6:47ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
67.3%
61
32.7%
Q3 - 6:48GSWMISS Lee 2' Slam Dunk61
66.1%
61
33.9%
Q3 - 6:58ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)61
63.3%
61
36.7%
Q3 - 7:17GSWCurry 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ellis 6 AST)61
67.1%
61
32.9%
Q3 - 7:21GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
73.4%
58
26.6%
Q3 - 7:24ORLLee BLOCK (1 BLK)61
74.4%
58
25.6%
Q3 - 7:46GSWWright 1' Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Curry 9 AST)61
76.5%
58
23.5%
Q3 - 7:49GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
79.0%
56
21.0%
Q3 - 7:50GSWMISS Ellis 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
80.8%
56
19.2%
Q3 - 8:00GSWLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
79.0%
56
21.0%
Q3 - 8:01ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
79.6%
56
20.4%
Q3 - 8:15GSWEllis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Curry 8 AST)61
81.4%
56
18.6%
Q3 - 8:38ORLNelson 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS)61
85.4%
53
14.6%
Q3 - 9:00GSWLee 1' Layup (11 PTS)59
83.6%
53
16.4%
Q3 - 9:03GSWLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
85.2%
51
14.8%
Q3 - 9:05GSWMISS Wright Layup59
86.4%
51
13.6%
Q3 - 9:10GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
85.2%
51
14.8%
Q3 - 9:11ORLMISS Richardson 21' Jump Shot59
85.8%
51
14.2%
Q3 - 9:27ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)59
87.0%
51
13.0%
Q3 - 9:29GSWMISS Wright 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
86.5%
51
13.5%
Q3 - 9:34GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
85.2%
51
14.8%
Q3 - 9:36ORLMISS Nelson 23' Jump Shot59
85.8%
51
14.2%
Q3 - 9:47GSWWright 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ellis 5 AST)59
87.0%
51
13.0%
Q3 - 9:58ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)59
90.0%
48
10.0%
Q3 - 10:15GSWLee 2' Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Ellis 4 AST)59
90.9%
48
9.1%
Q3 - 10:24ORLBass Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)59
92.0%
46
8.0%
Q3 - 10:43GSWWright 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Curry 7 AST)59
93.0%
46
7.0%
Q3 - 10:54ORLTurkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)59
94.7%
43
5.3%
Q3 - 11:13ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
92.8%
43
7.2%
Q3 - 11:14GSWMISS Curry 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
92.4%
43
7.6%
Q3 - 11:32GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
91.7%
43
8.3%
Q3 - 11:33ORLMISS Richardson 1' Reverse Layup56
92.0%
43
8.0%
Q3 - 11:51GSWLee Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)56
92.8%
43
7.2%
Q3 - 11:51GSWMISS Lee Free Throw 1 of 256
92.9%
42
7.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL56
92.7%
42
7.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound56
93.6%
42
6.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Nelson 18' Pullup Jump Shot56
93.0%
42
7.0%
Q2 - 0:11.0GSWCurry 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)56
93.1%
42
6.9%
Q2 - 0:30.0ORLAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)56
94.8%
39
5.2%
Q2 - 0:30.0ORLMISS Anderson Free Throw 1 of 255
94.7%
39
5.3%
Q2 - 0:43.0GSWCurry Foul Turnover (P3.T5)55
94.7%
39
5.3%
Q2 - 0:47.0GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
94.1%
39
5.9%
Q2 - 0:48.0ORLMISS Nelson 13' Floating Jump Shot55
94.3%
39
5.7%
Q2 - 1:03GSWEllis Slam Dunk (18 PTS) (Curry 6 AST)55
94.4%
39
5.6%
Q2 - 1:08ORLEllis STEAL (3 STL)55
95.2%
37
4.8%
Q2 - 1:14ORLMagic Rebound55
95.7%
37
4.3%
Q2 - 1:14ORLMISS Howard 8' Jump Hook Shot55
95.4%
37
4.6%
Q2 - 1:33GSWLee 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Curry 5 AST)55
95.7%
37
4.3%
Q2 - 1:45ORLEllis STEAL (2 STL)55
96.3%
35
3.7%
Q2 - 1:47GSWCurry Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)55
96.6%
35
3.4%
Q2 - 1:57ORLNelson 21' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)55
96.3%
35
3.7%
Q2 - 2:19ORLMagic Rebound53
95.5%
35
4.5%
Q2 - 2:19GSWMISS Curry 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
95.3%
35
4.7%
Q2 - 2:24GSWWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
94.9%
35
5.1%
Q2 - 2:25ORLMISS Anderson 27' 3PT Jump Shot53
95.1%
35
4.9%
Q2 - 2:41GSWWright 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)53
95.5%
35
4.5%
Q2 - 2:53ORLRichardson Free Throw 3 of 3 (11 PTS)53
96.5%
32
3.5%
Q2 - 2:53ORLRichardson Free Throw 2 of 3 (10 PTS)52
96.4%
32
3.6%
Q2 - 2:53ORLMISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 351
96.3%
32
3.7%
Q2 - 2:58ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
96.0%
32
4.0%
Q2 - 3:00GSWMISS Lee 16' Jump Shot51
95.9%
32
4.1%
Q2 - 3:10ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)51
95.3%
32
4.7%
Q2 - 3:10ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)50
95.1%
32
4.9%
Q2 - 3:14ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
94.8%
32
5.2%
Q2 - 3:18GSWMISS Thornton 8' Jump Bank Shot49
94.6%
32
5.4%
Q2 - 3:29ORLRichardson 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)49
94.1%
32
5.9%
Q2 - 3:38ORLMagic Rebound46
92.7%
32
7.3%
Q2 - 3:39ORLMISS Nelson 18' Jump Shot46
91.9%
32
8.1%
Q2 - 3:57ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
92.7%
32
7.3%
Q2 - 3:59GSWMISS Amundson 5' Turnaround Hook Shot46
92.4%
32
7.6%
Q2 - 4:00GSWAmundson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)46
91.6%
32
8.4%
Q2 - 4:03GSWMISS Amundson Tip Shot46
92.0%
32
8.0%
Q2 - 4:03GSWAmundson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
91.3%
32
8.7%
Q2 - 4:03GSWMISS Lee 18' Jump Shot46
92.0%
32
8.0%
Q2 - 4:20ORLAnderson 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)46
91.3%
32
8.7%
Q2 - 4:37ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)43
89.3%
32
10.7%
Q2 - 4:38GSWMISS Thornton 9' Jump Shot43
88.9%
32
11.1%
Q2 - 5:06ORLHoward 5' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)43
87.9%
32
12.1%
Q2 - 5:23GSWEllis 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)41
86.6%
32
13.4%
Q2 - 5:40GSWAmundson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
89.1%
29
10.9%
Q2 - 5:41ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot41
89.4%
29
10.6%
Q2 - 5:48ORLArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
90.2%
29
9.8%
Q2 - 5:50GSWMISS Thornton 18' Pullup Jump Shot41
89.9%
29
10.1%
Q2 - 6:03ORLNelson 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)41
88.4%
29
11.6%
Q2 - 6:23GSWEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)38
86.1%
29
13.9%
Q2 - 6:23GSWEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)38
86.4%
28
13.6%
Q2 - 6:54ORLNelson 19' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)38
87.3%
27
12.7%
Q2 - 7:00ORLMagic Rebound36
86.2%
27
13.8%
Q2 - 7:00ORLMISS Bass 11' Jump Shot36
85.1%
27
14.9%
Q2 - 7:11ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
85.9%
27
14.1%
Q2 - 7:14GSWMISS Ellis 15' Jump Shot36
85.5%
27
14.5%
Q2 - 7:21GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
84.4%
27
15.6%
Q2 - 7:23ORLEllis BLOCK (1 BLK)36
84.9%
27
15.1%
Q2 - 7:46ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
85.9%
27
14.1%
Q2 - 7:48ORLMISS Richardson 2' Layup36
84.9%
27
15.1%
Q2 - 7:56ORLBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)36
85.9%
27
14.1%
Q2 - 7:57ORLMISS Arenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
84.9%
27
15.1%
Q2 - 8:05ORLArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
85.6%
27
14.4%
Q2 - 8:07GSWMISS Radmanovic 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot36
85.1%
27
14.9%
Q2 - 8:19ORLRadmanovic STEAL (2 STL)36
84.2%
27
15.8%
Q2 - 8:38GSWEllis 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Thornton 1 AST)36
85.6%
27
14.4%
Q2 - 8:55ORLBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)36
88.0%
24
12.0%
Q2 - 8:55ORLBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)35
87.9%
24
12.1%
Q2 - 9:06ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
86.5%
24
13.5%
Q2 - 9:07GSWMISS Udoh 9' Jump Hook Shot34
86.1%
24
13.9%
Q2 - 9:20ORLArenas 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)34
85.2%
24
14.8%
Q2 - 9:47GSWUdoh 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)31
82.4%
24
17.6%
Q2 - 9:58GSWUdoh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)31
83.8%
22
16.2%
Q2 - 10:00GSWMISS Ellis 8' Jump Shot31
84.8%
22
15.2%
Q2 - 10:22ORLArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)31
83.4%
22
16.6%
Q2 - 10:22ORLArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)30
83.1%
22
16.9%
Q2 - 10:40GSWUdoh 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Radmanovic 1 AST)29
82.1%
22
17.9%
Q2 - 11:03ORLAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
83.1%
20
16.9%
Q2 - 11:03ORLAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
82.9%
20
17.1%
Q2 - 11:05ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
81.7%
20
18.3%
Q2 - 11:06ORLMISS Arenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
80.6%
20
19.4%
Q2 - 11:11ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
81.7%
20
18.3%
Q2 - 11:13GSWMISS Law 3' Layup27
81.2%
20
18.8%
Q2 - 11:25ORLRadmanovic STEAL (1 STL)27
80.1%
20
19.9%
Q2 - 11:36ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
81.7%
20
18.3%
Q2 - 11:38GSWMISS Ellis 22' Step Back Jump Shot27
81.2%
20
18.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL27
80.1%
20
19.9%
Q1 - 0:04.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)27
81.1%
20
18.9%
Q1 - 0:04.0GSWMISS Ellis 22' Jump Shot27
80.8%
20
19.2%
Q1 - 0:27.0ORLTurkoglu 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)27
79.9%
20
20.1%
Q1 - 0:37.0GSWEllis 20' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)25
78.0%
20
22.0%
Q1 - 0:54.0GSWLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
79.9%
18
20.1%
Q1 - 0:55.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 225
80.1%
18
19.9%
Q1 - 0:55.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 225
80.9%
18
19.1%
Q1 - 1:08GSWEllis 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)25
80.9%
18
19.1%
Q1 - 1:16GSWUdoh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)25
82.7%
16
17.3%
Q1 - 1:17GSWMISS Udoh 16' Jump Shot25
83.4%
16
16.6%
Q1 - 1:34ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)25
82.7%
16
17.3%
Q1 - 1:42ORLArenas Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)22
79.4%
16
20.6%
Q1 - 2:03GSWWright 2' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Curry 4 AST)21
77.9%
16
22.1%
Q1 - 2:07ORLLee STEAL (1 STL)21
79.6%
14
20.4%
Q1 - 2:13GSWUdoh Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)21
80.9%
14
19.1%
Q1 - 2:14GSWUdoh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
79.6%
14
20.4%
Q1 - 2:15GSWMISS Lee 6' Jump Shot21
80.5%
14
19.5%
Q1 - 2:31ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)21
79.6%
14
20.4%
Q1 - 2:31ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)20
79.0%
14
21.0%
Q1 - 2:46ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
77.9%
14
22.1%
Q1 - 2:47GSWMISS Ellis 20' Jump Shot19
77.4%
14
22.6%
Q1 - 3:09ORLHoward 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)19
76.4%
14
23.6%
Q1 - 3:23GSWWright 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)17
74.8%
14
25.2%
Q1 - 3:29GSWWARRIORS Rebound17
76.4%
12
23.6%
Q1 - 3:29GSWMISS Ellis 5' Jump Shot17
77.5%
12
22.5%
Q1 - 3:49ORLRichardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)17
76.4%
12
23.6%
Q1 - 3:55ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
73.0%
12
27.0%
Q1 - 3:57GSWMISS Wright 15' Jump Shot14
72.4%
12
27.6%
Q1 - 4:10ORLEllis STEAL (1 STL)14
71.1%
12
28.9%
Q1 - 4:25ORLBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
73.0%
12
27.0%
Q1 - 4:27GSWMISS Biedrins 5' Jump Hook Shot14
72.4%
12
27.6%
Q1 - 4:47ORLTurkoglu 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)14
71.1%
12
28.9%
Q1 - 5:02GSWCurry 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
69.1%
12
30.9%
Q1 - 5:10GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
70.7%
10
29.3%
Q1 - 5:11ORLBiedrins BLOCK (1 BLK)12
71.3%
10
28.7%
Q1 - 5:25ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
72.7%
10
27.3%
Q1 - 5:27GSWMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
72.1%
10
27.9%
Q1 - 5:34ORLCurry STEAL (3 STL)12
70.7%
10
29.3%
Q1 - 5:38GSWCurry Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)12
72.7%
10
27.3%
Q1 - 6:05ORLRichardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bass 1 AST)12
70.9%
10
29.1%
Q1 - 6:22GSWLee Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)9
67.4%
10
32.6%
Q1 - 6:33ORLCurry STEAL (2 STL)9
69.1%
8
30.9%
Q1 - 6:50GSWEllis 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Curry 3 AST)9
70.9%
8
29.1%
Q1 - 6:56ORLCurry STEAL (1 STL)9
72.5%
6
27.5%
Q1 - 7:01ORLBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
74.3%
6
25.7%
Q1 - 7:02GSWMISS Ellis 20' Jump Shot9
73.8%
6
26.2%
Q1 - 7:27ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)9
72.6%
6
27.4%
Q1 - 7:45ORLBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
74.3%
6
25.7%
Q1 - 7:46GSWMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
73.8%
6
26.2%
Q1 - 7:58GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
72.6%
6
27.4%
Q1 - 8:00ORLMISS Richardson Layup9
73.1%
6
26.9%
Q1 - 8:10ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
74.4%
6
25.6%
Q1 - 8:11GSWMISS Lee 7' Turnaround Hook Shot9
74.0%
6
26.0%
Q1 - 8:22GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
72.9%
6
27.1%
Q1 - 8:23ORLMISS Bass 17' Jump Shot9
73.4%
6
26.6%
Q1 - 8:37ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
74.4%
6
25.6%
Q1 - 8:37GSWMISS Curry 7' Jump Bank Shot9
73.9%
6
26.1%
Q1 - 8:55ORLHoward 2' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)9
72.9%
6
27.1%
Q1 - 9:05GSWEllis 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Curry 2 AST)7
71.6%
6
28.4%
Q1 - 9:10GSWWARRIORS Rebound7
73.1%
4
26.9%
Q1 - 9:10GSWMISS Curry 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
74.1%
4
25.9%
Q1 - 9:20GSWLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
73.1%
4
26.9%
Q1 - 9:22ORLMISS Turkoglu 20' Jump Shot7
73.6%
4
26.4%
Q1 - 9:26ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
74.6%
4
25.4%
Q1 - 9:27ORLMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
73.6%
4
26.4%
Q1 - 9:33GSWLee Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)7
74.6%
4
25.4%
Q1 - 9:46ORLTurkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)7
73.1%
4
26.9%
Q1 - 9:59GSWLee 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Curry 1 AST)4
70.0%
4
30.0%
Q1 - 10:12GSWWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
71.3%
2
28.7%
Q1 - 10:14ORLMISS Bass 17' Jump Shot4
71.8%
2
28.2%
Q1 - 10:19ORLBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
73.0%
2
27.0%
Q1 - 10:20ORLMISS Howard 7' Hook Shot4
71.8%
2
28.2%
Q1 - 10:38GSWBiedrins 1' Layup (2 PTS)4
73.0%
2
27.0%
Q1 - 10:40GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
74.2%
0
25.8%
Q1 - 10:41GSWMISS Lee 19' Jump Shot4
75.3%
0
24.7%
Q1 - 11:02ORLNelson 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
74.1%
0
25.9%
Q1 - 11:13ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
72.7%
0
27.3%
Q1 - 11:14GSWMISS Curry 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
72.3%
0
27.7%
Q1 - 11:36ORLBass 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
71.4%
0
28.6%
Q1 - 12:00GSWJump Ball Lee vs. Howard: Tip to Bass0
70.0%
0
30.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.19 59.4%
GSW
1.22 60.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
7
16
44%
GSW
13
23
57%
Midrange
ORL
18
36
50%
GSW
12
35
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
15
22.5
32
47%
70%
GSW
21
31.5
35
60%
90%
Free Throws
ORL
25
35
71%
GSW
10
13
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Richardson3079%15.0 / 19
H. Turkoglu2475%12.0 / 16
J. Nelson2457%12.0 / 21
D. Howard1346%6.5 / 14
G. Arenas1071%5.0 / 7
R. Anderson850%4.0 / 8
B. Bass643%3.0 / 7
Q. Richardson542%2.5 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ellis3975%19.5 / 26
D. Wright3294%16.0 / 17
S. Curry2255%11.0 / 20
D. Lee1647%8.0 / 17
V. Radmanovic880%4.0 / 5
E. Udoh450%2.0 / 4
A. Biedrins250%1.0 / 2
A. Law0-0.0 / 1
A. Thornton0-0.0 / 3
R. Williams0-0.0 / 2
L. Amundson0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
83
+18
-18
101
GSW
90
+11
-12
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.19 59.4%
GSW
1.22 60.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
108.4
ORL 118.8
GSW 120.6 +1.8
Pace
91.2
94.8
ORL 89.2
GSW 94.8 +5.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
15.1
ORL 16.1
GSW 15.2 +0.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.1%
51.0%
ORL 56.5%
GSW 60.8% +4.3%
TO %
15.7%
14.8%
ORL 15.3%
GSW 10.8% +4.5%
ORB %
26.1%
26.6%
ORL 33.3% +14.7%
GSW 18.6%
FTrt
32.8
24.1
ORL 41.7 +27.7
GSW 14.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.3%
56.8%
ORL 57.5%
GSW 76.1% +18.6%
STL %
7.3%
9.4%
ORL 9.9%
GSW 11.8% +1.9%
BLK %
7.5%
7.8%
ORL 12.1% +6.3%
GSW 5.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.13 and 2.13.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.8%
53.2%
ORL 59.4%
GSW 60.9% +1.5%
Rim FG%
61.7%
59.3%
ORL 43.8%
GSW 56.5% +12.7%
Mid FG%
40.4%
38.7%
ORL 50.0% +15.7%
GSW 34.3%
3P %
36.6%
39.2%
ORL 46.9%
GSW 60.0% +13.1%
FT %
69.2%
76.1%
ORL 71.4%
GSW 76.9% +5.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.6%
35.5%
ORL 19.0%
GSW 24.7% +5.7%
Mid Att. %
34.5%
39.7%
ORL 42.9%
GSW 37.6% +5.2%
3P Att. %
32.8%
24.8%
ORL 38.1% +0.5%
GSW 37.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.63 and 2.63.
Game TotalsORLGSW
Possessions101102
Possession Minutes27.225.8
Points120123
Rebounds4834
Assists2335
Steals1012
Blocks73
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (5)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (2)26 (3)
Field Goals40-8446-93
At-the-Rim FG7-1613-23
Midrange FG18-3612-35
2-Point FG25-5225-58
3-Point FG15-3221-35
Free Throws25-3510-13
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 265 · 25
46.3
13
46%
21
4
1
2
2
2
4
17
5-10
50%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 225 · 30
41.8
30
79%
2
3
1
1
2
3
0
2
3-6
50%
3-7
43%
7-11
64%
F · 6'10" 220 · 32
40.7
24
75%
2
4
5
2
3
1
0
2
2-3
67%
5-8
63%
4-7
57%
G · 6'0" 190 · 29
39.4
24
57%
5
8
2
0
5
3
2
3
5-5
100%
8-15
53%
1-4
25%
F · 6'8" 250 · 26
23.1
6
43%
5
1
0
0
2
2
2
3
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 240 · 23
29.6
8
50%
7
3
0
2
2
0
2
5
3-4
75%
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
F · 6'6" 228 · 31
26.9
5
42%
4
0
1
0
2
1
3
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-2
50%
G · 6'4" 215 · 29
17.2
10
71%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
5-5
100%
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27
F · 6'10" 234 · 23
F · 6'10" 255 · 33
G · 6'1" 190 · 29
#21 · C · 6'10" 275 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
120
59%
48
23
10
7
18
0
13
35
25-35
71%
25-52
48%
15-32
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.