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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 11, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Pistons23%9494
8Thunder77%104104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 31.0
37.8
30.4
15
50%
1
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
5-13
6-12
38%
48%
1-1
100%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 20.8
37.8
29.5
14
65%
10
5
1
1
0
1
5
5
4-4
100%
5-9
5-9
56%
54%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 31.8
28.6
23.3
9
39%
9
5
1
1
0
2
3
6
2-6
33%
2-7
3-7
29%
45%
1-2
50%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.5
15.8
16.6
8
80%
4
1
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
4-5
2-5
80%
51%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.9
13.9
23.3
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
3-7
-
46%
0-1
0%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 33.1
34.1
26.7
20
53%
1
2
1
1
0
3
1
0
1-2
50%
8-15
4-10
53%
45%
1-3
33%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 24.9
32.2
25.6
16
90%
3
6
0
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
4-6
4-9
67%
44%
2-2
100%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 22.8
19.4
23.5
4
25%
5
1
0
1
1
1
3
2
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
46%
0-1
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 26.5
10.2
17.4
5
50%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.1
10.2
15.4
3
104%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
52%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 36.5
13.1
1
1-2
48%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.2
9.2
0
1-3
47%
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.1
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 24.0
Terrico White
G · 6'5" 213 · 21.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.4
39.4
37.8
24
67%
9
5
3
1
0
0
2
7
11-11
100%
5-10
7-13
50%
52%
1-3
33%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.3
33.3
34.2
13
41%
4
11
1
1
0
3
1
3
2-4
50%
4-12
7-15
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.9
31.9
27.0
5
50%
3
1
0
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
53%
1-2
50%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 21.5
29.6
28.9
16
69%
8
1
2
0
2
1
3
5
4-6
67%
6-9
4-7
67%
57%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 33.5
15.8
16.1
4
40%
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
52%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 21.5
31.4
30.1
22
86%
0
3
3
1
1
2
0
0
4-4
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
51%
4-6
67%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.4
25.8
25.1
10
71%
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
5-7
2-4
71%
57%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.9
14.8
17.2
6
75%
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
2-4
50%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.7
14.7
12.2
4
41%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 22.4
3.4
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
56%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 29.2
2.1
0
0-0
43%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 26.8
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 26.3
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.