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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 11, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Jazz51%103101
25Timberwolves49%102122
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 26.2
30.6
36.4
9
32%
9
3
0
1
4
1
2
7
1-2
50%
4-13
10-19
31%
52%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.1
24.6
15.7
8
51%
1
3
2
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 34.5
21.0
35.6
6
60%
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
48%
2-2
100%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.0
21.0
31.3
8
46%
0
2
0
1
0
4
0
0
2-4
50%
3-5
4-9
60%
47%
0-2
0%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 23.4
16.8
10.4
14
76%
5
2
1
0
1
0
2
3
2-5
40%
6-7
2-3
86%
54%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.0
28.8
27.7
15
55%
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
3-9
4-9
33%
49%
2-3
67%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 31.7
27.0
19.7
10
74%
1
9
1
1
1
4
0
1
3-4
75%
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
1-2
50%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 21.0
27.0
18.0
18
101%
3
1
1
0
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
5-5
100%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 19.7
20.1
17.1
9
67%
8
0
0
0
1
2
3
5
3-4
75%
3-5
3-5
60%
52%
0-0
-
Marcus Cousin
F · 6'11" 255 · 24.2
13.0
2.5
4
67%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
51%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 24.2
10.1
7.2
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 26.1
17.8
1
4-7
54%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.7
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 31.8
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 35.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.2
30.5
28.4
23
58%
3
3
0
1
1
3
3
0
3-4
75%
7-16
6-13
44%
49%
2-2
100%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 22.5
30.2
31.4
24
87%
12
2
0
1
1
1
2
10
4-4
100%
7-10
4-9
70%
50%
2-2
100%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 25.7
26.4
15.4
14
50%
6
4
2
0
2
2
1
5
0-2
0%
7-13
2-5
54%
49%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.1
24.3
27.9
6
60%
4
7
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
4-7
75%
49%
0-1
0%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.7
23.8
15.3
6
150%
2
2
1
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
48%
2-2
100%
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.1
23.7
16.7
11
101%
3
4
2
1
0
3
0
3
1-1
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
45%
2-2
100%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.8
17.8
21.6
9
47%
4
2
0
1
1
0
1
3
5-6
83%
2-4
2-3
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.3
17.7
30.5
13
82%
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
4-5
3-7
80%
44%
1-2
50%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 24.3
17.5
18.2
0
0%
2
3
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-1
0%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 25.2
15.1
11.3
9
59%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
5-6
83%
2-5
2-3
40%
53%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 21.7
6.6
15.9
2
17%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-6
3-6
17%
46%
0-0
-
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 24.3
6.6
13.7
5
83%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
1-2
50%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 25.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.