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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 11, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Pacers55%10198
26Raptors45%100108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 25.3
37.8
29.5
20
54%
7
1
2
1
0
0
3
4
6-8
75%
7-15
6-13
47%
47%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 27.9
35.9
31.4
25
61%
7
1
2
1
0
3
2
5
8-8
100%
4-12
4-9
33%
48%
3-5
60%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.5
33.0
22.7
13
53%
2
7
2
1
1
1
0
2
2-3
67%
4-10
3-7
40%
50%
1-1
100%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.9
31.5
23.8
10
48%
7
1
1
1
0
3
3
4
1-1
100%
3-7
3-5
43%
56%
1-3
33%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 24.2
20.8
24.9
4
37%
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-1
0%
2-5
5-9
40%
49%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 24.0
23.1
17.1
7
79%
3
2
1
1
0
3
3
0
1-1
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
57%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25.7
16.8
21.8
5
50%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
1-4
25%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.4
15.0
19.3
7
44%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
48%
1-2
50%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 34.1
14.0
14.8
2
53%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-2
0%
1-1
1-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.2
12.1
15.6
5
73%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
50%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 20.5
12.0
0
2-3
50%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 34.2
7.8
0
0-0
50%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.7
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 28.0
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 30.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.8
34.3
28.9
12
82%
13
2
0
1
2
2
4
9
2-3
67%
5-6
4-7
83%
57%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 25.4
30.9
34.7
8
24%
5
2
0
1
2
1
2
3
6-8
75%
1-7
7-14
14%
49%
0-6
0%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 21.6
30.3
32.9
16
54%
2
2
1
1
1
4
1
1
2-4
50%
7-12
7-15
58%
50%
0-1
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.4
30.2
30.4
13
57%
2
8
2
1
0
1
2
0
3-3
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
50%
0-1
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.1
25.4
18.2
13
94%
4
3
1
1
2
1
0
4
1-2
50%
6-6
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 30.8
26.3
27.8
1
28%
16
3
0
1
0
1
6
10
1-4
25%
0-0
2-4
-
46%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 28.3
26.1
21.0
29
64%
3
2
1
1
0
2
1
2
3-4
75%
10-17
3-6
59%
51%
2-4
50%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.6
17.8
20.1
7
58%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
45%
1-3
33%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 24.7
15.0
19.4
7
60%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
2-4
3-6
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 27.2
3.5
7.9
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 22.8
3.8
0
1-1
51%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.8
3.6
0
0-1
51%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 23.9
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 26.2
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.