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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 11, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Trail Blazers74%9692
28Bobcats26%8897
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 25.6
42.7
39.7
15
39%
10
2
1
1
3
3
5
5
3-5
60%
6-16
9-17
38%
51%
0-1
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 35.0
34.3
31.4
15
60%
0
9
2
1
0
3
0
0
1-1
100%
7-11
5-9
64%
49%
0-1
0%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 24.4
31.0
30.3
20
78%
1
2
3
1
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
4-5
3-6
80%
50%
3-6
50%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 37.0
23.1
19.8
0
0%
11
1
0
1
2
1
1
10
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 22.2
20.0
25.7
13
59%
7
0
1
1
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
5-8
2-4
63%
55%
1-3
33%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.6
30.7
30.9
13
67%
9
0
1
1
2
5
1
8
2-4
50%
1-2
4-8
50%
48%
3-6
50%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 26.6
27.4
21.9
9
41%
1
5
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
49%
1-4
25%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 25.9
17.0
20.2
2
20%
0
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-4
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.6
13.7
14.6
5
51%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 32.3
2.5
0
0-0
41%
Armon Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.0
1.3
0
0-0
46%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 21.7
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 23.1
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 23.3
37.4
30.8
16
52%
2
5
1
1
0
3
0
2
7-8
88%
3-10
3-7
30%
47%
1-2
50%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 32.9
36.0
18.9
29
52%
10
3
1
1
1
5
4
6
6-6
100%
7-18
3-6
39%
46%
3-7
43%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.3
34.2
33.0
12
44%
2
1
3
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
4-11
5-11
36%
47%
0-1
0%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 29.0
23.5
27.4
5
43%
6
1
1
1
0
1
1
5
3-4
75%
1-4
3-6
25%
51%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 28.9
21.0
28.3
5
63%
4
1
0
1
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
54%
1-1
100%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.5
28.0
21.6
16
74%
9
1
2
1
2
1
5
4
4-4
100%
6-9
4-7
67%
51%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.6
23.5
8.4
2
25%
6
0
0
0
1
0
0
6
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.9
19.0
18.7
11
80%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
5-6
2-5
83%
46%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 25.5
10.3
19.1
1
27%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
3-6
0%
48%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 30.5
7.1
8.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.4
21.8
1
2-5
42%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 24.8
4.9
0
0-1
47%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.7
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 31.4
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 29.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.