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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 10, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Lakers38%9488
1Heat62%9894
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 30.7
39.7
34.5
20
55%
5
1
1
1
1
1
2
3
4-5
80%
8-15
6-12
53%
52%
0-1
0%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 32.5
39.5
30.9
24
52%
2
2
1
1
0
3
0
2
4-5
80%
4-13
7-14
31%
48%
4-8
50%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 23.4
36.9
30.2
13
85%
12
2
2
0
1
2
3
9
5-6
83%
4-5
5-8
80%
55%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 31.3
35.8
27.4
9
41%
9
6
3
1
0
1
5
4
0-0
-
3-10
2-5
30%
44%
1-1
100%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 36.6
32.6
27.2
6
51%
0
4
1
1
0
3
0
0
1-2
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
41%
1-1
100%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.3
19.5
26.7
11
46%
5
1
0
1
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
3-9
4-7
33%
53%
1-2
50%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 31.0
13.0
19.4
2
53%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-1
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 31.0
12.2
14.1
3
40%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
0-1
0%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 25.3
10.9
20.0
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.9
6.8
0
1-1
43%
Derrick Caracter
F · 6'9" 275 · 22.8
2.2
0
0-1
48%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 35.6
1.8
0
0-1
43%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 21.4
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 37.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 26.2
42.3
39.6
19
47%
8
9
1
1
0
1
1
7
5-7
71%
7-14
8-15
50%
54%
0-3
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 29.1
39.5
37.3
20
43%
5
5
4
1
1
4
3
2
1-1
100%
8-19
8-16
42%
52%
1-4
25%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 27.0
37.5
37.4
24
61%
9
0
0
1
0
4
4
5
4-6
67%
10-17
6-12
59%
51%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.8
23.6
29.3
9
50%
5
0
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
50%
3-6
50%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.7
18.6
17.1
0
0%
3
1
0
0
1
3
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
59%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.8
24.5
8.1
4
40%
3
0
2
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
48%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.8
22.3
18.8
6
100%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
2-3
67%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.1
16.4
25.6
12
77%
7
0
0
0
0
1
3
4
2-4
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
51%
2-3
67%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 38.1
10.5
2.5
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.6
4.9
11.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.8
8.2
0
1-1
44%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.4
6.3
0
0-0
39%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.7
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 23.0
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.