for complete access.
All Games Thursday, March 10, 2011
FinalWin Prob.pScore
2
Lakers
38%94
88
1
Heat
62%98
94
ORTG#PossPace
LAL logo LAL
106.08382.7
MIA logo MIA
111.98484.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventLALMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA88
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0LALMISS Gasol 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0LALBynum REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)88
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 0:10.0LALMISS Bryant 20' Jump Shot88
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)88
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)88
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAHEAT Rebound88
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 0:20.0LALMISS Bryant 28' 3PT Jump Shot88
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)88
4.2%
92
95.8%
Q4 - 0:40.0LALBryant Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)88
2.8%
92
97.2%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (20 PTS)88
6.8%
92
93.2%
Q4 - 1:02MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)88
14.9%
90
85.1%
Q4 - 1:04LALMISS World Peace 2' Layup88
18.1%
90
81.9%
Q4 - 1:05LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)88
26.3%
90
73.7%
Q4 - 1:06LALWade BLOCK (1 BLK)88
18.3%
90
81.7%
Q4 - 1:08LALLakers Rebound88
26.7%
90
73.3%
Q4 - 1:09LALMISS World Peace 22' Jump Shot88
18.8%
90
81.2%
Q4 - 1:27MIAJames 3' Running Dunk (17 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)88
28.9%
90
71.1%
Q4 - 1:29LALWade STEAL (4 STL)88
40.0%
88
60.0%
Q4 - 1:44LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)88
53.6%
88
46.4%
Q4 - 1:45LALMISS Gasol 3' Layup88
43.9%
88
56.1%
Q4 - 1:56LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)88
53.3%
88
46.7%
Q4 - 1:57MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot88
49.2%
88
50.8%
Q4 - 2:26LALBryant 28' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (World Peace 6 AST)88
38.9%
88
61.1%
Q4 - 2:50MIAWade 3' Reverse Layup (18 PTS) (James 9 AST)85
22.4%
88
77.6%
Q4 - 2:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)85
29.3%
86
70.7%
Q4 - 2:55MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot85
38.5%
86
61.5%
Q4 - 3:19MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)85
29.0%
86
71.0%
Q4 - 3:21LALMISS Bryant 16' Fadeaway Jumper85
33.1%
86
66.9%
Q4 - 3:47MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (24 PTS)85
41.3%
86
58.7%
Q4 - 4:08LALBryant 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Fisher 4 AST)85
50.1%
84
49.9%
Q4 - 4:26MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS)82
32.1%
84
67.9%
Q4 - 4:41MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)82
40.5%
82
59.5%
Q4 - 4:42LALMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 182
41.8%
82
58.2%
Q4 - 4:57MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)80
32.1%
82
67.9%
Q4 - 5:07MIABosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)80
40.6%
80
59.4%
Q4 - 5:08LALMISS World Peace 10' Fadeaway Jumper80
43.3%
80
56.7%
Q4 - 5:24LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)80
49.6%
80
50.4%
Q4 - 5:25MIAMISS Ilgauskas 13' Turnaround Jump Shot80
46.8%
80
53.2%
Q4 - 5:50LALGasol 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Bryant 2 AST)80
40.6%
80
59.4%
Q4 - 6:07LALBynum REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)78
33.8%
80
66.2%
Q4 - 6:08MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot78
31.6%
80
68.4%
Q4 - 6:30MIABibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
26.9%
80
73.1%
Q4 - 6:31LALMISS Gasol 15' Jump Shot78
28.9%
80
71.1%
Q4 - 6:50LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)78
33.8%
80
66.2%
Q4 - 6:51MIAMISS James 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup78
31.6%
80
68.4%
Q4 - 7:08MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
27.7%
80
72.3%
Q4 - 7:09LALMISS Bynum Free Throw 2 of 278
28.5%
80
71.5%
Q4 - 7:09LALBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)78
32.1%
80
67.9%
Q4 - 7:09LALLakers Rebound77
28.2%
80
71.8%
Q4 - 7:10LALMISS Odom 3PT Jump Shot77
24.1%
80
75.9%
Q4 - 7:28MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)77
28.1%
80
71.9%
Q4 - 7:28MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)77
29.1%
79
70.9%
Q4 - 7:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
33.6%
78
66.4%
Q4 - 7:35MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot77
38.5%
78
61.5%
Q4 - 7:57MIAHEAT Rebound77
33.6%
78
66.4%
Q4 - 7:58LALMISS Blake 29' 3PT Jump Shot77
35.7%
78
64.3%
Q4 - 8:00LALBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
40.7%
78
59.3%
Q4 - 8:02LALMISS Brown 3' Driving Layup77
36.2%
78
63.8%
Q4 - 8:29MIABosh 2' Layup (20 PTS) (James 8 AST)77
40.3%
78
59.7%
Q4 - 8:48LALOdom 3' Layup (11 PTS)77
46.8%
76
53.2%
Q4 - 8:49LALOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)75
40.3%
76
59.7%
Q4 - 8:50LALMISS Odom 20' Jump Shot75
36.1%
76
63.9%
Q4 - 9:00LALLakers Rebound75
40.3%
76
59.7%
Q4 - 9:01MIAMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot75
38.6%
76
61.4%
Q4 - 9:27LALOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)75
34.8%
76
65.2%
Q4 - 9:27LALOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)74
33.3%
76
66.7%
Q4 - 9:42MIABibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 7 AST)73
29.4%
76
70.6%
Q4 - 10:02MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)73
40.1%
73
59.9%
Q4 - 10:03LALMISS Odom 3' Layup73
41.7%
73
58.3%
Q4 - 10:04LALOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
45.7%
73
54.3%
Q4 - 10:05LALMISS Barnes 3' Driving Layup73
41.7%
73
58.3%
Q4 - 10:11LALBynum REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)73
45.7%
73
54.3%
Q4 - 10:12MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup73
43.9%
73
56.1%
Q4 - 10:21MIAMiller Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)73
40.1%
73
59.9%
Q4 - 10:36LALBarnes Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)73
45.7%
72
54.3%
Q4 - 10:36LALMISS Barnes Free Throw 1 of 272
44.5%
72
55.5%
Q4 - 10:55MIABibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)72
45.7%
72
54.3%
Q4 - 11:07MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)72
55.9%
69
44.1%
Q4 - 11:08LALMISS Brown 22' Jump Shot72
57.5%
69
42.5%
Q4 - 11:25MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)72
61.1%
69
38.9%
Q4 - 11:25MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 272
62.2%
68
37.8%
Q4 - 11:39LALBynum 2' Tip Shot (12 PTS)72
61.2%
68
38.8%
Q4 - 11:40LALBynum REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)70
55.9%
68
44.1%
Q4 - 11:41LALMISS Odom 7' Running Hook Shot70
52.2%
68
47.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0LAL70
56.0%
68
44.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS)70
56.0%
68
44.0%
Q3 - 0:18.0MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)70
60.3%
66
39.7%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
63.3%
66
36.7%
Q3 - 0:36.0LALOdom 13' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)70
60.3%
66
39.7%
Q3 - 0:44.0LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)68
54.9%
66
45.1%
Q3 - 0:45.0LALMISS Odom 12' Jump Shot68
51.6%
66
48.4%
Q3 - 1:00MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (12 PTS)68
54.9%
66
45.1%
Q3 - 1:06LALIlgauskas STEAL (2 STL)68
59.2%
64
40.8%
Q3 - 1:22LALBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
63.5%
64
36.5%
Q3 - 1:23MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
62.2%
64
37.8%
Q3 - 1:29MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)68
59.3%
64
40.7%
Q3 - 1:30LALMISS Bryant 5' Jump Shot68
60.6%
64
39.4%
Q3 - 1:44MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS)68
63.5%
64
36.5%
Q3 - 1:55LALIlgauskas STEAL (1 STL)68
68.4%
62
31.6%
Q3 - 2:09LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
70.5%
62
29.5%
Q3 - 2:10MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 268
70.0%
62
30.0%
Q3 - 2:10MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 268
67.1%
62
32.9%
Q3 - 2:15LALWade STEAL (3 STL)68
66.5%
62
33.5%
Q3 - 2:35MIAJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)68
70.6%
62
29.4%
Q3 - 2:47LALFisher Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)68
66.6%
62
33.4%
Q3 - 2:50LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)68
70.6%
62
29.4%
Q3 - 2:51MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Bank Shot68
69.4%
62
30.6%
Q3 - 3:09LALFisher 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (World Peace 5 AST)68
65.2%
62
34.8%
Q3 - 3:13LALLakers Rebound65
56.8%
62
43.2%
Q3 - 3:14LALMISS Gasol 19' Jump Shot65
53.6%
62
46.4%
Q3 - 3:32MIADampier Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)65
56.9%
62
43.1%
Q3 - 3:32MIADampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)65
52.2%
62
47.8%
Q3 - 3:33MIAMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot65
55.4%
62
44.6%
Q3 - 3:50LALGasol 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS)65
52.2%
62
47.8%
Q3 - 4:10MIADampier Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)63
47.7%
62
52.3%
Q3 - 4:30LALBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)63
42.6%
62
57.4%
Q3 - 4:30LALBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)62
41.6%
62
58.4%
Q3 - 4:42LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)61
39.1%
62
60.9%
Q3 - 4:43MIAMISS Bosh 7' Hook Shot61
37.6%
62
62.4%
Q3 - 5:01LALBynum 3' Dunk (8 PTS) (Fisher 3 AST)61
34.2%
62
65.8%
Q3 - 5:20MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)59
30.9%
62
69.1%
Q3 - 5:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
34.2%
60
65.8%
Q3 - 5:25LALMISS Fisher 20' Jump Shot59
35.5%
60
64.5%
Q3 - 5:36LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
38.6%
60
61.4%
Q3 - 5:37MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot59
37.2%
60
62.8%
Q3 - 5:51LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)59
34.2%
60
65.8%
Q3 - 5:51LALMISS Bryant Free Throw 1 of 258
33.7%
60
66.3%
Q3 - 6:01LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
34.6%
60
65.4%
Q3 - 6:02MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot58
33.4%
60
66.6%
Q3 - 6:09MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
30.7%
60
69.3%
Q3 - 6:10LALDampier BLOCK (1 BLK)58
31.9%
60
68.1%
Q3 - 6:31MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)58
34.6%
60
65.4%
Q3 - 6:46MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
30.7%
60
69.3%
Q3 - 6:47LALMISS Bryant 21' Jump Shot58
31.8%
60
68.2%
Q3 - 7:09MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)58
34.2%
60
65.8%
Q3 - 7:24LALWorld Peace 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Fisher 2 AST)58
37.6%
58
62.4%
Q3 - 7:38MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)55
30.9%
58
69.1%
Q3 - 7:50MIABosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)55
37.6%
55
62.4%
Q3 - 7:51LALMISS Fisher 3' Driving Layup55
38.8%
55
61.2%
Q3 - 8:07MIABosh Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)55
41.3%
55
58.7%
Q3 - 8:08MIABosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)55
37.5%
55
62.5%
Q3 - 8:09MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
40.2%
55
59.8%
Q3 - 8:31MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)55
37.5%
55
62.5%
Q3 - 8:32LALMISS Bryant 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
38.6%
55
61.4%
Q3 - 8:58LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
41.3%
55
58.7%
Q3 - 8:59MIAMISS James 3' Layup55
40.1%
55
59.9%
Q3 - 9:00MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
37.5%
55
62.5%
Q3 - 9:02MIAMISS James 4' Running Hook Shot55
39.8%
55
60.2%
Q3 - 9:26MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)55
37.4%
55
62.6%
Q3 - 9:27LALMISS Bryant 13' Turnaround Jump Shot55
38.4%
55
61.6%
Q3 - 9:50MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)55
41.0%
55
59.0%
Q3 - 10:15LALFisher 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bryant 1 AST)55
37.1%
55
62.9%
Q3 - 10:32LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
34.0%
55
66.0%
Q3 - 10:33MIAMISS Chalmers 19' Jump Shot53
33.0%
55
67.0%
Q3 - 10:43MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
30.8%
55
69.2%
Q3 - 10:44LALMISS Bryant 16' Jump Shot53
31.7%
55
68.3%
Q3 - 10:54MIADampier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)53
34.0%
55
66.0%
Q3 - 11:10MIAHEAT Rebound53
30.8%
55
69.2%
Q3 - 11:11LALMISS World Peace 9' Turnaround Jump Shot53
31.8%
55
68.2%
Q3 - 11:28LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
34.1%
55
65.9%
Q3 - 11:29MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
33.1%
55
66.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0LAL53
30.8%
55
69.2%
Q2 - 0:17.0MIABosh 3' Tip Shot (16 PTS)53
33.8%
55
66.2%
Q2 - 0:18.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)53
37.5%
53
62.5%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot53
39.2%
53
60.8%
Q2 - 0:37.0LALBynum 2' Tip Shot (6 PTS)53
37.5%
53
62.5%
Q2 - 0:38.0LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)51
33.8%
53
66.2%
Q2 - 0:39.0LALMISS Bryant 8' Jump Shot51
32.2%
53
67.8%
Q2 - 1:02MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)51
33.7%
53
66.3%
Q2 - 1:02MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)51
34.2%
52
65.8%
Q2 - 1:23LALGasol 3' Driving Dunk (14 PTS)51
37.5%
51
62.5%
Q2 - 1:33LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)49
33.7%
51
66.3%
Q2 - 1:34MIAMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot49
33.1%
51
66.9%
Q2 - 1:54LALBynum 2' Layup (4 PTS)49
31.7%
51
68.3%
Q2 - 2:04MIABosh Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)47
28.6%
51
71.4%
Q2 - 2:17MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
26.0%
51
74.0%
Q2 - 2:18LALMISS Fisher Free Throw 2 of 247
26.3%
51
73.7%
Q2 - 2:18LALFisher Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)47
28.2%
51
71.8%
Q2 - 2:38MIAIlgauskas 3' Tip Shot (4 PTS)46
26.1%
51
73.9%
Q2 - 2:39MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)46
28.5%
49
71.5%
Q2 - 2:40MIAMISS Bosh 2' Tip Shot46
30.4%
49
69.6%
Q2 - 2:41MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)46
28.5%
49
71.5%
Q2 - 2:42MIAMISS Bosh 2' Driving Layup46
30.4%
49
69.6%
Q2 - 2:56MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
28.5%
49
71.5%
Q2 - 2:57LALMISS Gasol 18' Jump Shot46
29.4%
49
70.6%
Q2 - 3:22MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS) (James 6 AST)46
31.5%
49
68.5%
Q2 - 3:40MIAHEAT Rebound46
33.8%
47
66.2%
Q2 - 3:41LALMISS Bryant 22' Jump Shot46
34.8%
47
65.2%
Q2 - 3:57LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
37.1%
47
62.9%
Q2 - 3:58MIAMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot46
36.1%
47
63.9%
Q2 - 4:18LALWorld Peace 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)46
33.7%
47
66.3%
Q2 - 4:28MIABosh 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)44
31.3%
47
68.7%
Q2 - 4:53LALBryant 2' Layup (17 PTS) (World Peace 4 AST)44
33.7%
45
66.3%
Q2 - 4:57MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)42
31.3%
45
68.7%
Q2 - 5:08MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)42
28.9%
45
71.1%
Q2 - 5:09LALMISS Bryant 20' Jump Shot42
29.6%
45
70.4%
Q2 - 5:33MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)42
31.3%
45
68.7%
Q2 - 5:55MIABibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
33.9%
43
66.1%
Q2 - 5:56LALMISS Barnes 3PT Jump Shot42
34.7%
43
65.3%
Q2 - 6:13MIAMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)42
36.7%
43
63.3%
Q2 - 6:17LALWade STEAL (2 STL)42
33.7%
43
66.3%
Q2 - 6:30LALBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
36.7%
43
63.3%
Q2 - 6:31MIAMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 142
36.3%
43
63.7%
Q2 - 6:32MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)42
39.0%
41
61.0%
Q2 - 6:33MIAMISS Miller 14' Jump Bank Shot42
41.2%
41
58.8%
Q2 - 6:52LALGasol 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS)42
39.0%
41
61.0%
Q2 - 7:09MIAIlgauskas 2' Layup (2 PTS)40
36.4%
41
63.6%
Q2 - 7:11MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
38.9%
39
61.1%
Q2 - 7:12MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot40
40.8%
39
59.2%
Q2 - 7:30LALBlake Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)40
38.9%
39
61.1%
Q2 - 7:30LALBlake Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)39
38.4%
39
61.6%
Q2 - 7:50MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)38
36.5%
39
63.5%
Q2 - 8:08LALBarnes Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)38
41.3%
36
58.7%
Q2 - 8:08LALBarnes Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)37
40.8%
36
59.2%
Q2 - 8:11LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
38.8%
36
61.2%
Q2 - 8:12MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot36
38.0%
36
62.0%
Q2 - 8:29LALBryant 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)36
36.2%
36
63.8%
Q2 - 8:47MIAMiller 2' Tip Shot (6 PTS)33
31.5%
36
68.5%
Q2 - 8:48MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)33
33.8%
34
66.2%
Q2 - 8:49MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot33
35.5%
34
64.5%
Q2 - 9:04LALGasol 4' Jump Shot (10 PTS)33
33.7%
34
66.3%
Q2 - 9:05LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)31
31.5%
34
68.5%
Q2 - 9:09LALMISS Gasol 2' Tip Shot31
29.9%
34
70.1%
Q2 - 9:10LALGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
31.5%
34
68.5%
Q2 - 9:11LALMISS Odom 5' Hook Shot31
29.9%
34
70.1%
Q2 - 9:41MIABosh 8' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)31
31.5%
34
68.5%
Q2 - 10:04LALOdom 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)31
33.6%
32
66.4%
Q2 - 10:26MIABosh 3' Layup (6 PTS) (James 5 AST)28
29.4%
32
70.6%
Q2 - 10:43LALOdom 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Blake 1 AST)28
31.3%
30
68.7%
Q2 - 10:53LALBlake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
29.4%
30
70.6%
Q2 - 10:54MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
28.7%
30
71.3%
Q2 - 10:57MIAHEAT Rebound26
27.1%
30
72.9%
Q2 - 10:58MIAMISS James 3' Driving Layup26
28.7%
30
71.3%
Q2 - 11:12MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
27.3%
30
72.7%
Q2 - 11:13LALMISS Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
27.9%
30
72.1%
Q2 - 11:31LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
29.4%
30
70.6%
Q2 - 11:32MIAMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 226
29.1%
30
70.9%
Q2 - 11:32MIAMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)26
27.8%
30
72.2%
Q2 - 11:32MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
29.3%
29
70.7%
Q2 - 11:33MIAMISS Bosh 13' Jump Shot26
30.9%
29
69.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0LAL26
29.3%
29
70.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAJames 9' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)26
31.6%
29
68.4%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
33.8%
27
66.2%
Q1 - 0:07.0LALMISS Odom 5' Hook Shot26
34.3%
27
65.7%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 4 AST)26
35.6%
27
64.4%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
40.6%
24
59.4%
Q1 - 0:43.0LALMISS Gasol 15' Turnaround Jump Shot26
41.2%
24
58.8%
Q1 - 1:00MIAIlgauskas Foul Turnover (P1.T4)26
42.6%
24
57.4%
Q1 - 1:21LALGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)26
40.5%
24
59.5%
Q1 - 1:21LALGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)25
40.1%
24
59.9%
Q1 - 1:32MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)24
37.7%
24
62.3%
Q1 - 1:50LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)24
42.8%
21
57.2%
Q1 - 1:50LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)23
42.5%
21
57.5%
Q1 - 2:12LALLakers Rebound22
40.1%
21
59.9%
Q1 - 2:13MIAMISS James 9' Jump Shot22
39.5%
21
60.5%
Q1 - 2:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
38.1%
21
61.9%
Q1 - 2:26LALMISS Bryant 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
38.7%
21
61.3%
Q1 - 2:44LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
40.1%
21
59.9%
Q1 - 2:45MIAMISS Wade 4' Driving Layup22
39.5%
21
60.5%
Q1 - 2:57MIAHEAT Rebound22
38.1%
21
61.9%
Q1 - 2:59MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 122
39.8%
21
60.2%
Q1 - 3:02MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
42.2%
19
57.8%
Q1 - 3:03LALIlgauskas BLOCK (1 BLK)22
42.9%
19
57.1%
Q1 - 3:22MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)22
44.6%
19
55.4%
Q1 - 3:42LALWorld Peace 2' Layup (4 PTS)22
46.8%
17
53.2%
Q1 - 3:43LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)20
44.6%
17
55.4%
Q1 - 3:44LALMISS World Peace 3' Tip Shot20
43.0%
17
57.0%
Q1 - 3:45LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
44.6%
17
55.4%
Q1 - 3:46LALMISS Bynum 4' Running Hook Shot20
43.0%
17
57.0%
Q1 - 4:09MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
44.0%
17
56.0%
Q1 - 4:09MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
44.4%
16
55.6%
Q1 - 4:13MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
46.0%
15
54.0%
Q1 - 4:14MIAMISS Chalmers 18' Jump Shot20
47.7%
15
52.3%
Q1 - 4:35LALGasol 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)20
46.0%
15
54.0%
Q1 - 4:57MIAJames 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)18
44.1%
15
55.9%
Q1 - 5:17LALBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)18
45.5%
13
54.5%
Q1 - 5:17LALBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
45.0%
13
55.0%
Q1 - 5:28LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
43.6%
13
56.4%
Q1 - 5:29MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot16
42.9%
13
57.1%
Q1 - 5:35MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
41.3%
13
58.7%
Q1 - 5:36LALMISS Fisher 20' Jump Shot16
42.0%
13
58.0%
Q1 - 5:50LALLakers Rebound16
43.6%
13
56.4%
Q1 - 5:51MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
42.9%
13
57.1%
Q1 - 6:09LALWorld Peace 2' Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)16
41.0%
13
59.0%
Q1 - 6:13MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)14
39.1%
13
60.9%
Q1 - 6:27LALGasol 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (World Peace 3 AST)14
37.0%
13
63.0%
Q1 - 6:46MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)12
35.2%
13
64.8%
Q1 - 6:55LALGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
39.0%
10
61.0%
Q1 - 6:55LALGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
38.7%
10
61.3%
Q1 - 7:17MIABosh 3' Dunk (4 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST)10
37.0%
10
63.0%
Q1 - 7:22MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
38.7%
8
61.3%
Q1 - 7:23MIAMISS Chalmers 11' Jump Shot10
40.2%
8
59.8%
Q1 - 7:40LALWorld Peace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)10
38.7%
8
61.3%
Q1 - 7:58LALLakers Rebound10
40.8%
8
59.2%
Q1 - 8:00MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
40.2%
8
59.8%
Q1 - 8:26LALBryant 3' Running Dunk (10 PTS) (World Peace 2 AST)10
38.6%
8
61.4%
Q1 - 8:29MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
36.7%
8
63.3%
Q1 - 8:32MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
34.9%
8
65.1%
Q1 - 8:33MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot8
36.2%
8
63.8%
Q1 - 8:36MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
34.9%
8
65.1%
Q1 - 8:37MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup8
36.2%
8
63.8%
Q1 - 9:03LALBryant 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST)8
35.1%
8
64.9%
Q1 - 9:14MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 3 AST)5
31.7%
8
68.3%
Q1 - 9:21LALChalmers STEAL (1 STL)5
35.1%
5
64.9%
Q1 - 9:24LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
36.8%
5
63.2%
Q1 - 9:25MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
36.3%
5
63.7%
Q1 - 9:35MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
35.1%
5
64.9%
Q1 - 9:36LALMISS World Peace 18' Jump Shot5
35.6%
5
64.4%
Q1 - 9:49MIABosh Foul Turnover (P1.T1)5
36.8%
5
63.2%
Q1 - 10:01LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)5
34.8%
5
65.2%
Q1 - 10:17MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST)2
31.9%
5
68.1%
Q1 - 10:23LALJames STEAL (1 STL)2
34.9%
2
65.1%
Q1 - 10:39LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
36.8%
2
63.2%
Q1 - 10:40MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
36.2%
2
63.8%
Q1 - 10:54MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
34.9%
2
65.1%
Q1 - 10:55MIAMISS Dampier 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup2
36.2%
2
63.8%
Q1 - 11:18LALBryant 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)2
34.8%
2
65.2%
Q1 - 11:38MIABosh 3' Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)0
33.2%
2
66.8%
Q1 - 11:46LALWade STEAL (1 STL)0
34.8%
0
65.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Dampier vs. Bynum: Tip to World Peace0
36.3%
0
63.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
0.98 48.9%
MIA
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
LAL
14
28
50%
MIA
20
31
65%
Midrange
LAL
9
31
29%
MIA
9
31
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
LAL
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
MIA
8
12.0
19
42%
63%
Free Throws
LAL
21
26
81%
MIA
12
18
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Bryant2452%12.0 / 23
P. Gasol2056%10.0 / 18
A. Bynum1381%6.5 / 8
L. Odom1146%5.5 / 12
M. World Peace941%4.5 / 11
D. Fisher650%3.0 / 6
M. Barnes338%1.5 / 4
S. Blake250%1.0 / 2
S. Brown0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh2460%12.0 / 20
D. Wade2043%10.0 / 23
L. James1948%9.5 / 20
M. Miller1286%6.0 / 7
M. Chalmers950%4.5 / 9
M. Bibby6100%3.0 / 3
Z. Ilgauskas440%2.0 / 5
E. Dampier0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

LAL
72
+16
-11
88
MIA
69
+20
-15
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
0.98 48.9%
MIA
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.1
111.4
LAL 106.0
MIA 111.9 +5.9
Pace
90.7
91.3
LAL 82.7
MIA 84.4 +1.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.2
LAL 17.4
MIA 17.1 +0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.2%
52.4%
LAL 44.7%
MIA 50.6% +5.9%
TO %
13.8%
14.4%
LAL 11.3% +3.1%
MIA 14.4%
ORB %
29.2%
25.2%
LAL 31.7%
MIA 42.9% +11.2%
FTrt
29.3
36.3
LAL 34.7 +12.5
MIA 22.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
54.1%
LAL 60.0% +14.1%
MIA 45.9%
STL %
8.0%
7.3%
LAL 10.8% +1.3%
MIA 9.5%
BLK %
8.1%
8.5%
LAL 3.2%
MIA 5.1% +1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.1%
55.7%
LAL 48.9%
MIA 52.8% +3.9%
Rim FG%
60.7%
64.7%
LAL 50.0%
MIA 64.5% +14.5%
Mid FG%
40.2%
42.2%
LAL 29.0%
MIA 29.0%
3P %
35.2%
37.0%
LAL 43.8% +1.7%
MIA 42.1%
FT %
77.9%
76.9%
LAL 80.8% +14.1%
MIA 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.0%
31.6%
LAL 37.3%
MIA 38.3% +0.9%
Mid Att. %
43.0%
44.9%
LAL 41.3%
MIA 38.3% +3.1%
3P Att. %
22.0%
23.5%
LAL 21.3%
MIA 23.5% +2.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsLALMIA
Possessions8384
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points8894
Rebounds3746
Assists1817
Steals98
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (3)18 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (4)28 (4)
Field Goals30-7537-81
At-the-Rim FG14-2820-31
Midrange FG9-319-31
2-Point FG23-5929-62
3-Point FG7-168-19
Free Throws21-2612-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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2 Los Angeles Lakers
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Pau Gasol
F · 7'0" 250 · 31
39.7
20
56%
5
1
1
1
1
1
2
3
4-5
80%
8-15
53%
0-1
0%
Kobe Bryant
G · 6'6" 212 · 33
39.5
24
52%
2
2
1
0
3
3
0
2
4-5
80%
4-13
31%
4-8
50%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 23
36.9
13
81%
12
2
2
1
2
4
3
9
5-6
83%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 31
35.8
9
41%
9
6
3
0
1
3
5
4
0-0
-
3-10
30%
1-1
100%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 37
32.6
6
50%
0
4
1
0
3
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
1-1
100%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 31
19.5
11
46%
5
1
0
0
0
3
2
3
2-2
100%
3-9
33%
1-2
50%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 31
13.0
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 31
12.2
3
38%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 25
10.9
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 31
Derrick Caracter
F · 6'9" 275 · 23
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 36
Devin Ebanks
#3 · F · 6'9" 215 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Theo Ratliff
#50 · C · 6'10" 235 · 38
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
49%
37
18
9
2
11
0
13
24
21-26
81%
23-59
39%
7-16
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.