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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 9, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Pistons20%93104
6Spurs80%105111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 31.0
37.1
23.9
16
38%
4
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
2-3
67%
7-19
4-9
37%
47%
0-1
0%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 31.8
35.5
8.4
15
63%
7
9
2
0
1
2
1
6
1-2
50%
4-9
1-3
44%
43%
2-2
100%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 20.8
32.3
27.4
16
56%
10
2
2
1
0
1
9
1
2-3
67%
7-13
4-8
54%
52%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.9
21.1
26.1
12
57%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
1-6
3-7
17%
45%
3-4
75%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.5
13.9
19.8
5
56%
1
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 33.1
30.9
23.1
20
63%
1
3
0
1
0
4
1
0
2-2
100%
9-14
4-8
64%
43%
0-1
0%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 22.8
24.2
23.0
5
42%
5
2
0
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
1-2
50%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 24.9
15.8
36.6
3
26%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-5
5-13
20%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.1
15.7
14.8
6
63%
6
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
2-4
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
50%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 26.5
13.5
22.0
6
44%
5
1
1
1
0
0
3
2
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
0-3
0%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.2
15.2
1
2-5
46%
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.1
5.6
0
1-1
42%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 24.0
Terrico White
G · 6'5" 213 · 21.0
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 36.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.8
34.0
24.3
23
77%
1
7
4
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
10-14
5-9
71%
54%
1-1
100%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.9
31.3
24.6
15
70%
12
2
0
1
1
1
3
9
3-4
75%
6-9
5-9
67%
53%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 33.6
30.3
25.5
17
74%
2
5
1
1
1
3
0
2
0-1
0%
7-9
4-7
78%
52%
1-2
50%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 30.7
29.0
24.4
12
87%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
53%
2-4
50%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.5
22.4
11.5
8
69%
5
1
0
0
0
2
1
4
2-4
50%
3-4
1-3
75%
52%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.4
23.9
24.0
15
98%
0
1
2
0
0
3
0
0
6-6
100%
3-3
3-5
100%
52%
1-2
50%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 24.8
23.7
26.1
5
36%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
3-5
67%
51%
0-3
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30.9
20.7
20.6
11
69%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-4
1-2
100%
53%
1-4
25%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 21.9
15.7
22.1
5
46%
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
4
1-1
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
55%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 22.0
7.8
13.2
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 26.2
0.6
14.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
55%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.7
0.6
11.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Othyus Jeffers
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.6
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.