FinalWin Prob.pScore
2420%93
104
680%105
111
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
115.69089.9
SAS logo SAS
124.78989.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS104
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0DETVillanueva 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Monroe 2 AST)104
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:9 Def:1)102
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0DETMISS Villanueva 28' 3PT Jump Shot102
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0SASNeal Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)102
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0SASNeal Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)102
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0DETMonroe 4' Jump Shot (16 PTS)102
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0DETPistons Rebound100
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0DETMISS Monroe 1' Tip Shot100
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:8 Def:1)100
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0DETMISS Prince 2' Layup100
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0SASNeal Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)100
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0SASNeal Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)100
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0DETMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Daye 2 AST)100
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)97
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0SASMISS Duncan 21' Jump Shot97
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)97
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08DETMISS Hamilton 18' Pullup Jump Shot97
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:7 Def:1)97
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 1:15DETMISS Daye 14' Jump Shot97
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 1:30SASParker 2' Driving Layup (23 PTS)97
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 1:50DETParker STEAL (4 STL)97
0.8%
105
99.2%
Q4 - 2:07SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)97
1.5%
105
98.5%
Q4 - 2:27DETMonroe 3' Layup (14 PTS) (McGrady 9 AST)97
3.3%
102
96.7%
Q4 - 2:34SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)95
2.5%
102
97.5%
Q4 - 2:53DETDaye 14' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Monroe 1 AST)95
1.7%
102
98.3%
Q4 - 2:58DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:6 Def:1)93
1.2%
102
98.8%
Q4 - 3:00DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)93
1.2%
102
98.8%
Q4 - 3:00DETMISS Prince 3' Layup93
0.8%
102
99.2%
Q4 - 3:02DETMISS Prince Free Throw 2 of 293
0.8%
102
99.2%
Q4 - 3:02DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)93
1.0%
102
99.0%
Q4 - 3:02DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)92
0.8%
102
99.2%
Q4 - 3:03DETMISS Prince 2' Layup92
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 3:16DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)92
0.8%
102
99.2%
Q4 - 3:17SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot92
0.6%
102
99.4%
Q4 - 3:33SASSPURS Rebound92
1.0%
102
99.0%
Q4 - 3:34DETMISS Hamilton 11' Jump Shot92
1.1%
102
98.9%
Q4 - 3:48DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)92
1.4%
102
98.6%
Q4 - 3:49SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot92
1.2%
102
98.8%
Q4 - 4:14DETHamilton 16' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST)92
0.9%
102
99.1%
Q4 - 4:33SASParker 3' Driving Layup (18 PTS)90
0.6%
102
99.4%
Q4 - 4:54SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)90
0.8%
100
99.2%
Q4 - 4:55DETMISS Prince 10' Jump Shot90
1.0%
100
99.0%
Q4 - 5:17DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)90
2.0%
100
98.0%
Q4 - 5:18SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 290
1.9%
100
98.1%
Q4 - 5:18SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)90
1.6%
100
98.4%
Q4 - 5:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)90
1.9%
99
98.1%
Q4 - 5:19SASMISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot90
2.5%
99
97.5%
Q4 - 5:33DETMonroe 3' Reverse Layup (12 PTS)90
1.9%
99
98.1%
Q4 - 5:40SASJump Ball Ginobili vs. Villanueva: Tip to Monroe88
1.4%
99
98.6%
Q4 - 5:45SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
1.0%
99
99.0%
Q4 - 5:46DETMISS Villanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
1.1%
99
98.9%
Q4 - 5:54DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)88
1.4%
99
98.6%
Q4 - 5:55SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot88
1.3%
99
98.7%
Q4 - 6:17DETHamilton 11' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (McGrady 8 AST)88
1.4%
99
98.6%
Q4 - 6:35SASBonner 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS)86
1.0%
99
99.0%
Q4 - 6:56DETMcGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)86
1.3%
97
98.7%
Q4 - 7:21SASHill 3' Driving Layup (5 PTS)83
1.0%
97
99.0%
Q4 - 7:37DETHamilton 17' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)83
1.3%
95
98.7%
Q4 - 8:00SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)81
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 8:00SASMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 281
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 8:06DETNeal STEAL (2 STL)81
1.3%
94
98.7%
Q4 - 8:30SASGinobili 3' Running Layup (17 PTS)81
1.6%
94
98.4%
Q4 - 8:41SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
2.1%
92
97.9%
Q4 - 8:42DETMISS Hamilton 17' Pullup Jump Shot81
2.3%
92
97.7%
Q4 - 9:00DETPistons Rebound81
2.7%
92
97.3%
Q4 - 9:01SASMISS Bonner 3PT Jump Shot81
3.0%
92
97.0%
Q4 - 9:20DETHamilton 10' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Daye 1 AST)81
2.5%
92
97.5%
Q4 - 9:28DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)79
2.0%
92
98.0%
Q4 - 9:31DETMISS Daye 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
1.7%
92
98.3%
Q4 - 9:36DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
2.0%
92
98.0%
Q4 - 9:38SASMISS Blair 1' Layup79
1.8%
92
98.2%
Q4 - 9:50DETStuckey Foul Turnover (P1.T10)79
1.6%
92
98.4%
Q4 - 9:55SASNeal 12' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)79
2.0%
92
98.0%
Q4 - 10:21DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)79
2.8%
90
97.2%
Q4 - 10:21DETVillanueva 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)79
2.8%
90
97.2%
Q4 - 10:22DETMISS Villanueva 2' Layup77
1.9%
90
98.1%
Q4 - 10:44SASGinobili 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS)77
2.3%
90
97.7%
Q4 - 10:59DETVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)77
2.8%
88
97.2%
Q4 - 10:59DETVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)76
2.7%
88
97.3%
Q4 - 11:13DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)75
2.6%
88
97.4%
Q4 - 11:14SASMISS Hill 2' Layup75
2.4%
88
97.6%
Q4 - 11:26SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
2.1%
88
97.9%
Q4 - 11:27DETMISS Stuckey 15' Jump Shot75
2.2%
88
97.8%
Q4 - 11:45DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)75
2.5%
88
97.5%
Q4 - 11:46SASMISS Blair 1' Reverse Layup75
2.4%
88
97.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET75
2.1%
88
97.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
2.5%
88
97.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot75
2.7%
88
97.3%
Q3 - 0:15.0DETMaxiell 2' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)75
2.3%
88
97.7%
Q3 - 0:34.0SASParker 5' Floating Jump Shot (16 PTS)73
1.9%
88
98.1%
Q3 - 0:38.0DETParker STEAL (3 STL)73
2.3%
86
97.7%
Q3 - 0:57.0SASBlair Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)73
2.8%
86
97.2%
Q3 - 1:04SASSPURS Rebound73
4.5%
83
95.5%
Q3 - 1:05SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot73
5.0%
83
95.0%
Q3 - 1:17DETBlair STEAL (1 STL)73
4.5%
83
95.5%
Q3 - 1:37SASParker 14' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)73
5.3%
83
94.7%
Q3 - 1:46SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
6.5%
81
93.5%
Q3 - 1:47DETMISS Prince 12' Turnaround Jump Shot73
6.8%
81
93.2%
Q3 - 2:08SASParker 7' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bonner 2 AST)73
7.9%
81
92.1%
Q3 - 2:22SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
9.4%
79
90.6%
Q3 - 2:23DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 273
9.6%
79
90.4%
Q3 - 2:23DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)73
10.4%
79
89.6%
Q3 - 2:30DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
9.4%
79
90.6%
Q3 - 2:31SASMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
8.9%
79
91.1%
Q3 - 2:38SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
7.9%
79
92.1%
Q3 - 2:39DETMISS McGrady 6' Jump Shot72
8.3%
79
91.7%
Q3 - 2:49DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
9.4%
79
90.6%
Q3 - 2:51SASMISS Blair 7' Jump Shot72
8.9%
79
91.1%
Q3 - 3:07DETMcGrady 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)72
8.0%
79
92.0%
Q3 - 3:20DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
6.8%
79
93.2%
Q3 - 3:21SASMISS Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
6.5%
79
93.5%
Q3 - 3:39DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)70
5.7%
79
94.3%
Q3 - 3:40DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
4.1%
79
95.9%
Q3 - 3:42DETMISS McGrady 21' Jump Shot67
3.6%
79
96.4%
Q3 - 3:57SASHill 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)67
4.1%
79
95.9%
Q3 - 4:21DETGordon 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (12 PTS) (McGrady 6 AST)67
4.9%
77
95.1%
Q3 - 4:28DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)64
3.6%
77
96.4%
Q3 - 4:29SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
3.4%
77
96.6%
Q3 - 4:56DETDaye Foul Turnover (P2.T7)64
3.0%
77
97.0%
Q3 - 5:11SASBonner 7' Jump Shot (9 PTS)64
3.8%
77
96.2%
Q3 - 5:37DETMcGrady 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)64
4.4%
75
95.6%
Q3 - 5:55SASGinobili Driving Layup (13 PTS)62
3.8%
75
96.2%
Q3 - 6:01SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
4.6%
73
95.4%
Q3 - 6:03DETMISS Prince 21' Jump Shot62
4.9%
73
95.1%
Q3 - 6:22SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)62
5.5%
73
94.5%
Q3 - 6:35SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
4.6%
73
95.4%
Q3 - 6:36DETMISS Gordon 20' Jump Shot62
4.9%
73
95.1%
Q3 - 6:56SASMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)62
5.4%
73
94.6%
Q3 - 6:56SASMISS McDyess Free Throw 1 of 262
5.7%
72
94.3%
Q3 - 7:09SASSPURS Rebound62
5.6%
72
94.4%
Q3 - 7:09DETMISS Monroe 3' Layup62
5.9%
72
94.1%
Q3 - 7:25DETPistons Rebound62
6.5%
72
93.5%
Q3 - 7:25SASMISS Ginobili 19' Jump Shot62
6.2%
72
93.8%
Q3 - 7:44DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)62
5.6%
72
94.4%
Q3 - 7:58SASMcDyess 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T12)59
4.2%
72
95.8%
Q3 - 8:18DETMcGrady Foul Turnover (P2.T6)59
3.7%
72
96.3%
Q3 - 8:31DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
4.3%
72
95.7%
Q3 - 8:32SASMISS McDyess 16' Jump Shot59
4.1%
72
95.9%
Q3 - 8:47DETMcGrady 22' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)59
3.7%
72
96.3%
Q3 - 9:06SASJefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)57
3.3%
72
96.7%
Q3 - 9:22DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:5 Def:0)57
4.4%
69
95.6%
Q3 - 9:22DETMonroe 1' Layup (7 PTS)57
4.4%
69
95.6%
Q3 - 9:24DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot55
3.5%
69
96.5%
Q3 - 9:46SASDuncan 3' Layup (14 PTS)55
3.8%
69
96.2%
Q3 - 10:10DETGordon 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)55
4.5%
67
95.5%
Q3 - 10:15DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)53
4.0%
67
96.0%
Q3 - 10:18DETMISS Gordon 20' Jump Shot53
3.6%
67
96.4%
Q3 - 10:32DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)53
3.9%
67
96.1%
Q3 - 10:33DETMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot53
3.6%
67
96.4%
Q3 - 10:48DETGordon Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)53
3.9%
67
96.1%
Q3 - 10:57DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
3.4%
67
96.6%
Q3 - 10:58SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot52
3.3%
67
96.7%
Q3 - 11:19SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)52
3.1%
67
96.9%
Q3 - 11:20DETMISS Monroe 1' Layup52
3.3%
67
96.7%
Q3 - 11:26SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)52
3.6%
67
96.4%
Q3 - 11:36SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
3.1%
67
96.9%
Q3 - 11:37DETMISS McGrady 18' Pullup Jump Shot52
3.3%
67
96.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS52
3.6%
67
96.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPrince 6' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)52
3.1%
67
96.9%
Q2 - 0:06.0SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)50
2.9%
67
97.1%
Q2 - 0:09.0DETParker STEAL (2 STL)50
2.6%
67
97.4%
Q2 - 0:11.0SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)50
2.9%
67
97.1%
Q2 - 0:33.0DETHamilton 11' Jump Shot (12 PTS)50
2.6%
67
97.4%
Q2 - 0:50.0SASDuncan 9' Turnaround Bank Shot (12 PTS)48
2.2%
67
97.8%
Q2 - 0:58.0DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)48
2.6%
65
97.4%
Q2 - 0:58.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)47
2.6%
65
97.4%
Q2 - 1:12SASNeal Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)46
2.3%
65
97.7%
Q2 - 1:12SASNeal Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)46
2.4%
64
97.6%
Q2 - 1:31DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)46
2.7%
63
97.3%
Q2 - 1:31DETMonroe 1' Putback Dunk (5 PTS)46
2.7%
63
97.3%
Q2 - 1:32DETMISS Prince 1' Layup44
2.2%
63
97.8%
Q2 - 1:44SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)44
2.3%
63
97.7%
Q2 - 1:44SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)44
2.4%
62
97.6%
Q2 - 2:00DETMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)44
2.7%
61
97.3%
Q2 - 2:00DETMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 243
2.6%
61
97.4%
Q2 - 2:24SASNeal 11' Running Bank Shot (7 PTS)43
2.8%
61
97.2%
Q2 - 2:43DETPrince 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)43
3.1%
59
96.9%
Q2 - 2:58SASDuncan 9' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)41
2.8%
59
97.2%
Q2 - 3:11DETHamilton 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)41
3.2%
57
96.8%
Q2 - 3:25SASParker 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)39
2.9%
57
97.1%
Q2 - 3:47DETPrince 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)39
3.2%
55
96.8%
Q2 - 3:58DETPistons Rebound37
2.9%
55
97.1%
Q2 - 3:58DETAnderson BLOCK (1 BLK)37
2.6%
55
97.4%
Q2 - 4:15SASParker 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)37
3.0%
55
97.0%
Q2 - 4:30SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
3.3%
53
96.7%
Q2 - 4:31DETDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)37
3.4%
53
96.6%
Q2 - 4:33DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
3.7%
53
96.3%
Q2 - 4:35DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot37
3.4%
53
96.6%
Q2 - 4:54SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)37
3.7%
53
96.3%
Q2 - 4:58SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
3.3%
53
96.7%
Q2 - 4:59SASMISS Anderson 12' Jump Shot37
3.6%
53
96.4%
Q2 - 5:20DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)37
3.4%
53
96.6%
Q2 - 5:43SASMcDyess 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)35
3.0%
53
97.0%
Q2 - 6:03SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
3.6%
51
96.4%
Q2 - 6:04DETMISS McGrady 9' Running Jump Shot35
3.8%
51
96.2%
Q2 - 6:17SASNeal Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)35
4.1%
51
95.9%
Q2 - 6:39DETMcGrady 2' Layup (2 PTS)35
3.6%
51
96.4%
Q2 - 6:52SASMcDyess Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)33
3.3%
51
96.7%
Q2 - 7:14SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
3.0%
51
97.0%
Q2 - 7:14SASMISS Ginobili 19' Step Back Jump Shot33
3.2%
51
96.8%
Q2 - 7:30SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
3.0%
51
97.0%
Q2 - 7:32DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)33
3.3%
51
96.7%
Q2 - 7:32DETMISS Maxiell 3' Putback Dunk33
3.1%
51
96.9%
Q2 - 7:33DETMISS Hamilton 12' Jump Shot33
3.1%
51
96.9%
Q2 - 7:54SASBlair 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Neal 1 AST)33
3.3%
51
96.7%
Q2 - 8:08SASSPURS Rebound33
3.9%
49
96.1%
Q2 - 8:08DETMISS Daye 4' Jump Shot33
4.0%
49
96.0%
Q2 - 8:12DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
4.3%
49
95.7%
Q2 - 8:14DETMISS Hamilton 3PT Jump Shot33
4.0%
49
96.0%
Q2 - 8:35SASNeal 19' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)33
4.3%
49
95.7%
Q2 - 8:49SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw Technical33
4.7%
47
95.3%
Q2 - 8:49SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
4.7%
47
95.3%
Q2 - 8:50DETMISS Daye 17' Jump Shot33
4.9%
47
95.1%
Q2 - 9:11SASBonner 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)33
5.4%
47
94.6%
Q2 - 9:32DETMaxiell Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)33
5.9%
45
94.1%
Q2 - 9:32DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 232
5.7%
45
94.3%
Q2 - 9:32DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)32
6.0%
45
94.0%
Q2 - 9:35DETMISS Stuckey 2' Layup32
5.6%
45
94.4%
Q2 - 9:42SASGinobili 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)32
6.0%
45
94.0%
Q2 - 10:05DETDaye 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)32
6.7%
43
93.3%
Q2 - 10:20SASNeal Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)29
5.6%
43
94.4%
Q2 - 10:20DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw Technical29
5.0%
43
95.0%
Q2 - 10:20DETNeal STEAL (1 STL)29
5.0%
43
95.0%
Q2 - 10:20DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
5.6%
43
94.4%
Q2 - 10:23DETMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
5.2%
43
94.8%
Q2 - 10:37SASNeal Foul Turnover (P1.T4)29
5.6%
43
94.4%
Q2 - 10:51DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)29
5.0%
43
95.0%
Q2 - 11:10SASBonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)26
4.3%
43
95.7%
Q2 - 11:23DETDaye Foul Turnover (P1.T3)26
5.2%
40
94.8%
Q2 - 11:26DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
5.7%
40
94.3%
Q2 - 11:27SASMISS Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
5.5%
40
94.5%
Q2 - 11:40SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
5.2%
40
94.8%
Q2 - 11:41DETMISS Stuckey 18' Jump Shot26
5.3%
40
94.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET26
5.7%
40
94.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
5.7%
40
94.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASMISS Ginobili 28' 3PT Jump Shot26
5.6%
40
94.4%
Q1 - 0:20.0DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
5.3%
40
94.7%
Q1 - 0:20.0DETMaxiell 3' Tip Shot (2 PTS)26
5.3%
40
94.7%
Q1 - 0:20.0DETMISS Prince 15' Jump Shot24
4.5%
40
95.5%
Q1 - 0:37.0SASNeal 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)24
4.8%
40
95.2%
Q1 - 0:43.0SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
5.8%
37
94.2%
Q1 - 0:44.0DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot24
6.0%
37
94.0%
Q1 - 0:59.0SASHill Foul Turnover (P1.T3)24
6.3%
37
93.7%
Q1 - 1:16DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)24
6.0%
37
94.0%
Q1 - 1:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)22
5.4%
37
94.6%
Q1 - 1:32SASDuncan 2' Layup (8 PTS)22
5.4%
37
94.6%
Q1 - 1:33SASMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
6.3%
35
93.7%
Q1 - 1:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)22
6.0%
35
94.0%
Q1 - 1:57DETMISS Monroe 22' Jump Shot22
6.1%
35
93.9%
Q1 - 2:10SASParker 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)22
6.7%
35
93.3%
Q1 - 2:27DETPrince 4' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)22
7.3%
33
92.7%
Q1 - 2:40DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
6.6%
33
93.4%
Q1 - 2:41SASMISS Bonner 3PT Jump Shot20
6.5%
33
93.5%
Q1 - 2:51SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
6.1%
33
93.9%
Q1 - 2:52DETMISS Prince 15' Jump Shot20
6.3%
33
93.7%
Q1 - 2:58DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
6.6%
33
93.4%
Q1 - 2:59SASMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
6.5%
33
93.5%
Q1 - 3:24DETMonroe 1' Layup (3 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)20
6.1%
33
93.9%
Q1 - 3:40SASDuncan 2' Dunk (6 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)18
5.6%
33
94.4%
Q1 - 3:54DETHamilton 14' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)18
6.1%
31
93.9%
Q1 - 4:14SASBonner 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)16
5.7%
31
94.3%
Q1 - 4:22SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)16
6.1%
29
93.9%
Q1 - 4:29DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 2 of 216
6.2%
29
93.8%
Q1 - 4:29DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
6.5%
29
93.5%
Q1 - 4:41SASGinobili 6' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)15
6.2%
29
93.8%
Q1 - 4:49SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
6.6%
27
93.4%
Q1 - 4:50DETMISS Gordon 16' Jump Shot15
6.8%
27
93.2%
Q1 - 5:04SASJefferson 19' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)15
7.6%
27
92.4%
Q1 - 5:18DETGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)15
8.1%
25
91.9%
Q1 - 5:39SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)12
7.0%
25
93.0%
Q1 - 5:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)12
8.1%
22
91.9%
Q1 - 5:44SASMISS McDyess Free Throw 2 of 212
8.7%
22
91.3%
Q1 - 5:44SASMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)12
8.3%
22
91.7%
Q1 - 5:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
8.7%
21
91.3%
Q1 - 5:52DETMISS Prince 17' Jump Shot12
9.0%
21
91.0%
Q1 - 6:09SASJefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)12
9.5%
21
90.5%
Q1 - 6:25DETGordon 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)12
11.0%
18
89.0%
Q1 - 6:39DETPistons Rebound9
9.5%
18
90.5%
Q1 - 6:39DETGinobili BLOCK (1 BLK)9
9.0%
18
91.0%
Q1 - 6:46SASJump Ball Parker vs. McGrady: Tip to McGrady9
9.5%
18
90.5%
Q1 - 7:06DETWilcox Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)9
8.8%
18
91.2%
Q1 - 7:06DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
8.2%
18
91.8%
Q1 - 7:06DETWilcox 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)8
8.2%
18
91.8%
Q1 - 7:06DETMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
7.2%
18
92.8%
Q1 - 7:28SASMcDyess 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)6
7.6%
18
92.4%
Q1 - 7:44DETWilcox 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)6
8.1%
16
91.9%
Q1 - 8:03SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
7.6%
16
92.4%
Q1 - 8:03SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)4
7.7%
15
92.3%
Q1 - 8:16DETPrince 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS)4
8.1%
14
91.9%
Q1 - 8:36SASGinobili 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)2
7.6%
14
92.4%
Q1 - 8:40DETGinobili STEAL (1 STL)2
8.2%
12
91.8%
Q1 - 8:51SASGinobili 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
8.8%
12
91.2%
Q1 - 8:57SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
9.4%
10
90.6%
Q1 - 8:58DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
9.6%
10
90.4%
Q1 - 9:19SASParker 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)2
10.3%
10
89.7%
Q1 - 9:25SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
11.0%
8
89.0%
Q1 - 9:26DETMISS Gordon 21' Jump Shot2
11.2%
8
88.8%
Q1 - 9:41SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
11.8%
8
88.2%
Q1 - 9:57DETPrince 16' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
11.0%
8
89.0%
Q1 - 10:21SASParker 1' Layup (2 PTS)0
10.6%
8
89.4%
Q1 - 10:25DETParker STEAL (1 STL)0
11.1%
6
88.9%
Q1 - 10:37SASMcDyess 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)0
12.0%
6
88.0%
Q1 - 10:47SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
12.7%
4
87.3%
Q1 - 10:48DETMISS Gordon 14' Turnaround Jump Shot0
12.9%
4
87.1%
Q1 - 11:01SASJefferson 2' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)0
13.4%
4
86.6%
Q1 - 11:11SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
14.3%
2
85.7%
Q1 - 11:13DETMISS Wilcox 2' Alley Oop Layup0
14.5%
2
85.5%
Q1 - 11:14DETPistons Rebound0
15.1%
2
84.9%
Q1 - 11:14DETJefferson BLOCK (1 BLK)0
14.5%
2
85.5%
Q1 - 11:39SASDuncan 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)0
15.1%
2
84.9%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Wilcox: Tip to Parker0
16.0%
0
84.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.01 50.5%
SAS
1.35 67.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
18
34
53%
SAS
21
25
84%
Midrange
DET
18
46
39%
SAS
18
29
62%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
6
9.0
13
46%
69%
SAS
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
Free Throws
DET
14
20
70%
SAS
15
20
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hamilton2063%10.0 / 16
T. Prince1638%8.0 / 21
G. Monroe1657%8.0 / 14
T. McGrady1563%7.5 / 12
B. Gordon1260%6.0 / 10
J. Maxiell660%3.0 / 5
C. Villanueva643%3.0 / 7
C. Wilcox550%2.5 / 5
A. Daye542%2.5 / 6
R. Stuckey330%1.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker2377%11.5 / 15
M. Ginobili1777%8.5 / 11
T. Duncan1568%7.5 / 11
G. Neal1594%7.5 / 8
R. Jefferson1286%6.0 / 7
M. Bonner1169%5.5 / 8
A. McDyess867%4.0 / 6
G. Hill536%2.5 / 7
D. Blair550%2.5 / 5
J. Anderson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
78
+24
-12
102
SAS
75
+6
-14
81
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.01 50.5%
SAS
1.35 67.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
111.5
DET 115.6
SAS 124.7 +9.2
Pace
89.3
92.7
DET 89.9 +0.9
SAS 89.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.6
15.7
DET 16.0 +0.2
SAS 16.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.5%
52.7%
DET 48.4%
SAS 68.6% +20.2%
TO %
13.5%
13.8%
DET 10.5% +5.5%
SAS 16.0%
ORB %
27.4%
25.0%
DET 42.6% +21.8%
SAS 20.8%
FTrt
27.9
29.9
DET 21.5
SAS 28.6 +7.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.6%
58.3%
DET 52.4% +5.7%
SAS 46.7%
STL %
8.0%
7.9%
DET 7.8%
SAS 9.0% +1.2%
BLK %
6.6%
6.7%
DET 1.9%
SAS 5.0% +3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.9%
55.3%
DET 50.5%
SAS 67.7% +17.2%
Rim FG%
59.2%
60.3%
DET 52.9%
SAS 84.0% +31.1%
Mid FG%
38.8%
41.6%
DET 39.1%
SAS 62.1% +23.0%
3P %
37.6%
39.7%
DET 46.2% +8.7%
SAS 37.5%
FT %
73.7%
76.7%
DET 70.0%
SAS 75.0% +5.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.3%
34.3%
DET 36.6% +0.8%
SAS 35.7%
Mid Att. %
44.8%
39.7%
DET 49.5%
SAS 41.4% +8.0%
3P Att. %
18.9%
26.1%
DET 14.0%
SAS 22.9% +8.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsDETSAS
Possessions9089
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points104111
Rebounds3932
Assists2221
Steals78
Blocks14
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)20 (4)5 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)19 (2)27 (3)
Field Goals42-9345-70
At-the-Rim FG18-3421-25
Midrange FG18-4618-29
2-Point FG36-8039-54
3-Point FG6-136-16
Free Throws14-2015-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 212 · 31
37.1
16
38%
4
3
0
0
0
2
2
2
2-3
67%
7-19
37%
0-1
0%
G · 6'8" 225 · 32
35.5
15
63%
7
9
2
1
2
3
1
6
1-2
50%
4-9
44%
2-2
100%
C · 6'11" 265 · 21
32.3
16
57%
10
2
2
0
1
3
9
1
2-3
67%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 28
21.1
12
60%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1-1
100%
1-6
17%
3-4
75%
F · 6'10" 235 · 29
13.9
5
50%
1
0
2
0
0
1
1
0
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 193 · 33
30.9
20
63%
1
3
0
0
4
2
1
0
2-2
100%
9-14
64%
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 220 · 23
24.2
5
42%
5
2
0
0
3
6
0
5
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 205 · 25
15.8
3
30%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 260 · 28
15.7
6
60%
6
0
0
0
0
1
3
3
2-4
50%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 232 · 27
13.5
6
43%
5
1
1
0
0
3
3
2
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-3
0%
G · 6'0" 185 · 28
F · 6'8" 240 · 23
#33 · F · 6'10" 231 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#23 · G · 6'5" 213 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#6 · F-C · 6'9" 240 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
51%
39
22
7
1
12
0
20
19
14-20
70%
36-80
45%
6-13
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.