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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 9, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Thunder49%97110
1476ers51%98105
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.4
43.3
38.1
34
60%
16
2
0
1
1
4
0
16
5-5
100%
10-19
7-14
53%
50%
3-7
43%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.3
39.9
34.2
27
54%
5
12
1
1
0
7
3
2
2-5
40%
11-22
7-15
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 21.5
32.8
29.1
8
44%
8
2
0
0
2
2
3
5
0-0
-
4-9
4-8
44%
55%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.9
31.2
26.9
5
36%
2
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
51%
1-3
33%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 33.5
19.9
15.2
8
80%
6
0
0
0
0
1
5
1
0-0
-
4-5
3-5
80%
50%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 21.5
34.3
30.3
11
47%
3
2
1
1
1
3
0
3
4-4
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
49%
1-5
20%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.4
32.0
23.0
13
73%
10
0
1
1
0
0
4
6
1-2
50%
6-8
2-4
75%
55%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.9
18.5
17.6
2
50%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
38%
0-1
0%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.7
13.2
12.1
2
50%
1
6
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 22.4
5.9
0
0-1
51%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.1
2.3
0
0-1
48%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 29.2
2.3
0
0-0
42%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 26.3
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 26.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.1
43.8
36.8
14
54%
6
8
3
2
0
6
1
5
2-2
100%
3-7
4-9
43%
50%
2-5
40%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.5
42.0
29.2
17
65%
7
0
2
1
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
45%
3-8
38%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 20.7
41.8
36.4
22
62%
4
8
3
2
0
0
0
4
4-4
100%
6-11
5-10
55%
49%
2-5
40%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 32.0
41.2
30.5
13
38%
15
2
1
1
2
2
7
8
3-5
60%
5-15
6-11
33%
51%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 22.9
13.2
16.9
5
42%
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
1-5
3-5
20%
51%
1-1
100%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.7
28.9
30.0
4
20%
5
0
1
1
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
2-10
6-12
20%
54%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.4
23.5
19.3
22
63%
3
3
1
1
0
2
1
2
8-10
80%
4-8
3-6
50%
47%
2-5
40%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 23.6
17.0
12.6
8
80%
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-5
2-5
80%
50%
0-0
-
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 22.4
13.6
21.8
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
47%
0-0
-
Craig Brackins
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.4
3.4
0
0-1
51%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 31.3
3.0
0
0-0
47%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 35.1
2.9
0
0-1
47%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.1
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 33.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.