| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | 73% | 99 | 96 | |
| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
| POR | 126.5 | 83 | 74.3 |
| MIA | 114.3 | 84 | 95.1 |
Scoring Opportunities
POR
74
+14
-9
88
MIA
71
+13
-13
84
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
POR
1.19 59.7%
MIA
1.14 57.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | POR | MIA |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | POR | 105 100% | 96 0% | |
| Q4 - 0:16.0 | POR | Trail Blazers Rebound | 105 99.9% | 96 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:17.0 | MIA | MISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 105 99.9% | 96 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:23.0 | POR | Miller Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 105 99.9% | 96 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:23.0 | POR | Miller Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 104 99.9% | 96 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:33.0 | MIA | James 3' Driving Dunk (31 PTS) (Wade 5 AST) | 103 99.8% | 96 0.2% |
| Q4 - 0:39.0 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 103 99.8% | 94 0.2% |
| Q4 - 0:40.0 | POR | MISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 103 99.8% | 94 0.2% |
| Q4 - 1:02 | MIA | Wade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14) | 103 99.7% | 94 0.3% |
| Q4 - 1:05 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 103 99.3% | 94 0.7% |
| Q4 - 1:06 | POR | MISS Aldridge 19' Jump Shot | 103 99.4% | 94 0.6% |
| Q4 - 1:24 | POR | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8) | 103 99.4% | 94 0.6% |
| Q4 - 1:25 | MIA | MISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 103 99.2% | 94 0.8% |
| Q4 - 1:34 | POR | Matthews 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 103 98.4% | 94 1.6% |
| Q4 - 2:00 | MIA | Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (38 PTS) | 100 94.9% | 94 5.1% |
| Q4 - 2:07 | POR | Aldridge 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (26 PTS) | 100 97.9% | 91 2.1% |
| Q4 - 2:26 | MIA | Bosh Foul Turnover (P2.T13) | 98 97.2% | 91 2.8% |
| Q4 - 2:26 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 98 94.6% | 91 5.4% |
| Q4 - 2:27 | MIA | MISS James 3' Jump Shot | 98 96.6% | 91 3.4% |
| Q4 - 2:52 | POR | Miller 3' Driving Layup (12 PTS) | 98 92.4% | 91 7.6% |
| Q4 - 3:05 | POR | Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 96 89.9% | 91 10.1% |
| Q4 - 3:06 | MIA | MISS Bibby 3PT Jump Shot | 96 88.3% | 91 11.7% |
| Q4 - 3:25 | POR | Roy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Aldridge 1 AST) | 96 83.8% | 91 16.2% |
| Q4 - 3:59 | MIA | Wade 8' Running Jump Shot (35 PTS) | 93 62.8% | 91 37.2% |
| Q4 - 4:15 | POR | Wallace 4' Jump Shot (22 PTS) | 93 70.9% | 89 29.1% |
| Q4 - 4:35 | MIA | James 2' Dunk (29 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST) | 91 63.2% | 89 36.8% |
| Q4 - 4:38 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10) | 91 71.1% | 87 28.9% |
| Q4 - 4:39 | POR | MISS Miller 12' Jump Shot | 91 73.7% | 87 26.3% |
| Q4 - 4:53 | POR | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 91 79.1% | 87 20.9% |
| Q4 - 4:54 | MIA | MISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot | 91 76.9% | 87 23.1% |
| Q4 - 5:05 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9) | 91 66.0% | 87 34.0% |
| Q4 - 5:06 | POR | MISS Aldridge 20' Jump Shot | 91 68.5% | 87 31.5% |
| Q4 - 5:25 | MIA | Wade 8' Driving Jump Shot (33 PTS) | 91 73.8% | 87 26.2% |
| Q4 - 5:39 | POR | Miller 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 91 79.6% | 85 20.4% |
| Q4 - 6:07 | MIA | Wade 3' Driving Layup (31 PTS) | 89 69.2% | 85 30.8% |
| Q4 - 6:20 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8) | 89 75.0% | 83 25.0% |
| Q4 - 6:21 | POR | MISS Fernandez 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 89 76.8% | 83 23.2% |
| Q4 - 6:43 | MIA | Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 8 AST) | 89 80.8% | 83 19.2% |
| Q4 - 6:59 | POR | Wallace Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS) | 89 88.3% | 80 11.7% |
| Q4 - 7:20 | POR | Trail Blazers Rebound | 86 77.0% | 80 23.0% |
| Q4 - 7:21 | MIA | MISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 86 75.4% | 80 24.6% |
| Q4 - 7:33 | POR | Miller 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 86 71.4% | 80 28.6% |
| Q4 - 8:04 | MIA | Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST) | 84 62.5% | 80 37.5% |
| Q4 - 8:25 | POR | Wallace 3' Layup (17 PTS) | 84 73.9% | 77 26.1% |
| Q4 - 8:40 | POR | Aldridge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 82 68.6% | 77 31.4% |
| Q4 - 8:41 | POR | MISS Mills 20' Jump Shot | 82 64.7% | 77 35.3% |
| Q4 - 9:05 | MIA | James Foul Turnover (P4.T12) | 82 65.9% | 77 34.1% |
| Q4 - 9:18 | POR | Bosh STEAL (1 STL) | 82 60.5% | 77 39.5% |
| Q4 - 9:34 | POR | Aldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 82 66.0% | 77 34.0% |
| Q4 - 9:35 | MIA | MISS Bosh 8' Hook Shot | 82 64.4% | 77 35.6% |
| Q4 - 9:52 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 82 60.6% | 77 39.4% |
| Q4 - 9:53 | POR | MISS Roy 17' Jump Shot | 82 62.3% | 77 37.7% |
| Q4 - 10:08 | POR | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 82 63.7% | 77 36.3% |
| Q4 - 10:09 | MIA | MISS Miller 7' Hook Shot | 82 62.1% | 77 37.9% |
| Q4 - 10:11 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 82 58.3% | 77 41.7% |
| Q4 - 10:13 | MIA | MISS Miller 17' Jump Shot | 82 62.1% | 77 37.9% |
| Q4 - 10:44 | POR | Aldridge 16' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST) | 82 58.4% | 77 41.6% |
| Q4 - 10:59 | POR | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 80 52.9% | 77 47.1% |
| Q4 - 11:00 | MIA | MISS Bosh 12' Jump Bank Shot | 80 51.2% | 77 48.8% |
| Q4 - 11:17 | POR | Fernandez 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mills 4 AST) | 80 45.9% | 77 54.1% |
| Q4 - 11:33 | MIA | Wade 2' Driving Dunk (26 PTS) | 77 35.5% | 77 64.5% |
| Q4 - 11:37 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 77 40.7% | 75 59.3% |
| Q4 - 11:38 | POR | Wade BLOCK (2 BLK) | 77 42.2% | 75 57.8% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 77 46.0% | 75 54.0% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 77 40.7% | 75 59.3% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS Wade 76' 3PT Jump Shot | 77 44.3% | 75 55.7% |
| Q3 - 0:01.0 | POR | Mills 12' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) | 77 40.0% | 75 60.0% |
| Q3 - 0:15.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS) | 75 34.8% | 75 65.2% |
| Q3 - 0:15.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS) | 75 35.8% | 74 64.2% |
| Q3 - 0:15.0 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 75 40.0% | 73 60.0% |
| Q3 - 0:16.0 | POR | MISS Matthews 11' Floating Jump Shot | 75 41.4% | 73 58.6% |
| Q3 - 0:34.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS) | 75 44.7% | 73 55.3% |
| Q3 - 0:34.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS) | 75 45.8% | 72 54.2% |
| Q3 - 0:48.0 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 75 50.2% | 71 49.8% |
| Q3 - 0:49.0 | POR | MISS Matthews 3PT Jump Shot | 75 51.7% | 71 48.3% |
| Q3 - 0:53.0 | POR | Camby REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2) | 75 54.9% | 71 45.1% |
| Q3 - 0:54.0 | POR | MISS Fernandez 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 75 51.7% | 71 48.3% |
| Q3 - 1:09 | POR | Fernandez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 75 53.3% | 71 46.7% |
| Q3 - 1:10 | POR | MISS Mills 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 75 50.2% | 71 49.8% |
| Q3 - 1:30 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS) | 75 53.4% | 71 46.6% |
| Q3 - 1:30 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS) | 75 54.5% | 70 45.5% |
| Q3 - 1:38 | MIA | Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 75 58.7% | 69 41.3% |
| Q3 - 1:39 | POR | MISS Mills 20' Jump Shot | 75 60.1% | 69 39.9% |
| Q3 - 1:48 | POR | Mills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 75 63.0% | 69 37.0% |
| Q3 - 1:49 | MIA | MISS Bosh 10' Turnaround Jump Shot | 75 61.8% | 69 38.2% |
| Q3 - 2:09 | POR | Aldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS) | 75 56.3% | 69 43.7% |
| Q3 - 2:09 | POR | Aldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS) | 74 55.4% | 69 44.6% |
| Q3 - 2:23 | POR | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 73 51.6% | 69 48.4% |
| Q3 - 2:24 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 2 of 2 | 73 51.0% | 69 49.0% |
| Q3 - 2:24 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 1 of 2 | 73 47.9% | 69 52.1% |
| Q3 - 2:40 | POR | Miller 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS) | 73 47.1% | 69 52.9% |
| Q3 - 2:50 | POR | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 71 42.3% | 69 57.7% |
| Q3 - 2:51 | MIA | MISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 71 41.0% | 69 59.0% |
| Q3 - 3:08 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 71 36.7% | 69 63.3% |
| Q3 - 3:09 | MIA | MISS Miller 3' Layup | 71 39.8% | 69 60.2% |
| Q3 - 3:13 | POR | Chalmers STEAL (2 STL) | 71 36.7% | 69 63.3% |
| Q3 - 3:35 | MIA | Wade 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS) | 71 41.3% | 69 58.7% |
| Q3 - 3:50 | POR | Aldridge 15' Jump Shot (20 PTS) | 71 45.5% | 67 54.5% |
| Q3 - 4:11 | MIA | James 16' Jump Shot (27 PTS) | 69 40.8% | 67 59.2% |
| Q3 - 4:34 | POR | Aldridge 3' Tip Shot (18 PTS) | 69 44.4% | 65 55.6% |
| Q3 - 4:34 | POR | Aldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 67 40.8% | 65 59.2% |
| Q3 - 4:35 | POR | MISS Aldridge 4' Dunk | 67 37.4% | 65 62.6% |
| Q3 - 4:53 | MIA | James 9' Fadeaway Jumper (25 PTS) | 67 40.9% | 65 59.1% |
| Q3 - 5:14 | POR | Miller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8) | 67 43.3% | 63 56.7% |
| Q3 - 5:17 | MIA | Anthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11) | 67 47.9% | 63 52.1% |
| Q3 - 5:33 | POR | Trail Blazers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7) | 67 43.3% | 63 56.7% |
| Q3 - 5:33 | POR | Trail Blazers Rebound | 67 48.0% | 63 52.0% |
| Q3 - 5:34 | POR | MISS Miller 2' Driving Layup | 67 44.7% | 63 55.3% |
| Q3 - 5:58 | POR | Matthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 67 48.1% | 63 51.9% |
| Q3 - 5:59 | MIA | MISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 67 46.6% | 63 53.4% |
| Q3 - 6:01 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 67 42.0% | 63 58.0% |
| Q3 - 6:02 | MIA | MISS Wade 9' Jump Shot | 67 45.1% | 63 54.9% |
| Q3 - 6:12 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 67 42.1% | 63 57.9% |
| Q3 - 6:13 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 67 45.1% | 63 54.9% |
| Q3 - 6:34 | POR | Aldridge 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Matthews 5 AST) | 67 42.1% | 63 57.9% |
| Q3 - 7:01 | MIA | James 21' Jump Shot (23 PTS) | 65 37.3% | 63 62.7% |
| Q3 - 7:08 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 65 40.8% | 61 59.2% |
| Q3 - 7:10 | POR | MISS Camby 18' Jump Shot | 65 42.0% | 61 58.0% |
| Q3 - 7:17 | POR | Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 65 44.8% | 61 55.2% |
| Q3 - 7:18 | MIA | MISS Wade 14' Jump Shot | 65 43.6% | 61 56.4% |
| Q3 - 7:43 | POR | Aldridge 9' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS) (Matthews 4 AST) | 65 40.9% | 61 59.1% |
| Q3 - 8:03 | MIA | Bosh 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 7 AST) | 63 36.9% | 61 63.1% |
| Q3 - 8:12 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 63 40.3% | 59 59.7% |
| Q3 - 8:13 | POR | MISS Aldridge 21' Jump Shot | 63 41.5% | 59 58.5% |
| Q3 - 8:38 | MIA | Wade 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS) | 63 44.2% | 59 55.8% |
| Q3 - 8:55 | POR | James STEAL (1 STL) | 63 47.7% | 57 52.3% |
| Q3 - 9:14 | MIA | James 2' Driving Layup (21 PTS) | 63 50.5% | 57 49.5% |
| Q3 - 9:25 | POR | Batum 3' Tip Shot (11 PTS) | 63 54.2% | 55 45.8% |
| Q3 - 9:26 | POR | Batum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 61 50.6% | 55 49.4% |
| Q3 - 9:27 | POR | MISS Aldridge 17' Jump Shot | 61 48.0% | 55 52.0% |
| Q3 - 9:40 | POR | Matthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 61 50.6% | 55 49.4% |
| Q3 - 9:41 | MIA | MISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 61 49.5% | 55 50.5% |
| Q3 - 10:07 | POR | Batum Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 61 45.5% | 55 54.5% |
| Q3 - 10:07 | POR | Batum Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 60 45.0% | 55 55.0% |
| Q3 - 10:23 | MIA | Chalmers 3' Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 4 AST) | 59 42.2% | 55 57.8% |
| Q3 - 10:27 | POR | Wade STEAL (1 STL) | 59 45.6% | 53 54.4% |
| Q3 - 10:37 | POR | Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 59 49.3% | 53 50.7% |
| Q3 - 10:38 | MIA | MISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot | 59 48.2% | 53 51.8% |
| Q3 - 10:51 | POR | Matthews Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 59 45.6% | 53 54.4% |
| Q3 - 10:51 | POR | Matthews Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 58 45.1% | 53 54.9% |
| Q3 - 11:17 | MIA | Dampier 3' Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST) | 57 41.4% | 53 58.6% |
| Q3 - 11:22 | POR | Chalmers STEAL (1 STL) | 57 44.5% | 51 55.5% |
| Q3 - 11:35 | POR | Batum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 57 48.2% | 51 51.8% |
| Q3 - 11:36 | MIA | MISS Bosh 6' Hook Shot | 57 47.1% | 51 52.9% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 57 44.6% | 51 55.4% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 57 44.6% | 51 55.4% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS Wade 22' Jump Shot | 57 47.1% | 51 52.9% |
| Q2 - 0:02.0 | POR | Aldridge 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Roy 1 AST) | 57 44.2% | 51 55.8% |
| Q2 - 0:26.0 | POR | Batum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 55 40.2% | 51 59.8% |
| Q2 - 0:27.0 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 55 39.5% | 51 60.5% |
| Q2 - 0:44.0 | POR | Matthews Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3) | 55 37.7% | 51 62.3% |
| Q2 - 1:08 | MIA | James 2' Layup (19 PTS) (Wade 3 AST) | 55 39.5% | 51 60.5% |
| Q2 - 1:24 | POR | Matthews 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Miller 4 AST) | 55 43.6% | 49 56.4% |
| Q2 - 1:47 | MIA | Chalmers Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T10) | 52 36.5% | 49 63.5% |
| Q2 - 2:04 | POR | Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS) | 52 33.3% | 49 66.7% |
| Q2 - 2:04 | POR | Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS) | 51 32.7% | 49 67.3% |
| Q2 - 2:27 | MIA | James 6' Jump Shot (17 PTS) | 50 30.7% | 49 69.3% |
| Q2 - 2:53 | POR | Wallace 3' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Miller 3 AST) | 50 33.4% | 47 66.6% |
| Q2 - 3:02 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9) | 48 30.4% | 47 69.6% |
| Q2 - 3:09 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 48 27.4% | 47 72.6% |
| Q2 - 3:10 | POR | MISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 48 28.3% | 47 71.7% |
| Q2 - 3:14 | POR | Trail Blazers Rebound | 48 30.4% | 47 69.6% |
| Q2 - 3:15 | POR | Wade BLOCK (1 BLK) | 48 28.3% | 47 71.7% |
| Q2 - 3:44 | MIA | Wade 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 6 AST) | 48 30.5% | 47 69.5% |
| Q2 - 3:54 | MIA | Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 48 32.7% | 45 67.3% |
| Q2 - 3:55 | POR | MISS Wallace 3' Driving Layup | 48 33.7% | 45 66.3% |
| Q2 - 4:12 | MIA | Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST) | 48 35.0% | 45 65.0% |
| Q2 - 4:28 | POR | Batum Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS) | 48 40.5% | 42 59.5% |
| Q2 - 4:47 | MIA | James 3' Dunk (15 PTS) (Miller 2 AST) | 45 35.1% | 42 64.9% |
| Q2 - 4:50 | MIA | Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 45 37.6% | 40 62.4% |
| Q2 - 4:51 | MIA | MISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot | 45 39.8% | 40 60.2% |
| Q2 - 5:00 | MIA | Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 45 37.6% | 40 62.4% |
| Q2 - 5:01 | POR | MISS Aldridge 2' Layup | 45 38.1% | 40 61.9% |
| Q2 - 5:21 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 45 40.0% | 40 60.0% |
| Q2 - 5:21 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 | 45 40.6% | 39 59.4% |
| Q2 - 5:21 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 45 40.1% | 39 59.9% |
| Q2 - 5:22 | MIA | MISS James 5' Jump Shot | 45 42.0% | 39 58.0% |
| Q2 - 5:41 | POR | Aldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 45 40.1% | 39 59.9% |
| Q2 - 5:41 | POR | Aldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 44 39.5% | 39 60.5% |
| Q2 - 5:46 | MIA | Bibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8) | 43 37.3% | 39 62.7% |
| Q2 - 6:00 | POR | Roy 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Mills 3 AST) | 43 34.6% | 39 65.4% |
| Q2 - 6:24 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7) | 40 29.4% | 39 70.6% |
| Q2 - 6:31 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 40 26.7% | 39 73.3% |
| Q2 - 6:32 | POR | MISS Aldridge 13' Jump Shot | 40 27.5% | 39 72.5% |
| Q2 - 6:50 | MIA | Bosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6) | 40 29.4% | 39 70.6% |
| Q2 - 7:10 | POR | Roy 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Fernandez 2 AST) | 40 26.5% | 39 73.5% |
| Q2 - 7:28 | POR | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 37 22.5% | 39 77.5% |
| Q2 - 7:29 | MIA | MISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 37 21.9% | 39 78.1% |
| Q2 - 7:40 | POR | Wallace Free Throw 3 of 3 (11 PTS) | 37 20.5% | 39 79.5% |
| Q2 - 7:40 | POR | MISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 3 | 36 20.1% | 39 79.9% |
| Q2 - 7:40 | POR | Wallace Free Throw 1 of 3 (10 PTS) | 36 21.5% | 39 78.5% |
| Q2 - 7:56 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS) | 35 18.9% | 39 81.1% |
| Q2 - 8:09 | POR | Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Mills 2 AST) | 35 22.3% | 36 77.7% |
| Q2 - 8:18 | POR | Fernandez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 32 18.8% | 36 81.2% |
| Q2 - 8:19 | MIA | MISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 32 18.3% | 36 81.7% |
| Q2 - 8:27 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 32 17.2% | 36 82.8% |
| Q2 - 8:28 | POR | MISS Camby 3' Tip Shot | 32 17.7% | 36 82.3% |
| Q2 - 8:29 | POR | Camby REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2) | 32 18.8% | 36 81.2% |
| Q2 - 8:30 | POR | MISS Roy 7' Jump Shot | 32 17.7% | 36 82.3% |
| Q2 - 8:53 | MIA | Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 5 AST) | 32 18.8% | 36 81.2% |
| Q2 - 9:15 | POR | Wallace 2' Tip Shot (6 PTS) | 32 22.1% | 33 77.9% |
| Q2 - 9:16 | POR | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 30 20.4% | 33 79.6% |
| Q2 - 9:17 | POR | MISS Wallace 3' Driving Layup | 30 19.2% | 33 80.8% |
| Q2 - 9:32 | MIA | James 2' Driving Dunk (13 PTS) | 30 20.4% | 33 79.6% |
| Q2 - 9:50 | POR | Roy 3' Layup (5 PTS) (Mills 1 AST) | 30 22.1% | 31 77.9% |
| Q2 - 9:55 | POR | Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 28 20.5% | 31 79.5% |
| Q2 - 9:56 | MIA | MISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 28 19.9% | 31 80.1% |
| Q2 - 10:07 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 28 18.8% | 31 81.2% |
| Q2 - 10:08 | POR | MISS Fernandez 2' Dunk | 28 19.3% | 31 80.7% |
| Q2 - 10:10 | POR | Camby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2) | 28 20.6% | 31 79.4% |
| Q2 - 10:11 | POR | MISS Fernandez 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 28 19.3% | 31 80.7% |
| Q2 - 10:27 | MIA | James 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ilgauskas 1 AST) | 28 20.6% | 31 79.4% |
| Q2 - 10:51 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 28 23.9% | 28 76.1% |
| Q2 - 10:52 | POR | MISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 28 24.5% | 28 75.5% |
| Q2 - 11:05 | MIA | HEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5) | 28 26.0% | 28 74.0% |
| Q2 - 11:05 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 28 24.0% | 28 76.0% |
| Q2 - 11:06 | MIA | MISS James 21' Jump Shot | 28 25.3% | 28 74.7% |
| Q2 - 11:29 | POR | Roy Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS) | 28 24.0% | 28 76.0% |
| Q2 - 11:47 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS) | 25 20.6% | 28 79.4% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 25 24.0% | 25 76.0% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 25 24.0% | 25 76.0% |
| Q1 - 0:01.0 | POR | MISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 25 24.4% | 25 75.6% |
| Q1 - 0:24.0 | MIA | James 3' Layup (8 PTS) | 25 25.4% | 25 74.6% |
| Q1 - 0:25.0 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 25 27.7% | 23 72.3% |
| Q1 - 0:26.0 | MIA | MISS Miller 19' Jump Shot | 25 28.8% | 23 71.2% |
| Q1 - 0:31.0 | POR | Miller STEAL (1 STL) | 25 27.7% | 23 72.3% |
| Q1 - 0:44.0 | MIA | Miller 3' Layup (2 PTS) (James 3 AST) | 25 29.3% | 23 70.7% |
| Q1 - 0:56.0 | POR | Wallace 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Fernandez 1 AST) | 25 31.8% | 21 68.2% |
| Q1 - 1:05 | POR | Camby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 23 28.9% | 21 71.1% |
| Q1 - 1:06 | POR | MISS Camby 2' Layup | 23 27.9% | 21 72.1% |
| Q1 - 1:07 | POR | Camby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 23 28.9% | 21 71.1% |
| Q1 - 1:08 | POR | MISS Wallace 3' Layup | 23 27.9% | 21 72.1% |
| Q1 - 1:30 | POR | Camby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 23 28.9% | 21 71.1% |
| Q1 - 1:31 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 2 of 2 | 23 28.7% | 21 71.3% |
| Q1 - 1:31 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 23 27.4% | 21 72.6% |
| Q1 - 1:43 | MIA | Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 23 29.4% | 20 70.6% |
| Q1 - 1:44 | POR | MISS Aldridge 14' Turnaround Jump Shot | 23 29.9% | 20 70.1% |
| Q1 - 2:04 | MIA | Wade 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS) | 23 31.0% | 20 69.0% |
| Q1 - 2:22 | POR | Aldridge 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Miller 2 AST) | 23 33.2% | 18 66.8% |
| Q1 - 2:44 | MIA | James Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4) | 21 31.0% | 18 69.0% |
| Q1 - 2:49 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 21 29.2% | 18 70.8% |
| Q1 - 2:51 | POR | MISS Fernandez 21' Jump Shot | 21 29.8% | 18 70.2% |
| Q1 - 3:12 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 21 30.7% | 18 69.3% |
| Q1 - 3:12 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 21 31.2% | 17 68.8% |
| Q1 - 3:12 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw Technical (5 PTS) | 21 32.6% | 16 67.4% |
| Q1 - 3:31 | POR | Wallace 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 21 34.7% | 15 65.3% |
| Q1 - 3:54 | MIA | James 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS) | 19 32.8% | 15 67.2% |
| Q1 - 4:14 | POR | Matthews 6' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 19 33.8% | 13 66.2% |
| Q1 - 4:34 | MIA | Chalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3) | 17 32.0% | 13 68.0% |
| Q1 - 4:58 | POR | Miller 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Matthews 3 AST) | 17 30.0% | 13 70.0% |
| Q1 - 5:26 | MIA | Bosh 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST) | 15 28.0% | 13 72.0% |
| Q1 - 5:48 | POR | Aldridge 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Batum 1 AST) | 15 29.6% | 11 70.4% |
| Q1 - 6:06 | POR | Aldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 13 27.5% | 11 72.5% |
| Q1 - 6:07 | POR | MISS Batum 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 13 26.3% | 11 73.7% |
| Q1 - 6:22 | MIA | James 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST) | 13 27.6% | 11 72.4% |
| Q1 - 6:43 | POR | Miller 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Matthews 2 AST) | 13 31.0% | 8 69.0% |
| Q1 - 7:00 | MIA | James Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2) | 11 29.3% | 8 70.7% |
| Q1 - 7:05 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 11 27.0% | 8 73.0% |
| Q1 - 7:06 | POR | MISS Camby 2' Tip Shot | 11 27.5% | 8 72.5% |
| Q1 - 7:07 | POR | Camby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 11 28.8% | 8 71.2% |
| Q1 - 7:08 | POR | MISS Aldridge 15' Jump Shot | 11 27.5% | 8 72.5% |
| Q1 - 7:29 | POR | Batum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 11 28.8% | 8 71.2% |
| Q1 - 7:30 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot | 11 28.3% | 8 71.7% |
| Q1 - 7:48 | POR | Batum Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1) | 11 27.0% | 8 73.0% |
| Q1 - 8:02 | MIA | Wade 3' Layup (4 PTS) (James 2 AST) | 11 28.3% | 8 71.7% |
| Q1 - 8:22 | POR | Camby Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS) | 11 30.0% | 6 70.0% |
| Q1 - 8:34 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 8 26.7% | 6 73.3% |
| Q1 - 8:34 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 8 27.1% | 5 72.9% |
| Q1 - 8:40 | MIA | Dampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 8 28.4% | 4 71.6% |
| Q1 - 8:41 | POR | MISS Matthews 9' Turnaround Jump Shot | 8 28.8% | 4 71.2% |
| Q1 - 9:00 | MIA | James Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 8 30.0% | 4 70.0% |
| Q1 - 9:02 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 8 28.0% | 4 72.0% |
| Q1 - 9:03 | POR | MISS Camby 20' Jump Shot | 8 28.5% | 4 71.5% |
| Q1 - 9:16 | POR | Matthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 8 29.6% | 4 70.4% |
| Q1 - 9:17 | MIA | MISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot | 8 29.1% | 4 70.9% |
| Q1 - 9:34 | POR | Aldridge 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 8 28.1% | 4 71.9% |
| Q1 - 9:51 | POR | Camby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 6 26.5% | 4 73.5% |
| Q1 - 9:52 | MIA | MISS James 15' Jump Shot | 6 26.1% | 4 73.9% |
| Q1 - 9:58 | MIA | Dampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 6 25.1% | 4 74.9% |
| Q1 - 9:59 | MIA | MISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot | 6 26.1% | 4 73.9% |
| Q1 - 10:06 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 6 24.7% | 4 75.3% |
| Q1 - 10:07 | MIA | MISS Dampier 3' Layup | 6 25.8% | 4 74.2% |
| Q1 - 10:25 | POR | Batum 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Miller 1 AST) | 6 24.7% | 4 75.3% |
| Q1 - 10:40 | MIA | Chalmers 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 4 23.6% | 4 76.4% |
| Q1 - 11:06 | POR | Batum 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Camby 1 AST) | 4 24.3% | 2 75.7% |
| Q1 - 11:29 | MIA | Chalmers 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST) | 2 23.0% | 2 77.0% |
| Q1 - 11:47 | POR | Aldridge 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Matthews 1 AST) | 2 24.3% | 0 75.7% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | MIA | Jump Ball Dampier vs. Camby: Tip to Aldridge | 0 23.1% | 0 76.9% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
POR
1.19 59.7%
MIA
1.14 57.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
POR
15
26
58%
MIA
20
24
83%
Midrange
POR
18
36
50%
MIA
10
26
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
POR
7
10.5
17
41%
62%
MIA
7
10.5
22
32%
48%
Free Throws
POR
18
19
95%
MIA
15
19
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Trail Blazers| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Aldridge | 26 | 59% | 13.0 / 22 | |
| G. Wallace | 22 | 69% | 11.0 / 16 | |
| A. Miller | 14 | 78% | 7.0 / 9 | |
| B. Roy | 14 | 88% | 7.0 / 8 | |
| N. Batum | 11 | 110% | 5.5 / 5 | |
| W. Matthews | 10 | 63% | 5.0 / 8 | |
| M. Camby | 3 | 25% | 1.5 / 6 | |
| R. Fernandez | 3 | 25% | 1.5 / 6 | |
| P. Mills | 2 | 20% | 1.0 / 5 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Wade | 38 | 70% | 19.0 / 27 | |
| L. James | 31 | 70% | 15.5 / 22 | |
| M. Chalmers | 10 | 71% | 5.0 / 7 | |
| C. Bosh | 7 | 32% | 3.5 / 11 | |
| M. Bibby | 6 | 75% | 3.0 / 4 | |
| E. Dampier | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 | |
| M. Miller | 2 | 14% | 1.0 / 7 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
POR
74
+14
-9
88
MIA
71
+13
-13
84
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
POR
1.19 59.7%
MIA
1.14 57.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 108.7 111.4 | POR 126.5 +12.2 MIA 114.3 |
| Pace | 88.1 91.3 | POR 74.3 MIA 95.1 +20.8 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 17.0 16.2 | POR 19.4 MIA 15.1 +4.2 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 48.6% 52.4% | POR 55.1% MIA 56.3% +1.2% |
| TO % | 14.0% 14.4% | POR 10.3% +4.5% MIA 14.8% |
| ORB % | 29.5% 25.2% | POR 32.4% +11.0% MIA 21.4% |
| FTrt | 27.8 36.3 | POR 24.1 MIA 26.4 +2.3 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 58.8% 54.1% | POR 52.5% MIA 54.1% +1.6% |
| STL % | 9.1% 7.3% | POR 9.6% +2.5% MIA 7.1% |
| BLK % | 7.5% 8.5% | POR 6.0% +2.8% MIA 3.2% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 51.8% 55.7% | POR 59.7% +2.6% MIA 57.1% |
| Rim FG% | 59.3% 64.7% | POR 57.7% MIA 83.3% +25.6% |
| Mid FG% | 37.7% 42.2% | POR 50.0% +11.5% MIA 38.5% |
| 3P % | 34.5% 37.0% | POR 41.2% +9.4% MIA 31.8% |
| FT % | 80.4% 76.9% | POR 94.7% +15.8% MIA 78.9% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 35.8% 31.6% | POR 32.9% MIA 33.3% +0.4% |
| Mid Att. % | 41.4% 44.9% | POR 45.6% MIA 36.1% +9.5% |
| 3P Att. % | 22.8% 23.5% | POR 21.5% MIA 30.6% +9.0% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
| Game Totals | POR | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 83 | 84 |
| Possession Minutes | 26.8 | 21.2 |
| Points | 105 | 96 |
| Rebounds | 34 | 31 |
| Assists | 21 | 20 |
| Steals | 8 | 6 |
| Blocks | 3 | 2 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 9 (1) | 13 (1) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 12 (2) | 6 (7) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 22 (2) | 25 (0) |
| Field Goals | 40-79 | 37-72 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 15-26 | 20-24 |
| Midrange FG | 18-36 | 10-26 |
| 2-Point FG | 33-62 | 30-50 |
| 3-Point FG | 7-17 | 7-22 |
| Free Throws | 18-19 | 15-19 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.