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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 16, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Nuggets54%9994
19Bucks46%9887
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.7
44.1
34.1
38
59%
12
2
1
1
0
2
0
12
5-5
100%
15-26
7-15
58%
47%
1-4
25%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 34.4
36.1
28.7
20
62%
4
4
1
1
0
3
0
4
7-7
100%
5-11
2-5
45%
44%
1-2
50%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 33.1
35.4
24.1
11
59%
9
7
0
1
5
1
2
7
3-3
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.3
29.1
34.5
3
30%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-5
0%
52%
1-2
50%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 28.4
26.4
29.7
10
73%
5
0
0
1
1
2
1
4
2-2
100%
4-6
5-9
67%
58%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25.4
22.8
22.7
3
26%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-4
3-5
25%
48%
0-1
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.6
17.2
12.3
2
27%
4
1
2
0
1
0
0
4
2-4
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
53%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.0
17.0
19.2
7
60%
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
5
1-2
50%
3-3
2-3
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 23.3
11.9
23.8
0
0%
1
0
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-5
0%
53%
0-0
-
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.0
9.1
0
1-2
47%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 35.7
4.5
0
0-1
45%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27.3
3.3
0
0-1
46%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 32.8
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 26.2
44.8
33.0
3
17%
20
2
0
1
5
3
1
19
1-4
25%
1-7
6-11
14%
53%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 31.2
42.4
35.5
33
64%
4
1
0
1
2
0
0
4
6-6
100%
12-17
4-10
71%
46%
1-6
17%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.4
41.7
28.0
8
51%
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-7
3-5
43%
50%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 28.5
29.2
32.0
12
49%
3
1
1
1
1
0
0
3
4-5
80%
4-4
3-6
100%
45%
0-6
0%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 21.4
27.1
32.2
4
17%
2
3
2
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-5
4-10
20%
42%
0-6
0%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 31.3
24.7
21.0
16
50%
5
2
0
0
0
0
1
4
7-9
78%
3-9
4-7
33%
51%
1-3
33%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 34.7
20.9
5.8
5
42%
1
5
3
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
46%
1-2
50%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 22.2
6.1
4.5
6
75%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-1
75%
50%
0-0
-
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 23.9
3.2
11.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.8
20.5
1
3-6
50%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.8
20.0
1
2-3
46%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 24.1
5.2
0
1-1
47%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 29.4
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 31.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.