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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 16, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Hawks46%10190
14Knicks54%103102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 24.7
40.3
27.9
17
57%
8
3
2
1
0
0
0
8
1-2
50%
5-9
3-6
56%
50%
2-5
40%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 25.2
40.2
37.0
14
40%
5
2
2
1
1
3
0
5
2-3
67%
6-13
7-13
46%
51%
0-3
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.8
36.0
32.4
15
94%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
45%
5-7
71%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.7
34.7
34.4
12
50%
11
4
1
1
1
2
3
8
0-0
-
6-12
6-11
50%
55%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.6
33.0
34.1
11
44%
7
6
0
1
0
2
2
5
0-1
0%
4-10
6-12
40%
49%
1-2
50%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.9
25.6
27.9
7
31%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-1
0%
2-8
3-6
25%
47%
1-3
33%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.3
12.3
9.6
5
63%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
49%
1-1
100%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 27.0
5.4
12.9
2
35%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 31.1
4.9
7.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 22.7
3.8
5.0
5
83%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
45%
1-1
100%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.1
3.8
3.2
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.2
13.3
0
1-2
44%
Pape Sy
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 22.9
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 22.3
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 32.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.5
36.9
33.5
17
62%
9
1
1
1
0
0
1
8
4-4
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
49%
3-8
38%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 22.6
36.8
34.3
11
94%
9
5
2
1
0
1
0
9
1-2
50%
2-3
3-5
67%
57%
2-2
100%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 26.6
36.7
34.5
13
39%
2
11
2
1
1
3
0
2
1-2
50%
6-14
4-9
43%
48%
0-2
0%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.3
32.6
30.7
23
56%
7
3
0
1
3
5
1
6
7-8
88%
8-17
9-16
47%
54%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 24.6
13.9
23.1
4
67%
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
51%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.8
35.0
34.2
20
67%
5
0
1
1
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
7-9
5-9
78%
52%
2-6
33%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.9
15.4
21.1
5
40%
1
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
2-3
67%
0-3
2-4
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 28.1
15.4
12.7
4
69%
6
1
0
0
1
1
2
4
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
57%
0-0
-
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.0
10.3
18.4
5
63%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
1-3
33%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.4
7.0
8.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
56%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 21.6
2.7
0
0-1
46%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.4
2.5
0
0-0
42%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 27.2
Andy Rautins
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.3
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 28.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.