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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 16, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Nets15%8480
2Celtics85%9894
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 22.9
36.9
32.5
18
53%
5
3
0
1
4
6
3
2
2-2
100%
8-16
7-15
50%
47%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.0
30.4
29.8
16
52%
3
5
1
1
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
5-10
3-8
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.4
29.5
29.9
14
48%
4
1
0
1
0
2
0
4
1-1
100%
2-8
3-6
25%
46%
3-6
50%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 19.6
18.9
20.1
4
69%
7
1
0
0
0
0
4
3
2-2
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 26.4
15.1
23.1
4
72%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
2-4
50%
1-1
2-5
100%
42%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.9
29.4
24.6
4
22%
5
5
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
42%
0-4
0%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 29.8
26.0
11.9
7
64%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
1-1
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
39%
0-1
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.0
21.5
23.2
5
43%
6
0
0
0
0
1
1
5
1-2
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
46%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.2
18.6
18.1
6
43%
4
1
0
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
2-5
40%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 25.1
10.8
11.4
2
20%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
45%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.7
1.4
6.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Ben Uzoh
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.9
1.4
5.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
40%
0-0
-
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.4
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 30.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 35.6
37.5
37.8
12
51%
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
4-9
4-8
44%
54%
1-2
50%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 25.0
36.5
40.5
7
52%
5
8
4
2
0
1
1
4
3-4
75%
2-4
6-10
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 33.3
33.1
37.5
31
65%
5
0
1
1
1
1
0
5
10-13
77%
9-13
5-9
69%
53%
1-5
20%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 34.7
32.7
32.7
14
45%
10
3
0
1
2
1
4
6
4-6
67%
5-13
6-11
38%
54%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 26.3
27.4
30.2
5
43%
8
0
1
0
1
3
2
6
3-4
75%
1-4
3-5
25%
59%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 25.1
21.4
27.5
4
34%
3
0
1
1
0
2
2
1
2-2
100%
1-5
4-9
20%
50%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 25.6
20.2
14.0
7
74%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
2-3
1-3
67%
50%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 26.7
14.9
7.1
4
29%
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
50%
0-3
0%
Luke Harangody
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.1
14.5
3.5
8
58%
3
0
1
0
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-6
0-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 20.2
1.9
1.0
2
114%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 38.9
4.4
0
1-1
61%
Semih Erden
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.6
3.7
0
0-1
58%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.6
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 30.1
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 32.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.