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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 16, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Heat79%106103
25Raptors21%9595
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 29.1
39.7
39.2
28
63%
7
1
1
2
2
5
2
5
8-10
80%
10-18
9-17
56%
53%
0-0
-
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 26.9
38.6
37.1
25
59%
6
2
1
1
0
2
0
6
11-12
92%
7-15
7-13
47%
52%
0-1
0%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 26.1
37.6
38.5
23
51%
13
8
0
2
0
5
3
10
7-10
70%
8-16
9-16
50%
55%
0-2
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.7
28.2
23.0
5
63%
3
6
2
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.7
12.1
15.6
6
75%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.6
27.7
15.3
8
84%
10
0
0
0
2
0
3
7
2-4
50%
3-3
1-2
100%
59%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.8
25.1
19.9
8
47%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
1-5
20%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 31.6
15.7
2.5
0
0%
3
3
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.5
8.3
17.2
0
0%
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.4
7.1
8.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.7
2.6
0
0-0
48%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 38.0
2.4
0
0-1
47%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 23.0
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.0
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 21.5
41.9
37.6
24
53%
4
2
2
1
1
1
1
3
6-6
100%
9-19
7-15
47%
49%
0-1
0%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 25.3
39.4
38.1
38
68%
4
0
0
1
0
3
0
4
3-4
75%
10-20
8-16
50%
48%
5-6
83%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.4
34.8
34.1
5
26%
1
14
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
1-5
3-7
20%
49%
1-4
25%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 23.8
25.9
24.0
5
23%
11
3
2
1
5
1
5
6
1-2
50%
2-10
4-7
20%
58%
0-0
-
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 24.6
23.7
27.2
2
35%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-2
4-9
0%
48%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 28.2
26.5
21.0
5
30%
1
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
50%
0-2
0%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.7
22.6
27.7
8
80%
13
0
2
1
0
2
3
10
0-0
-
4-5
3-6
80%
53%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.5
14.8
13.8
2
26%
3
2
1
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
0-2
2-3
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 22.8
10.5
1.8
6
60%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
0-1
60%
47%
0-0
-
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 27.2
8.1
0
1-1
49%
Trey Johnson
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.5
6.4
0
1-2
42%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.7
5.1
0
1-1
50%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 26.1
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 30.7
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.