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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 16, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Wizards15%9076
5Magic85%104101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.4
39.1
32.1
27
63%
5
1
2
1
1
5
0
5
6-10
60%
9-14
4-10
64%
42%
1-3
33%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 24.5
31.2
29.3
15
40%
9
1
1
1
1
4
3
6
3-4
75%
6-16
5-11
38%
45%
0-1
0%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.2
30.3
21.4
5
19%
7
0
1
1
1
0
3
4
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
41%
1-7
14%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 30.8
24.4
19.5
3
13%
7
1
0
1
0
1
0
7
1-3
33%
1-9
3-6
11%
44%
0-1
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.1
13.5
27.9
4
27%
5
0
0
1
0
1
2
3
2-3
67%
1-6
4-8
17%
52%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 30.1
31.0
26.8
10
53%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
45%
1-1
100%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.2
21.8
19.8
2
50%
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 21.2
18.3
7.5
4
67%
2
1
0
0
3
2
2
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
0-0
-
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 23.3
13.4
14.4
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
41%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 26.2
8.0
2.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Mustafa Shakur
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.5
5.3
6.4
4
52%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-3
1-1
33%
41%
0-0
-
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.2
3.6
5.5
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.7
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.5
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 24.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 25.8
33.4
17.3
15
52%
11
0
2
0
1
1
5
6
3-3
100%
6-13
3-6
46%
53%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 31.9
29.6
31.5
6
38%
5
3
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
49%
0-0
-
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.2
28.9
38.7
32
81%
10
1
1
1
3
1
2
8
8-11
73%
12-15
9-14
80%
61%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 30.1
28.6
32.7
16
64%
6
3
0
1
0
1
0
6
1-1
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
53%
3-6
50%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 29.0
23.3
28.5
10
56%
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
50%
2-4
50%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.6
28.7
26.6
6
38%
1
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
0-3
0%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.8
28.3
23.5
14
72%
8
1
0
1
1
2
0
8
4-4
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
2-5
40%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 29.1
24.7
18.9
2
17%
2
6
1
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
48%
0-1
0%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.1
5.3
16.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
50%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 30.8
5.3
4.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-2
0%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.5
3.8
2.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
46%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.6
4.2
0
0-1
44%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 20.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.