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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 15, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Hornets51%9989
21Warriors49%98102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 25.6
37.9
30.3
11
61%
6
4
1
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.8
32.2
36.9
11
41%
4
10
1
2
0
1
1
3
3-3
100%
4-11
5-9
36%
52%
0-1
0%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.6
29.3
25.4
12
55%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
49%
0-2
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.5
28.8
36.7
15
78%
7
0
0
1
0
3
3
4
5-6
83%
5-7
8-15
71%
52%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.2
15.2
26.0
4
50%
4
0
0
1
1
2
3
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
53%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.9
22.4
14.9
15
77%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
3-4
75%
3-4
1-3
75%
46%
2-4
50%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.3
18.3
15.8
11
51%
4
0
2
0
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
5-9
2-5
56%
47%
0-1
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 23.7
15.4
15.3
4
29%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
49%
0-1
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 25.0
13.9
11.8
2
53%
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 30.6
11.9
11.3
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
2
1
2
0-2
0%
0-4
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.9
8.8
9.8
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.1
6.1
5.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 28.4
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 29.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 25.2
43.7
34.5
16
58%
5
5
2
1
2
2
2
3
1-2
50%
6-10
3-6
60%
47%
1-3
33%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.3
38.6
39.7
21
46%
2
3
2
2
0
2
0
2
5-6
83%
5-14
7-15
36%
48%
2-6
33%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 27.8
28.9
36.1
16
51%
4
3
0
1
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
6-14
7-13
43%
52%
0-0
-
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.9
24.4
33.2
14
129%
0
8
1
2
0
3
0
0
1-1
100%
2-2
4-9
100%
50%
3-3
100%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.9
17.0
19.5
4
67%
5
0
0
1
1
0
3
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
57%
0-0
-
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 24.4
19.6
21.3
7
60%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
52%
1-2
50%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 23.7
18.8
22.1
2
50%
7
0
0
0
2
3
2
5
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.9
18.6
4.4
3
38%
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.2
18.5
11.2
13
94%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
3-3
1-1
100%
46%
2-3
67%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.5
9.0
5.1
4
67%
3
3
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
42%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.4
3.0
6.9
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
53%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.0
2.3
0
0-1
45%
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 26.1
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.