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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 15, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Jazz42%101101
12Suns58%104102
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.9
39.8
26.5
19
48%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
7-14
4-7
50%
49%
1-5
20%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.6
38.5
36.8
11
40%
6
11
2
1
1
6
0
6
6-6
100%
1-8
5-10
13%
52%
1-3
33%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 26.0
36.4
34.8
13
47%
5
2
1
1
0
1
3
2
3-4
75%
5-12
7-13
42%
54%
0-0
-
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 26.1
34.8
35.7
32
63%
10
1
0
1
2
1
3
7
4-5
80%
14-23
8-16
61%
50%
0-0
-
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 20.9
26.3
17.3
9
61%
8
1
3
0
0
4
2
6
2-3
67%
2-5
2-3
40%
50%
1-1
100%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 31.7
36.3
16.2
11
62%
3
3
3
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
47%
3-5
60%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 23.3
13.3
5.6
6
100%
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
54%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 35.0
7.8
7.0
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 24.1
7.0
9.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.0
24.5
1
3-6
51%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 34.4
22.7
1
2-3
47%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.7
5.7
0
1-1
43%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 31.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 27.8
42.7
30.4
31
92%
11
1
1
1
0
2
0
11
1-2
50%
6-6
2-5
100%
47%
6-10
60%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 37.0
38.4
33.1
20
62%
3
14
2
1
0
3
0
3
5-5
100%
3-8
4-7
38%
55%
3-6
50%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 38.4
30.7
30.2
10
74%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
4-4
100%
3-3
4-8
100%
51%
0-2
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 34.1
25.2
18.8
10
43%
4
3
1
0
0
3
2
2
4-6
67%
3-7
2-5
43%
48%
0-2
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 22.9
11.4
15.2
2
20%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-2
0%
1-4
3-5
25%
55%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.0
35.9
29.3
11
51%
7
2
1
1
1
2
0
7
1-2
50%
5-10
5-8
50%
56%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 29.0
22.9
18.2
11
79%
4
1
1
1
4
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
3-6
50%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.6
19.2
26.1
2
20%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
53%
0-2
0%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.8
5.0
16.5
2
33%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Zabian Dowdell
G · 6'3" 191 · 26.4
4.6
13.2
3
104%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
2-5
100%
47%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 28.6
4.0
15.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
52%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 27.7
5.5
0
1-1
57%
Garret Siler
C · 6'11" 305 · 24.3
Gani Lawal
F · 6'9" 234 · 22.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.