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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 15, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Heat67%101110
19Pacers33%95103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 29.1
41.8
38.3
41
61%
12
3
2
2
0
2
0
12
8-10
80%
15-25
8-16
60%
52%
1-4
25%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 26.1
40.9
38.1
27
60%
6
5
2
2
2
5
1
5
4-6
67%
10-17
8-16
59%
53%
1-3
33%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 26.9
39.2
36.9
22
60%
8
3
0
1
0
1
2
6
5-5
100%
7-15
7-13
47%
51%
1-1
100%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.7
26.4
20.1
2
20%
6
2
1
1
1
2
0
6
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.7
11.8
18.5
4
50%
5
0
0
0
3
0
4
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.6
25.4
7.7
9
71%
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
2
1-3
33%
4-5
1-1
80%
57%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.8
21.8
18.5
5
32%
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
1-5
20%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.0
14.9
24.2
0
0%
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.5
10.8
21.2
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.4
7.0
9.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 38.0
2.7
0
0-1
47%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 31.5
2.3
0
0-0
47%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.7
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 23.0
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 27.8
35.9
33.0
14
46%
9
0
2
1
0
4
3
6
3-5
60%
4-8
4-10
50%
46%
1-5
20%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 24.2
33.1
29.6
18
48%
7
3
0
0
2
2
3
4
4-6
67%
7-16
6-12
44%
47%
0-0
-
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.5
31.3
32.3
7
25%
3
5
2
1
0
3
0
3
5-7
71%
1-9
5-10
11%
48%
0-2
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 24.0
20.8
25.4
6
60%
5
3
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
54%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 30.4
8.5
22.9
5
42%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
49%
1-2
50%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.8
31.4
23.4
14
84%
5
2
1
1
0
1
0
5
3-3
100%
1-3
3-5
33%
52%
3-4
75%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 25.3
27.2
21.4
16
63%
5
0
0
1
0
1
1
4
4-4
100%
6-11
3-8
55%
44%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.4
16.7
13.9
8
57%
3
5
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
2-4
50%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 34.1
14.9
16.3
6
77%
6
0
1
0
0
0
2
4
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
49%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.1
12.1
14.4
6
44%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25.6
8.1
8.0
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
1-1
100%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 34.1
3.5
0
0-0
45%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.6
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 27.9
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 20.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.