FinalWin Prob.pScore
167%101
110
1933%95
103
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
113.49794.1
IND logo IND
107.39699.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAIND
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA110
100%
103
0%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12)110
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0INDMISS Collison 24' 3PT Jump Shot110
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAHouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)110
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAHouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)109
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0INDGeorge 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Hibbert 3 AST)108
99.8%
103
0.2%
Q4 - 0:20.0INDGranger REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)108
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 2108
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 2108
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0INDCollison Dunk (7 PTS) (McRoberts 3 AST)108
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)108
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAMISS House 27' 3PT Jump Shot108
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)108
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:48.0INDMISS McRoberts 1' Layup108
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:50.0INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)108
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot108
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIADampier Dunk (9 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)108
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 1:12MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)106
99.6%
98
0.4%
Q4 - 1:13INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)106
99.3%
98
0.7%
Q4 - 1:13INDMISS Hibbert Tip Shot106
99.5%
98
0.5%
Q4 - 1:14INDMISS Collison 1' Layup106
99.5%
98
0.5%
Q4 - 1:24MIAJames 9' Fadeaway Jumper (27 PTS)106
99.1%
98
0.9%
Q4 - 1:39INDGranger Free Throw 3 of 3 (14 PTS)104
98.0%
98
2.0%
Q4 - 1:39INDMISS Granger Free Throw 2 of 3104
98.1%
97
1.9%
Q4 - 1:39INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 3 (13 PTS)104
97.2%
97
2.8%
Q4 - 1:44MIAGeorge STEAL (1 STL)104
98.6%
96
1.4%
Q4 - 2:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)104
99.2%
96
0.8%
Q4 - 2:04INDMISS Collison 17' Jump Shot104
99.0%
96
1.0%
Q4 - 2:16MIADampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)104
98.5%
96
1.5%
Q4 - 2:16MIAMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 2103
98.2%
96
1.8%
Q4 - 2:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)103
98.7%
96
1.3%
Q4 - 2:20INDMISS Hibbert 10' Jump Shot103
98.5%
96
1.5%
Q4 - 2:37MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)103
97.6%
96
2.4%
Q4 - 2:37MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)102
97.4%
96
2.6%
Q4 - 2:53INDHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)101
95.6%
96
4.4%
Q4 - 2:53INDHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)101
95.9%
95
4.1%
Q4 - 3:09MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)101
96.9%
94
3.1%
Q4 - 3:09MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)100
96.6%
94
3.4%
Q4 - 3:20MIADampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)99
95.8%
94
4.2%
Q4 - 3:22INDMISS Hibbert 6' Jump Shot99
95.0%
94
5.0%
Q4 - 3:30MIAJames 1' Tip Shot (23 PTS)99
92.7%
94
7.3%
Q4 - 3:32MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)97
86.6%
94
13.4%
Q4 - 3:33MIAMISS Dampier 2' Layup97
83.1%
94
16.9%
Q4 - 3:53MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)97
87.0%
94
13.0%
Q4 - 3:53INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
85.5%
94
14.5%
Q4 - 4:10MIAJames Layup (21 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)97
81.7%
94
18.3%
Q4 - 4:30INDHibbert 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS)95
75.8%
94
24.2%
Q4 - 4:53MIABosh 6' Jump Shot (20 PTS)95
81.9%
92
18.1%
Q4 - 5:06INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)93
74.6%
92
25.4%
Q4 - 5:06INDMISS Granger Free Throw 1 of 293
75.4%
91
24.6%
Q4 - 5:15INDGranger REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)93
74.2%
91
25.8%
Q4 - 5:16MIAMISS House 3PT Jump Shot93
76.2%
91
23.8%
Q4 - 5:27INDCollison Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)93
80.5%
91
19.5%
Q4 - 5:36INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)93
74.2%
91
25.8%
Q4 - 5:38INDMISS George 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
78.7%
91
21.3%
Q4 - 5:45INDCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
74.2%
91
25.8%
Q4 - 5:47MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
76.3%
91
23.7%
Q4 - 5:55MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)93
80.6%
91
19.4%
Q4 - 5:57INDMISS Hansbrough 4' Jump Shot93
78.8%
91
21.2%
Q4 - 6:12MIAJames 2' Slam Dunk (19 PTS)93
74.2%
91
25.8%
Q4 - 6:31INDGranger Layup (11 PTS) (George 2 AST)91
68.4%
91
31.6%
Q4 - 6:42INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
74.2%
89
25.8%
Q4 - 6:42MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 191
75.0%
89
25.0%
Q4 - 7:00MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
68.3%
89
31.7%
Q4 - 7:01INDMISS Price 17' Jump Shot89
67.2%
89
32.8%
Q4 - 7:08INDGranger REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)89
62.4%
89
37.6%
Q4 - 7:09MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot89
64.5%
89
35.5%
Q4 - 7:23MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)89
69.1%
89
30.9%
Q4 - 7:24INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
67.1%
89
32.9%
Q4 - 7:33INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)89
62.3%
89
37.7%
Q4 - 7:34MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot89
64.5%
89
35.5%
Q4 - 7:42MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
69.1%
89
30.9%
Q4 - 7:43INDMISS Hansbrough 16' Jump Shot89
67.1%
89
32.9%
Q4 - 8:04INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)89
63.5%
89
36.5%
Q4 - 8:05MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot89
65.3%
89
34.7%
Q4 - 8:27INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)89
69.1%
89
30.9%
Q4 - 8:27INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)89
70.9%
88
29.1%
Q4 - 8:45MIAWade 1' Dunk (39 PTS)89
74.4%
87
25.6%
Q4 - 8:49MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
69.1%
87
30.9%
Q4 - 8:49INDMISS Price 14' Jump Shot87
67.4%
87
32.6%
Q4 - 9:16MIABosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)87
63.9%
87
36.1%
Q4 - 9:42INDJones 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)84
52.1%
87
47.9%
Q4 - 9:50MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)84
58.1%
85
41.9%
Q4 - 10:07MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)82
53.1%
85
46.9%
Q4 - 10:08INDMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot82
51.4%
85
48.6%
Q4 - 10:25MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P1.T12)82
47.3%
85
52.7%
Q4 - 10:42INDDunleavy 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)82
53.0%
85
47.0%
Q4 - 11:05INDPrice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
59.1%
83
40.9%
Q4 - 11:06MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot82
60.7%
83
39.3%
Q4 - 11:10MIAHeat Rebound82
64.2%
83
35.8%
Q4 - 11:10MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
60.7%
83
39.3%
Q4 - 11:34INDPACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)82
64.2%
83
35.8%
Q4 - 11:34INDPACERS Rebound82
59.1%
83
40.9%
Q4 - 11:35INDMISS Hansbrough 16' Jump Shot82
62.7%
83
37.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA82
59.1%
83
40.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDHansbrough 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Price 5 AST)82
64.2%
83
35.8%
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAJames 27' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)82
69.2%
81
30.8%
Q3 - 0:34.0INDJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)79
59.4%
81
40.6%
Q3 - 0:34.0INDJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)79
60.4%
80
39.6%
Q3 - 0:41.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)79
64.7%
79
35.3%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
66.0%
79
34.0%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
68.8%
79
31.2%
Q3 - 0:49.0INDMISS Jones 1' Layup79
67.6%
79
32.4%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAPrice STEAL (1 STL)79
64.7%
79
35.3%
Q3 - 1:07MIAHeat Rebound79
68.9%
79
31.1%
Q3 - 1:07MIAMISS Chalmers 17' Jump Shot79
66.2%
79
33.8%
Q3 - 1:28INDGranger 1' Layup (9 PTS)79
68.9%
79
31.1%
Q3 - 1:29INDGranger REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)79
73.3%
77
26.7%
Q3 - 1:31INDMISS Hansbrough Layup79
75.7%
77
24.3%
Q3 - 1:34INDGranger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)79
73.3%
77
26.7%
Q3 - 1:35INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
73.3%
77
26.7%
Q3 - 1:35INDMISS Hansbrough 1' Layup79
75.7%
77
24.3%
Q3 - 1:36INDMISS Granger 3' Jump Shot79
75.7%
77
24.3%
Q3 - 1:53MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)79
73.4%
77
26.6%
Q3 - 2:08INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)77
69.1%
77
30.9%
Q3 - 2:08INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)77
70.0%
76
30.0%
Q3 - 2:25MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)77
73.1%
75
26.9%
Q3 - 2:31MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
64.9%
75
35.1%
Q3 - 2:33INDMISS Price 27' 3PT Jump Shot74
63.6%
75
36.4%
Q3 - 2:57INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
60.6%
75
39.4%
Q3 - 2:58MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot74
62.0%
75
38.0%
Q3 - 3:22INDHansbrough 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hibbert 2 AST)74
66.0%
75
34.0%
Q3 - 3:38MIAChalmers 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)74
69.7%
73
30.3%
Q3 - 4:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)72
65.9%
73
34.1%
Q3 - 4:02INDMISS Granger 17' Jump Shot72
64.9%
73
35.1%
Q3 - 4:09INDPACERS Rebound72
61.6%
73
38.4%
Q3 - 4:10INDMISS George 5' Jump Shot72
64.9%
73
35.1%
Q3 - 4:13INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
61.6%
73
38.4%
Q3 - 4:16MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot72
63.1%
73
36.9%
Q3 - 4:21MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)72
66.4%
73
33.6%
Q3 - 4:22MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
63.1%
73
36.9%
Q3 - 4:39INDHibbert 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T10)72
66.4%
73
33.6%
Q3 - 5:00MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (37 PTS)72
61.6%
73
38.4%
Q3 - 5:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)70
58.1%
73
41.9%
Q3 - 5:10INDMISS Collison Layup70
56.7%
73
43.3%
Q3 - 5:21MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)70
53.5%
73
46.5%
Q3 - 5:21MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (34 PTS)69
52.6%
73
47.4%
Q3 - 5:33INDGeorge Free Throw 3 of 3 (11 PTS)68
49.8%
73
50.2%
Q3 - 5:33INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 3 (10 PTS)68
50.7%
72
49.3%
Q3 - 5:33INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 3 (9 PTS)68
51.9%
71
48.1%
Q3 - 5:55INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
57.6%
70
42.4%
Q3 - 5:56MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot68
59.0%
70
41.0%
Q3 - 6:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)68
63.0%
70
37.0%
Q3 - 6:05INDMISS Granger 18' Jump Shot68
61.7%
70
38.3%
Q3 - 6:15INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
58.8%
70
41.2%
Q3 - 6:16MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot68
60.1%
70
39.9%
Q3 - 6:37MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
62.9%
70
37.1%
Q3 - 6:37INDMISS Collison Free Throw 2 of 268
62.4%
70
37.6%
Q3 - 6:37INDCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)68
59.5%
70
40.5%
Q3 - 6:46INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
62.6%
69
37.4%
Q3 - 6:47MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot68
63.8%
69
36.2%
Q3 - 7:06INDHibbert 1' Layup (14 PTS)68
66.6%
69
33.4%
Q3 - 7:20MIAIlgauskas 1' Layup (4 PTS)68
69.8%
67
30.2%
Q3 - 7:21MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)66
66.6%
67
33.4%
Q3 - 7:22MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup66
64.0%
67
36.0%
Q3 - 7:45INDMcRoberts 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Collison 5 AST)66
66.6%
67
33.4%
Q3 - 7:54INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
69.8%
65
30.2%
Q3 - 7:54INDMISS Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 266
72.7%
65
27.3%
Q3 - 7:54INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)66
70.7%
65
29.3%
Q3 - 8:17MIAWade 6' Jump Bank Shot (33 PTS)66
73.0%
64
27.0%
Q3 - 8:34INDGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Collison 4 AST)64
70.1%
64
29.9%
Q3 - 8:38MIACollison STEAL (2 STL)64
75.8%
61
24.2%
Q3 - 8:43INDGeorge 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)64
78.6%
61
21.4%
Q3 - 8:52INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
83.1%
58
16.9%
Q3 - 8:53MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot64
83.8%
58
16.2%
Q3 - 9:12INDGeorge 1' Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)64
85.0%
58
15.0%
Q3 - 9:36MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (James 5 AST)64
86.8%
56
13.2%
Q3 - 9:47MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)62
85.1%
56
14.9%
Q3 - 9:47INDMISS McRoberts 2' Layup62
84.5%
56
15.5%
Q3 - 10:06INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
83.0%
56
17.0%
Q3 - 10:07MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
83.6%
56
16.4%
Q3 - 10:27MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
84.9%
56
15.1%
Q3 - 10:28INDMISS Collison 1' Layup62
84.4%
56
15.6%
Q3 - 10:40INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
83.0%
56
17.0%
Q3 - 10:41MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)62
84.9%
56
15.1%
Q3 - 10:41MIAMISS Ilgauskas 1' Tip Shot62
83.6%
56
16.4%
Q3 - 10:43MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot62
83.6%
56
16.4%
Q3 - 11:01INDHibbert 9' Jump Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Collison 3 AST)62
84.8%
56
15.2%
Q3 - 11:13MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)62
86.4%
54
13.6%
Q3 - 11:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
84.8%
54
15.2%
Q3 - 11:28INDMISS Hibbert 15' Jump Shot60
84.3%
54
15.7%
Q3 - 11:45MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)60
82.9%
54
17.1%
Q3 - 11:45MIAIlgauskas 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)60
82.9%
54
17.1%
Q3 - 11:47MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot58
79.3%
54
20.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND58
80.9%
54
19.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0INDCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
78.8%
54
21.2%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup58
79.3%
54
20.7%
Q2 - 0:15.0MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
80.4%
54
19.6%
Q2 - 0:16.0INDMISS Collison 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
80.0%
54
20.0%
Q2 - 0:41.0INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
78.8%
54
21.2%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAHibbert BLOCK (2 BLK)58
79.3%
54
20.7%
Q2 - 1:05INDCollison Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)58
80.4%
54
19.6%
Q2 - 1:05INDRush 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Collison 2 AST)58
82.4%
53
17.6%
Q2 - 1:11INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
86.3%
50
13.7%
Q2 - 1:12MIAMISS Miller 2' Layup58
86.6%
50
13.4%
Q2 - 1:14MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
87.4%
50
12.6%
Q2 - 1:15MIAMISS James 1' Layup58
86.6%
50
13.4%
Q2 - 1:25MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
87.4%
50
12.6%
Q2 - 1:26INDMISS Collison 4' Layup58
87.0%
50
13.0%
Q2 - 1:38MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (31 PTS) (James 4 AST)58
86.3%
50
13.7%
Q2 - 2:00INDHibbert 15' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)56
84.2%
50
15.8%
Q2 - 2:18INDPACERS Rebound56
85.8%
48
14.2%
Q2 - 2:20MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot56
86.3%
48
13.7%
Q2 - 2:32MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
87.3%
48
12.7%
Q2 - 2:33INDMISS Collison 19' Jump Shot56
86.9%
48
13.1%
Q2 - 2:39INDCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
85.8%
48
14.2%
Q2 - 2:39MIAMISS James 14' Jump Shot56
86.3%
48
13.7%
Q2 - 3:01INDMcRoberts Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)56
87.4%
48
12.6%
Q2 - 3:29MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T9)56
88.5%
46
11.5%
Q2 - 3:45INDGranger 21' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)56
89.9%
46
10.1%
Q2 - 4:05MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)56
90.6%
44
9.4%
Q2 - 4:05MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)55
90.3%
44
9.7%
Q2 - 4:22INDPrice 7' Jump Shot (8 PTS)54
89.6%
44
10.4%
Q2 - 4:36MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P5.T8)54
90.6%
42
9.4%
Q2 - 4:39MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
91.7%
42
8.3%
Q2 - 4:41INDMISS Price 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
91.3%
42
8.7%
Q2 - 4:49INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)54
90.6%
42
9.4%
Q2 - 4:50MIAMISS James 8' Jump Shot54
90.9%
42
9.1%
Q2 - 5:15INDMcRoberts 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Price 4 AST)54
91.4%
42
8.6%
Q2 - 5:27MIAJames 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)54
92.3%
40
7.7%
Q2 - 5:45INDGeorge Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)52
91.4%
40
8.6%
Q2 - 5:51INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
90.5%
40
9.5%
Q2 - 5:52MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot52
90.8%
40
9.2%
Q2 - 6:11INDGeorge 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Price 3 AST)52
91.0%
40
9.0%
Q2 - 6:19INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
92.6%
37
7.4%
Q2 - 6:21MIAMISS Bosh 3' Layup52
92.9%
37
7.1%
Q2 - 6:40INDHansbrough 6' Jump Shot (10 PTS)52
93.5%
37
6.5%
Q2 - 6:43INDPACERS Rebound52
94.1%
35
5.9%
Q2 - 6:43INDMISS Foster 2' Layup52
94.6%
35
5.4%
Q2 - 6:44INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)52
94.1%
35
5.9%
Q2 - 6:45INDMISS George 1' Layup52
94.6%
35
5.4%
Q2 - 7:00INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
94.1%
35
5.9%
Q2 - 7:01MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
94.1%
35
5.9%
Q2 - 7:11MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
94.5%
35
5.5%
Q2 - 7:12INDMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot52
94.4%
35
5.6%
Q2 - 7:34MIAWade Layup (27 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)52
93.9%
35
6.1%
Q2 - 7:49INDHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)50
93.3%
35
6.7%
Q2 - 7:49INDHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)50
93.4%
34
6.6%
Q2 - 8:02MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)50
93.6%
33
6.4%
Q2 - 8:02MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)49
93.5%
33
6.5%
Q2 - 8:10MIAHeat Rebound48
93.0%
33
7.0%
Q2 - 8:10MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 148
92.3%
33
7.7%
Q2 - 8:25INDPrice 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)45
90.5%
33
9.5%
Q2 - 8:31INDPrice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
92.2%
30
7.8%
Q2 - 8:32MIAMISS Bosh 9' Jump Shot45
92.5%
30
7.5%
Q2 - 8:53INDFoster 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Price 2 AST)45
93.0%
30
7.0%
Q2 - 9:07INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
93.3%
28
6.7%
Q2 - 9:07MIAMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 145
93.4%
28
6.6%
Q2 - 9:22INDPrice 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)43
92.7%
28
7.3%
Q2 - 9:29MIAFoster STEAL (1 STL)43
93.9%
25
6.1%
Q2 - 9:49INDJones 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Price 1 AST)43
94.5%
25
5.5%
Q2 - 9:56INDPrice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
95.0%
23
5.0%
Q2 - 9:59MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot43
95.2%
23
4.8%
Q2 - 10:13INDHansbrough Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)43
95.3%
23
4.7%
Q2 - 10:24INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
94.8%
23
5.2%
Q2 - 10:26MIAMISS House 18' Jump Shot43
94.9%
23
5.1%
Q2 - 10:44INDFoster 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)43
95.3%
23
4.7%
Q2 - 10:46INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
95.7%
21
4.3%
Q2 - 10:47INDMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot43
96.0%
21
4.0%
Q2 - 11:12MIADampier 1' Layup (4 PTS)43
95.5%
21
4.5%
Q2 - 11:14MIADampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
95.1%
21
4.9%
Q2 - 11:15MIAMISS James 9' Jump Shot41
94.7%
21
5.3%
Q2 - 11:21MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
95.1%
21
4.9%
Q2 - 11:22MIAMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot41
94.7%
21
5.3%
Q2 - 11:42INDHansbrough 2' Dunk (6 PTS) (George 1 AST)41
95.1%
21
4.9%
Q2 - 11:47MIAJones STEAL (1 STL)41
95.5%
19
4.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND41
95.9%
19
4.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
95.5%
19
4.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 36' 3PT Jump Shot41
95.6%
19
4.4%
Q1 - 0:04.0INDCollison Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)41
95.6%
19
4.4%
Q1 - 0:04.0INDCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)41
95.6%
18
4.4%
Q1 - 0:20.0MIAJames 13' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)41
96.1%
17
3.9%
Q1 - 0:31.0INDGranger Foul Turnover (P4.T7)39
95.6%
17
4.4%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
95.3%
17
4.7%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIADampier 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)39
95.3%
17
4.7%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot37
94.4%
17
5.6%
Q1 - 1:04INDHansbrough 1' Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)37
94.4%
17
5.6%
Q1 - 1:08MIAGranger STEAL (2 STL)37
95.0%
15
5.0%
Q1 - 1:29INDHansbrough 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)37
95.4%
15
4.6%
Q1 - 1:46INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
95.9%
13
4.1%
Q1 - 1:47MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot37
96.0%
13
4.0%
Q1 - 1:54MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)37
96.1%
13
3.9%
Q1 - 1:55INDMISS Collison 21' Jump Shot37
96.1%
13
3.9%
Q1 - 2:08MIAJames 2' Layup (8 PTS)37
95.7%
13
4.3%
Q1 - 2:14INDGranger Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)35
95.2%
13
4.8%
Q1 - 2:33MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)35
94.8%
13
5.2%
Q1 - 2:36MIAHeat Rebound35
95.2%
13
4.8%
Q1 - 2:37MIAHibbert BLOCK (1 BLK)35
95.0%
13
5.0%
Q1 - 2:52MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)35
95.2%
13
4.8%
Q1 - 2:52INDMISS Collison Free Throw 2 of 235
95.2%
13
4.8%
Q1 - 2:52INDCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)35
94.8%
13
5.2%
Q1 - 2:57MIACollison STEAL (1 STL)35
95.3%
12
4.7%
Q1 - 3:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
95.6%
12
4.4%
Q1 - 3:03INDMISS Hibbert 9' Jump Shot35
95.4%
12
4.6%
Q1 - 3:24MIAWade 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (22 PTS)35
95.2%
12
4.8%
Q1 - 3:39INDHibbert Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)33
94.7%
12
5.3%
Q1 - 3:50MIAJames 2' Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)33
94.2%
12
5.8%
Q1 - 3:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
93.7%
12
6.3%
Q1 - 3:55INDMISS Granger 20' Jump Shot31
93.6%
12
6.4%
Q1 - 4:15MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)31
92.9%
12
7.1%
Q1 - 4:15MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
92.8%
12
7.2%
Q1 - 4:28MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
92.4%
12
7.6%
Q1 - 4:28INDMISS Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 229
92.3%
12
7.7%
Q1 - 4:28INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)29
91.9%
12
8.1%
Q1 - 4:43MIABosh 2' Layup (7 PTS) (James 3 AST)29
92.3%
11
7.7%
Q1 - 5:02INDGranger 14' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)27
91.2%
11
8.8%
Q1 - 5:17MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)27
91.8%
9
8.2%
Q1 - 5:21MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
90.5%
9
9.5%
Q1 - 5:23INDMISS Collison 11' Jump Shot24
90.2%
9
9.8%
Q1 - 5:35MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)24
89.7%
9
10.3%
Q1 - 5:35MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)23
89.5%
9
10.5%
Q1 - 5:51INDHibbert 11' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)22
88.9%
9
11.1%
Q1 - 6:04MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)22
89.5%
7
10.5%
Q1 - 6:10MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
90.3%
7
9.7%
Q1 - 6:11INDMISS Hibbert 19' Jump Shot22
90.0%
7
10.0%
Q1 - 6:22INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
89.5%
7
10.5%
Q1 - 6:23MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
89.7%
7
10.3%
Q1 - 6:28INDCollison Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)22
90.3%
7
9.7%
Q1 - 6:42MIAWade 13' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (James 2 AST)22
89.5%
7
10.5%
Q1 - 6:51INDGranger Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)20
88.7%
7
11.3%
Q1 - 6:55MIAWade 4' Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)20
87.8%
7
12.2%
Q1 - 7:05MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
86.7%
7
13.3%
Q1 - 7:06INDMISS Hibbert 11' Jump Shot18
86.4%
7
13.6%
Q1 - 7:28MIABosh 1' Layup (2 PTS)18
85.7%
7
14.3%
Q1 - 7:34INDGranger Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)16
84.7%
7
15.3%
Q1 - 7:43MIAWade 19' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)16
83.6%
7
16.4%
Q1 - 8:03INDHibbert 8' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)14
82.6%
7
17.4%
Q1 - 8:15MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)14
83.7%
5
16.3%
Q1 - 8:20INDCollison Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)11
81.4%
5
18.6%
Q1 - 8:30MIAWade 10' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)11
80.2%
5
19.8%
Q1 - 8:36MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)9
78.8%
5
21.2%
Q1 - 8:37INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
78.4%
5
21.6%
Q1 - 8:42MIAGranger STEAL (1 STL)9
77.5%
5
22.5%
Q1 - 8:43MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
78.8%
5
21.2%
Q1 - 8:44INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
77.5%
5
22.5%
Q1 - 8:44INDMISS Dunleavy 2' Tip Shot9
78.4%
5
21.6%
Q1 - 8:45INDMISS Dunleavy 2' Layup9
78.4%
5
21.6%
Q1 - 8:55INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
77.5%
5
22.5%
Q1 - 8:56MIAMISS Ilgauskas 3' Tip Shot9
77.9%
5
22.1%
Q1 - 8:57MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
78.8%
5
21.2%
Q1 - 8:59MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot9
77.9%
5
22.1%
Q1 - 9:21INDHibbert 2' Dunk (2 PTS)9
79.0%
5
21.0%
Q1 - 9:23INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
80.2%
3
19.8%
Q1 - 9:24INDMISS Hibbert 8' Jump Shot9
81.0%
3
19.0%
Q1 - 9:42MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)9
80.2%
3
19.8%
Q1 - 10:02INDDunleavy 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)6
77.5%
3
22.5%
Q1 - 10:28MIAWade Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)6
79.7%
0
20.3%
Q1 - 10:37MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
78.8%
0
21.2%
Q1 - 10:39INDMISS Dunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
78.3%
0
21.7%
Q1 - 11:04MIAJames 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)4
77.3%
0
22.7%
Q1 - 11:17MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
76.0%
0
24.0%
Q1 - 11:18INDMISS Dunleavy 22' Jump Shot2
75.6%
0
24.4%
Q1 - 11:33MIAWade 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)2
74.8%
0
25.2%
Q1 - 11:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
73.5%
0
26.5%
Q1 - 11:46INDMISS Hibbert 3' Layup0
73.1%
0
26.9%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball McRoberts vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to Collison0
72.2%
0
27.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 55.0%
IND
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
23
34
68%
IND
14
32
44%
Midrange
MIA
16
38
42%
IND
14
36
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
IND
8
12.0
18
44%
67%
Free Throws
MIA
20
26
77%
IND
23
29
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade4164%20.5 / 32
L. James2759%13.5 / 23
C. Bosh2261%11.0 / 18
E. Dampier975%4.5 / 6
E. House531%2.5 / 8
Z. Ilgauskas450%2.0 / 4
M. Chalmers220%1.0 / 5
M. Miller0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hibbert1847%9.0 / 19
T. Hansbrough1662%8.0 / 13
D. Granger1447%7.0 / 15
P. George1488%7.0 / 8
A. Price857%4.0 / 7
D. Collison725%3.5 / 14
J. McRoberts660%3.0 / 5
J. Foster675%3.0 / 4
D. Jones643%3.0 / 7
M. Dunleavy542%2.5 / 6
B. Rush3150%1.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
84
+14
-13
98
IND
85
+14
-11
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 55.0%
IND
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
105.1
MIA 113.4 +6.1
IND 107.3
Pace
91.3
94.5
MIA 94.1
IND 99.1 +5.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
14.9
MIA 15.3
IND 14.5 +0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
48.6%
MIA 51.1% +4.6%
IND 46.5%
TO %
14.4%
15.5%
MIA 11.6%
IND 10.8% +0.8%
ORB %
25.2%
25.9%
MIA 22.7% +1.1%
IND 21.6%
FTrt
36.3
30.0
MIA 29.5
IND 33.7 +4.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
53.6%
MIA 34.9%
IND 52.8% +17.9%
STL %
7.3%
7.5%
MIA 6.2%
IND 8.3% +2.1%
BLK %
8.5%
8.4%
MIA 11.8% +9.0%
IND 2.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
52.0%
MIA 55.0% +4.5%
IND 50.5%
Rim FG%
64.7%
56.8%
MIA 67.6% +23.8%
IND 43.8%
Mid FG%
42.2%
39.2%
MIA 42.1% +3.2%
IND 38.9%
3P %
37.0%
35.4%
MIA 25.0%
IND 44.4% +19.4%
FT %
76.9%
78.2%
MIA 76.9%
IND 79.3% +2.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
33.8%
MIA 38.6% +1.4%
IND 37.2%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
41.9%
MIA 43.2%
IND 41.9% +1.3%
3P Att. %
23.5%
24.4%
MIA 18.2%
IND 20.9% +2.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMIAIND
Possessions9796
Possession Minutes24.823.3
Points110103
Rebounds5045
Assists1519
Steals68
Blocks82
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (4)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)40 (0)34 (1)
Field Goals43-8836-86
At-the-Rim FG23-3414-32
Midrange FG16-3814-36
2-Point FG39-7228-68
3-Point FG4-168-18
Free Throws20-2623-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 29
41.8
41
64%
12
3
2
0
2
2
0
12
8-10
80%
15-25
60%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
40.9
27
59%
6
5
2
2
5
1
1
5
4-6
67%
10-17
59%
1-3
33%
F · 6'11" 235 · 27
39.2
22
61%
8
3
0
0
1
1
2
6
5-5
100%
7-15
47%
1-1
100%
G · 6'2" 190 · 25
26.4
2
20%
6
2
1
1
2
3
0
6
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
C · 7'3" 260 · 36
11.8
4
50%
5
0
0
3
0
4
4
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 36
25.4
9
75%
4
0
0
1
1
3
2
2
1-3
33%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
21.8
5
31%
3
0
0
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
1-5
20%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
14.9
0
0%
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 29
10.8
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30
7.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 38
G · 6'2" 200 · 32
#21 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
110
55%
50
15
6
8
13
0
10
40
20-26
77%
39-72
54%
4-16
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.