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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 13, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Thunder49%10394
21Warriors51%104100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.4
41.0
37.8
29
60%
5
2
0
1
1
3
1
4
7-7
100%
8-14
7-15
57%
51%
2-7
29%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.8
35.7
16.0
7
88%
3
0
2
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
51%
1-1
100%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.3
30.5
32.2
21
58%
0
5
1
1
0
6
0
0
7-9
78%
4-10
6-14
40%
46%
2-4
50%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.5
28.3
34.6
12
69%
5
2
0
1
0
2
0
5
5-6
83%
2-4
4-9
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.6
20.1
19.8
4
100%
3
2
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
3-6
100%
50%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.3
27.1
21.1
5
64%
10
0
0
1
0
1
0
10
1-2
50%
2-3
2-3
67%
55%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 21.4
19.9
26.9
2
50%
7
0
0
0
2
0
0
7
0-0
-
1-2
4-7
50%
56%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.7
17.7
15.2
6
68%
0
2
0
0
0
3
0
0
1-1
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
1-2
50%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 21.5
15.1
28.8
8
93%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
3-3
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
1-2
50%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.8
4.6
7.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
38%
0-0
-
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.5
2.9
0
1-1
52%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 29.1
2.1
0
0-0
42%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.0
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 22.3
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 33.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.3
45.7
36.4
33
62%
2
7
1
2
0
4
0
2
4-4
100%
10-18
7-14
56%
50%
3-7
43%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 27.8
45.0
31.0
23
50%
19
2
3
1
0
2
4
15
1-2
50%
11-22
6-11
50%
54%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 25.2
38.8
32.4
10
30%
7
3
0
1
0
2
4
3
1-2
50%
3-8
3-6
38%
49%
1-8
13%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.9
37.8
30.8
23
62%
2
13
2
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
8-13
4-8
62%
51%
2-5
40%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.9
20.2
18.8
2
33%
7
1
0
1
0
0
4
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
59%
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 23.7
27.4
18.9
0
0%
4
0
1
0
1
0
4
0
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
51%
0-0
-
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 24.4
17.8
24.9
7
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
53%
1-2
50%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.2
7.3
14.3
2
25%
4
2
1
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.4
11.1
0
2-4
54%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.5
8.2
0
1-2
45%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.9
6.8
0
0-1
43%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.0
2.4
0
0-1
46%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.2
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 26.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.