FinalWin Prob.pScore
753%101
108
1747%100
116
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
113.79596.9
MEM logo MEM
119.69795.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

GrizzliesNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

GrizzliesNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENMEM
Q4 - 0:00.0MEM108
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0DENBillups 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)108
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0MEMGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)106
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0MEMGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)106
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0DENConley STEAL (3 STL)106
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)106
0.2%
114
99.8%
Q4 - 0:38.0MEMMISS Randolph 14' Jump Shot106
0.3%
114
99.7%
Q4 - 0:55.0MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)106
0.4%
114
99.6%
Q4 - 0:57.0DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot106
0.6%
114
99.4%
Q4 - 1:00DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)106
1.0%
114
99.0%
Q4 - 1:01DENMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot106
0.6%
114
99.4%
Q4 - 1:11MEMRandolph 12' Jump Shot (14 PTS)106
1.4%
114
98.6%
Q4 - 1:28DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P3.T14)106
3.2%
112
96.8%
Q4 - 1:33DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)106
6.2%
112
93.8%
Q4 - 1:34MEMMISS Gay 19' Jump Shot106
5.3%
112
94.7%
Q4 - 1:55DENMartin 10' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)106
4.3%
112
95.7%
Q4 - 2:16MEMConley 18' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)104
2.9%
112
97.1%
Q4 - 2:33MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)104
4.0%
110
96.0%
Q4 - 2:34DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)104
7.8%
110
92.2%
Q4 - 2:34DENMISS Martin 1' Tip Shot104
4.9%
110
95.1%
Q4 - 2:36DENMISS Anthony 1' Layup104
4.9%
110
95.1%
Q4 - 2:53MEMRandolph 2' Layup (12 PTS)104
9.5%
110
90.5%
Q4 - 2:54MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)104
12.9%
108
87.1%
Q4 - 2:55MEMMISS Arthur 2' Layup104
18.0%
108
82.0%
Q4 - 3:21DENBillups 9' Running Bank Shot (11 PTS)104
12.4%
108
87.6%
Q4 - 3:40MEMRandolph Layup (10 PTS)102
13.3%
108
86.7%
Q4 - 3:41MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)102
17.8%
106
82.2%
Q4 - 3:42MEMMISS Gay 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot102
22.3%
106
77.7%
Q4 - 3:57MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)102
17.4%
106
82.6%
Q4 - 3:59DENMISS Anthony 11' Running Jump Shot102
19.2%
106
80.8%
Q4 - 4:23MEMRandolph 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Arthur 1 AST)102
23.8%
106
76.2%
Q4 - 4:38DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)102
30.9%
104
69.1%
Q4 - 4:38DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)101
30.2%
104
69.8%
Q4 - 4:53DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)100
23.6%
104
76.4%
Q4 - 4:54MEMMISS Allen 5' Turnaround Jump Shot100
21.4%
104
78.6%
Q4 - 5:04MEMAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)100
20.8%
104
79.2%
Q4 - 5:07DENMISS Anthony 13' Pullup Jump Shot100
22.6%
104
77.4%
Q4 - 5:24MEMArthur Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)100
27.1%
104
72.9%
Q4 - 5:24MEMArthur Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)100
28.6%
103
71.4%
Q4 - 5:33MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)100
33.8%
102
66.2%
Q4 - 5:34DENArthur BLOCK (2 BLK)100
36.3%
102
63.7%
Q4 - 5:58MEMArthur Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)100
42.3%
102
57.7%
Q4 - 5:58MEMArthur Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)100
44.1%
101
55.9%
Q4 - 6:19MEMAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)100
51.1%
100
48.9%
Q4 - 6:20DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot100
53.6%
100
46.4%
Q4 - 6:40MEMGay 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (21 PTS)100
59.2%
100
40.8%
Q4 - 6:56DENAllen STEAL (3 STL)100
65.8%
98
34.2%
Q4 - 7:09MEMAllen 2' Reverse Layup (17 PTS) (Young 3 AST)100
71.7%
98
28.3%
Q4 - 7:21DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)100
76.6%
96
23.4%
Q4 - 7:21DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)99
75.8%
96
24.2%
Q4 - 7:24DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)98
71.7%
96
28.3%
Q4 - 7:27MEMMISS Arthur 19' Jump Shot98
69.8%
96
30.2%
Q4 - 7:44DENAnthony 8' Floating Jump Shot (28 PTS)98
65.2%
96
34.8%
Q4 - 8:00MEMConley Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)96
59.2%
96
40.8%
Q4 - 8:00MEMConley Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)96
60.6%
95
39.4%
Q4 - 8:06DENGay STEAL (2 STL)96
65.0%
94
35.0%
Q4 - 8:26MEMGay 1' Driving Layup (19 PTS)96
70.5%
94
29.5%
Q4 - 8:40MEMYoung REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)96
75.7%
92
24.3%
Q4 - 8:43DENMISS Anthony 20' Pullup Jump Shot96
77.1%
92
22.9%
Q4 - 8:57DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)96
80.1%
92
19.9%
Q4 - 8:59MEMMISS Gay 6' Jump Shot96
78.8%
92
21.2%
Q4 - 9:07DENConley STEAL (2 STL)96
74.4%
92
25.6%
Q4 - 9:24MEMArthur 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Conley 5 AST)96
78.7%
92
21.3%
Q4 - 9:45DENLawson 12' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)96
82.6%
90
17.4%
Q4 - 10:04DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)94
77.6%
90
22.4%
Q4 - 10:06DENMISS Andersen 1' Layup94
74.7%
90
25.3%
Q4 - 10:19MEMRandolph 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Young 2 AST)94
77.6%
90
22.4%
Q4 - 10:27DENLawson 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)94
81.3%
88
18.7%
Q4 - 10:40MEMRandolph 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)92
77.7%
88
22.3%
Q4 - 10:49DENLawson 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)92
81.3%
86
18.7%
Q4 - 11:00MEMAllen 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)90
77.7%
86
22.3%
Q4 - 11:06MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)90
80.2%
84
19.8%
Q4 - 11:07DENMISS Harrington 29' 3PT Jump Shot90
81.2%
84
18.8%
Q4 - 11:29MEMAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)90
83.4%
84
16.6%
Q4 - 11:29MEMAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)90
84.1%
83
15.9%
Q4 - 11:37MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)90
86.2%
82
13.8%
Q4 - 11:38DENMISS Afflalo 27' 3PT Jump Shot90
87.0%
82
13.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEM90
88.6%
82
11.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound90
86.3%
82
13.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEMMISS Randolph 4' Jump Shot90
87.9%
82
12.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)90
85.3%
82
14.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0MEMMISS Randolph 4' Jump Shot90
86.8%
82
13.2%
Q3 - 0:20.0DENSmith 18' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)90
85.3%
82
14.7%
Q3 - 0:34.0MEMAllen Driving Layup (11 PTS)88
82.3%
82
17.7%
Q3 - 0:37.0DENAllen STEAL (2 STL)88
85.4%
80
14.6%
Q3 - 0:51.0MEMAllen 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)88
87.6%
80
12.4%
Q3 - 1:05MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)88
89.0%
78
11.0%
Q3 - 1:06DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 288
89.2%
78
10.8%
Q3 - 1:06DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 288
90.3%
78
9.7%
Q3 - 1:06DENNuggets Rebound88
90.7%
78
9.3%
Q3 - 1:06MEMMISS Arthur Free Throw 2 of 288
90.4%
78
9.6%
Q3 - 1:06MEMArthur Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)88
89.3%
78
10.7%
Q3 - 1:06MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)88
90.8%
77
9.2%
Q3 - 1:09DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 288
91.0%
77
9.0%
Q3 - 1:09DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 288
91.9%
77
8.1%
Q3 - 1:09DENNuggets Rebound88
92.2%
77
7.8%
Q3 - 1:09DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
91.2%
77
8.8%
Q3 - 1:20MEMGRIZZLIES Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#13)88
92.2%
77
7.8%
Q3 - 1:28DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)88
90.8%
77
9.2%
Q3 - 1:28DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)87
90.4%
77
9.6%
Q3 - 1:46MEMRandolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)86
88.9%
77
11.1%
Q3 - 1:46MEMMISS Randolph Free Throw 1 of 286
89.3%
76
10.7%
Q3 - 1:46MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)86
89.1%
76
10.9%
Q3 - 1:46MEMMISS Allen 4' Jump Shot86
90.2%
76
9.8%
Q3 - 1:58MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)86
89.1%
76
10.9%
Q3 - 1:59DENMISS Billups 15' Jump Shot86
89.6%
76
10.4%
Q3 - 2:15MEMArthur Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)86
89.8%
76
10.2%
Q3 - 2:15MEMArthur Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)86
90.2%
75
9.8%
Q3 - 2:19DENRandolph STEAL (1 STL)86
91.4%
74
8.6%
Q3 - 2:38MEMAllen 1' Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)86
92.8%
74
7.2%
Q3 - 2:42DENAllen STEAL (1 STL)86
94.0%
72
6.0%
Q3 - 2:52MEMArthur Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)86
95.0%
72
5.0%
Q3 - 3:00MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)86
94.0%
72
6.0%
Q3 - 3:02DENMISS Martin 18' Jump Bank Shot86
93.7%
72
6.3%
Q3 - 3:26MEMGay Driving Layup (17 PTS)86
94.5%
72
5.5%
Q3 - 3:42DENBillups Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)86
95.3%
70
4.7%
Q3 - 3:49MEMArthur Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)86
96.1%
70
3.9%
Q3 - 3:49MEMMISS Arthur Free Throw 1 of 286
96.2%
69
3.8%
Q3 - 3:56DENAnthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)86
96.1%
69
3.9%
Q3 - 4:15MEMGay Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)83
94.1%
69
5.9%
Q3 - 4:19MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
92.8%
69
7.2%
Q3 - 4:22DENArthur BLOCK (1 BLK)83
93.2%
69
6.8%
Q3 - 4:42DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
94.1%
69
5.9%
Q3 - 4:43MEMMISS Conley 20' Jump Shot83
93.8%
69
6.2%
Q3 - 5:10MEMYoung REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
92.1%
69
7.9%
Q3 - 5:11DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot83
92.5%
69
7.5%
Q3 - 5:27MEMArthur 2' Reverse Layup (14 PTS)83
93.4%
69
6.6%
Q3 - 5:28MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)83
94.3%
67
5.7%
Q3 - 5:31MEMMISS Gasol 5' Running Hook Shot83
94.9%
67
5.1%
Q3 - 6:01DENNene Layup (14 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)83
93.7%
67
6.3%
Q3 - 6:19MEMYoung 3' Layup (6 PTS)81
92.8%
67
7.2%
Q3 - 6:20MEMYoung REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)81
93.7%
65
6.3%
Q3 - 6:22MEMMISS Young 6' Jump Shot81
94.4%
65
5.6%
Q3 - 6:40DENAnthony 19' Jump Shot (23 PTS)81
93.7%
65
6.3%
Q3 - 6:56MEMConley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)79
92.8%
65
7.2%
Q3 - 7:14DENAnthony 20' Pullup Jump Shot (21 PTS)79
90.6%
65
9.4%
Q3 - 7:33DENNuggets Rebound77
89.4%
65
10.6%
Q3 - 7:34MEMMISS Young 18' Jump Shot77
88.9%
65
11.1%
Q3 - 7:46MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)77
87.7%
65
12.3%
Q3 - 7:46DENMISS Anthony 11' Jump Shot77
88.3%
65
11.7%
Q3 - 7:57MEMGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)77
89.4%
65
10.6%
Q3 - 7:57MEMGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)77
89.7%
64
10.3%
Q3 - 8:07DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)77
90.3%
63
9.7%
Q3 - 8:07DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)76
90.0%
63
10.0%
Q3 - 8:28MEMConley 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Gay 4 AST)75
89.0%
63
11.0%
Q3 - 8:32DENGay STEAL (1 STL)75
90.3%
61
9.7%
Q3 - 8:33MEMConley Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)75
91.6%
61
8.4%
Q3 - 8:46MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
90.3%
61
9.7%
Q3 - 8:47DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 175
90.5%
61
9.5%
Q3 - 8:59MEMYoung Layup (4 PTS) (Gay 3 AST)73
89.0%
61
11.0%
Q3 - 9:10MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
89.8%
59
10.2%
Q3 - 9:11DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot73
90.2%
59
9.8%
Q3 - 9:35DENNuggets Rebound73
91.2%
59
8.8%
Q3 - 9:36MEMMISS Gay 6' Jump Shot73
90.8%
59
9.2%
Q3 - 9:43MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound73
89.9%
59
10.1%
Q3 - 9:46MEMMISS Gay 7' Jump Bank Shot73
90.8%
59
9.2%
Q3 - 9:59DENNene Layup (12 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)73
89.9%
59
10.1%
Q3 - 10:25MEMConley Driving Layup (11 PTS)71
87.9%
59
12.1%
Q3 - 10:41DENMartin Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)71
89.3%
57
10.7%
Q3 - 10:53MEMRandolph Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)69
87.9%
57
12.1%
Q3 - 11:08DENAnthony Finger Roll Layup (17 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)69
85.7%
57
14.3%
Q3 - 11:14DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
84.0%
57
16.0%
Q3 - 11:18MEMMISS Gasol 6' Fadeaway Jumper67
83.4%
57
16.6%
Q3 - 11:26MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)67
82.0%
57
18.0%
Q3 - 11:27DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
82.6%
57
17.4%
Q3 - 11:46MEMConley 12' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)67
84.1%
57
15.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEM67
85.7%
55
14.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENSmith 17' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)67
85.2%
55
14.8%
Q2 - 0:09.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
83.1%
55
16.9%
Q2 - 0:10.0MEMMISS Young 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
82.6%
55
17.4%
Q2 - 0:30.0DENBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)65
81.6%
55
18.4%
Q2 - 0:38.0MEMConley 19' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)62
76.8%
55
23.2%
Q2 - 0:43.0MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)62
79.5%
53
20.5%
Q2 - 0:44.0DENMISS Anthony 14' Jump Shot62
80.0%
53
20.0%
Q2 - 0:59.0MEMAllen Driving Layup (5 PTS)62
81.2%
53
18.8%
Q2 - 1:31DENSmith Slam Dunk (8 PTS)62
83.2%
51
16.8%
Q2 - 1:34MEMGasol Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)60
80.8%
51
19.2%
Q2 - 1:58DENAnthony 1' Alley Oop Dunk (15 PTS) (Martin 3 AST)60
79.3%
51
20.7%
Q2 - 2:10MEMAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)58
76.3%
51
23.7%
Q2 - 2:10MEMAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)58
76.8%
50
23.2%
Q2 - 2:26DENNene 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)58
78.5%
49
21.5%
Q2 - 2:41DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
76.3%
49
23.7%
Q2 - 2:43MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 2 of 256
76.0%
49
24.0%
Q2 - 2:43MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 256
74.5%
49
25.5%
Q2 - 2:43MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)56
73.9%
49
26.1%
Q2 - 2:44MEMMISS Randolph 12' Turnaround Jump Shot56
75.6%
49
24.4%
Q2 - 3:00DENAnthony 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)56
73.9%
49
26.1%
Q2 - 3:17MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)54
71.5%
49
28.5%
Q2 - 3:17MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)54
72.0%
48
28.0%
Q2 - 3:27DENNene 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)54
73.5%
47
26.5%
Q2 - 3:44MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)52
71.4%
47
28.6%
Q2 - 3:44MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)52
72.0%
46
28.0%
Q2 - 3:45MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
73.5%
45
26.5%
Q2 - 3:46DENMISS Nene 1' Layup52
74.3%
45
25.7%
Q2 - 4:00DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
76.2%
45
23.8%
Q2 - 4:01DENMISS Afflalo 2' Layup52
73.8%
45
26.2%
Q2 - 4:08DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
75.6%
45
24.4%
Q2 - 4:10MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
73.1%
45
26.9%
Q2 - 4:10MEMMISS Randolph Layup52
74.8%
45
25.2%
Q2 - 4:11MEMMISS Young 1' Layup52
74.8%
45
25.2%
Q2 - 4:16MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
73.1%
45
26.9%
Q2 - 4:17DENMISS Nene 1' Layup52
73.9%
45
26.1%
Q2 - 4:22DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
75.6%
45
24.4%
Q2 - 4:25MEMMISS Young 4' Jump Shot52
74.9%
45
25.1%
Q2 - 4:31DENYoung STEAL (1 STL)52
73.1%
45
26.9%
Q2 - 4:38MEMGasol Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)52
75.6%
45
24.4%
Q2 - 4:45MEMYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
73.1%
45
26.9%
Q2 - 4:46DENMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot52
73.9%
45
26.1%
Q2 - 5:01MEMGay Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)52
75.2%
45
24.8%
Q2 - 5:18DENAndersen Dunk (4 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)52
73.0%
45
27.0%
Q2 - 5:22DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
70.6%
45
29.4%
Q2 - 5:24MEMMISS Conley 1' Layup50
69.9%
45
30.1%
Q2 - 5:29DENConley STEAL (1 STL)50
68.1%
45
31.9%
Q2 - 5:39MEMGasol 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Gay 2 AST)50
70.6%
45
29.4%
Q2 - 6:02DENAfflalo Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)50
72.1%
43
27.9%
Q2 - 6:23MEMGay 8' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)48
70.2%
43
29.8%
Q2 - 6:41DENBillups 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)48
72.2%
41
27.8%
Q2 - 6:49MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)46
70.2%
41
29.8%
Q2 - 7:10DENAndersen Dunk (2 PTS) (Afflalo 3 AST)46
74.2%
38
25.8%
Q2 - 7:22MEMGay 3' Layup (11 PTS) (Conley 4 AST)44
72.2%
38
27.8%
Q2 - 7:40DENHarrington 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)44
74.2%
36
25.8%
Q2 - 7:44DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
72.2%
36
27.8%
Q2 - 7:46DENMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
70.5%
36
29.5%
Q2 - 8:04MEMGay Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Conley 3 AST)42
71.7%
36
28.3%
Q2 - 8:10DENSmith Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)42
73.7%
34
26.3%
Q2 - 8:33DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
71.7%
34
28.3%
Q2 - 8:34MEMMISS Conley 11' Running Jump Shot40
71.0%
34
29.0%
Q2 - 9:01DENLawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)40
68.9%
34
31.1%
Q2 - 9:16DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
64.4%
34
35.6%
Q2 - 9:18MEMMISS Vasquez 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
63.6%
34
36.4%
Q2 - 9:35DENSmith 13' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)37
61.9%
34
38.1%
Q2 - 9:48MEMAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)35
59.5%
34
40.5%
Q2 - 9:48MEMMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 235
60.1%
33
39.9%
Q2 - 9:52DENAnthony 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Andersen 2 AST)35
59.4%
33
40.6%
Q2 - 10:05MEMArthur 4' Running Bank Shot (12 PTS)33
56.8%
33
43.2%
Q2 - 10:26DENSmith 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)33
59.0%
31
41.0%
Q2 - 10:32DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
56.8%
31
43.2%
Q2 - 10:34MEMMISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
55.9%
31
44.1%
Q2 - 10:58DENLawson Driving Layup (5 PTS)31
54.0%
31
46.0%
Q2 - 11:09DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
51.6%
31
48.4%
Q2 - 11:11MEMMISS Vasquez 10' Running Jump Shot29
50.8%
31
49.2%
Q2 - 11:25DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)29
48.9%
31
51.1%
Q2 - 11:25DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
44.1%
31
55.9%
Q2 - 11:26MEMMISS Young 4' Jump Shot26
43.3%
31
56.7%
Q2 - 11:39MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
41.4%
31
58.6%
Q2 - 11:41MEMMISS Young 19' Jump Shot26
43.3%
31
56.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN26
41.4%
31
58.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MEMArthur 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Vasquez 2 AST)26
44.1%
31
55.9%
Q1 - 0:15.0DENHarrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)26
46.8%
29
53.2%
Q1 - 0:30.0MEMYoung Foul Turnover (P1.T4)23
41.6%
29
58.4%
Q1 - 0:33.0DENArthur STEAL (1 STL)23
39.6%
29
60.4%
Q1 - 0:37.0MEMGasol 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS)23
41.6%
29
58.4%
Q1 - 0:50.0DENLawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)23
44.4%
27
55.6%
Q1 - 0:52.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
39.2%
27
60.8%
Q1 - 0:53.0DENMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
37.9%
27
62.1%
Q1 - 1:06MEMArthur 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Vasquez 1 AST)20
39.7%
27
60.3%
Q1 - 1:23DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P2.T2)20
42.6%
25
57.4%
Q1 - 1:24DENAnthony Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)20
44.3%
25
55.7%
Q1 - 1:48MEMArthur 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)19
42.0%
25
58.0%
Q1 - 2:08MEMAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
45.0%
23
55.0%
Q1 - 2:10DENMISS Martin 20' Jump Bank Shot19
45.7%
23
54.3%
Q1 - 2:20DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
47.1%
23
52.9%
Q1 - 2:21MEMMISS Randolph 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
46.5%
23
53.5%
Q1 - 2:38MEMRandolph Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)19
45.1%
23
54.9%
Q1 - 2:56DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
47.4%
22
52.6%
Q1 - 2:56DENMartin Putback Slam Dunk (6 PTS)19
47.4%
22
52.6%
Q1 - 2:59DENMISS Lawson 1' Layup17
43.4%
22
56.6%
Q1 - 3:03DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
45.3%
22
54.7%
Q1 - 3:04MEMMISS Arthur 20' Jump Shot17
44.6%
22
55.4%
Q1 - 3:24MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
42.9%
22
57.1%
Q1 - 3:26DENMISS Anthony 15' Turnaround Jump Shot17
43.7%
22
56.3%
Q1 - 3:42MEMArthur 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Conley 2 AST)17
45.3%
22
54.7%
Q1 - 3:53MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
47.5%
20
52.5%
Q1 - 3:54DENMISS Afflalo 22' Jump Shot17
48.2%
20
51.8%
Q1 - 4:13MEMArthur 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Young 1 AST)17
49.9%
20
50.1%
Q1 - 4:36DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)17
52.0%
18
48.0%
Q1 - 4:36DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)16
51.6%
18
48.4%
Q1 - 4:47MEMGay 4' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)15
49.9%
18
50.1%
Q1 - 5:09MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
51.8%
16
48.2%
Q1 - 5:10DENMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
52.6%
16
47.4%
Q1 - 5:28MEMYoung 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Conley 1 AST)15
54.2%
16
45.8%
Q1 - 5:43DENAnthony 1' Dunk (3 PTS)15
56.1%
14
43.9%
Q1 - 5:46MEMGay Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)13
54.2%
14
45.8%
Q1 - 6:01DENMartin 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)13
52.0%
14
48.0%
Q1 - 6:06MEMRandolph Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)11
50.0%
14
50.0%
Q1 - 6:25DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)11
47.8%
14
52.2%
Q1 - 6:25DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 210
47.5%
14
52.5%
Q1 - 6:39MEMGay 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)10
47.9%
14
52.1%
Q1 - 6:48MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
52.0%
11
48.0%
Q1 - 6:50DENMISS Nene Dunk10
52.6%
11
47.4%
Q1 - 7:01MEMConley 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)10
54.3%
11
45.7%
Q1 - 7:22DENNene Dunk (6 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)10
56.1%
9
43.9%
Q1 - 7:46MEMGay 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
54.3%
9
45.7%
Q1 - 8:15DENBillups 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)8
56.4%
7
43.6%
Q1 - 8:33MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
54.4%
7
45.6%
Q1 - 8:33MEMGasol Dunk (4 PTS)6
54.4%
7
45.6%
Q1 - 8:35MEMMISS Randolph 6' Jump Hook Shot6
57.7%
5
42.3%
Q1 - 8:49MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
56.4%
5
43.6%
Q1 - 8:50DENMISS Nene 4' Jump Shot6
57.0%
5
43.0%
Q1 - 8:59DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
58.3%
5
41.7%
Q1 - 9:02MEMMISS Young 4' Floating Jump Shot6
58.0%
5
42.0%
Q1 - 9:14DENAnthony Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T1)6
56.7%
5
43.3%
Q1 - 9:20DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
58.5%
5
41.5%
Q1 - 9:21MEMMISS Gasol 6' Jump Shot6
57.9%
5
42.1%
Q1 - 9:47DENNene 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
56.6%
5
43.4%
Q1 - 10:02MEMGay Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
54.9%
5
45.1%
Q1 - 10:17DENMartin 17' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)4
52.8%
5
47.2%
Q1 - 10:36MEMGasol 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
51.3%
5
48.7%
Q1 - 10:47MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
52.8%
3
47.2%
Q1 - 10:48DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
53.5%
3
46.5%
Q1 - 10:55DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
54.9%
3
45.1%
Q1 - 10:57MEMMISS Conley 9' Running Jump Shot2
54.3%
3
45.7%
Q1 - 11:06MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
53.2%
3
46.8%
Q1 - 11:07DENMISS Anthony 22' Jump Shot2
53.7%
3
46.3%
Q1 - 11:28MEMConley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gay 1 AST)2
54.7%
3
45.3%
Q1 - 11:48DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
58.1%
0
41.9%
Q1 - 11:48DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
57.7%
0
42.3%
Q1 - 12:00MEMJump Ball Gasol vs. Nene: Tip to Martin0
56.4%
0
43.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.20 60.0%
MEM
1.18 59.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
22
32
69%
MEM
24
36
67%
Midrange
DEN
17
32
53%
MEM
18
37
49%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
MEM
2
3.0
6
33%
50%
Free Throws
DEN
15
21
71%
MEM
26
32
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony2861%14.0 / 23
Nene1464%7.0 / 11
J. Smith1488%7.0 / 8
T. Lawson14100%7.0 / 7
C. Billups1354%6.5 / 12
K. Martin1267%6.0 / 9
A. Harrington550%2.5 / 5
A. Afflalo422%2.0 / 9
C. Andersen440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Arthur2475%12.0 / 16
R. Gay2368%11.5 / 17
M. Conley1771%8.5 / 12
T. Allen1777%8.5 / 11
M. Gasol1568%7.5 / 11
Z. Randolph1450%7.0 / 14
S. Young627%3.0 / 11
G. Vasquez0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
80
+8
-15
88
MEM
85
+12
-12
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.20 60.0%
MEM
1.18 59.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.7
108.3
DEN 113.7
MEM 119.6 +5.9
Pace
95.2
91.5
DEN 96.9 +1.7
MEM 95.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.3
15.6
DEN 14.9 +0.3
MEM 15.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.6%
49.3%
DEN 58.1% +1.1%
MEM 57.0%
TO %
14.5%
14.5%
DEN 14.4%
MEM 12.3% +2.1%
ORB %
23.8%
28.8%
DEN 18.4%
MEM 31.3% +12.9%
FTrt
36.7
29.1
DEN 26.3
MEM 40.5 +14.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
52.8%
DEN 47.7% +4.5%
MEM 43.2%
STL %
7.7%
10.2%
DEN 4.2%
MEM 11.3% +7.1%
BLK %
6.8%
9.0%
DEN 6.8% +3.7%
MEM 3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.7 and 2.7.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.3%
52.1%
DEN 60.0% +0.8%
MEM 59.2%
Rim FG%
58.5%
59.4%
DEN 68.8% +2.1%
MEM 66.7%
Mid FG%
40.0%
39.8%
DEN 53.1% +4.5%
MEM 48.6%
3P %
38.8%
33.4%
DEN 31.3%
MEM 33.3% +2.0%
FT %
76.6%
75.0%
DEN 71.4%
MEM 81.3% +9.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
42.5%
41.6%
DEN 40.0%
MEM 45.6% +5.6%
Mid Att. %
31.8%
44.8%
DEN 40.0% +6.8%
MEM 46.8%
3P Att. %
25.8%
13.6%
DEN 20.0% +12.4%
MEM 7.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsDENMEM
Possessions9597
Possession Minutes23.524.5
Points108116
Rebounds2941
Assists2119
Steals411
Blocks52
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (1)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)22 (3)31 (0)
Field Goals44-8044-79
At-the-Rim FG22-3224-36
Midrange FG17-3218-37
2-Point FG39-6442-73
3-Point FG5-162-6
Free Throws15-2126-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 240 · 27
38.8
28
61%
5
2
1
0
3
5
0
5
7-8
88%
9-19
47%
1-1
100%
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
36.9
4
22%
2
3
0
1
1
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
0-4
0%
C · 6'11" 250 · 28
33.5
14
64%
3
0
0
1
1
4
1
2
2-2
100%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 210 · 34
31.1
13
54%
3
7
0
0
6
2
0
3
2-2
100%
4-6
67%
1-5
20%
F · 6'9" 225 · 33
30.5
12
67%
5
3
1
1
1
5
2
3
0-1
0%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25
22.9
14
88%
1
2
2
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
6-7
86%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 195 · 23
18.2
14
100%
1
2
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
80%
2-2
100%
F · 6'9" 245 · 31
14.4
5
50%
4
0
0
0
1
4
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33
13.5
4
40%
5
2
0
1
0
2
2
3
0-4
0%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 36
F · 6'7" 220 · 26
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27
#32 · F · 6'8" 225 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#34 · C-F · 6'10" 260 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
60%
29
21
4
5
15
0
7
22
15-21
71%
39-64
61%
5-16
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.