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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 13, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Heat47%9282
3Celtics53%9385
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 26.1
43.5
35.3
22
49%
7
7
1
1
0
4
1
6
2-3
67%
10-19
7-14
53%
52%
0-2
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 29.1
42.4
36.2
16
42%
5
4
0
1
0
6
3
2
3-5
60%
5-15
7-15
33%
51%
1-2
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 26.9
41.2
35.3
24
78%
10
2
1
1
1
2
2
8
8-10
80%
8-11
6-12
73%
50%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.7
20.5
17.5
9
43%
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0
1-1
100%
4-10
2-5
40%
46%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.7
12.9
25.7
3
50%
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.0
24.6
24.7
5
40%
9
1
0
0
0
1
0
9
2-3
67%
0-0
2-3
-
50%
1-5
20%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.8
21.1
16.8
2
17%
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
0-4
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.5
21.0
21.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.4
6.8
10.9
1
35%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
0-0
0-1
-
38%
0-1
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.6
6.0
8.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
56%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 38.0
3.7
0
0-1
45%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 31.5
2.4
0
0-0
45%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.7
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.7
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 25.0
43.1
39.9
11
45%
10
10
0
2
0
1
3
7
1-5
20%
5-10
5-10
50%
51%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 35.6
42.8
35.0
13
45%
5
1
1
1
0
0
0
5
1-1
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
52%
2-6
33%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 33.3
39.6
37.1
1
5%
5
3
1
1
0
3
0
5
1-2
50%
0-5
5-10
0%
50%
0-5
0%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 34.7
35.6
31.2
19
63%
7
3
0
1
1
1
1
6
7-7
100%
6-12
6-11
50%
51%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 26.3
30.6
30.7
15
63%
6
0
0
0
0
4
2
4
7-9
78%
4-8
3-5
50%
57%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 25.1
29.6
26.2
16
63%
4
2
2
1
0
1
2
2
4-4
100%
6-11
4-9
55%
47%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 25.6
13.8
15.0
10
100%
2
0
2
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
47%
2-3
67%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 26.7
4.8
8.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 20.2
0.1
1.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 38.9
4.9
0
1-1
58%
Semih Erden
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.5
4.2
0
0-1
54%
Luke Harangody
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.1
4.0
0
0-1
47%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 30.1
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.6
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 32.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.