FinalWin Prob.pScore
147%92
82
353%93
85
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
93.28884.1
BOS logo BOS
97.78791.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA82
0%
85
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0BOSDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)82
4.9%
85
95.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0BOSDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)82
6.4%
84
93.6%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)82
15.6%
83
84.4%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 281
13.0%
83
87.0%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)81
23.3%
83
76.7%
Q4 - 0:23.0BOSMISS Rondo 16' Jump Shot81
17.8%
83
82.2%
Q4 - 0:43.0BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
14.0%
83
86.0%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot81
17.3%
83
82.7%
Q4 - 1:04MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)81
29.8%
83
70.2%
Q4 - 1:05BOSMISS Rondo 1' Layup81
25.8%
83
74.2%
Q4 - 1:07BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)81
18.2%
83
81.8%
Q4 - 1:08BOSMISS Pierce 17' Jump Shot81
26.3%
83
73.7%
Q4 - 1:30MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (James 7 AST)81
21.1%
83
78.9%
Q4 - 1:50BOSGarnett 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Rondo 10 AST)79
15.8%
83
84.2%
Q4 - 2:09BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
21.9%
81
78.1%
Q4 - 2:10MIAMISS James 1' Driving Layup79
25.7%
81
74.3%
Q4 - 2:23MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)79
36.2%
81
63.8%
Q4 - 2:24BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
31.3%
81
68.7%
Q4 - 2:39MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)79
21.6%
81
78.4%
Q4 - 2:39MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)78
20.3%
81
79.7%
Q4 - 2:39MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)77
17.1%
81
82.9%
Q4 - 2:39MIAMISS James 19' Step Back Jump Shot77
11.1%
81
88.9%
Q4 - 3:03MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)77
18.7%
81
81.3%
Q4 - 3:04BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
16.1%
81
83.9%
Q4 - 3:14BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)77
11.1%
81
88.9%
Q4 - 3:15MIAMISS Wade 11' Fadeaway Jumper77
13.1%
81
86.9%
Q4 - 3:43BOSRondo 5 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T15)77
21.9%
81
78.1%
Q4 - 3:54MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)77
15.4%
81
84.6%
Q4 - 4:21BOSDavis 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Rondo 9 AST)77
21.3%
81
78.7%
Q4 - 4:30BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
27.9%
79
72.1%
Q4 - 4:31MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot77
30.5%
79
69.5%
Q4 - 4:44BOSGarnett Foul Turnover (P1.T14)77
37.1%
79
62.9%
Q4 - 4:51MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)77
27.8%
79
72.2%
Q4 - 4:51MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)76
26.1%
79
73.9%
Q4 - 5:06MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
24.3%
79
75.7%
Q4 - 5:07BOSMISS Garnett 15' Step Back Jump Shot75
22.3%
79
77.7%
Q4 - 5:31MIAJames 22' Jump Shot (21 PTS)75
18.1%
79
81.9%
Q4 - 5:53MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
13.8%
79
86.2%
Q4 - 5:54BOSMISS Garnett 4' Turnaround Jump Shot73
12.5%
79
87.5%
Q4 - 6:08BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)73
12.5%
79
87.5%
Q4 - 6:09MIAMISS James 9' Fadeaway Jumper73
13.6%
79
86.4%
Q4 - 6:23BOSPerkins Foul Turnover (P4.T13)73
16.4%
79
83.6%
Q4 - 6:40MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (James 6 AST)73
12.3%
79
87.7%
Q4 - 6:56BOSGarnett 14' Jump Shot (17 PTS)71
9.5%
79
90.5%
Q4 - 7:24MIAJames 7' Floating Jump Shot (19 PTS)71
14.2%
77
85.8%
Q4 - 7:37MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
11.3%
77
88.7%
Q4 - 7:38BOSMISS Perkins Free Throw 2 of 269
10.9%
77
89.1%
Q4 - 7:38BOSMISS Perkins Free Throw 1 of 269
9.6%
77
90.4%
Q4 - 7:56BOSCELTICS Rebound69
8.6%
77
91.4%
Q4 - 7:57MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
9.4%
77
90.6%
Q4 - 8:20MIAHeat Rebound69
12.9%
77
87.1%
Q4 - 8:20BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
12.1%
77
87.9%
Q4 - 8:43MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)69
10.3%
77
89.7%
Q4 - 8:59MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
6.4%
77
93.6%
Q4 - 9:01BOSMISS Rondo 16' Jump Shot66
7.2%
77
92.8%
Q4 - 9:15MIAHouse Foul Turnover (P1.T16)66
6.1%
77
93.9%
Q4 - 9:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
7.6%
77
92.4%
Q4 - 9:25BOSMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
7.1%
77
92.9%
Q4 - 9:47MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)66
6.1%
77
93.9%
Q4 - 9:47MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 265
5.8%
77
94.2%
Q4 - 9:57BOSWafer Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)65
6.0%
77
94.0%
Q4 - 10:04BOSWafer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
5.6%
77
94.4%
Q4 - 10:05MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
6.0%
77
94.0%
Q4 - 10:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)65
7.0%
77
93.0%
Q4 - 10:09MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup65
6.0%
77
94.0%
Q4 - 10:29BOSWafer 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)65
6.9%
77
93.1%
Q4 - 10:33BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)65
10.5%
74
89.5%
Q4 - 10:34BOSMISS Allen 21' Jump Shot65
12.1%
74
87.9%
Q4 - 10:53MIAHouse 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 5 AST)65
10.4%
74
89.6%
Q4 - 10:55MIAHeat Rebound63
8.5%
74
91.5%
Q4 - 10:57MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot63
7.4%
74
92.6%
Q4 - 11:06BOSPerkins Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)63
9.5%
74
90.5%
Q4 - 11:19MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T15)63
7.8%
74
92.2%
Q4 - 11:29MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
9.5%
74
90.5%
Q4 - 11:31BOSMISS Perkins 1' Alley Oop Layup63
8.9%
74
91.1%
Q4 - 11:47MIAJames 1' Layup (17 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)63
7.8%
74
92.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOS61
6.3%
74
93.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)61
5.2%
74
94.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS James 2' Layup61
6.3%
74
93.7%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
7.1%
74
92.9%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
6.3%
74
93.7%
Q3 - 0:29.0BOSWafer 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Rondo 8 AST)61
7.1%
74
92.9%
Q3 - 0:34.0BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)61
10.5%
71
89.5%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAMISS James 1' Layup61
11.0%
71
89.0%
Q3 - 0:54.0BOSDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)61
12.3%
71
87.7%
Q3 - 0:54.0BOSDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)61
12.9%
70
87.1%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAJames Layup (15 PTS)61
15.0%
69
85.0%
Q3 - 1:22BOSDavis Driving Layup (10 PTS)59
13.1%
69
86.9%
Q3 - 1:43BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)59
15.8%
67
84.2%
Q3 - 1:44MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
16.5%
67
83.5%
Q3 - 1:55BOSWafer Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T10)59
18.3%
67
81.7%
Q3 - 2:09BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
16.6%
67
83.4%
Q3 - 2:10MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
17.4%
67
82.6%
Q3 - 2:14MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)59
19.3%
67
80.7%
Q3 - 2:16MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
17.3%
67
82.7%
Q3 - 2:24MIAHeat Rebound59
19.2%
67
80.8%
Q3 - 2:25MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot59
17.3%
67
82.7%
Q3 - 2:30BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)59
19.2%
67
80.8%
Q3 - 2:52MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)59
16.5%
67
83.5%
Q3 - 2:52MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)58
16.1%
67
83.9%
Q3 - 3:07MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)57
15.2%
67
84.8%
Q3 - 3:08BOSMISS Pierce 21' Jump Shot57
14.4%
67
85.6%
Q3 - 3:25MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)57
12.9%
67
87.1%
Q3 - 3:48BOSGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)55
11.0%
67
89.0%
Q3 - 3:48BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)55
11.3%
66
88.7%
Q3 - 4:04BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
13.3%
65
86.7%
Q3 - 4:05MIAMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 255
13.6%
65
86.4%
Q3 - 4:05MIAMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)55
15.0%
65
85.0%
Q3 - 4:23MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)54
13.6%
65
86.4%
Q3 - 4:24BOSMISS Garnett 4' Jump Shot54
12.9%
65
87.1%
Q3 - 4:46MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)54
11.4%
65
88.6%
Q3 - 5:01BOSGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)52
10.6%
65
89.4%
Q3 - 5:01BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)52
10.8%
64
89.2%
Q3 - 5:13BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
12.1%
63
87.9%
Q3 - 5:14MIAMISS Ilgauskas 2' Tip Shot52
12.7%
63
87.3%
Q3 - 5:14MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)52
14.2%
63
85.8%
Q3 - 5:16MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup52
12.7%
63
87.3%
Q3 - 5:21MIAHeat Rebound52
14.2%
63
85.8%
Q3 - 5:22MIAGarnett BLOCK (1 BLK)52
12.7%
63
87.3%
Q3 - 5:35BOSPerkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)52
14.2%
63
85.8%
Q3 - 5:35BOSPerkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)52
14.9%
62
85.1%
Q3 - 5:46MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)52
16.1%
61
83.9%
Q3 - 6:05BOSRondo 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)49
13.2%
61
86.8%
Q3 - 6:29MIAIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)49
14.9%
59
85.1%
Q3 - 6:45BOSRondo Layup (9 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)46
11.4%
59
88.6%
Q3 - 6:59BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
12.9%
57
87.1%
Q3 - 7:00MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup46
13.5%
57
86.5%
Q3 - 7:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
15.8%
57
84.2%
Q3 - 7:03MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot46
14.4%
57
85.6%
Q3 - 7:20MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
15.8%
57
84.2%
Q3 - 7:21BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 2 of 246
15.5%
57
84.5%
Q3 - 7:21BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 1 of 246
14.5%
57
85.5%
Q3 - 7:28BOSGarnett Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (11 PTS)46
13.7%
57
86.3%
Q3 - 7:28BOSGarnett Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (10 PTS)46
14.1%
56
85.9%
Q3 - 7:35BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
22.8%
53
77.2%
Q3 - 7:36MIAMISS Ilgauskas 20' Jump Shot46
23.7%
53
76.3%
Q3 - 7:57BOSRondo 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS)46
25.8%
53
74.2%
Q3 - 8:13MIAWade Driving Layup (11 PTS)46
29.1%
51
70.9%
Q3 - 8:31BOSAllen 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Pierce 3 AST)44
26.2%
51
73.8%
Q3 - 8:44BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
32.3%
48
67.7%
Q3 - 8:45MIAMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot44
33.3%
48
66.7%
Q3 - 9:11BOSGarnett 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Rondo 7 AST)44
36.0%
48
64.0%
Q3 - 9:28BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)44
39.4%
46
60.6%
Q3 - 9:29MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 244
39.8%
46
60.2%
Q3 - 9:29MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)44
42.3%
46
57.7%
Q3 - 9:46BOSPerkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)43
39.4%
46
60.6%
Q3 - 9:46BOSPerkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)43
40.6%
45
59.4%
Q3 - 9:56MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)43
42.9%
44
57.1%
Q3 - 10:20MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
46.7%
44
53.3%
Q3 - 10:22BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 1 of 143
46.2%
44
53.8%
Q3 - 10:26BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
50.2%
42
49.8%
Q3 - 10:28MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Layup43
51.3%
42
48.7%
Q3 - 10:47BOSPierce Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)43
53.8%
42
46.2%
Q3 - 11:01BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)43
50.1%
42
49.9%
Q3 - 11:02MIAMISS Ilgauskas 20' Jump Shot43
51.2%
42
48.8%
Q3 - 11:25BOSPerkins 4' Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Rondo 6 AST)43
53.8%
42
46.2%
Q3 - 11:33MIABosh Foul Turnover (P2.T13)43
57.0%
40
43.0%
Q3 - 11:49BOSRondo Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)43
60.6%
40
39.4%
Q3 - 11:49BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 1 of 243
61.6%
39
38.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS43
60.3%
39
39.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAJames 4' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)43
60.3%
39
39.7%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
56.5%
39
43.5%
Q2 - 0:21.0BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
55.7%
39
44.3%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIABosh 1' Tip Shot (10 PTS)41
53.9%
39
46.1%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
49.9%
39
50.1%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Ilgauskas 15' Jump Shot39
48.0%
39
52.0%
Q2 - 1:00BOSGarnett Layup (7 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)39
49.9%
39
50.1%
Q2 - 1:16MIABosh 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)39
53.9%
37
46.1%
Q2 - 1:24MIAMiller Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)37
49.8%
37
50.2%
Q2 - 1:37BOSPerkins 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Garnett 3 AST)36
46.5%
37
53.5%
Q2 - 1:50MIAIlgauskas Layup (6 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)36
50.7%
35
49.3%
Q2 - 2:02MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)34
47.0%
35
53.0%
Q2 - 2:04BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
45.9%
35
54.1%
Q2 - 2:14MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)34
43.7%
35
56.3%
Q2 - 2:14MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)33
43.1%
35
56.9%
Q2 - 2:26MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)32
40.7%
35
59.3%
Q2 - 2:27BOSMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot32
39.7%
35
60.3%
Q2 - 2:51MIABosh Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)32
37.6%
35
62.4%
Q2 - 3:06MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)32
41.2%
35
58.8%
Q2 - 3:07BOSMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot32
40.1%
35
59.9%
Q2 - 3:18BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)32
37.7%
35
62.3%
Q2 - 3:20MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup32
38.8%
35
61.2%
Q2 - 3:26MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
41.2%
35
58.8%
Q2 - 3:27BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
40.1%
35
59.9%
Q2 - 3:30BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
37.7%
35
62.3%
Q2 - 3:31BOSMISS Allen Layup32
40.1%
35
59.9%
Q2 - 3:38BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
37.7%
35
62.3%
Q2 - 3:39MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
38.8%
35
61.2%
Q2 - 3:57BOSGarnett 7' Turnaround Fadeaway (5 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)32
41.2%
35
58.8%
Q2 - 4:13MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)32
43.7%
33
56.3%
Q2 - 4:21MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
41.0%
33
59.0%
Q2 - 4:23BOSMISS Garnett 10' Jump Shot30
40.1%
33
59.9%
Q2 - 4:40MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)30
37.9%
33
62.1%
Q2 - 4:54BOSDavis 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)30
41.1%
33
58.9%
Q2 - 5:00BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
43.7%
31
56.3%
Q2 - 5:02MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot30
45.0%
31
55.0%
Q2 - 5:27BOSDavis Layup (6 PTS)30
47.0%
31
53.0%
Q2 - 5:49MIAMiller 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)30
50.0%
29
50.0%
Q2 - 5:59BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)27
44.1%
29
55.9%
Q2 - 6:12BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
41.1%
29
58.9%
Q2 - 6:13MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
42.1%
29
57.9%
Q2 - 6:30BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)27
44.3%
29
55.7%
Q2 - 6:30BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 1 of 227
44.7%
28
55.3%
Q2 - 6:35MIAPierce STEAL (1 STL)27
43.9%
28
56.1%
Q2 - 6:58BOSAllen Layup (8 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST)27
47.2%
28
52.8%
Q2 - 7:14BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
49.7%
26
50.3%
Q2 - 7:15MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 227
50.1%
26
49.9%
Q2 - 7:15MIAHeat Rebound27
52.6%
26
47.4%
Q2 - 7:15MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 227
51.9%
26
48.1%
Q2 - 7:28BOSRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)27
52.6%
26
47.4%
Q2 - 7:51MIABosh 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)27
49.6%
26
50.4%
Q2 - 7:58MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
47.0%
26
53.0%
Q2 - 7:59MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
45.0%
26
55.0%
Q2 - 8:07MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
47.0%
26
53.0%
Q2 - 8:08BOSMISS Robinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
46.2%
26
53.8%
Q2 - 8:13BOSRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
44.3%
26
55.7%
Q2 - 8:14MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot25
45.1%
26
54.9%
Q2 - 8:36BOSWafer Layup (4 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)25
47.0%
26
53.0%
Q2 - 8:41MIADavis STEAL (2 STL)25
49.7%
24
50.3%
Q2 - 8:53BOSDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)25
52.4%
24
47.6%
Q2 - 9:03MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)25
49.4%
24
50.6%
Q2 - 9:16BOSPerkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)25
52.2%
24
47.8%
Q2 - 9:16BOSPerkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)25
53.0%
23
47.0%
Q2 - 9:34MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS)25
54.7%
22
45.3%
Q2 - 9:49MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
52.2%
22
47.8%
Q2 - 9:50BOSMISS Wafer 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
51.3%
22
48.7%
Q2 - 9:53BOSWafer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
49.4%
22
50.6%
Q2 - 9:54BOSMISS Perkins 1' Layup23
51.3%
22
48.7%
Q2 - 10:10MIAWafer STEAL (2 STL)23
49.1%
22
50.9%
Q2 - 10:27MIAHeat Rebound23
52.0%
22
48.0%
Q2 - 10:29BOSMISS Davis Layup23
51.1%
22
48.9%
Q2 - 10:33MIADavis STEAL (1 STL)23
49.2%
22
50.8%
Q2 - 10:51BOSWafer Layup (2 PTS)23
52.0%
22
48.0%
Q2 - 10:55MIAWafer STEAL (1 STL)23
54.3%
20
45.7%
Q2 - 11:10BOSPerkins Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)23
56.7%
20
43.3%
Q2 - 11:10BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)23
61.4%
17
38.6%
Q2 - 11:11BOSMISS Perkins 2' Layup23
63.2%
17
36.8%
Q2 - 11:12BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
61.4%
17
38.6%
Q2 - 11:13BOSMISS Davis Layup23
63.2%
17
36.8%
Q2 - 11:35MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)23
61.4%
17
38.6%
Q2 - 11:44BOSDavis 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS)20
56.7%
17
43.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA20
59.0%
15
41.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound20
61.6%
15
38.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 23' Jump Shot20
59.8%
15
40.2%
Q1 - 0:08.0BOSCELTICS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)20
60.7%
15
39.3%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)20
58.8%
15
41.2%
Q1 - 0:46.0BOSRondo 4' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
60.8%
15
39.2%
Q1 - 1:03BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
63.1%
13
36.9%
Q1 - 1:05MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
63.6%
13
36.4%
Q1 - 1:19MIAJones Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)20
64.7%
13
35.3%
Q1 - 1:32MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
62.6%
13
37.4%
Q1 - 1:32BOSMISS Pierce 18' Jump Shot19
62.1%
13
37.9%
Q1 - 1:49MIAJames 2' Layup (8 PTS)19
60.9%
13
39.1%
Q1 - 2:07BOSPerkins Foul Turnover (P2.T3)17
58.1%
13
41.9%
Q1 - 2:20BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
56.1%
13
43.9%
Q1 - 2:21MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot17
56.7%
13
43.3%
Q1 - 2:40MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
58.1%
13
41.9%
Q1 - 2:40BOSMISS Allen 22' Jump Shot17
57.5%
13
42.5%
Q1 - 2:46BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
56.1%
13
43.9%
Q1 - 2:47BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
57.5%
13
42.5%
Q1 - 3:10MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 3 AST)17
55.8%
13
44.2%
Q1 - 3:33BOSDavis Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)14
51.4%
13
48.6%
Q1 - 3:48MIAJames Dunk (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)14
53.6%
11
46.4%
Q1 - 3:50MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
51.4%
11
48.6%
Q1 - 3:52BOSMISS Pierce 4' Jump Shot12
50.6%
11
49.4%
Q1 - 4:09MIAJames 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Ilgauskas 1 AST)12
48.7%
11
51.3%
Q1 - 4:22BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)10
46.7%
11
53.3%
Q1 - 4:28BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)10
50.9%
8
49.1%
Q1 - 4:29MIAMISS Ilgauskas 12' Turnaround Jump Shot10
51.7%
8
48.3%
Q1 - 4:44MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
53.3%
8
46.7%
Q1 - 4:45BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
52.6%
8
47.4%
Q1 - 5:07MIAIlgauskas 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)10
50.6%
8
49.4%
Q1 - 5:23MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
48.7%
8
51.3%
Q1 - 5:24BOSMISS Rondo 1' Layup8
48.0%
8
52.0%
Q1 - 5:26BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
46.3%
8
53.7%
Q1 - 5:27BOSMISS Davis 16' Jump Shot8
48.0%
8
52.0%
Q1 - 5:52MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)8
46.3%
8
53.7%
Q1 - 6:14BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)8
48.5%
8
51.5%
Q1 - 6:38MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)8
52.6%
5
47.4%
Q1 - 6:57BOSAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)6
50.6%
5
49.4%
Q1 - 7:03MIAAllen STEAL (1 STL)6
54.3%
2
45.7%
Q1 - 7:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
56.5%
2
43.5%
Q1 - 7:17BOSMISS Garnett 18' Jump Shot6
55.9%
2
44.1%
Q1 - 7:23BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
54.3%
2
45.7%
Q1 - 7:26BOSMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot6
55.9%
2
44.1%
Q1 - 7:38MIAIlgauskas 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)6
54.4%
2
45.6%
Q1 - 7:59BOSPerkins Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)4
52.5%
2
47.5%
Q1 - 8:15MIAChalmers Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T1)4
50.4%
2
49.6%
Q1 - 8:19MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
52.4%
2
47.6%
Q1 - 8:20BOSMISS Pierce 1' Layup4
51.8%
2
48.2%
Q1 - 8:26BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
50.4%
2
49.6%
Q1 - 8:27MIAMISS James 7' Fadeaway Jumper4
51.0%
2
49.0%
Q1 - 8:51BOSCELTICS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)4
52.4%
2
47.6%
Q1 - 8:51BOSCELTICS Rebound4
50.4%
2
49.6%
Q1 - 8:52BOSMISS Garnett 15' Jump Shot4
51.8%
2
48.2%
Q1 - 9:25MIAWade 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)4
50.5%
2
49.5%
Q1 - 9:35MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
48.6%
2
51.4%
Q1 - 9:36BOSMISS Rondo 17' Step Back Jump Shot2
48.0%
2
52.0%
Q1 - 9:51MIAJames 1' Layup (2 PTS)2
46.7%
2
53.3%
Q1 - 9:57MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
44.8%
2
55.2%
Q1 - 9:58BOSMISS Allen 21' Jump Shot0
44.2%
2
55.8%
Q1 - 10:20BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
43.0%
2
57.0%
Q1 - 10:20MIAMISS Ilgauskas 20' Jump Shot0
43.6%
2
56.4%
Q1 - 10:41MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
45.0%
2
55.0%
Q1 - 10:42BOSMISS Perkins 1' Layup0
44.4%
2
55.6%
Q1 - 10:59BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
43.0%
2
57.0%
Q1 - 11:00MIAMISS Chalmers 20' Jump Shot0
43.6%
2
56.4%
Q1 - 11:23BOSPerkins 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)0
44.9%
2
55.1%
Q1 - 11:46BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
46.6%
0
53.4%
Q1 - 11:46MIAMISS James 5' Running Jump Shot0
47.1%
0
52.9%
Q1 - 12:00BOSJump Ball Perkins vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to Bosh0
48.2%
0
51.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.94 47.1%
BOS
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
27
56%
BOS
17
30
57%
Midrange
MIA
13
31
42%
BOS
9
26
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
3
4.5
16
19%
28%
BOS
4
6.0
15
27%
40%
Free Throws
MIA
17
23
74%
BOS
21
28
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh2475%12.0 / 16
L. James2250%11.0 / 22
D. Wade1642%8.0 / 19
Z. Ilgauskas945%4.5 / 10
M. Miller542%2.5 / 6
M. Chalmers350%1.5 / 3
E. House217%1.0 / 6
J. Jones150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Garnett1968%9.5 / 14
G. Davis1662%8.0 / 13
K. Perkins1563%7.5 / 12
R. Allen1350%6.5 / 13
R. Rondo1146%5.5 / 12
V. Wafer10100%5.0 / 5
P. Pierce15%0.5 / 11
N. Robinson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
73
+15
-15
88
BOS
74
+10
-13
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.94 47.1%
BOS
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
106.1
MIA 93.2
BOS 97.7 +4.5
Pace
91.3
90.6
MIA 84.1
BOS 91.2 +7.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.9
MIA 17.1
BOS 15.8 +1.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
51.9%
MIA 43.9%
BOS 45.1% +1.2%
TO %
14.4%
14.9%
MIA 16.8%
BOS 15.3% +1.5%
ORB %
25.2%
21.2%
MIA 22.5% +0.5%
BOS 22.0%
FTrt
36.3
30.5
MIA 31.1
BOS 39.4 +8.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
63.5%
MIA 54.8%
BOS 63.3% +8.5%
STL %
7.3%
9.1%
MIA 3.4%
BOS 6.9% +3.5%
BLK %
8.5%
6.8%
MIA 5.4% +3.7%
BOS 1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.31 and 2.31.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
54.3%
MIA 47.1%
BOS 50.0% +2.9%
Rim FG%
64.7%
61.6%
MIA 55.6%
BOS 56.7% +1.1%
Mid FG%
42.2%
42.6%
MIA 41.9% +7.3%
BOS 34.6%
3P %
37.0%
36.5%
MIA 18.8%
BOS 26.7% +7.9%
FT %
76.9%
77.0%
MIA 73.9%
BOS 75.0% +1.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
37.4%
MIA 36.5%
BOS 42.3% +5.8%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
44.6%
MIA 41.9%
BOS 36.6% +5.3%
3P Att. %
23.5%
18.0%
MIA 21.6% +0.5%
BOS 21.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions8887
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points8285
Rebounds4140
Assists1719
Steals36
Blocks31
Turnovers (Team)15 (2)13 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (6)9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (2)31 (1)
Field Goals31-7430-71
At-the-Rim FG15-2717-30
Midrange FG13-319-26
2-Point FG28-5826-56
3-Point FG3-164-15
Free Throws17-2321-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
43.5
22
50%
7
7
1
0
4
2
1
6
2-3
67%
10-19
53%
0-2
0%
G · 6'4" 220 · 29
42.4
16
42%
5
4
0
0
6
3
3
2
3-5
60%
5-15
33%
1-2
50%
F · 6'11" 235 · 27
41.2
24
75%
10
2
1
1
2
3
2
8
8-10
80%
8-11
73%
0-0
-
C · 7'3" 260 · 36
20.5
9
45%
1
1
0
2
0
3
1
0
1-1
100%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 25
12.9
3
50%
4
2
0
0
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
24.6
5
42%
9
1
0
0
1
2
0
9
2-3
67%
0-0
-
1-5
20%
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
21.1
2
17%
3
0
1
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-4
0%
C · 6'9" 245 · 29
21.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30
6.8
1
50%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
1-1
100%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 265 · 36
6.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 38
G · 6'2" 200 · 32
#21 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
82
47%
41
17
3
3
15
0
9
32
17-23
74%
28-58
48%
3-16
19%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.