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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 12, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Mavericks49%102106
10Rockets51%103102
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 32.7
33.7
33.4
22
60%
6
2
1
1
2
0
1
5
5-5
100%
7-15
6-12
47%
51%
1-1
100%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 37.9
32.4
32.9
11
80%
3
5
2
2
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
2-2
1-3
100%
40%
2-4
50%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 33.7
27.9
12.4
22
85%
4
1
1
0
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
4-6
1-2
67%
44%
4-6
67%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 28.4
22.9
29.5
12
75%
7
0
0
0
1
1
1
6
0-0
-
6-8
4-7
75%
61%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 29.9
14.6
16.9
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
41%
0-2
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 32.8
30.2
25.6
14
58%
9
3
1
1
0
1
2
7
0-0
-
7-12
5-9
58%
52%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.4
29.2
31.7
7
40%
0
7
1
1
0
4
0
0
3-4
75%
2-6
5-10
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 24.3
25.4
7.1
7
51%
6
2
0
0
1
0
3
3
1-2
50%
3-6
1-2
50%
55%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.6
23.8
24.0
11
69%
4
5
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
48%
1-1
100%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 31.2
12.0
0
1-2
55%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 33.8
10.0
0
0-0
41%
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.3
2.2
0
0-1
46%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.0
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 30.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 32.4
39.3
29.9
14
78%
7
4
1
1
1
1
3
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
50%
4-6
67%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 24.9
38.3
32.9
26
52%
2
8
2
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
6-14
3-6
43%
46%
4-10
40%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 28.0
28.8
32.8
17
48%
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
5-6
83%
6-11
5-10
55%
47%
0-4
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 27.7
25.0
34.5
10
56%
7
2
1
1
0
0
3
4
2-2
100%
4-8
4-7
50%
54%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 30.8
23.0
35.8
8
44%
6
1
0
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
4-9
8-16
44%
51%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 26.1
27.6
19.7
7
23%
1
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
2-3
67%
1-10
2-5
10%
45%
1-4
25%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.5
22.4
4.6
10
63%
9
0
3
0
1
0
5
4
0-0
-
5-8
1-1
63%
49%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.4
19.2
19.1
9
77%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
2-3
67%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 34.8
7.5
10.4
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-1
0%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 22.7
7.2
13.8
1
17%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
2-3
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.9
1.6
7.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 22.6
5.0
0
0-1
44%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 29.2
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.6
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 30.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.