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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 12, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Bulls53%9197
14Hornets47%8988
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.8
37.7
36.0
14
60%
3
5
0
1
1
1
0
3
4-4
100%
5-7
4-9
71%
49%
0-3
0%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.4
35.6
37.2
23
62%
4
6
1
1
0
4
0
4
8-8
100%
6-13
7-15
46%
49%
1-2
50%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 38.4
33.6
25.7
2
25%
11
1
0
1
0
2
0
11
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
49%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 29.2
30.7
33.7
17
64%
8
2
0
1
1
3
0
8
3-3
100%
7-12
8-15
58%
53%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 30.8
15.9
17.5
11
110%
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
3-4
75%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 25.9
24.0
19.8
9
67%
5
1
1
1
1
0
2
3
3-4
75%
3-5
2-4
60%
51%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 29.9
18.4
20.2
4
37%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.6
17.3
20.0
6
75%
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
47%
0-0
-
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.6
14.4
11.3
4
52%
11
0
0
0
0
0
4
7
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
50%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.8
12.4
10.3
7
70%
2
0
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
1-1
100%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.0
2.5
0
0-1
47%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.9
0.7
0
0-0
43%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 26.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.5
38.7
36.5
17
60%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
5-7
71%
6-11
8-15
55%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.8
37.8
37.3
15
52%
2
6
3
2
0
2
0
2
8-10
80%
2-8
4-9
25%
50%
1-2
50%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 25.6
34.6
28.5
6
31%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-4
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
46%
0-3
0%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.2
28.2
25.7
5
54%
6
0
1
1
0
1
0
6
3-6
50%
1-2
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.5
22.8
27.6
8
57%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
47%
2-4
50%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 23.7
27.4
8.6
24
72%
6
0
2
0
1
0
0
6
3-4
75%
6-11
1-3
55%
46%
3-4
75%
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 30.6
13.5
10.4
0
0%
3
1
0
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.3
13.4
17.3
10
57%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 24.9
12.6
11.4
1
13%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
1-2
50%
0-3
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.9
8.0
18.6
2
35%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.1
3.0
7.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 27.2
10.4
0
1-2
41%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.9
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 28.4
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 29.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.