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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 12, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Bobcats29%9088
15Hawks71%9786
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 32.9
43.0
35.3
32
58%
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
2
7-8
88%
11-18
5-10
61%
44%
1-6
17%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.6
41.9
39.5
16
53%
13
7
2
1
1
2
1
12
0-0
-
2-9
5-10
22%
48%
4-6
67%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 28.9
23.1
26.8
2
33%
6
1
0
1
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
50%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 28.8
22.2
30.2
2
20%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
53%
0-3
0%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 23.3
18.1
29.9
4
29%
0
4
1
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
3-7
33%
44%
0-3
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 25.4
30.1
16.4
22
70%
6
5
0
1
1
2
1
5
6-6
100%
8-13
2-5
62%
47%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.6
29.4
17.7
2
26%
3
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-2
0%
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 33.4
21.1
14.4
5
46%
9
0
0
0
3
1
3
6
1-1
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
50%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.2
11.1
21.7
3
31%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
45%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.3
6.4
0
1-1
40%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 30.5
2.6
0
0-1
41%
Sherron Collins
G · 5'11" 205 · 23.9
2.4
0
0-1
41%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 29.0
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.5
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.7
41.6
38.2
16
53%
10
3
1
1
0
1
1
9
0-0
-
8-15
7-12
53%
57%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 25.2
36.0
32.7
28
70%
6
1
2
1
0
2
3
3
4-7
57%
9-13
6-11
69%
52%
2-4
50%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.6
35.5
30.2
11
36%
5
5
1
1
0
1
0
5
3-3
100%
4-9
6-11
44%
51%
0-5
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.8
31.6
23.3
11
55%
6
6
1
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
3-8
38%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.2
14.5
7.2
4
106%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.9
27.3
27.2
2
11%
1
7
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
49%
0-4
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 27.0
21.4
14.6
10
51%
9
1
1
0
0
0
3
6
4-4
100%
3-8
1-3
38%
49%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 24.7
18.6
28.2
2
14%
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-6
3-6
17%
52%
0-1
0%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.3
13.3
18.5
2
53%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-1
0%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 31.1
0.1
16.1
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 22.7
13.0
1
2-3
47%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.0
8.0
0
1-2
46%
Pape Sy
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 22.9
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 22.3
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 32.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.