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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 11, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Bucks44%8886
19Grizzlies56%9089
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 26.2
40.2
34.7
5
25%
14
1
1
1
2
2
3
11
1-2
50%
2-9
6-12
22%
52%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 21.4
35.6
28.8
16
46%
2
3
2
1
1
4
0
2
1-1
100%
3-10
4-9
30%
40%
3-7
43%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 31.2
33.9
28.4
18
60%
5
6
2
1
2
2
1
4
7-9
78%
4-10
4-8
40%
44%
1-1
100%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 31.2
30.0
28.4
22
73%
2
0
0
1
0
3
0
2
6-7
86%
2-6
5-9
33%
49%
4-6
67%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.7
27.5
31.1
2
25%
6
0
1
1
1
3
2
4
0-0
-
1-3
4-9
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.8
23.8
19.0
8
39%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
3-3
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
44%
1-5
20%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 28.5
23.2
26.8
6
33%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
43%
2-6
33%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.4
19.1
22.9
9
65%
9
0
1
1
0
1
4
5
1-2
50%
4-6
2-4
67%
48%
0-0
-
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 23.9
6.7
5.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 22.2
8.2
0
1-2
46%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 34.7
5.8
0
1-2
44%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 24.8
4.7
0
0-1
45%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 29.4
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 31.5
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 24.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 25.7
42.2
32.9
19
75%
8
0
0
1
0
0
1
7
5-6
83%
7-9
5-9
78%
49%
0-1
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.5
39.7
39.5
14
55%
10
3
3
1
0
4
3
7
4-4
100%
5-11
7-13
45%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.3
38.6
34.6
23
53%
5
8
3
1
0
3
1
4
4-6
67%
5-14
4-9
36%
48%
3-5
60%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.0
35.9
34.5
9
51%
8
2
0
1
2
2
1
7
3-4
75%
3-7
5-10
43%
55%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.9
35.8
15.3
12
40%
8
0
1
1
3
1
3
5
2-2
100%
5-14
3-5
36%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 29.1
24.7
23.6
10
48%
1
2
2
2
2
1
0
1
4-8
50%
3-7
3-6
43%
50%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 25.7
7.6
1.7
0
0%
4
0
0
0
2
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-3
0-0
0%
49%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 24.1
6.4
13.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 35.2
4.4
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.5
2.6
4.0
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 24.0
2.0
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 19.9
5.3
0
1-1
46%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.3
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.