FinalWin Prob.pScore
176%100
106
2424%91
92
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
114.09398.0
DET logo DET
100.09287.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA106
100%
92
0%
Q4 - 0:23.0DETBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)106
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)106
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAMaxiell STEAL (1 STL)106
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)106
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:45.0DETMISS Gordon 3PT Jump Shot106
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAMiller Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)106
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 1:14MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)104
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 1:15DETMISS Villanueva Free Throw 2 of 2104
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 1:15DETVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)104
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 1:29DETJump Ball Daye vs. Howard: Tip to Bynum104
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:49DETMaxiell 1' Putback Dunk (4 PTS)104
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:50DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)104
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 1:51DETMISS Villanueva 1' Layup104
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 1:55DETGordon REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)104
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 1:56DETMISS Villanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot104
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 2:05DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)104
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 2:07MIAMISS Anthony 8' Hook Shot104
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 2:26DETDaye Traveling Turnover (P1.T16)104
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 2:34MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)104
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 2:34MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 2103
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 2:43DETMaxiell 1' Putback Dunk (2 PTS)103
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 2:44DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)103
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 2:46DETMISS Bynum Layup103
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 2:57MIAHeat Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#15)103
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 3:10DETDaye Dunk (18 PTS)103
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 3:13MIADaye STEAL (3 STL)103
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 3:24DETDaye 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bynum 5 AST)103
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 3:38DETPISTONS Rebound103
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 3:40MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot103
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 4:00MIAHeat Rebound103
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 4:01MIAMISS Miller 19' Jump Shot103
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 4:22DETDaye 6' Jump Shot (13 PTS)103
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 4:27MIADaye STEAL (2 STL)103
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 4:30MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)103
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 4:32DETMISS Villanueva 20' Jump Shot103
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 4:41MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)103
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 4:44DETBynum Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)100
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 4:51DETBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)100
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 4:52MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot100
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 5:03DETVillanueva Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)100
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 5:28MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)100
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 5:52DETDaye Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)98
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 5:52DETDaye Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)98
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 5:57DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)98
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 5:59MIAMISS James 7' Hook Shot98
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 6:34DETWilcox Dunk (2 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)98
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 6:52MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (James 10 AST)98
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 7:09MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 7:10DETMISS Bynum 14' Running Jump Shot96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 7:36MIAMiller 1' Reverse Layup (14 PTS) (House 3 AST)96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 7:39MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)94
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 7:42DETMISS Daye 1' Dunk94
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 8:04MIAWade Layup (24 PTS) (House 2 AST)94
99.8%
74
0.2%
Q4 - 8:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)92
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 8:12DETMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 8:29MIAMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)92
99.6%
74
0.4%
Q4 - 8:29MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 8:31DETMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 8:37DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)92
99.6%
74
0.4%
Q4 - 8:39MIAMISS House 10' Jump Bank Shot92
99.6%
74
0.4%
Q4 - 8:58MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)92
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 8:59DETMISS Bynum 20' Pullup Jump Shot92
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 9:07MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)92
99.4%
74
0.6%
Q4 - 9:07MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 291
99.4%
74
0.6%
Q4 - 9:07MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)91
99.4%
74
0.6%
Q4 - 9:08MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot91
99.3%
74
0.7%
Q4 - 9:27DETDaye 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bynum 4 AST)91
99.5%
74
0.5%
Q4 - 9:36DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)91
99.7%
71
0.3%
Q4 - 9:38MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot91
99.7%
71
0.3%
Q4 - 9:52MIAHeat Rebound91
99.7%
71
0.3%
Q4 - 9:53MIAGordon BLOCK (1 BLK)91
99.7%
71
0.3%
Q4 - 9:56MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
99.7%
71
0.3%
Q4 - 9:57DETMISS Daye 12' Jump Shot91
99.7%
71
0.3%
Q4 - 10:07MIABosh Foul Turnover (P2.T11)91
99.6%
71
0.4%
Q4 - 10:12MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)91
99.7%
71
0.3%
Q4 - 10:13DETMISS Villanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot91
99.6%
71
0.4%
Q4 - 10:31MIAMiller 28' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)91
99.6%
71
0.4%
Q4 - 10:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)88
99.3%
71
0.7%
Q4 - 10:39DETMISS Gordon 14' Jump Shot88
99.3%
71
0.7%
Q4 - 10:49DETGordon REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)88
99.1%
71
0.9%
Q4 - 10:50MIABynum BLOCK (2 BLK)88
99.2%
71
0.8%
Q4 - 11:10DETGordon 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bynum 3 AST)88
99.2%
71
0.8%
Q4 - 11:24MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)88
99.5%
68
0.5%
Q4 - 11:24MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)87
99.4%
68
0.6%
Q4 - 11:43DETDaye 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bynum 2 AST)86
99.3%
68
0.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET86
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)86
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q3 - 0:14.0DETDaye Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)84
99.3%
65
0.7%
Q3 - 0:14.0DETMISS Daye Free Throw 1 of 284
99.4%
64
0.6%
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAGordon STEAL (1 STL)84
99.4%
64
0.6%
Q3 - 0:33.0DETGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)84
99.5%
64
0.5%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)84
99.7%
61
0.3%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 283
99.6%
61
0.4%
Q3 - 0:52.0DETGordon 17' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)83
99.6%
61
0.4%
Q3 - 0:53.0DETGordon REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)83
99.7%
59
0.3%
Q3 - 0:54.0DETMISS Prince 20' Jump Shot83
99.8%
59
0.2%
Q3 - 1:09DETPISTONS Rebound83
99.7%
59
0.3%
Q3 - 1:10MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
99.7%
59
0.3%
Q3 - 1:15MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)83
99.7%
59
0.3%
Q3 - 1:16DETMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
99.7%
59
0.3%
Q3 - 1:37MIAChalmers Layup (9 PTS)83
99.7%
59
0.3%
Q3 - 1:41DETMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13)81
99.6%
59
0.4%
Q3 - 1:59DETGordon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)81
99.5%
59
0.5%
Q3 - 2:00MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot81
99.5%
59
0.5%
Q3 - 2:19MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)81
99.5%
59
0.5%
Q3 - 2:21MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot81
99.4%
59
0.6%
Q3 - 2:40DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)81
99.5%
59
0.5%
Q3 - 3:10MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 9 AST)81
99.3%
59
0.7%
Q3 - 3:33DETGordon 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Monroe 2 AST)78
99.0%
59
1.0%
Q3 - 3:42DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)78
99.3%
56
0.7%
Q3 - 3:43DETMISS McGrady 17' Pullup Jump Shot78
99.4%
56
0.6%
Q3 - 4:08MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)78
99.2%
56
0.8%
Q3 - 4:08MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)77
99.2%
56
0.8%
Q3 - 4:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)76
99.1%
56
0.9%
Q3 - 4:23DETMISS Stuckey 27' 3PT Jump Shot76
99.1%
56
0.9%
Q3 - 4:53MIAChalmers 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 8 AST)76
98.9%
56
1.1%
Q3 - 5:02MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)74
98.5%
56
1.5%
Q3 - 5:03DETMISS Stuckey 7' Running Jump Shot74
98.5%
56
1.5%
Q3 - 5:12MIAStuckey STEAL (3 STL)74
98.3%
56
1.7%
Q3 - 5:37DETWallace Reverse Layup (4 PTS)74
98.6%
56
1.4%
Q3 - 6:00MIAIlgauskas 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)74
98.8%
54
1.2%
Q3 - 6:19DETWallace Tip Shot (2 PTS)72
98.4%
54
1.6%
Q3 - 6:20DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
98.6%
52
1.4%
Q3 - 6:21DETMISS Prince 17' Fadeaway Jumper72
98.8%
52
1.2%
Q3 - 6:46MIAWade 1' Reverse Dunk (20 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)72
98.6%
52
1.4%
Q3 - 7:03MIAHeat Rebound70
98.2%
52
1.8%
Q3 - 7:04DETMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
98.1%
52
1.9%
Q3 - 7:23DETPISTONS Rebound70
97.9%
52
2.1%
Q3 - 7:24MIAMISS Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper70
98.0%
52
2.0%
Q3 - 7:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
98.2%
52
1.8%
Q3 - 7:26MIAMISS Ilgauskas 11' Jump Shot70
98.0%
52
2.0%
Q3 - 7:46DETPrince 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Stuckey 4 AST)70
98.2%
52
1.8%
Q3 - 8:01DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
98.4%
50
1.6%
Q3 - 8:02MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot70
98.4%
50
1.6%
Q3 - 8:06DETMcGrady Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)70
98.6%
50
1.4%
Q3 - 8:25MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)70
98.4%
50
1.6%
Q3 - 8:25MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)69
98.3%
50
1.7%
Q3 - 8:30MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)68
98.1%
50
1.9%
Q3 - 8:31DETMISS Prince 7' Running Hook Shot68
98.0%
50
2.0%
Q3 - 8:56MIAIlgauskas Foul Turnover (P2.T8)68
97.8%
50
2.2%
Q3 - 9:12DETMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)68
98.0%
50
2.0%
Q3 - 9:12DETMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)68
98.1%
49
1.9%
Q3 - 9:30DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
98.3%
48
1.7%
Q3 - 9:31MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot68
98.4%
48
1.6%
Q3 - 9:37MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)68
98.5%
48
1.5%
Q3 - 9:39DETMISS Stuckey Reverse Layup68
98.5%
48
1.5%
Q3 - 9:48DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
98.3%
48
1.7%
Q3 - 9:51MIAMISS James 2' Alley Oop Layup68
98.4%
48
1.6%
Q3 - 10:04DETMcGrady 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)68
98.4%
48
1.6%
Q3 - 10:27MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ilgauskas 2 AST)68
98.6%
46
1.4%
Q3 - 10:45DETMcGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)66
98.4%
46
1.6%
Q3 - 11:06MIAMcGrady STEAL (1 STL)66
98.7%
43
1.3%
Q3 - 11:21DETStuckey Foul Turnover (P1.T10)66
98.9%
43
1.1%
Q3 - 11:42MIAIlgauskas 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)66
98.7%
43
1.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET64
98.5%
43
1.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
98.3%
43
1.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot64
98.2%
43
1.8%
Q2 - 0:08.0DETMonroe Tip Shot (8 PTS)64
98.3%
43
1.7%
Q2 - 0:09.0DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
98.6%
41
1.4%
Q2 - 0:10.0DETMISS Stuckey Layup64
98.7%
41
1.3%
Q2 - 0:32.0DETGordon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)64
98.6%
41
1.4%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAMISS James 11' Fadeaway Jumper64
98.6%
41
1.4%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)64
98.7%
41
1.3%
Q2 - 0:42.0DETMISS Stuckey 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
98.7%
41
1.3%
Q2 - 1:09MIAHouse 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 7 AST)64
98.5%
41
1.5%
Q2 - 1:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)61
98.0%
41
2.0%
Q2 - 1:14DETMISS McGrady 9' Jump Shot61
98.0%
41
2.0%
Q2 - 1:38MIAWade Layup (16 PTS) (James 6 AST)61
97.9%
41
2.1%
Q2 - 1:42DETPrince Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)59
97.5%
41
2.5%
Q2 - 1:59MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)59
97.2%
41
2.8%
Q2 - 1:59MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)58
97.2%
41
2.8%
Q2 - 2:06MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)57
96.7%
41
3.3%
Q2 - 2:07MIAMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
96.4%
41
3.6%
Q2 - 2:24MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
96.7%
41
3.3%
Q2 - 2:24DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 157
96.6%
41
3.4%
Q2 - 2:43MIAMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)57
97.1%
39
2.9%
Q2 - 2:51MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
96.3%
39
3.7%
Q2 - 2:52DETMISS Prince Layup54
96.1%
39
3.9%
Q2 - 2:56MIAMonroe STEAL (1 STL)54
95.8%
39
4.2%
Q2 - 3:22DETPrince 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)54
96.2%
39
3.8%
Q2 - 3:40MIAJones Free Throw 3 of 3 (4 PTS)54
96.6%
37
3.4%
Q2 - 3:40MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 3 (3 PTS)53
96.5%
37
3.5%
Q2 - 3:40MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 3 (2 PTS)52
96.5%
37
3.5%
Q2 - 3:46MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
95.8%
37
4.2%
Q2 - 3:48DETMISS Prince 12' Fadeaway Jumper51
95.6%
37
4.4%
Q2 - 4:07MIAMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)51
95.0%
37
5.0%
Q2 - 4:23DETMcGrady Traveling Turnover (P3.T8)48
93.8%
37
6.2%
Q2 - 4:36MIAWade Layup (14 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)48
93.0%
37
7.0%
Q2 - 4:42DETWilcox Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)46
92.2%
37
7.8%
Q2 - 4:56DETGordon Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)46
91.2%
37
8.8%
Q2 - 5:06MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)46
92.2%
36
7.8%
Q2 - 5:06MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)45
92.0%
36
8.0%
Q2 - 5:07MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
91.2%
36
8.8%
Q2 - 5:08DETMISS Wilcox 1' Dunk44
91.0%
36
9.0%
Q2 - 5:09DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)44
90.3%
36
9.7%
Q2 - 5:10DETMISS Gordon 10' Jump Shot44
91.0%
36
9.0%
Q2 - 5:11DETGordon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)44
90.3%
36
9.7%
Q2 - 5:12DETMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
90.9%
36
9.1%
Q2 - 5:22DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
90.3%
36
9.7%
Q2 - 5:23MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 244
90.4%
36
9.6%
Q2 - 5:23MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)44
91.1%
36
8.9%
Q2 - 5:33DETPrince 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)43
90.2%
36
9.8%
Q2 - 5:48MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 5 AST)43
92.1%
33
7.9%
Q2 - 6:04DETBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)41
91.0%
33
9.0%
Q2 - 6:04DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)41
91.1%
32
8.9%
Q2 - 6:24MIAWade Driving Layup (12 PTS)41
91.7%
31
8.3%
Q2 - 6:38DETGordon Dunk (4 PTS) (Daye 3 AST)39
91.0%
31
9.0%
Q2 - 6:39MIADaye STEAL (1 STL)39
91.7%
29
8.3%
Q2 - 6:43MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)39
92.7%
29
7.3%
Q2 - 6:46MIAMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
92.0%
29
8.0%
Q2 - 7:14DETBynum 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)39
92.6%
29
7.4%
Q2 - 7:20DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
93.3%
27
6.7%
Q2 - 7:22MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot39
93.5%
27
6.5%
Q2 - 7:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
94.0%
27
6.0%
Q2 - 7:29DETMISS Wilcox Tip Shot39
93.8%
27
6.2%
Q2 - 7:30DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
93.3%
27
6.7%
Q2 - 7:32DETMISS Villanueva 8' Hook Shot39
93.8%
27
6.2%
Q2 - 7:49MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)39
93.3%
27
6.7%
Q2 - 8:01MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
93.8%
27
6.2%
Q2 - 8:03DETMISS Daye Layup39
93.6%
27
6.4%
Q2 - 8:07DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
93.1%
27
6.9%
Q2 - 8:09MIABynum BLOCK (1 BLK)39
93.3%
27
6.7%
Q2 - 8:25DETVillanueva 7' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)39
93.8%
27
6.2%
Q2 - 8:55MIAHouse 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)39
94.4%
25
5.6%
Q2 - 9:18DETVillanueva 10' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Daye 2 AST)37
93.6%
25
6.4%
Q2 - 9:38MIAWade 16' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)37
94.2%
23
5.8%
Q2 - 10:04DETGordon 8' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)35
93.4%
23
6.6%
Q2 - 10:05DETGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
93.9%
21
6.1%
Q2 - 10:06DETMISS Villanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
94.4%
21
5.6%
Q2 - 10:23MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)35
93.9%
21
6.1%
Q2 - 10:23MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)34
93.8%
21
6.2%
Q2 - 10:32MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
93.4%
21
6.6%
Q2 - 10:34DETMISS Villanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
93.2%
21
6.8%
Q2 - 10:52MIAHouse 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)33
92.7%
21
7.3%
Q2 - 11:00MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
91.2%
21
8.8%
Q2 - 11:01DETMISS Daye 3PT Jump Shot30
90.7%
21
9.3%
Q2 - 11:20MIAMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)30
90.1%
21
9.9%
Q2 - 11:29MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
88.2%
21
11.8%
Q2 - 11:30DETMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
87.8%
21
12.2%
Q2 - 11:49MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)27
87.0%
21
13.0%
Q2 - 11:49MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)26
86.8%
21
13.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA25
85.9%
21
14.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
84.6%
21
15.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 225
84.8%
21
15.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
85.7%
21
14.3%
Q1 - 0:20.0DETStuckey 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Daye 1 AST)24
84.4%
21
15.6%
Q1 - 0:34.0DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
85.8%
19
14.2%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Anthony 1' Tip Shot24
86.1%
19
13.9%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
86.8%
19
13.2%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot24
86.1%
19
13.9%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAHeat Rebound24
86.8%
19
13.2%
Q1 - 0:57.0DETMISS Daye 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
86.5%
19
13.5%
Q1 - 1:00DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
85.8%
19
14.2%
Q1 - 1:02MIAMcGrady BLOCK (1 BLK)24
86.2%
19
13.8%
Q1 - 1:29DETDaye 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)24
86.7%
19
13.3%
Q1 - 1:48DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
88.1%
17
11.9%
Q1 - 1:49MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
88.3%
17
11.7%
Q1 - 2:07DETMonroe 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)24
88.8%
17
11.2%
Q1 - 2:12MIAStuckey STEAL (2 STL)24
89.7%
15
10.3%
Q1 - 2:38DETStuckey 1' Layup (5 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)24
90.5%
15
9.5%
Q1 - 2:40DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
91.3%
13
8.7%
Q1 - 2:42DETMISS Daye 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
91.8%
13
8.2%
Q1 - 3:03MIAJames 8' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)24
91.3%
13
8.7%
Q1 - 3:14DETMonroe 1' Layup (4 PTS)22
90.6%
13
9.4%
Q1 - 3:19MIAStuckey STEAL (1 STL)22
91.3%
11
8.7%
Q1 - 3:21MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)22
92.0%
11
8.0%
Q1 - 3:22DETMISS Daye 9' Jump Shot22
91.8%
11
8.2%
Q1 - 3:43MIAChalmers 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ilgauskas 1 AST)22
91.3%
11
8.7%
Q1 - 3:52MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
90.6%
11
9.4%
Q1 - 3:53DETMISS Prince 15' Jump Shot20
90.3%
11
9.7%
Q1 - 3:59DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
89.7%
11
10.3%
Q1 - 4:01MIAMISS Wade Layup20
90.0%
11
10.0%
Q1 - 4:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
90.6%
11
9.4%
Q1 - 4:21DETMISS Stuckey Reverse Layup20
90.3%
11
9.7%
Q1 - 4:36DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
89.7%
11
10.3%
Q1 - 4:37MIAMISS Wade 7' Fadeaway Jumper20
90.0%
11
10.0%
Q1 - 4:55DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)20
90.6%
11
9.4%
Q1 - 4:55DETPISTONS Rebound20
89.7%
11
10.3%
Q1 - 4:56DETMISS Stuckey 9' Jump Shot20
90.3%
11
9.7%
Q1 - 5:21MIAWade 1' Layup (6 PTS) (James 4 AST)20
89.3%
11
10.7%
Q1 - 5:25DETMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)18
88.5%
11
11.5%
Q1 - 5:36DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
87.5%
11
12.5%
Q1 - 5:38MIAMISS Bosh 14' Fadeaway Jumper18
87.9%
11
12.1%
Q1 - 5:57DETMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)18
88.6%
11
11.4%
Q1 - 5:57DETMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
88.8%
10
11.2%
Q1 - 6:16MIAJames Layup (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)18
89.3%
9
10.7%
Q1 - 6:28DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
88.5%
9
11.5%
Q1 - 6:28DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
88.8%
8
11.2%
Q1 - 6:52MIAWade 1' Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)16
89.3%
7
10.7%
Q1 - 6:56MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
88.5%
7
11.5%
Q1 - 6:57DETMISS Monroe Layup14
88.2%
7
11.8%
Q1 - 7:20MIAIlgauskas 1' Layup (6 PTS)14
87.6%
7
12.4%
Q1 - 7:21MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)12
86.7%
7
13.3%
Q1 - 7:23MIAMISS Chalmers 9' Jump Bank Shot12
86.0%
7
14.0%
Q1 - 7:39DETPrince 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)12
86.7%
7
13.3%
Q1 - 8:04MIABosh Layup (4 PTS)12
87.8%
5
12.2%
Q1 - 8:06MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)10
86.9%
5
13.1%
Q1 - 8:08MIAMISS Wade 20' Fadeaway Jumper10
86.3%
5
13.7%
Q1 - 8:25DETPrince 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)10
86.9%
5
13.1%
Q1 - 8:35MIAIlgauskas 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)10
87.8%
3
12.2%
Q1 - 8:39MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
86.9%
3
13.1%
Q1 - 8:42MIAWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)8
86.2%
3
13.8%
Q1 - 8:43MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
86.9%
3
13.1%
Q1 - 8:44MIAMISS Ilgauskas 1' Tip Shot8
86.2%
3
13.8%
Q1 - 8:45MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
86.9%
3
13.1%
Q1 - 8:47MIAMISS James Layup8
86.2%
3
13.8%
Q1 - 9:00DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)8
86.9%
3
13.1%
Q1 - 9:27MIAJames Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
86.1%
3
13.9%
Q1 - 9:31DETMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)6
85.2%
3
14.8%
Q1 - 9:50MIAIlgauskas Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
84.2%
3
15.8%
Q1 - 10:02DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)4
83.1%
3
16.9%
Q1 - 10:13MIABosh Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
84.9%
0
15.1%
Q1 - 10:20MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
86.0%
0
14.0%
Q1 - 10:23DETMISS Monroe Reverse Layup4
85.7%
0
14.3%
Q1 - 10:43MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)4
84.9%
0
15.1%
Q1 - 11:03DETWallace Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)2
84.0%
0
16.0%
Q1 - 11:12DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
83.2%
0
16.8%
Q1 - 11:13MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot2
83.5%
0
16.5%
Q1 - 11:19MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
84.0%
0
16.0%
Q1 - 11:20DETMISS Stuckey 16' Jump Shot2
83.8%
0
16.2%
Q1 - 11:39MIAWade 1' Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)2
83.2%
0
16.8%
Q1 - 11:45DETMonroe Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
82.2%
0
17.8%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to Prince0
81.2%
0
18.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.16 58.2%
DET
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
20
27
74%
DET
14
26
54%
Midrange
MIA
12
34
35%
DET
12
30
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
14
43%
64%
DET
8
12.0
24
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIA
24
29
83%
DET
16
19
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2467%12.0 / 18
C. Bosh1757%8.5 / 15
L. James1644%8.0 / 18
M. Miller1689%8.0 / 9
M. Chalmers1063%5.0 / 8
Z. Ilgauskas1071%5.0 / 7
E. House857%4.0 / 7
J. Jones467%2.0 / 3
J. Anthony117%0.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Daye1860%9.0 / 15
B. Gordon1662%8.0 / 13
T. Prince1150%5.5 / 11
T. McGrady956%4.5 / 8
R. Stuckey938%4.5 / 12
G. Monroe867%4.0 / 6
W. Bynum650%3.0 / 6
C. Villanueva525%2.5 / 10
B. Wallace4100%2.0 / 2
J. Maxiell4100%2.0 / 2
C. Wilcox233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+13
-16
90
DET
79
+13
-13
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.16 58.2%
DET
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
107.5
MIA 114.0 +14.0
DET 100.0
Pace
91.3
89.3
MIA 98.0 +10.4
DET 87.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.6
MIA 14.7 +1.7
DET 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
49.5%
MIA 54.7% +7.2%
DET 47.5%
TO %
14.4%
13.5%
MIA 16.2%
DET 15.3% +0.9%
ORB %
25.2%
27.4%
MIA 32.4% +5.7%
DET 26.7%
FTrt
36.3
27.9
MIA 38.7 +14.9
DET 23.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
56.6%
MIA 76.3% +17.5%
DET 58.8%
STL %
7.3%
8.0%
MIA 9.7%
DET 10.9% +1.2%
BLK %
8.5%
6.6%
MIA 5.4%
DET 8.2% +2.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
51.9%
MIA 58.2% +8.7%
DET 49.5%
Rim FG%
64.7%
59.2%
MIA 74.1% +20.3%
DET 53.8%
Mid FG%
42.2%
38.8%
MIA 35.3%
DET 40.0% +4.7%
3P %
37.0%
37.6%
MIA 42.9% +9.6%
DET 33.3%
FT %
76.9%
73.7%
MIA 82.8%
DET 84.2% +1.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
36.3%
MIA 36.0% +3.5%
DET 32.5%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
44.8%
MIA 45.3%
DET 37.5% +7.8%
3P Att. %
23.5%
18.9%
MIA 18.7%
DET 30.0% +11.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions9392
Possession Minutes22.825.2
Points10692
Rebounds4435
Assists2920
Steals910
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)13 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)23 (3)
Field Goals38-7534-80
At-the-Rim FG20-2714-26
Midrange FG12-3412-30
2-Point FG32-6126-56
3-Point FG6-148-24
Free Throws24-2916-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 235 · 27
36.8
17
57%
10
1
2
0
3
1
3
7
9-10
90%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 29
36.4
24
67%
8
7
1
0
1
4
1
7
6-6
100%
9-15
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
34.7
16
44%
8
10
4
0
3
0
0
8
2-3
67%
7-15
47%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 25
27.4
10
63%
1
2
1
0
4
1
0
1
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
C · 7'3" 260 · 36
21.9
10
71%
6
2
0
2
2
3
4
2
0-0
-
5-7
71%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
29.8
16
89%
3
2
1
0
1
3
0
3
1-1
100%
3-4
75%
3-5
60%
C · 6'9" 245 · 29
23.7
1
17%
5
1
0
1
1
4
3
2
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
17.7
8
57%
3
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-4
50%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30
8.2
4
67%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
4-5
80%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 38
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 36
G · 6'2" 200 · 32
#21 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
58%
44
29
9
3
16
0
11
33
24-29
83%
32-61
52%
6-14
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.