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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 11, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Spurs57%9971
1476ers43%9777
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 33.5
33.9
29.5
8
32%
4
6
1
1
0
3
0
4
4-6
67%
2-5
4-7
40%
50%
0-5
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.7
33.2
32.9
9
38%
3
4
0
1
0
3
0
3
3-4
75%
3-10
6-12
30%
52%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.8
31.9
25.5
16
42%
13
1
1
1
2
0
6
7
2-2
100%
7-17
5-10
41%
50%
0-1
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 30.6
26.1
29.4
3
19%
4
0
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
51%
1-4
25%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 21.8
25.1
30.9
8
34%
14
1
2
1
1
2
5
9
2-2
100%
3-11
6-11
27%
52%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 24.8
27.6
31.1
2
15%
4
5
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
0-3
3-6
0%
49%
0-3
0%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.4
24.3
17.4
11
55%
1
1
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
1-3
57%
46%
1-3
33%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.4
19.9
14.8
11
70%
11
1
1
0
0
2
2
9
1-2
50%
5-7
2-4
71%
49%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30.9
18.0
14.1
3
150%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
1-1
100%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 26.1
10.3
0
1-2
51%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.7
1.8
0
0-0
50%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.4
1.3
0
0-0
47%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 21.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.0
41.2
34.2
7
21%
4
6
2
1
1
2
3
1
3-4
75%
2-12
4-8
17%
50%
0-3
0%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 20.7
37.7
29.8
27
81%
5
2
3
1
0
2
0
5
6-6
100%
6-10
3-7
60%
46%
3-4
75%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 31.9
36.3
32.2
8
36%
17
1
1
1
2
0
1
16
0-0
-
4-11
6-11
36%
50%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 22.8
31.4
16.3
13
59%
8
3
0
0
0
1
1
7
5-7
71%
4-7
2-5
57%
49%
0-1
0%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.5
22.4
31.0
6
75%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
44%
2-4
50%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.3
26.8
25.9
6
23%
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-12
4-8
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.6
19.5
24.8
4
22%
5
2
1
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-9
5-9
22%
52%
0-0
-
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 22.3
16.1
21.4
4
40%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
45%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 23.5
4.0
4.1
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 33.0
4.0
3.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 31.2
0.4
6.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.0
0.4
0.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 35.0
Craig Brackins
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.