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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 10, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Mavericks42%101120
7Nuggets58%104121
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 32.6
36.3
32.7
16
59%
8
6
0
1
0
0
0
8
6-8
75%
5-7
6-12
71%
51%
0-3
0%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 37.9
34.5
33.1
10
51%
7
6
1
2
1
1
0
7
2-2
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
41%
2-5
40%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 28.4
31.1
29.6
20
89%
11
0
2
0
0
3
5
6
4-5
80%
8-9
4-7
89%
60%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 33.7
9.3
14.2
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
0-2
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 29.9
9.1
21.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-1
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.4
32.5
31.9
25
70%
1
3
1
1
0
2
1
0
1-2
50%
3-9
5-11
33%
49%
6-8
75%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 32.8
27.9
25.1
19
56%
5
0
3
1
1
1
4
1
1-2
50%
9-16
5-9
56%
52%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.6
26.4
23.1
17
69%
0
5
0
0
0
2
0
0
3-3
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
48%
2-4
50%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 33.8
16.1
7.3
3
150%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
1-1
100%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 31.2
10.2
13.1
4
45%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-1
0%
2-4
1-2
50%
54%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 24.3
6.7
7.3
4
69%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
55%
0-1
0%
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.3
2.5
0
0-1
45%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 30.9
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.7
42.1
35.0
42
80%
7
3
1
1
0
4
1
6
3-3
100%
12-18
7-15
67%
48%
5-7
71%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 34.4
39.3
24.4
30
71%
5
9
3
1
1
3
2
3
5-5
100%
5-8
2-4
63%
45%
5-11
45%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.3
34.6
33.6
24
68%
3
2
1
1
0
0
1
2
4-4
100%
4-8
3-5
50%
53%
4-8
50%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 33.1
27.6
23.7
6
44%
5
4
1
1
1
0
0
5
2-4
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 28.4
26.8
31.3
7
36%
7
2
1
1
2
0
3
4
3-4
75%
2-8
5-9
25%
60%
0-0
-
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 23.3
25.5
27.6
7
54%
0
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
2-2
4-7
100%
53%
1-4
25%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.0
19.1
23.9
2
33%
5
1
0
1
0
3
2
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
0-1
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25.4
13.3
27.4
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-7
-
49%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.6
10.0
14.8
2
41%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-1
0%
1-2
1-2
50%
53%
0-0
-
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.0
1.9
5.8
1
57%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 35.7
10.0
0
1-1
47%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27.3
4.2
0
1-1
48%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 32.8
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.