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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 10, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Lakers44%9392
3Celtics56%9586
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 31.2
39.3
33.6
4
31%
5
1
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-1
0%
2-4
2-5
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 32.5
38.0
37.2
23
59%
5
4
0
1
1
3
1
4
5-6
83%
9-16
8-16
56%
48%
0-1
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 30.6
37.3
35.2
20
64%
10
4
0
1
1
0
1
9
4-6
67%
8-13
7-13
62%
52%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 23.3
33.9
28.3
16
66%
9
1
0
0
1
4
1
8
4-5
80%
6-10
5-8
60%
54%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 36.5
30.6
29.3
7
51%
1
5
0
1
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
41%
1-2
50%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.3
24.4
31.1
10
39%
12
1
1
1
3
1
6
6
1-2
50%
3-10
5-9
30%
53%
1-2
50%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 25.2
22.7
17.1
12
82%
1
2
1
1
0
3
1
0
3-3
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
45%
1-1
100%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 31.0
11.5
18.5
0
0%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.9
2.4
5.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-1
0%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 21.3
1.8
0
0-1
46%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 35.5
1.4
0
0-0
42%
Derrick Caracter
F · 6'9" 275 · 22.8
1.1
0
0-0
47%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 30.9
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 37.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 25.0
44.4
37.9
12
39%
5
10
1
2
0
0
4
1
2-3
67%
5-14
5-10
36%
52%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 33.3
39.8
36.3
15
47%
4
4
1
1
1
2
0
4
2-2
100%
5-12
5-9
42%
51%
1-3
33%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 35.6
35.5
36.0
20
54%
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
1-1
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
52%
3-8
38%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 34.7
33.6
30.5
10
36%
11
5
1
1
1
3
4
7
2-2
100%
4-13
6-11
31%
52%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 26.3
31.3
31.1
12
66%
9
1
0
0
2
3
2
7
4-7
57%
4-6
3-5
67%
57%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 25.1
30.8
22.9
9
40%
5
2
0
1
1
0
2
3
3-3
100%
3-9
4-8
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 25.6
19.9
11.5
8
62%
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1-1
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
47%
1-4
25%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 26.7
3.6
12.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 20.2
1.3
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 38.9
5.4
0
1-1
59%
Semih Erden
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.5
5.3
0
1-1
55%
Luke Harangody
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.1
5.2
0
1-1
49%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 32.3
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 30.1
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.