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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 9, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Spurs73%105111
26Raptors27%96100
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 21.8
36.2
28.6
28
67%
11
0
1
1
2
1
4
7
0-0
-
14-21
5-10
67%
54%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.7
32.4
34.1
16
53%
3
8
0
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
8-14
7-12
57%
54%
0-1
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 33.5
29.0
30.4
12
52%
4
9
1
2
0
3
1
3
0-1
0%
6-8
4-7
75%
51%
0-3
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.8
25.5
26.0
16
67%
7
6
1
1
5
0
1
6
2-2
100%
7-11
5-10
64%
51%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 30.6
25.4
32.9
3
75%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
52%
1-1
100%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 24.8
36.8
28.4
18
77%
5
6
2
1
0
1
0
5
6-6
100%
3-7
3-5
43%
51%
2-2
100%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.4
20.2
15.9
9
71%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
1-3
33%
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
2-3
67%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30.8
16.5
12.0
3
38%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
53%
1-4
25%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 26.1
15.3
7.2
6
49%
8
0
0
0
0
0
4
4
2-7
29%
2-3
1-2
67%
54%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.7
2.5
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
54%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.4
0.3
2.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.4
22.2
1
3-5
51%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 21.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.4
40.8
33.5
6
33%
7
11
0
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
3-8
3-7
38%
49%
0-1
0%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 25.3
38.5
34.6
29
69%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
11-16
7-15
69%
47%
2-4
50%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 21.5
37.0
36.7
25
59%
4
4
0
1
0
0
2
2
5-7
71%
10-18
7-15
56%
49%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 23.8
36.7
28.5
12
55%
13
2
0
1
3
1
6
7
2-2
100%
5-10
5-8
50%
58%
0-0
-
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 24.6
34.4
27.5
8
44%
1
1
2
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
4-9
4-9
44%
48%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 28.2
27.1
14.6
20
55%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
5-5
100%
6-12
2-4
50%
50%
1-4
25%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.7
17.3
23.1
0
0%
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-2
0%
0-0
3-5
-
52%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.5
7.2
12.5
0
0%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 22.8
0.9
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.7
0.1
13.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Trey Johnson
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.4
10.9
0
1-3
42%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 27.2
5.2
0
0-1
49%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 30.7
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 22.9
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 26.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.