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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 8, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Timberwolves21%100112
10Rockets79%111108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 22.4
36.0
37.5
20
60%
14
3
0
1
0
3
2
12
5-6
83%
3-9
5-11
33%
48%
3-5
60%
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.0
31.4
29.0
15
52%
4
7
1
1
0
5
1
3
1-1
100%
7-12
3-6
58%
44%
0-2
0%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.6
28.4
21.5
13
59%
6
1
0
1
4
0
2
4
0-0
-
5-9
2-4
56%
47%
1-2
50%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 24.9
27.9
22.2
10
44%
1
0
0
1
0
3
1
0
0-1
0%
5-9
2-5
56%
44%
0-2
0%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 25.1
19.1
11.1
6
44%
7
1
0
0
0
0
4
3
2-2
100%
2-6
2-3
33%
49%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.2
24.9
18.7
18
77%
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
45%
2-3
67%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.7
22.0
20.9
4
69%
10
1
0
0
0
0
2
8
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.0
18.9
3.0
8
51%
5
0
0
0
2
1
3
2
0-2
0%
4-7
0-1
57%
48%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 25.7
16.6
15.9
14
78%
0
3
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
44%
2-4
50%
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 24.2
14.8
6.0
4
50%
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
42%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.1
28.3
1
6-12
48%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 25.6
20.0
1
3-7
48%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.0
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 24.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 30.8
37.3
36.3
22
60%
2
7
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-1
0%
11-18
9-16
61%
53%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 32.4
36.9
27.0
6
50%
5
3
1
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
52%
2-5
40%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 27.7
36.0
34.8
10
46%
13
4
5
1
0
0
4
9
0-2
0%
5-10
4-7
50%
56%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 24.9
33.3
33.7
14
58%
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
48%
2-5
40%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 28.0
31.8
34.7
23
61%
2
2
0
1
1
3
0
2
9-9
100%
4-9
6-11
44%
49%
2-6
33%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.3
28.6
14.7
23
69%
3
0
2
1
0
0
1
2
4-4
100%
8-12
2-4
67%
49%
1-3
33%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 26.1
20.0
19.7
5
27%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
3-3
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
47%
0-5
0%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 22.7
8.7
16.9
2
20%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
52%
0-3
0%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 34.8
7.5
12.0
3
40%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.9
10.4
0
2-3
54%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 22.6
7.3
0
1-2
47%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.5
6.3
0
1-2
51%
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 30.4
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 29.2
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.