FinalWin Prob.pScore
2019%91
112
181%103
117
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
116.796100.9
MIA logo MIA
123.29590.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0IND112
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0INDMISS Collison 25' 3PT Jump Shot112
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAHouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)112
0.4%
117
99.6%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAHouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)112
0.4%
116
99.6%
Q4 - 0:08.0INDPacers Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#15)112
1.2%
115
98.8%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (41 PTS)112
5.0%
115
95.0%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (40 PTS)112
6.2%
114
93.8%
Q4 - 0:13.0INDMcRoberts 3' Alley Oop Layup (12 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST)112
12.3%
113
87.7%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAJames 17' Jump Shot (39 PTS)110
6.3%
113
93.7%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)110
14.6%
111
85.4%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot110
24.8%
111
75.2%
Q4 - 0:51.0INDGranger 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (19 PTS)110
17.0%
111
83.0%
Q4 - 0:57.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)108
10.3%
111
89.7%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Wade 10' Turnaround Jump Shot108
8.7%
111
91.3%
Q4 - 1:19MIADampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)108
7.1%
111
92.9%
Q4 - 1:20INDMISS Collison 4' Finger Roll Layup108
8.5%
111
91.5%
Q4 - 1:37MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (37 PTS)108
13.8%
111
86.2%
Q4 - 1:37MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 2108
15.1%
110
84.9%
Q4 - 1:43INDCollison Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)108
13.3%
110
86.7%
Q4 - 1:43INDCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)107
12.7%
110
87.3%
Q4 - 2:07MIAJames 16' Jump Shot (36 PTS)106
10.1%
110
89.9%
Q4 - 2:25MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)106
13.3%
108
86.7%
Q4 - 2:26INDMISS McRoberts 3PT Jump Shot106
16.0%
108
84.0%
Q4 - 2:51MIAWade 8' Jump Shot (17 PTS)106
23.1%
108
76.9%
Q4 - 3:04MIAHEAT Rebound106
29.4%
106
70.6%
Q4 - 3:06INDMISS Granger 19' Jump Shot106
33.5%
106
66.5%
Q4 - 3:29MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)106
44.5%
106
55.5%
Q4 - 3:32MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)106
29.2%
106
70.8%
Q4 - 3:33INDMISS Granger 18' Jump Shot106
31.9%
106
68.1%
Q4 - 3:36INDPacers Rebound106
38.3%
106
61.7%
Q4 - 3:37INDMISS Jones 3' Finger Roll Layup106
31.9%
106
68.1%
Q4 - 3:50INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)106
38.5%
106
61.5%
Q4 - 3:51MIAMISS James 28' 3PT Jump Shot106
35.6%
106
64.4%
Q4 - 4:13MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)106
29.2%
106
70.8%
Q4 - 4:14INDMISS Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 2106
30.4%
106
69.6%
Q4 - 4:14INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)106
35.9%
106
64.1%
Q4 - 4:34MIADampier 3' Putback Dunk (6 PTS)105
29.9%
106
70.1%
Q4 - 4:35MIADampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)105
38.0%
104
62.0%
Q4 - 4:36MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot105
45.2%
104
54.8%
Q4 - 4:49MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)105
38.1%
104
61.9%
Q4 - 4:50INDMISS Hibbert 7' Hook Shot105
41.2%
104
58.8%
Q4 - 5:12INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)105
44.8%
104
55.2%
Q4 - 5:13MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2105
43.6%
104
56.4%
Q4 - 5:13MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)105
38.0%
104
62.0%
Q4 - 5:30MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)105
44.4%
103
55.6%
Q4 - 5:31INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot105
47.1%
103
52.9%
Q4 - 5:52MIAMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)105
53.6%
103
46.4%
Q4 - 6:10MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)105
63.2%
100
36.8%
Q4 - 6:11INDMISS Collison 24' 3PT Jump Shot105
65.5%
100
34.5%
Q4 - 6:31MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)105
70.7%
100
29.3%
Q4 - 6:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)105
63.6%
100
36.4%
Q4 - 6:41INDMISS Collison 12' Jump Shot105
65.8%
100
34.2%
Q4 - 6:51INDPacers Rebound105
70.8%
100
29.2%
Q4 - 6:54MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot105
68.7%
100
31.3%
Q4 - 7:10INDJones 10' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (McRoberts 3 AST)105
58.9%
100
41.1%
Q4 - 7:39MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)103
52.8%
100
47.2%
Q4 - 7:47MIAHEAT Rebound103
59.2%
98
40.8%
Q4 - 7:49MIAMISS James 7' Jump Shot103
64.2%
98
35.8%
Q4 - 7:54MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)103
59.2%
98
40.8%
Q4 - 7:55INDMISS Jones 4' Driving Jump Shot103
61.4%
98
38.6%
Q4 - 8:17MIADampier 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)103
62.2%
98
37.8%
Q4 - 8:36INDGeorge 13' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)103
68.3%
96
31.7%
Q4 - 9:02MIAWade Driving Dunk (15 PTS) (James 8 AST)101
59.3%
96
40.7%
Q4 - 9:19INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)101
65.1%
94
34.9%
Q4 - 9:47MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS)101
70.4%
94
29.6%
Q4 - 10:00INDHouse STEAL (1 STL)101
75.3%
92
24.7%
Q4 - 10:04INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)101
76.5%
92
23.5%
Q4 - 10:05INDMISS Price 26' 3PT Jump Shot101
73.5%
92
26.5%
Q4 - 10:19INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)101
76.6%
92
23.4%
Q4 - 10:21MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot101
75.4%
92
24.6%
Q4 - 10:44INDPrice 10' Jump Shot (5 PTS)101
72.4%
92
27.6%
Q4 - 10:47INDPrice REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)99
67.7%
92
32.3%
Q4 - 10:48INDDampier BLOCK (1 BLK)99
64.1%
92
35.9%
Q4 - 11:08MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS)99
64.9%
92
35.1%
Q4 - 11:26INDHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)99
69.8%
90
30.2%
Q4 - 11:26INDHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)98
68.9%
90
31.1%
Q4 - 11:46INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)97
65.1%
90
34.9%
Q4 - 11:47MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot97
63.6%
90
36.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND97
60.1%
90
39.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound97
65.2%
90
34.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDMISS Price 50' 3PT Jump Shot97
61.7%
90
38.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0INDPrice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)97
62.4%
90
37.6%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS James 5' Finger Roll Layup97
61.1%
90
38.9%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)97
58.0%
90
42.0%
Q3 - 0:15.0INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot97
59.4%
90
40.6%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)97
62.6%
90
37.4%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)97
63.1%
89
36.9%
Q3 - 0:33.0INDHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)97
67.7%
88
32.3%
Q3 - 0:33.0INDHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)96
66.8%
88
33.2%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 7 AST)95
62.7%
88
37.3%
Q3 - 1:01MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)95
69.6%
85
30.4%
Q3 - 1:02INDMISS Foster 2' Tip Shot95
70.8%
85
29.2%
Q3 - 1:08INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)95
73.3%
85
26.7%
Q3 - 1:09INDMISS Granger 9' Jump Shot95
70.8%
85
29.2%
Q3 - 1:29MIAJames 2' Layup (34 PTS)95
73.4%
85
26.6%
Q3 - 1:31MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)95
77.4%
83
22.6%
Q3 - 1:33MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
79.5%
83
20.5%
Q3 - 1:46INDHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)95
77.5%
83
22.5%
Q3 - 1:46INDMISS Hansbrough Free Throw 1 of 294
76.8%
83
23.2%
Q3 - 1:56INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)94
77.2%
83
22.8%
Q3 - 1:57MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot94
76.2%
83
23.8%
Q3 - 2:22MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)94
70.8%
83
29.2%
Q3 - 2:23INDMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
71.9%
83
28.1%
Q3 - 2:45MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)94
74.6%
83
25.4%
Q3 - 2:45MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)94
75.3%
82
24.7%
Q3 - 2:52MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)94
78.1%
81
21.9%
Q3 - 2:53MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
80.2%
81
19.8%
Q3 - 3:05INDGranger 3' Driving Layup (17 PTS)94
75.2%
81
24.8%
Q3 - 3:19INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)92
71.9%
81
28.1%
Q3 - 3:20MIAMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot92
70.8%
81
29.2%
Q3 - 3:38INDDunleavy 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Collison 8 AST)92
68.1%
81
31.9%
Q3 - 3:47MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)90
64.2%
81
35.8%
Q3 - 3:47MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)90
65.1%
80
34.9%
Q3 - 3:58MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)90
68.1%
79
31.9%
Q3 - 3:59INDJames BLOCK (1 BLK)90
69.4%
79
30.6%
Q3 - 4:04INDCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)90
70.6%
79
29.4%
Q3 - 4:05MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot90
69.2%
79
30.8%
Q3 - 4:33INDCollison 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Granger 3 AST)90
66.2%
79
33.8%
Q3 - 4:40MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)87
58.7%
79
41.3%
Q3 - 4:49MIAHEAT Rebound87
53.7%
79
46.3%
Q3 - 4:50MIAMISS Wade 2' Finger Roll Layup87
57.2%
79
42.8%
Q3 - 5:00INDDampier STEAL (2 STL)87
53.7%
79
46.3%
Q3 - 5:15MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (James 6 AST)87
56.4%
79
43.6%
Q3 - 5:43INDMcRoberts 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Granger 2 AST)87
64.1%
76
35.9%
Q3 - 5:49INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)85
60.6%
76
39.4%
Q3 - 5:50MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup85
59.2%
76
40.8%
Q3 - 6:08INDHibbert 2' Driving Dunk (19 PTS)85
53.5%
76
46.5%
Q3 - 6:13MIAIlgauskas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)83
49.9%
76
50.1%
Q3 - 6:29INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Collison 7 AST)83
45.6%
76
54.4%
Q3 - 6:35INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
38.1%
76
61.9%
Q3 - 6:37MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot80
36.9%
76
63.1%
Q3 - 6:43INDJames STEAL (3 STL)80
34.1%
76
65.9%
Q3 - 6:48MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)80
38.1%
76
61.9%
Q3 - 7:03INDMcRoberts 2' Driving Dunk (8 PTS)80
32.7%
76
67.3%
Q3 - 7:19MIAWade 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)78
29.6%
76
70.4%
Q3 - 7:45INDCollison 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)78
32.8%
74
67.2%
Q3 - 7:50MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)76
29.7%
74
70.3%
Q3 - 7:56INDJames STEAL (2 STL)76
26.4%
74
73.6%
Q3 - 8:09MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (James 5 AST)76
29.1%
74
70.9%
Q3 - 8:21INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)76
35.5%
71
64.5%
Q3 - 8:21INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)75
34.7%
71
65.3%
Q3 - 8:24INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)74
32.3%
71
67.7%
Q3 - 8:25INDMISS Hibbert 8' Jump Shot74
29.9%
71
70.1%
Q3 - 8:40MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (28 PTS)74
32.3%
71
67.7%
Q3 - 9:09INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)74
34.6%
69
65.4%
Q3 - 9:23MIABosh 4' Driving Jump Shot (12 PTS)71
28.4%
69
71.6%
Q3 - 9:43INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Collison 6 AST)71
31.4%
67
68.6%
Q3 - 9:53MIAWade 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)68
25.5%
67
74.5%
Q3 - 10:09INDWade STEAL (1 STL)68
27.3%
65
72.7%
Q3 - 10:25INDCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
30.4%
65
69.6%
Q3 - 10:26MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
29.5%
65
70.5%
Q3 - 10:44INDHibbert 12' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)68
27.4%
65
72.6%
Q3 - 10:55MIABosh 3' Layup (10 PTS)66
24.8%
65
75.2%
Q3 - 10:57MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
27.4%
63
72.6%
Q3 - 10:58MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot66
29.5%
63
70.5%
Q3 - 11:17INDMcRoberts 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)66
26.7%
63
73.3%
Q3 - 11:29MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)66
29.7%
63
70.3%
Q3 - 11:46MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
26.7%
63
73.3%
Q3 - 11:47INDMISS Granger 17' Jump Shot66
27.6%
63
72.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND66
29.7%
63
70.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound66
29.7%
63
70.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDMISS Collison 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
27.6%
63
72.4%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)66
28.6%
63
71.4%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
35.1%
60
64.9%
Q2 - 0:25.0INDMISS Collison 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
35.8%
60
64.2%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAJames 1' Running Dunk (23 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)66
37.5%
60
62.5%
Q2 - 0:51.0INDDampier STEAL (1 STL)66
41.4%
58
58.6%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAJames 1' Driving Dunk (21 PTS)66
44.0%
58
56.0%
Q2 - 1:03INDJames STEAL (1 STL)66
46.9%
56
53.1%
Q2 - 1:25MIAChalmers 3' Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)66
49.3%
56
50.7%
Q2 - 1:30MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)66
53.4%
54
46.6%
Q2 - 1:32INDMISS George 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
54.2%
54
45.8%
Q2 - 1:43MIAChalmers 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)66
55.8%
54
44.2%
Q2 - 2:02INDHibbert 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (13 PTS)66
57.7%
52
42.3%
Q2 - 2:12INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)64
54.8%
52
45.2%
Q2 - 2:13MIAMISS Bosh 2' Driving Layup64
53.8%
52
46.2%
Q2 - 2:29INDJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)64
51.6%
52
48.4%
Q2 - 2:40MIAHEAT Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#5)60
42.2%
52
57.8%
Q2 - 2:50INDCollison 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)60
39.1%
52
60.9%
Q2 - 3:07INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)58
35.3%
52
64.7%
Q2 - 3:09MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
34.3%
52
65.7%
Q2 - 3:15MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
32.1%
52
67.9%
Q2 - 3:16INDMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot58
33.0%
52
67.0%
Q2 - 3:30INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)58
35.4%
52
64.6%
Q2 - 3:31MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot58
34.4%
52
65.6%
Q2 - 3:47INDHibbert 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (11 PTS)58
32.1%
52
67.9%
Q2 - 4:04MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)56
28.8%
52
71.2%
Q2 - 4:04MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 256
29.4%
51
70.6%
Q2 - 4:20INDHansbrough 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Collison 5 AST)56
28.7%
51
71.3%
Q2 - 4:32MIADampier 3' Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)54
26.5%
51
73.5%
Q2 - 4:43MIAHEAT Rebound54
28.7%
49
71.3%
Q2 - 4:43INDMISS Foster 3' Layup54
29.5%
49
70.5%
Q2 - 4:44INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)54
31.5%
49
68.5%
Q2 - 4:45INDMISS Granger 18' Jump Shot54
29.5%
49
70.5%
Q2 - 4:54MIAChalmers 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)54
31.5%
49
68.5%
Q2 - 5:11INDHansbrough 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS)54
33.3%
47
66.7%
Q2 - 5:26MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)52
30.7%
47
69.3%
Q2 - 5:26MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)52
31.2%
46
68.8%
Q2 - 5:31MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)52
33.3%
45
66.7%
Q2 - 5:33MIAMISS Bosh 11' Jump Shot52
35.2%
45
64.8%
Q2 - 5:52INDFoster 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)52
33.3%
45
66.7%
Q2 - 5:54INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
30.7%
45
69.3%
Q2 - 5:57INDMISS Jones 4' Jump Shot50
29.0%
45
71.0%
Q2 - 6:20MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)50
30.4%
45
69.6%
Q2 - 6:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
27.7%
45
72.3%
Q2 - 6:24INDMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
28.5%
45
71.5%
Q2 - 6:34INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
30.4%
45
69.6%
Q2 - 6:35MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
29.6%
45
70.4%
Q2 - 6:53INDHansbrough 3' Layup (9 PTS)50
27.7%
45
72.3%
Q2 - 7:06MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)48
25.0%
45
75.0%
Q2 - 7:19INDHansbrough 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)48
29.3%
42
70.7%
Q2 - 7:36MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST)46
27.2%
42
72.8%
Q2 - 7:53INDPrice Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)46
31.7%
39
68.3%
Q2 - 8:05MIAJames 18' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)46
33.2%
39
66.8%
Q2 - 8:25INDJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)46
35.6%
37
64.4%
Q2 - 8:35INDPrice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
30.9%
37
69.1%
Q2 - 8:36MIAMISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot43
30.2%
37
69.8%
Q2 - 8:47INDPrice 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)43
28.6%
37
71.4%
Q2 - 8:58MIABosh Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)40
24.5%
37
75.5%
Q2 - 9:10INDHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)40
22.0%
37
78.0%
Q2 - 9:21INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
18.7%
37
81.3%
Q2 - 9:22INDMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot37
17.6%
37
82.4%
Q2 - 9:29INDPacers Rebound37
18.7%
37
81.3%
Q2 - 9:30INDMISS George 3' Jump Shot37
17.6%
37
82.4%
Q2 - 9:35MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)37
18.7%
37
81.3%
Q2 - 10:05INDJones 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)37
17.1%
37
82.9%
Q2 - 10:11INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
15.8%
37
84.2%
Q2 - 10:13MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup35
15.4%
37
84.6%
Q2 - 10:31INDGeorge 12' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)35
14.4%
37
85.6%
Q2 - 10:50INDPacers Rebound33
13.3%
37
86.7%
Q2 - 10:51MIAMISS Miller 22' Jump Shot33
12.9%
37
87.1%
Q2 - 11:02INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)33
12.2%
37
87.8%
Q2 - 11:02INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)32
11.9%
37
88.1%
Q2 - 11:04MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)31
11.2%
37
88.8%
Q2 - 11:17INDPrice Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)31
12.2%
35
87.8%
Q2 - 11:24MIAMiller 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)31
13.4%
35
86.6%
Q2 - 11:43INDHansbrough 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
14.5%
33
85.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA29
13.4%
33
86.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound29
12.2%
33
87.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot29
13.0%
33
87.0%
Q1 - 0:02.0INDChalmers STEAL (3 STL)29
12.3%
33
87.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)29
13.1%
33
86.9%
Q1 - 0:22.0INDHibbert 2' Putback Layup (9 PTS)29
14.5%
31
85.5%
Q1 - 0:24.0INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)27
13.1%
31
86.9%
Q1 - 0:25.0INDMISS Collison 5' Driving Jump Shot27
12.5%
31
87.5%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)27
13.1%
31
86.9%
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
15.8%
28
84.2%
Q1 - 0:52.0INDMISS George 3PT Jump Shot27
16.1%
28
83.9%
Q1 - 1:08MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 3 AST)27
16.7%
28
83.3%
Q1 - 1:22MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
19.8%
25
80.2%
Q1 - 1:23INDMISS Hibbert 21' Jump Shot27
20.2%
25
79.8%
Q1 - 1:41INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)27
21.0%
25
79.0%
Q1 - 1:43MIAMISS Miller 2' Tip Shot27
20.6%
25
79.4%
Q1 - 1:45MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
19.9%
25
80.1%
Q1 - 1:46MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
20.6%
25
79.4%
Q1 - 1:58MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
19.9%
25
80.1%
Q1 - 2:01MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
20.7%
25
79.3%
Q1 - 2:19INDCollison 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)27
19.7%
25
80.3%
Q1 - 2:25INDCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
18.2%
25
81.8%
Q1 - 2:27MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
17.8%
25
82.2%
Q1 - 2:39INDGranger 2' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)25
17.0%
25
83.0%
Q1 - 3:02MIAJames 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)23
15.4%
25
84.6%
Q1 - 3:25INDGeorge 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)23
17.9%
22
82.1%
Q1 - 3:32INDCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
16.7%
22
83.3%
Q1 - 3:34MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 221
16.5%
22
83.5%
Q1 - 3:34MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)21
15.7%
22
84.3%
Q1 - 3:38MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
16.6%
21
83.4%
Q1 - 3:39INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
17.0%
21
83.0%
Q1 - 3:53INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
18.0%
21
82.0%
Q1 - 3:54MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot21
17.6%
21
82.4%
Q1 - 4:02INDGranger 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Collison 4 AST)21
16.1%
21
83.9%
Q1 - 4:04MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)19
15.1%
21
84.9%
Q1 - 4:12MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
13.9%
21
86.1%
Q1 - 4:14INDMISS Hibbert 7' Turnaround Hook Shot19
14.2%
21
85.8%
Q1 - 4:32MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)19
15.1%
21
84.9%
Q1 - 4:32MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
15.3%
20
84.7%
Q1 - 4:32MIAHEAT Rebound19
16.2%
19
83.8%
Q1 - 4:35MIAMISS Bosh 1' Tip Shot19
17.1%
19
82.9%
Q1 - 4:36MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
16.2%
19
83.8%
Q1 - 4:37MIAMISS Bosh 6' Jump Shot19
17.1%
19
82.9%
Q1 - 4:44INDChalmers STEAL (2 STL)19
16.2%
19
83.8%
Q1 - 4:52MIAJames 2' Driving Dunk (8 PTS)19
17.5%
19
82.5%
Q1 - 4:55INDChalmers STEAL (1 STL)19
18.7%
17
81.3%
Q1 - 5:11MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)19
20.1%
17
79.9%
Q1 - 5:11MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 219
20.4%
16
79.6%
Q1 - 5:34INDCollison 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
19.9%
16
80.1%
Q1 - 5:38INDCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
17.5%
16
82.5%
Q1 - 5:39INDMISS George 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
16.5%
16
83.5%
Q1 - 5:54INDCollison Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)16
17.5%
16
82.5%
Q1 - 6:14MIAJames 2' Driving Dunk (6 PTS)15
16.0%
16
84.0%
Q1 - 6:25INDGranger 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)15
17.1%
14
82.9%
Q1 - 6:31MIAJames 2' Putback Dunk (4 PTS)13
16.0%
14
84.0%
Q1 - 6:33MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
17.1%
12
82.9%
Q1 - 6:35MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot13
18.0%
12
82.0%
Q1 - 6:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
17.1%
12
82.9%
Q1 - 6:42INDMISS George 7' Hook Shot13
17.5%
12
82.5%
Q1 - 6:51MIAWade 3' Layup (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)13
18.4%
12
81.6%
Q1 - 7:07INDMcRoberts 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Collison 3 AST)13
19.1%
10
80.9%
Q1 - 7:18MIAChalmers 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)11
18.0%
10
82.0%
Q1 - 7:34INDHibbert 2' Dunk (7 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)11
19.1%
8
80.9%
Q1 - 7:52MIABosh 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS)9
18.0%
8
82.0%
Q1 - 8:14INDMcRoberts 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)9
18.8%
6
81.2%
Q1 - 8:32INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
17.6%
6
82.4%
Q1 - 8:34MIAMISS Chalmers 18' Jump Shot7
17.3%
6
82.7%
Q1 - 8:40MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
16.5%
6
83.5%
Q1 - 8:43INDMISS Collison 17' Jump Shot7
16.8%
6
83.2%
Q1 - 8:57MIABosh 3' Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)7
17.6%
6
82.4%
Q1 - 9:01MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
18.6%
4
81.4%
Q1 - 9:03INDIlgauskas BLOCK (1 BLK)7
18.9%
4
81.1%
Q1 - 9:15INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
19.7%
4
80.3%
Q1 - 9:17MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
19.4%
4
80.6%
Q1 - 9:31INDMcRoberts 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Collison 2 AST)7
18.6%
4
81.4%
Q1 - 9:42INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)5
17.4%
4
82.6%
Q1 - 9:43MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot5
17.1%
4
82.9%
Q1 - 10:01MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
16.1%
4
83.9%
Q1 - 10:03INDMISS Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 25
16.3%
4
83.7%
Q1 - 10:03INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)5
16.9%
4
83.1%
Q1 - 10:20MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
16.3%
4
83.7%
Q1 - 10:35INDHibbert 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)4
17.2%
2
82.8%
Q1 - 10:44INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)2
16.3%
2
83.7%
Q1 - 10:46INDMISS Hibbert 15' Turnaround Jump Shot2
15.5%
2
84.5%
Q1 - 11:07INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
15.8%
2
84.2%
Q1 - 11:09MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 22
15.7%
2
84.3%
Q1 - 11:09MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 22
15.1%
2
84.9%
Q1 - 11:32INDHibbert 3' Slam Dunk (2 PTS)2
15.0%
2
85.0%
Q1 - 11:34INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
14.1%
2
85.9%
Q1 - 11:36INDMISS Collison 14' Jump Shot0
13.6%
2
86.4%
Q1 - 11:45MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
14.1%
2
85.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Ilgauskas vs. McRoberts: Tip to Bosh0
15.0%
0
85.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.13 56.6%
MIA
1.19 59.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
21
31
68%
MIA
21
29
72%
Midrange
IND
16
33
48%
MIA
15
30
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
7
10.5
22
32%
48%
MIA
8
12.0
24
33%
50%
Free Throws
IND
17
20
85%
MIA
21
28
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hibbert2059%10.0 / 17
D. Granger1959%9.5 / 16
T. Hansbrough18100%9.0 / 9
D. Collison1547%7.5 / 16
J. McRoberts1286%6.0 / 7
D. Jones1161%5.5 / 9
P. George836%4.0 / 11
A. Price563%2.5 / 4
M. Dunleavy250%1.0 / 2
J. Foster233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James4171%20.5 / 29
C. Bosh1959%9.5 / 16
D. Wade1745%8.5 / 19
M. Chalmers1662%8.0 / 13
M. Miller857%4.0 / 7
J. Jones857%4.0 / 7
E. Dampier6100%3.0 / 3
E. House2100%1.0 / 1
Z. Ilgauskas0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
83
+16
-13
99
MIA
84
+14
-11
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.13 56.6%
MIA
1.19 59.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.1
111.4
IND 116.7
MIA 123.2 +6.5
Pace
94.5
91.3
IND 100.9 +10.3
MIA 90.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
16.2
IND 14.3 +1.6
MIA 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.6%
52.4%
IND 55.2%
MIA 57.8% +2.6%
TO %
15.5%
14.4%
IND 13.7%
MIA 11.2% +2.5%
ORB %
25.9%
25.2%
IND 29.7% +1.9%
MIA 27.8%
FTrt
30.0
36.3
IND 23.3
MIA 33.7 +10.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.6%
54.1%
IND 40.9%
MIA 45.5% +4.6%
STL %
7.5%
7.3%
IND 8.3%
MIA 10.5% +2.2%
BLK %
8.4%
8.5%
IND 3.4%
MIA 4.7% +1.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
55.7%
IND 56.6%
MIA 59.7% +3.1%
Rim FG%
56.8%
64.7%
IND 67.7%
MIA 72.4% +4.7%
Mid FG%
39.2%
42.2%
IND 48.5%
MIA 50.0% +1.5%
3P %
35.4%
37.0%
IND 31.8%
MIA 33.3% +1.5%
FT %
78.2%
76.9%
IND 85.0% +10.0%
MIA 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.8%
31.6%
IND 36.0% +1.1%
MIA 34.9%
Mid Att. %
41.9%
44.9%
IND 38.4%
MIA 36.1% +2.2%
3P Att. %
24.4%
23.5%
IND 25.6%
MIA 28.9% +3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsINDMIA
Possessions9695
Possession Minutes22.825.2
Points112117
Rebounds3736
Assists1820
Steals810
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (5)10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)26 (2)
Field Goals44-8644-83
At-the-Rim FG21-3121-29
Midrange FG16-3315-30
2-Point FG37-6436-59
3-Point FG7-228-24
Free Throws17-2021-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 222 · 28
37.9
19
59%
1
3
1
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
5-10
50%
3-6
50%
G · 6'2" 185 · 23
36.2
15
47%
5
8
0
0
3
1
1
4
3-3
100%
3-9
33%
2-6
33%
C · 7'2" 270 · 24
30.8
20
59%
10
1
3
1
3
6
4
6
4-6
67%
8-14
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 240 · 24
24.5
12
86%
3
3
1
1
1
4
0
3
0-0
-
6-6
100%
0-1
0%
G · 6'9" 230 · 30
15.7
2
50%
1
2
1
0
2
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
· 6'9" 250 · 25
23.5
18
100%
2
0
0
0
1
3
1
1
6-7
86%
6-6
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 21
22.3
8
36%
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
2
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
0-4
0%
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30
20.2
11
61%
2
1
1
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
1-1
100%
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 34
17.0
2
33%
7
0
0
0
0
2
3
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 24
11.8
5
63%
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26
F · 6'8" 217 · 34
#44 · F · 6'10" 235 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#5 · G · 6'0" 165 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#6 · G · 6'6" 230 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
112
57%
37
18
8
2
13
0
11
26
17-20
85%
37-64
58%
7-22
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.