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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 8, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1676ers42%96117
14Hawks58%9883
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.5
36.6
24.4
16
61%
8
3
3
1
0
0
1
7
4-5
80%
3-6
1-3
50%
43%
2-5
40%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 31.9
29.3
35.6
17
89%
5
3
0
1
0
2
3
2
7-8
88%
5-6
6-12
83%
50%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.0
28.6
35.1
11
56%
7
8
1
1
1
1
0
7
3-4
75%
4-7
4-8
57%
50%
0-1
0%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 20.7
28.4
33.2
15
77%
2
0
2
1
2
1
0
2
3-4
75%
6-8
4-8
75%
46%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 22.8
11.6
18.2
4
50%
7
0
0
0
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 22.3
32.3
23.1
8
68%
8
7
0
1
0
1
0
8
2-2
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
45%
0-1
0%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.3
24.6
26.7
20
68%
3
3
1
1
2
1
0
3
3-4
75%
7-9
4-8
78%
46%
1-4
25%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.6
22.8
26.9
16
49%
8
1
2
1
0
1
3
5
4-5
80%
6-13
5-9
46%
52%
0-1
0%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 31.2
11.0
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 33.0
9.1
1.9
4
69%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 23.5
5.8
4.4
6
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 35.0
5.3
0
1-1
47%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.0
Craig Brackins
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 25.2
30.1
35.4
16
49%
5
7
1
1
0
1
1
4
4-5
80%
6-13
6-12
46%
51%
0-1
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 24.6
29.0
27.8
10
50%
10
0
0
1
1
2
3
7
0-0
-
5-8
3-6
63%
50%
0-2
0%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.6
22.0
37.4
6
38%
0
1
0
1
0
5
0
0
0-0
-
3-7
7-14
43%
50%
0-1
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.7
21.6
25.0
5
50%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
1-4
25%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 27.0
11.3
17.2
2
35%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-2
2-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.3
25.6
12.6
7
70%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
1-2
50%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 31.1
23.7
10.0
12
55%
4
2
0
0
2
1
2
2
2-2
100%
5-9
1-2
56%
46%
0-1
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.9
22.3
32.0
6
36%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-1
0%
3-6
4-8
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 22.7
20.7
6.3
10
60%
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
1-3
33%
3-5
1-2
60%
46%
1-2
50%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 22.3
19.9
4.4
9
30%
7
5
0
0
0
2
4
3
1-2
50%
4-11
1-1
36%
47%
0-3
0%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.0
13.7
3.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.2
11.3
0
1-2
44%
Pape Sy
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 22.8
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.7
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 32.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.