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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 7, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Bulls51%93103
13Trail Blazers49%92109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.3
38.4
37.5
36
59%
1
6
0
1
0
4
0
1
7-8
88%
13-21
7-14
62%
49%
1-6
17%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 29.2
35.2
37.2
17
61%
12
4
0
1
0
1
5
7
1-2
50%
8-13
9-16
62%
54%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.8
27.9
38.1
15
46%
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
1-3
33%
7-11
4-9
64%
49%
0-4
0%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 38.3
22.3
20.5
2
25%
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
50%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 30.7
20.9
16.8
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-2
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.6
27.1
23.3
2
33%
7
0
0
0
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
48%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 29.9
24.3
20.9
14
94%
6
0
0
1
0
2
0
6
1-1
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
47%
3-4
75%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 25.9
22.9
21.4
8
44%
3
1
2
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
4-9
2-5
44%
52%
0-0
-
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.6
11.4
5.5
9
46%
5
1
0
0
0
0
4
1
1-4
25%
4-8
0-1
50%
52%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.8
9.7
10.7
0
0%
0
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.0
2.5
0
0-1
48%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.9
0.8
0
0-0
38%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 25.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 24.3
45.8
36.5
6
25%
4
2
1
1
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
3-10
4-9
30%
48%
0-2
0%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 25.6
43.5
37.6
42
72%
8
1
0
1
2
0
2
6
12-14
86%
15-23
8-16
65%
49%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 34.9
41.7
30.4
27
81%
6
11
4
1
1
3
1
5
13-13
100%
7-11
5-10
64%
47%
0-0
-
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 22.1
38.9
37.1
12
61%
5
3
1
1
0
2
1
4
4-4
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
53%
0-2
0%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 31.3
22.8
20.1
0
0%
6
1
0
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
55%
0-0
-
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 25.8
34.3
28.4
18
69%
1
2
2
1
0
2
0
1
8-9
89%
2-6
2-4
33%
43%
2-3
67%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.5
6.3
13.9
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 35.5
4.0
3.8
2
100%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.6
2.7
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.8
18.5
1
2-5
46%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 36.9
8.0
0
1-2
45%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 23.0
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 26.5
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 21.6
Armon Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.