FinalWin Prob.pScore
942%105
108
858%107
103
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
102.9105108.3
DEN logo DEN
101.010299.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU108
100%
103
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper108
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 0:05.0HOUMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (37 PTS)108
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 0:05.0HOUMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 2107
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0DENAnthony 1' Driving Layup (50 PTS)107
99.7%
103
0.3%
Q4 - 0:14.0HOULowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)107
99.6%
101
0.4%
Q4 - 0:14.0HOULowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)106
99.6%
101
0.4%
Q4 - 0:20.0DENAnthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot (48 PTS) (Forbes 1 AST)105
99.2%
101
0.8%
Q4 - 0:22.0DENForbes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)105
99.7%
98
0.3%
Q4 - 0:23.0DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot105
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0HOUMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (36 PTS)105
99.6%
98
0.4%
Q4 - 0:32.0HOUMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (35 PTS)104
99.5%
98
0.5%
Q4 - 0:42.0DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (45 PTS)103
98.3%
98
1.7%
Q4 - 0:42.0DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (44 PTS)103
98.5%
97
1.5%
Q4 - 0:50.0HOULowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)103
98.9%
96
1.1%
Q4 - 0:50.0HOULowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)102
98.7%
96
1.3%
Q4 - 0:54.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)101
98.7%
94
1.3%
Q4 - 0:55.0HOUMISS Martin 18' Fadeaway Jumper101
98.9%
94
1.1%
Q4 - 1:19DENHarrington 1' Layup (10 PTS)101
98.7%
94
1.3%
Q4 - 1:19DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)101
99.2%
92
0.8%
Q4 - 1:20DENMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot101
99.5%
92
0.5%
Q4 - 1:27DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)101
99.1%
92
0.9%
Q4 - 1:28HOUMISS Scola Free Throw 2 of 2101
99.1%
92
0.9%
Q4 - 1:28HOUScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)101
99.4%
92
0.6%
Q4 - 1:28HOUScola REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)100
99.1%
92
0.9%
Q4 - 1:29HOUMISS Lowry 27' 3PT Jump Shot100
98.6%
92
1.4%
Q4 - 1:35HOURockets Rebound100
98.9%
92
1.1%
Q4 - 1:36HOUHarrington BLOCK (1 BLK)100
98.3%
92
1.7%
Q4 - 1:52HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)100
98.5%
92
1.5%
Q4 - 1:54DENMISS Lawson 3' Running Jump Shot100
98.3%
92
1.7%
Q4 - 2:09HOUMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)100
97.5%
92
2.5%
Q4 - 2:09HOUMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 299
97.4%
92
2.6%
Q4 - 2:31DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (41 PTS)99
97.9%
92
2.1%
Q4 - 2:38DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)99
99.1%
89
0.9%
Q4 - 2:39HOUMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 299
99.2%
89
0.8%
Q4 - 2:39HOUMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)99
99.4%
89
0.6%
Q4 - 2:40DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T21)98
99.2%
89
0.8%
Q4 - 2:43DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)98
98.5%
89
1.5%
Q4 - 2:44HOUMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
98.8%
89
1.2%
Q4 - 3:04DENLawson 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS)98
98.7%
89
1.3%
Q4 - 3:17HOUMartin 1' Dunk (32 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)98
99.1%
87
0.9%
Q4 - 3:30DENHarrington Foul Turnover (P2.T20)96
98.8%
87
1.2%
Q4 - 3:37HOUMartin Traveling Turnover (P3.T13)96
95.7%
87
4.3%
Q4 - 3:59DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (38 PTS)96
97.3%
87
2.7%
Q4 - 3:59DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (37 PTS)96
97.4%
86
2.6%
Q4 - 4:05HOUHayes Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)96
98.1%
85
1.9%
Q4 - 4:05HOUHayes Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)95
97.9%
85
2.1%
Q4 - 4:05HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)94
97.3%
85
2.7%
Q4 - 4:05DENMISS Anthony 2' Layup94
97.0%
85
3.0%
Q4 - 4:11DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)94
96.0%
85
4.0%
Q4 - 4:12HOUMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
96.5%
85
3.5%
Q4 - 4:31DENAfflalo 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)94
97.4%
85
2.6%
Q4 - 4:36DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)94
98.2%
83
1.8%
Q4 - 4:38HOUMISS Martin 20' Fadeaway Jumper94
98.4%
83
1.6%
Q4 - 5:02DENAnthony 2' Driving Reverse Layup (36 PTS)94
97.7%
83
2.3%
Q4 - 5:23HOUMartin 26' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Scola 3 AST)94
98.4%
81
1.6%
Q4 - 5:26HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)91
96.9%
81
3.1%
Q4 - 5:27HOUMISS Scola 14' Fadeaway Jumper91
96.1%
81
3.9%
Q4 - 5:29HOUScola REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)91
96.9%
81
3.1%
Q4 - 5:31HOUAfflalo BLOCK (1 BLK)91
96.1%
81
3.9%
Q4 - 5:54DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)91
97.0%
81
3.0%
Q4 - 5:54DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)91
97.2%
80
2.8%
Q4 - 6:02HOUScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)91
96.5%
79
3.5%
Q4 - 6:02HOUScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)90
96.3%
79
3.7%
Q4 - 6:02HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)89
95.5%
79
4.5%
Q4 - 6:03DENMISS Anthony 6' Running Jump Shot89
95.1%
79
4.9%
Q4 - 6:17HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)89
93.9%
79
6.1%
Q4 - 6:17HOURockets Rebound89
95.6%
79
4.4%
Q4 - 6:18HOUAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)89
94.5%
79
5.5%
Q4 - 6:44HOURockets Rebound89
95.6%
79
4.4%
Q4 - 6:45DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
94.0%
79
6.0%
Q4 - 6:45DENMISS Smith 1' Tip Shot89
95.2%
79
4.8%
Q4 - 6:46DENMISS Lawson 1' Layup89
95.2%
79
4.8%
Q4 - 7:11HOUMartin 8' Running Jump Shot (27 PTS)89
92.3%
79
7.7%
Q4 - 7:25HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)87
90.4%
79
9.6%
Q4 - 7:27DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 287
90.0%
79
10.0%
Q4 - 7:27DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)87
88.3%
79
11.7%
Q4 - 7:36HOUScola Foul Turnover (P4.T11)87
90.2%
78
9.8%
Q4 - 8:07DENAnthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot (34 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)87
90.8%
78
9.2%
Q4 - 8:31HOUHayes 9' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Lowry 5 AST)87
94.4%
75
5.6%
Q4 - 8:47DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)85
92.8%
75
7.2%
Q4 - 8:47DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)85
93.1%
74
6.9%
Q4 - 8:57HOUScola 3' Layup (22 PTS) (Lowry 4 AST)85
94.4%
73
5.6%
Q4 - 9:12DENLawson 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)83
91.3%
73
8.7%
Q4 - 9:16DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)83
93.1%
71
6.9%
Q4 - 9:17HOUMISS Scola 3' Jump Shot83
93.5%
71
6.5%
Q4 - 9:40DENAndersen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T19)83
94.5%
71
5.5%
Q4 - 9:53DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
93.2%
71
6.8%
Q4 - 9:54HOUMISS Martin 27' 3PT Jump Shot83
93.6%
71
6.4%
Q4 - 10:09DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)83
93.5%
71
6.5%
Q4 - 10:09DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)83
93.7%
70
6.3%
Q4 - 10:14HOULee 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Smith 6 AST)83
94.7%
69
5.3%
Q4 - 10:26DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)81
93.5%
69
6.5%
Q4 - 10:38HOUScola Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)81
92.0%
69
8.0%
Q4 - 10:48HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
93.5%
69
6.5%
Q4 - 10:51DENMISS Forbes Free Throw 2 of 281
93.3%
69
6.7%
Q4 - 10:51DENMISS Forbes Free Throw 1 of 281
92.5%
69
7.5%
Q4 - 10:55DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)81
92.0%
69
8.0%
Q4 - 10:56HOUMISS Smith 2' Driving Reverse Layup81
92.5%
69
7.5%
Q4 - 11:20HOUMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
92.4%
69
7.6%
Q4 - 11:22DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 281
92.2%
69
7.8%
Q4 - 11:22DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)81
91.2%
69
8.8%
Q4 - 11:28DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
92.5%
68
7.5%
Q4 - 11:30HOUMISS Lee 8' Jump Shot81
92.9%
68
7.1%
Q4 - 11:49DENLawson 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)81
93.9%
68
6.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU81
95.0%
66
5.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound81
95.9%
66
4.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Lowry 36' 3PT Jump Shot81
95.3%
66
4.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENAndersen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)81
95.1%
66
4.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0HOUMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)81
94.2%
66
5.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0HOUMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)80
94.0%
66
6.0%
Q3 - 0:13.0DENLawson 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS)79
92.8%
66
7.2%
Q3 - 0:32.0HOUMartin 1' Dunk (23 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)79
94.2%
64
5.8%
Q3 - 0:36.0HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
92.9%
64
7.1%
Q3 - 0:37.0DENMISS Forbes 1' Driving Layup77
92.5%
64
7.5%
Q3 - 0:45.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
91.6%
64
8.4%
Q3 - 0:46.0HOUMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
92.0%
64
8.0%
Q3 - 1:00DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)77
92.9%
64
7.1%
Q3 - 1:00DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)77
93.2%
63
6.8%
Q3 - 1:05DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
93.5%
62
6.5%
Q3 - 1:06HOUMISS Lee 3PT Jump Shot77
93.8%
62
6.2%
Q3 - 1:28DENForbes Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)77
94.5%
62
5.5%
Q3 - 1:28DENMISS Forbes Free Throw 1 of 277
94.8%
61
5.2%
Q3 - 1:37HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
94.6%
61
5.4%
Q3 - 1:37HOUScola 1' Tip Shot (20 PTS)77
94.6%
61
5.4%
Q3 - 1:38HOUMISS Budinger 2' Reverse Layup75
92.6%
61
7.4%
Q3 - 1:54HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
93.4%
61
6.6%
Q3 - 1:55DENMISS Forbes 5' Turnaround Jump Shot75
93.1%
61
6.9%
Q3 - 2:15HOUScola Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)75
91.0%
61
9.0%
Q3 - 2:29DENSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)75
92.4%
61
7.6%
Q3 - 2:35DENForbes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
91.0%
61
9.0%
Q3 - 2:37HOUMISS Martin 17' Jump Shot75
91.5%
61
8.5%
Q3 - 2:51HOUMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
92.5%
61
7.5%
Q3 - 2:53DENMISS Afflalo 17' Jump Shot75
92.1%
61
7.9%
Q3 - 2:57DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)75
91.1%
61
8.9%
Q3 - 2:59DENMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
92.1%
61
7.9%
Q3 - 3:15HOULowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)75
90.0%
61
10.0%
Q3 - 3:15HOUMISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 274
89.7%
61
10.3%
Q3 - 3:32DENAnthony Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)74
90.1%
61
9.9%
Q3 - 3:55HOULowry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)74
88.3%
61
11.7%
Q3 - 4:01DENHarrington Foul Turnover (P1.T14)74
89.4%
61
10.6%
Q3 - 4:26HOUMartin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)74
87.4%
61
12.6%
Q3 - 4:39DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)71
83.4%
61
16.6%
Q3 - 4:39DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)71
83.8%
60
16.2%
Q3 - 4:48DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
85.3%
59
14.7%
Q3 - 4:50HOUMISS Budinger 1' Reverse Layup71
86.1%
59
13.9%
Q3 - 4:54HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
87.7%
59
12.3%
Q3 - 4:56DENMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot71
87.0%
59
13.0%
Q3 - 5:02DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
84.0%
59
16.0%
Q3 - 5:04HOUMISS Lowry 18' Jump Shot71
84.8%
59
15.2%
Q3 - 5:22HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)71
86.4%
59
13.6%
Q3 - 5:23DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot71
85.7%
59
14.3%
Q3 - 5:40DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
84.1%
59
15.9%
Q3 - 5:41HOUMISS Martin 22' Jump Shot71
84.9%
59
15.1%
Q3 - 5:47DENSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)71
86.5%
59
13.5%
Q3 - 6:00DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
84.2%
59
15.8%
Q3 - 6:01HOUMISS Martin 17' Jump Shot71
83.6%
59
16.4%
Q3 - 6:14DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)71
85.3%
59
14.7%
Q3 - 6:14DENAnthony Free Throw Technical (26 PTS)71
85.1%
58
14.9%
Q3 - 6:14DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)71
87.4%
57
12.6%
Q3 - 6:16DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)71
88.7%
56
11.3%
Q3 - 6:17DENMISS Martin 18' Fadeaway Jumper71
89.9%
56
10.1%
Q3 - 6:36HOUMartin 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS)71
88.8%
56
11.2%
Q3 - 6:44HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)69
87.2%
56
12.8%
Q3 - 6:45DENMISS Anthony 16' Jump Shot69
86.6%
56
13.4%
Q3 - 7:02HOUMartin 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)69
83.6%
56
16.4%
Q3 - 7:15HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
79.2%
56
20.8%
Q3 - 7:16DENMISS Martin 5' Jump Hook Shot66
78.3%
56
21.7%
Q3 - 7:37HOUMartin 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)66
76.4%
56
23.6%
Q3 - 7:43DENMartin Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)64
73.7%
56
26.3%
Q3 - 7:53HOUScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)64
70.5%
56
29.5%
Q3 - 7:53HOUScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)63
69.7%
56
30.3%
Q3 - 7:59DENAfflalo Foul Turnover (P3.T11)62
67.3%
56
32.7%
Q3 - 8:16HOUHayes 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Martin 7 AST)62
63.0%
56
37.0%
Q3 - 8:31HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
59.6%
56
40.4%
Q3 - 8:33DENMISS Harrington 14' Turnaround Jump Shot60
58.5%
56
41.5%
Q3 - 9:00HOUMartin 2' Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Hayes 2 AST)60
55.7%
56
44.3%
Q3 - 9:12DENMartin 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Harrington 3 AST)58
51.7%
56
48.3%
Q3 - 9:28HOUScola 3' Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Martin 6 AST)58
55.3%
54
44.7%
Q3 - 9:44DENAnthony 4' Running Bank Shot (24 PTS)56
51.7%
54
48.3%
Q3 - 9:50DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)56
55.3%
52
44.7%
Q3 - 9:51HOUMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
56.4%
52
43.6%
Q3 - 10:03DENLawson Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)56
58.3%
52
41.7%
Q3 - 10:03DENNUGGETS Rebound56
54.6%
52
45.4%
Q3 - 10:04DENMISS Lawson 3' Layup56
57.2%
52
42.8%
Q3 - 10:15DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
54.7%
52
45.3%
Q3 - 10:16HOUMISS Scola 19' Jump Shot56
55.8%
52
44.2%
Q3 - 10:21HOURockets Rebound56
58.3%
52
41.7%
Q3 - 10:21HOUAnthony BLOCK (3 BLK)56
55.8%
52
44.2%
Q3 - 10:44DENAnthony 20' Jump Shot (22 PTS)56
58.3%
52
41.7%
Q3 - 11:02HOUMartin 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)56
60.9%
50
39.1%
Q3 - 11:16HOUMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
57.8%
50
42.2%
Q3 - 11:17DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
56.7%
50
43.3%
Q3 - 11:37HOUScola 7' Jump Shot (14 PTS)54
54.2%
50
45.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU52
51.0%
50
49.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound52
51.0%
50
49.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Martin 20' Jump Shot52
48.4%
50
51.6%
Q2 - 0:05.0DENNUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)52
50.1%
50
49.9%
Q2 - 0:23.0DENMISS Smith Free Throw Technical52
47.6%
50
52.4%
Q2 - 0:29.0HOUScola Inbound Turnover (P1.T7)52
47.6%
50
52.4%
Q2 - 0:29.0DENHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)52
50.2%
50
49.8%
Q2 - 0:29.0DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)52
50.9%
49
49.1%
Q2 - 0:29.0DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
54.2%
48
45.8%
Q2 - 0:29.0DENMISS Anthony 2' Alley Oop Layup52
56.0%
48
44.0%
Q2 - 0:32.0DENNUGGETS Rebound52
54.2%
48
45.8%
Q2 - 0:33.0DENMISS Martin 5' Jump Hook Shot52
56.0%
48
44.0%
Q2 - 0:44.0HOULowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)52
54.2%
48
45.8%
Q2 - 0:44.0HOUMISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 251
53.5%
48
46.5%
Q2 - 0:44.0HOURockets Rebound51
53.5%
48
46.5%
Q2 - 0:44.0DENMISS Lawson 16' Jump Shot51
52.7%
48
47.3%
Q2 - 0:48.0DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
50.9%
48
49.1%
Q2 - 0:50.0HOUMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
51.7%
48
48.3%
Q2 - 1:07DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)51
53.1%
48
46.9%
Q2 - 1:07DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)51
53.6%
47
46.4%
Q2 - 1:16HOUMartin Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)51
57.2%
46
42.8%
Q2 - 1:25DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)51
59.5%
46
40.5%
Q2 - 1:25DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 251
60.2%
45
39.8%
Q2 - 1:30DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
60.4%
45
39.6%
Q2 - 1:31HOUMISS Budinger 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
61.0%
45
39.0%
Q2 - 1:38HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
62.6%
45
37.4%
Q2 - 1:39DENMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
61.9%
45
38.1%
Q2 - 1:53HOUMartin 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Scola 2 AST)51
60.4%
45
39.6%
Q2 - 2:09DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)49
56.3%
45
43.7%
Q2 - 2:09DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 249
57.0%
44
43.0%
Q2 - 2:27HOUHayes 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Martin 5 AST)49
56.2%
44
43.8%
Q2 - 2:50HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
53.1%
44
46.9%
Q2 - 2:52DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 147
52.7%
44
47.3%
Q2 - 3:07HOUScola 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Martin 4 AST)47
55.6%
42
44.4%
Q2 - 3:22DENAfflalo Foul Turnover (P2.T8)45
53.1%
42
46.9%
Q2 - 3:39HOUHayes 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Martin 3 AST)45
49.4%
42
50.6%
Q2 - 3:56DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P2.T7)43
46.9%
42
53.1%
Q2 - 4:01DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
43.0%
42
57.0%
Q2 - 4:03HOUMISS Hayes 6' Jump Shot43
44.0%
42
56.0%
Q2 - 4:14DENAnthony 1' Dunk (16 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)43
46.3%
42
53.7%
Q2 - 4:17DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
49.0%
40
51.0%
Q2 - 4:18HOUMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
50.0%
40
50.0%
Q2 - 4:37HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
52.4%
40
47.6%
Q2 - 4:38DENMISS Lawson 2' Layup43
51.4%
40
48.6%
Q2 - 4:40DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
49.0%
40
51.0%
Q2 - 4:42DENMISS Lawson 10' Jump Shot43
51.4%
40
48.6%
Q2 - 4:49DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)43
49.1%
40
50.9%
Q2 - 4:50HOUMISS Battier 1' Layup43
50.1%
40
49.9%
Q2 - 4:53HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
52.4%
40
47.6%
Q2 - 4:54HOUMISS Budinger 20' Jump Shot43
50.1%
40
49.9%
Q2 - 5:07DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)43
52.0%
40
48.0%
Q2 - 5:07DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 243
52.4%
39
47.6%
Q2 - 5:15DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
52.0%
39
48.0%
Q2 - 5:15HOUAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)43
52.9%
39
47.1%
Q2 - 5:31DENHarrington 1' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)43
54.9%
39
45.1%
Q2 - 5:46HOUAnthony STEAL (1 STL)43
57.8%
37
42.2%
Q2 - 6:10DENLawson 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)43
60.1%
37
39.9%
Q2 - 6:26HOUBudinger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)43
62.4%
35
37.6%
Q2 - 6:32HOUMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
57.4%
35
42.6%
Q2 - 6:33DENMISS Smith 5' Jump Shot40
56.4%
35
43.6%
Q2 - 6:45HOUSmith STEAL (1 STL)40
54.2%
35
45.8%
Q2 - 6:50DENAfflalo 8' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)40
57.4%
35
42.6%
Q2 - 7:09HOUPatterson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)40
59.3%
33
40.7%
Q2 - 7:15HOUMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
56.7%
33
43.3%
Q2 - 7:17DENMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
55.8%
33
44.2%
Q2 - 7:24DENNUGGETS Rebound38
53.8%
33
46.2%
Q2 - 7:25DENMISS Harrington 15' Jump Shot38
55.8%
33
44.2%
Q2 - 7:41HOUBudinger 2' Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)38
53.8%
33
46.2%
Q2 - 7:49HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
51.2%
33
48.8%
Q2 - 7:50DENMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot36
50.3%
33
49.7%
Q2 - 8:14HOULee 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS)36
48.0%
33
52.0%
Q2 - 8:25HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
45.4%
33
54.6%
Q2 - 8:27DENMISS Smith 17' Fadeaway Jumper34
44.6%
33
55.4%
Q2 - 8:52HOUPatterson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)34
42.7%
33
57.3%
Q2 - 9:02HOUMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
45.1%
33
54.9%
Q2 - 9:03DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 234
44.7%
33
55.3%
Q2 - 9:03DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
43.2%
33
56.8%
Q2 - 9:18HOUPatterson Foul Turnover (P1.T2)34
45.0%
32
55.0%
Q2 - 9:35DENLawson 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
47.7%
32
52.3%
Q2 - 9:49HOUBudinger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)34
50.2%
30
49.8%
Q2 - 10:01DENAnthony 13' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)31
45.0%
30
55.0%
Q2 - 10:14HOULee 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)31
47.2%
28
52.8%
Q2 - 10:36DENAnthony 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)28
42.4%
28
57.6%
Q2 - 10:49HOUMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)28
44.7%
26
55.3%
Q2 - 10:49HOUMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 227
44.4%
26
55.6%
Q2 - 10:58DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)27
45.0%
26
55.0%
Q2 - 11:12HOUScola 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)27
42.1%
26
57.9%
Q2 - 11:33HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
39.9%
26
60.1%
Q2 - 11:34DENMISS Forbes 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
39.1%
26
60.9%
Q2 - 11:47DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)25
37.3%
26
62.7%
Q2 - 11:48HOUMISS Budinger 20' Jump Shot25
38.1%
26
61.9%
Q2 - 12:00HOUMISS Miller Free Throw Technical25
39.9%
26
60.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN25
39.9%
26
60.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound25
37.3%
26
62.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENForbes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
37.3%
26
62.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Forbes 1' Tip Shot25
39.1%
26
60.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0DENMISS Lawson 12' Jump Shot25
38.8%
26
61.2%
Q1 - 0:05.0DENForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
37.5%
26
62.5%
Q1 - 0:06.0HOUMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
38.1%
26
61.9%
Q1 - 0:29.0DENForbes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)25
39.4%
26
60.6%
Q1 - 0:38.0HOUMiller 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)25
37.5%
26
62.5%
Q1 - 0:41.0DENAnthony 14' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)23
34.8%
26
65.2%
Q1 - 1:02HOUScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)23
37.7%
24
62.3%
Q1 - 1:02HOUScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)22
37.2%
24
62.8%
Q1 - 1:13DENSmith 19' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)21
34.9%
24
65.1%
Q1 - 1:29DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
37.7%
22
62.3%
Q1 - 1:30DENMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 221
39.1%
22
60.9%
Q1 - 1:30DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 221
37.9%
22
62.1%
Q1 - 1:46DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
37.7%
22
62.3%
Q1 - 1:48HOUMISS Martin 18' Jump Shot21
38.2%
22
61.8%
Q1 - 1:59HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
39.3%
22
60.7%
Q1 - 2:00DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
38.8%
22
61.2%
Q1 - 2:08DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
37.6%
22
62.4%
Q1 - 2:09HOUMISS Smith 2' Driving Layup21
38.2%
22
61.8%
Q1 - 2:30DENSmith 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)21
39.6%
22
60.4%
Q1 - 2:47HOUMartin Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)21
42.1%
20
57.9%
Q1 - 2:52DENAnthony 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)21
44.1%
20
55.9%
Q1 - 3:17HOUScola 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)21
46.3%
18
53.7%
Q1 - 3:31DENMartin 5' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)19
44.2%
18
55.8%
Q1 - 3:51HOULowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)19
46.4%
16
53.6%
Q1 - 3:51HOULowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)18
45.9%
16
54.1%
Q1 - 3:51HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
44.2%
16
55.8%
Q1 - 3:54DENMISS Martin 1' Dunk17
43.5%
16
56.5%
Q1 - 3:55DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
41.9%
16
58.1%
Q1 - 3:57DENMISS Harrington 2' Layup17
43.5%
16
56.5%
Q1 - 4:11HOUHayes 1' Layup (2 PTS)17
41.4%
16
58.6%
Q1 - 4:27HOURockets Rebound15
39.5%
16
60.5%
Q1 - 4:28DENMISS Anthony 16' Jump Shot15
38.8%
16
61.2%
Q1 - 4:45HOUBudinger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Scola 1 AST)15
37.2%
16
62.8%
Q1 - 5:03DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)12
33.5%
16
66.5%
Q1 - 5:08DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
31.4%
16
68.6%
Q1 - 5:09HOUMISS Martin 22' Jump Shot12
32.0%
16
68.0%
Q1 - 5:28DENAnthony 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS)12
33.5%
16
66.5%
Q1 - 5:47DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
35.2%
14
64.8%
Q1 - 5:48HOUMISS Scola 3' Driving Layup12
35.8%
14
64.2%
Q1 - 6:06HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
37.2%
14
62.8%
Q1 - 6:07DENMISS Harrington 19' Jump Shot12
36.6%
14
63.4%
Q1 - 6:24HOUMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)12
35.2%
14
64.8%
Q1 - 6:24HOUMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)11
35.0%
14
65.0%
Q1 - 6:38DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)10
33.4%
14
66.6%
Q1 - 7:01HOUScola 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS)10
37.0%
11
63.0%
Q1 - 7:17DENHarrington 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)8
35.3%
11
64.7%
Q1 - 7:26HOUScola 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)8
37.0%
9
63.0%
Q1 - 7:45DENMartin 2' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)6
35.3%
9
64.7%
Q1 - 7:56DENNUGGETS Rebound6
37.0%
7
63.0%
Q1 - 7:57HOUMartin BLOCK (1 BLK)6
37.7%
7
62.3%
Q1 - 8:14DENMartin Foul Turnover (P1.T3)6
39.0%
7
61.0%
Q1 - 8:18DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
37.1%
7
62.9%
Q1 - 8:20HOUMISS Martin 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
37.7%
7
62.3%
Q1 - 8:31DENAfflalo Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)6
39.0%
7
61.0%
Q1 - 8:41DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
37.1%
7
62.9%
Q1 - 8:42HOUMISS Battier 8' Running Jump Shot6
37.7%
7
62.3%
Q1 - 8:51HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
39.0%
7
61.0%
Q1 - 8:52DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot6
38.4%
7
61.6%
Q1 - 9:10HOUMartin 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)6
37.4%
7
62.6%
Q1 - 9:13HOULowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
33.9%
7
66.1%
Q1 - 9:15HOUAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)3
32.7%
7
67.3%
Q1 - 9:21DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)3
33.9%
7
66.1%
Q1 - 9:26DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
32.2%
7
67.8%
Q1 - 9:27HOUMISS Hayes 1' Driving Layup3
32.7%
7
67.3%
Q1 - 9:41HOUMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
33.8%
7
66.2%
Q1 - 9:42DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot3
33.3%
7
66.7%
Q1 - 9:55DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
32.2%
7
67.8%
Q1 - 9:56HOUMISS Martin 2' Driving Layup3
32.7%
7
67.3%
Q1 - 10:05DENBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)3
34.3%
7
65.7%
Q1 - 10:23HOULowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST)3
37.3%
4
62.7%
Q1 - 10:36DENBillups 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
34.2%
4
65.8%
Q1 - 10:51DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.6%
2
64.4%
Q1 - 10:53HOUMISS Scola 18' Jump Shot0
36.2%
2
63.8%
Q1 - 11:08HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
37.3%
2
62.7%
Q1 - 11:10DENMISS Martin 20' Jump Shot0
36.9%
2
63.1%
Q1 - 11:23DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.9%
2
64.1%
Q1 - 11:24HOUMISS Martin 22' Jump Shot0
36.3%
2
63.7%
Q1 - 11:39DENHarrington 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
37.3%
2
62.7%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Martin vs. Scola: Tip to Billups0
39.0%
0
61.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.04 51.9%
DEN
1.06 53.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
16
29
55%
DEN
19
34
56%
Midrange
HOU
11
32
34%
DEN
13
30
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
9
13.5
22
41%
61%
DEN
3
4.5
13
23%
35%
Free Throws
HOU
27
35
77%
DEN
30
43
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Martin3758%18.5 / 32
L. Scola2563%12.5 / 20
C. Hayes1267%6.0 / 9
K. Lowry1139%5.5 / 14
C. Budinger1161%5.5 / 9
C. Lee770%3.5 / 5
B. Miller350%1.5 / 3
P. Patterson250%1.0 / 2
S. Battier0-0.0 / 4
I. Smith0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony5083%25.0 / 30
T. Lawson1953%9.5 / 18
A. Harrington1038%5.0 / 13
J. Smith732%3.5 / 11
K. Martin633%3.0 / 9
C. Billups583%2.5 / 3
A. Afflalo467%2.0 / 3
C. Andersen150%0.5 / 1
G. Forbes18%0.5 / 6
A. Carter0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
93
+11
-12
104
DEN
82
+14
-20
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.04 51.9%
DEN
1.06 53.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.3
112.7
HOU 102.9 +1.9
DEN 101.0
Pace
94.2
95.2
HOU 108.3 +9.3
DEN 99.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
14.3
HOU 13.3 +1.3
DEN 14.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.3%
52.6%
HOU 48.8% +1.4%
DEN 47.4%
TO %
13.4%
14.5%
HOU 11.7% +6.3%
DEN 18.0%
ORB %
27.5%
23.8%
HOU 14.0%
DEN 24.4% +10.4%
FTrt
29.9
36.7
HOU 42.2
DEN 55.8 +13.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.7%
57.6%
HOU 75.0% +35.0%
DEN 40.0%
STL %
7.4%
7.7%
HOU 10.5% +8.5%
DEN 2.0%
BLK %
6.5%
6.8%
HOU 3.1%
DEN 11.5% +8.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.6%
56.3%
HOU 51.9%
DEN 53.1% +1.2%
Rim FG%
58.5%
58.5%
HOU 55.2%
DEN 55.9% +0.7%
Mid FG%
39.6%
40.0%
HOU 34.4%
DEN 43.3% +8.9%
3P %
36.7%
38.8%
HOU 40.9% +17.8%
DEN 23.1%
FT %
80.1%
76.6%
HOU 77.1% +7.3%
DEN 69.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
42.5%
HOU 34.9%
DEN 44.2% +9.2%
Mid Att. %
38.7%
31.8%
HOU 38.6% +0.4%
DEN 39.0%
3P Att. %
26.4%
25.8%
HOU 26.5% +9.6%
DEN 16.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsHOUDEN
Possessions105102
Possession Minutes23.324.7
Points108103
Rebounds3747
Assists2714
Steals112
Blocks27
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)20 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (5)10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (3)37 (1)
Field Goals36-8335-77
At-the-Rim FG16-2919-34
Midrange FG11-3213-30
2-Point FG27-6132-64
3-Point FG9-223-13
Free Throws27-3530-43
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 199 · 28
39.6
37
58%
4
7
3
0
3
1
0
4
9-12
75%
8-18
44%
4-8
50%
F · 6'9" 241 · 31
39.1
25
63%
8
3
1
1
4
4
3
5
7-8
88%
9-16
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 196 · 25
37.6
11
39%
1
5
4
0
1
4
1
0
8-10
80%
0-3
0%
1-6
17%
C · 6'6" 240 · 28
33.0
12
67%
10
2
1
1
0
4
1
9
2-2
100%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 32
19.1
0
0%
3
2
0
0
0
5
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 209 · 23
23.1
11
61%
4
0
2
0
0
5
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
20%
3-4
75%
G · 6'5" 200 · 25
18.9
7
70%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
G · 6'0" 175 · 23
12.3
0
0%
3
6
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 35
9.5
3
50%
3
1
0
0
1
2
0
3
1-3
33%
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 230 · 22
7.8
2
50%
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 240 · 29
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24
#0 · G · 6'0" 161 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · C · 7'6" 310 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#27 · F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
52%
37
27
11
2
12
0
6
31
27-35
77%
27-61
44%
9-22
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.