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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 7, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Timberwolves26%94104
20Hornets74%10292
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 22.4
44.1
34.1
27
74%
17
3
0
1
1
2
3
14
14-14
100%
5-10
5-10
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.0
34.5
26.2
13
60%
2
6
2
1
1
6
0
2
2-2
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
42%
1-2
50%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.1
31.4
26.7
14
41%
5
3
0
1
1
1
2
3
2-2
100%
6-15
5-11
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 24.9
15.3
26.4
3
38%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 25.6
3.9
29.9
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
5-10
-
46%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.7
28.1
16.4
12
75%
7
1
1
0
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
4-7
57%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.2
27.3
10.9
11
49%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
3-3
100%
4-7
1-2
57%
43%
0-3
0%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.6
22.0
21.2
3
21%
4
5
0
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
46%
1-3
33%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 25.7
13.5
17.1
9
75%
3
0
2
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
3-5
60%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 25.1
13.1
9.4
12
104%
3
1
1
0
1
2
1
2
4-4
100%
4-4
1-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 24.2
5.4
6.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.0
1.4
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 24.2
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.8
36.5
36.8
17
59%
6
13
4
2
0
1
1
5
7-8
88%
5-8
5-9
63%
54%
0-3
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.4
34.0
32.6
18
51%
6
2
0
1
1
4
1
5
4-4
100%
7-16
8-14
44%
53%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.9
28.2
19.8
15
47%
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
48%
3-8
38%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.9
19.9
12.6
4
34%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
50%
0-2
0%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.2
16.9
17.4
4
41%
8
0
0
0
0
1
6
2
0-2
0%
2-4
2-4
50%
55%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 27.2
21.3
11.4
4
25%
3
0
0
0
4
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
44%
0-4
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 24.9
17.1
19.5
4
52%
5
0
0
1
1
0
3
2
0-2
0%
2-3
3-6
67%
48%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.1
16.4
10.6
2
50%
4
0
0
0
2
2
3
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.5
15.9
18.7
11
71%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
3-4
75%
1-2
2-5
50%
50%
2-4
50%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 23.7
13.3
19.3
7
58%
2
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
50%
1-3
33%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.3
11.5
13.0
2
33%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-0
-
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 30.6
9.0
14.9
4
50%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 25.6
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 28.4
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 29.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.