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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 7, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Celtics65%9389
23Bobcats35%8894
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 25.0
43.4
35.9
10
36%
3
14
3
2
1
6
1
2
2-2
100%
4-12
5-9
33%
52%
0-1
0%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 35.6
39.1
35.5
25
65%
2
3
2
1
0
3
0
2
5-5
100%
7-15
4-7
47%
52%
2-2
100%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 33.3
35.5
37.8
22
60%
6
3
1
1
0
1
0
6
9-10
90%
5-9
5-10
56%
51%
1-5
20%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 26.2
35.4
29.5
8
58%
7
0
0
0
3
1
2
5
0-2
0%
4-6
3-5
67%
57%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 34.7
30.5
31.3
9
38%
14
3
3
1
1
1
2
12
1-2
50%
4-11
6-11
36%
52%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 25.1
23.0
23.1
7
46%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
5-6
83%
1-5
4-8
20%
48%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 25.5
15.0
10.0
3
30%
1
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 26.7
11.0
13.8
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-3
0%
Luke Harangody
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.1
7.1
3.6
3
150%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
1-1
100%
Semih Erden
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.5
6.9
0
1-1
55%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 38.9
6.4
0
1-2
58%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 20.2
1.7
0
0-0
44%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 30.1
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.5
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 32.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.5
41.2
38.4
19
49%
16
2
1
1
1
2
3
13
6-8
75%
5-13
4-9
38%
48%
1-3
33%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 28.8
29.7
33.4
7
70%
2
3
1
1
2
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
53%
1-2
50%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 28.9
29.1
24.0
4
20%
12
1
2
0
2
1
3
9
2-2
100%
1-9
3-5
11%
51%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 23.2
25.7
31.0
9
48%
1
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
1-4
3-7
25%
45%
2-5
40%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 32.8
14.2
38.3
11
60%
3
1
1
1
0
3
2
1
3-5
60%
4-5
5-11
80%
45%
0-2
0%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.2
35.1
21.3
15
49%
4
2
0
1
1
1
0
4
5-5
100%
5-12
3-6
42%
45%
0-1
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 25.4
22.3
14.0
18
71%
4
3
1
0
1
4
0
4
4-6
67%
7-10
2-4
70%
47%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.6
18.7
13.8
5
50%
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
51%
1-3
33%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 33.4
18.6
10.7
3
31%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
1-2
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
50%
0-0
-
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 23.4
5.5
7.4
3
104%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.3
5.8
0
1-1
40%
Sherron Collins
G · 5'11" 205 · 23.9
2.1
0
0-0
39%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.5
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 30.4
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 29.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.