FinalWin Prob.pScore
2428%88
89
2072%96
78
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
102.38784.9
MIL logo MIL
89.78789.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL89
100%
78
0%
Q4 - 0:06.0MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:07.0DETMISS Prince 13' Jump Shot89
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0MILDouglas-Roberts 1' Layup (8 PTS)89
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)89
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0DETMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot89
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:06MILDouglas-Roberts 1' Layup (6 PTS)89
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:15DETMcGrady 18' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS)89
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 1:38DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)87
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 1:40MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 16' Jump Shot87
99.8%
74
0.2%
Q4 - 1:51DETMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)87
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 1:51DETMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)86
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 2:12DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)85
99.6%
74
0.4%
Q4 - 2:14MILMISS Sanders 1' Layup85
99.5%
74
0.5%
Q4 - 2:31DETDaye 1' Layup (7 PTS)85
99.3%
74
0.7%
Q4 - 2:41MILDouglas-Roberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)83
99.0%
74
1.0%
Q4 - 2:41MILDouglas-Roberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)83
99.0%
73
1.0%
Q4 - 2:51DETGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)83
98.7%
72
1.3%
Q4 - 2:51DETGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)82
98.6%
72
1.4%
Q4 - 3:03DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)81
98.2%
72
1.8%
Q4 - 3:04MILMISS Sanders 18' Jump Shot81
97.9%
72
2.1%
Q4 - 3:22MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)81
97.0%
72
3.0%
Q4 - 3:24DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 281
97.2%
72
2.8%
Q4 - 3:24DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 281
97.6%
72
2.4%
Q4 - 3:24MILBoykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)81
98.3%
72
1.7%
Q4 - 3:24MILBoykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)81
98.4%
71
1.6%
Q4 - 3:28MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
98.8%
70
1.2%
Q4 - 3:29DETMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot81
99.0%
70
1.0%
Q4 - 3:47DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
98.1%
70
1.9%
Q4 - 3:49MILMISS Boykins 12' Jump Shot81
97.9%
70
2.1%
Q4 - 3:58DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)81
97.3%
70
2.7%
Q4 - 3:58DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 280
96.7%
70
3.3%
Q4 - 4:00MILBoykins 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)80
97.4%
70
2.6%
Q4 - 4:08DETVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)80
98.2%
68
1.8%
Q4 - 4:08DETVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)79
98.0%
68
2.0%
Q4 - 4:24MILDouglas-Roberts 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)78
97.5%
68
2.5%
Q4 - 4:30MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)78
98.2%
66
1.8%
Q4 - 4:31DETMISS Villanueva 3PT Jump Shot78
98.4%
66
1.6%
Q4 - 5:16MILMaggette REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
98.8%
64
1.2%
Q4 - 5:17MILMISS Boykins 27' 3PT Jump Shot78
98.7%
64
1.3%
Q4 - 5:38MILMaggette Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)78
98.8%
64
1.2%
Q4 - 6:03DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS)76
94.9%
64
5.1%
Q4 - 6:05DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)74
93.3%
64
6.7%
Q4 - 6:07DETMISS Villanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
91.8%
64
8.2%
Q4 - 6:14DETDaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
93.4%
64
6.6%
Q4 - 6:16DETMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
91.9%
64
8.1%
Q4 - 6:32DETPistons Rebound74
93.5%
64
6.5%
Q4 - 6:32MILMISS Bogut 14' Jump Shot74
92.9%
64
7.1%
Q4 - 6:59DETVillanueva Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Bynum 4 AST)74
91.3%
64
8.7%
Q4 - 7:07DETPistons Rebound72
85.6%
64
14.4%
Q4 - 7:07DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot72
82.8%
64
17.2%
Q4 - 7:32MILMaggette Foul Turnover (P2.T12)72
85.8%
64
14.2%
Q4 - 7:41DETBynum Backcourt Turnover (P3.T16)72
81.7%
64
18.3%
Q4 - 7:51DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
85.9%
64
14.1%
Q4 - 7:52MILMISS Maggette 17' Jump Shot72
84.7%
64
15.3%
Q4 - 8:00MILMaggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
81.8%
64
18.2%
Q4 - 8:01DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot72
80.0%
64
20.0%
Q4 - 8:24MILBogut 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)72
82.8%
64
17.2%
Q4 - 8:49DETMonroe 1' Dunk (7 PTS) (Bynum 3 AST)72
86.4%
62
13.6%
Q4 - 9:00MILDelfino Foul Turnover (P2.T11)70
83.0%
62
17.0%
Q4 - 9:16DETBynum 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)70
76.3%
62
23.7%
Q4 - 9:23DETBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
71.7%
62
28.3%
Q4 - 9:23MILMISS Salmons 20' Jump Shot68
70.2%
62
29.8%
Q4 - 9:36MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)68
66.7%
62
33.3%
Q4 - 9:37MILMISS Dooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
70.2%
62
29.8%
Q4 - 9:59DETHamilton 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bynum 2 AST)68
66.8%
62
33.2%
Q4 - 10:13DETBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
59.0%
62
41.0%
Q4 - 10:14MILMISS Ilyasova 15' Jump Shot66
57.3%
62
42.7%
Q4 - 10:35DETBynum Foul Turnover (P2.T15)66
53.4%
62
46.6%
Q4 - 10:44DETBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
59.1%
62
40.9%
Q4 - 10:45MILMISS Salmons 17' Jump Shot66
57.4%
62
42.6%
Q4 - 11:05MILBUCKS Rebound66
51.9%
62
48.1%
Q4 - 11:07MILMISS Delfino 3PT Jump Shot66
55.6%
62
44.4%
Q4 - 11:23MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
52.0%
62
48.0%
Q4 - 11:24DETMISS Hamilton 13' Jump Shot66
53.6%
62
46.4%
Q4 - 11:44MILIlyasova 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)66
57.3%
62
42.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET66
62.6%
60
37.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)66
67.4%
60
32.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMISS Dooling 11' Jump Bank Shot66
66.0%
60
34.0%
Q3 - 0:23.0MILDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
60.9%
60
39.1%
Q3 - 0:24.0DETMISS Daye 20' Jump Shot66
62.3%
60
37.7%
Q3 - 0:46.0MILSalmons Foul Turnover (P2.T10)66
65.4%
60
34.6%
Q3 - 0:53.0DETBynum Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)66
61.0%
60
39.0%
Q3 - 1:13MILSalmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)66
63.6%
60
36.4%
Q3 - 1:13MILSalmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)66
64.3%
59
35.7%
Q3 - 1:16DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)66
68.4%
58
31.6%
Q3 - 1:30DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)66
72.2%
58
27.8%
Q3 - 1:32MILMISS Bogut 8' Hook Shot66
71.1%
58
28.9%
Q3 - 1:51DETMcGrady Double Dribble Turnover (P4.T12)66
68.5%
58
31.5%
Q3 - 2:12MILSalmons 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Delfino 1 AST)66
69.9%
58
30.1%
Q3 - 2:18MILDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
73.8%
56
26.2%
Q3 - 2:21DETBogut BLOCK (3 BLK)66
74.9%
56
25.1%
Q3 - 2:31DETGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
77.3%
56
22.7%
Q3 - 2:32MILMISS Delfino 12' Jump Shot66
76.3%
56
23.7%
Q3 - 2:51DETMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)66
74.0%
56
26.0%
Q3 - 2:51DETMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)65
73.1%
56
26.9%
Q3 - 3:05DETPistons Rebound64
68.0%
56
32.0%
Q3 - 3:05DETGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)64
68.0%
56
32.0%
Q3 - 3:05DETMISS Gordon Tip Shot64
65.1%
56
34.9%
Q3 - 3:06DETMISS Monroe 5' Jump Shot64
65.1%
56
34.9%
Q3 - 3:22DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)64
68.1%
56
31.9%
Q3 - 3:23MILMISS Maggette 14' Jump Shot64
66.8%
56
33.2%
Q3 - 3:29MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
63.9%
56
36.1%
Q3 - 3:30DETMISS Prince 16' Jump Shot64
65.2%
56
34.8%
Q3 - 3:46DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)64
68.1%
56
31.9%
Q3 - 3:47MILMISS Maggette 18' Jump Shot64
66.9%
56
33.1%
Q3 - 4:08DETPrince 11' Jump Shot (12 PTS)64
62.3%
56
37.7%
Q3 - 4:26MILJennings Palming Turnover (P1.T9)62
58.9%
56
41.1%
Q3 - 4:50MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)62
53.9%
56
46.1%
Q3 - 4:52MILMISS Bogut 6' Hook Shot62
57.4%
56
42.6%
Q3 - 5:05DETMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)62
52.3%
56
47.7%
Q3 - 5:19MILMaggette 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS)62
57.0%
56
43.0%
Q3 - 5:35DETMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)62
60.7%
54
39.3%
Q3 - 5:35DETMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)61
59.8%
54
40.2%
Q3 - 5:46DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)60
57.1%
54
42.9%
Q3 - 5:47MILMISS Ilyasova 7' Jump Shot60
55.7%
54
44.3%
Q3 - 5:59DETMcGrady 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS)60
52.5%
54
47.5%
Q3 - 6:17MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)58
47.2%
54
52.8%
Q3 - 6:17MILBogut 1' Layup (16 PTS)58
47.2%
54
52.8%
Q3 - 6:19MILMISS Ilyasova 2' Layup58
53.9%
52
46.1%
Q3 - 6:39DETMcGrady 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)58
50.9%
52
49.1%
Q3 - 7:01MILDelfino 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jennings 5 AST)56
45.5%
52
54.5%
Q3 - 7:19MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)56
53.1%
49
46.9%
Q3 - 7:20MILMISS Jennings 13' Jump Shot56
55.9%
49
44.1%
Q3 - 7:36DETPrince 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)56
53.2%
49
46.8%
Q3 - 7:56DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)54
49.6%
49
50.4%
Q3 - 7:57MILMISS Ilyasova Layup54
48.3%
49
51.7%
Q3 - 7:59MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
45.5%
49
54.5%
Q3 - 8:00MILMISS Maggette 27' 3PT Jump Shot54
48.3%
49
51.7%
Q3 - 8:22MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
44.7%
49
55.3%
Q3 - 8:23DETBogut BLOCK (2 BLK)54
45.9%
49
54.1%
Q3 - 8:45MILBogut 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)54
48.7%
49
51.3%
Q3 - 9:03MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
43.9%
49
56.1%
Q3 - 9:04DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot54
45.0%
49
55.0%
Q3 - 9:19DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
47.7%
49
52.3%
Q3 - 9:20MILMISS Delfino 18' Jump Shot54
46.5%
49
53.5%
Q3 - 9:27MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
44.0%
49
56.0%
Q3 - 9:28DETMISS Monroe 1' Layup54
45.1%
49
54.9%
Q3 - 9:48DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
47.7%
49
52.3%
Q3 - 9:49MILMISS Delfino Reverse Layup54
46.6%
49
53.4%
Q3 - 10:09DETPrince 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS)54
42.8%
49
57.2%
Q3 - 10:33MILJennings 1' Layup (4 PTS)52
39.5%
49
60.5%
Q3 - 10:37DETJennings STEAL (1 STL)52
42.9%
47
57.1%
Q3 - 10:45DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
46.5%
47
53.5%
Q3 - 10:47MILMISS Bogut 7' Jump Shot52
45.4%
47
54.6%
Q3 - 11:04DETMaggette STEAL (2 STL)52
41.9%
47
58.1%
Q3 - 11:18DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
45.6%
47
54.4%
Q3 - 11:19MILMISS Bogut 7' Hook Shot52
44.5%
47
55.5%
Q3 - 11:36DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)52
42.0%
47
58.0%
Q3 - 11:36DETPistons Rebound52
45.6%
47
54.4%
Q3 - 11:37DETMISS McGrady Layup52
43.1%
47
56.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET52
45.6%
47
54.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound52
45.6%
47
54.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS McGrady 43' 3PT Jump Shot52
43.1%
47
56.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
44.2%
47
55.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0MILMISS Jennings 8' Jump Shot52
43.4%
47
56.6%
Q2 - 0:16.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
41.7%
47
58.3%
Q2 - 0:17.0DETMISS McGrady 14' Jump Shot52
42.5%
47
57.5%
Q2 - 0:39.0MILDelfino 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jennings 4 AST)52
44.3%
47
55.7%
Q2 - 0:56.0DETPrince 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)52
51.6%
44
48.4%
Q2 - 1:04DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
46.7%
44
53.3%
Q2 - 1:06MILMISS Delfino 3PT Jump Shot50
46.0%
44
54.0%
Q2 - 1:18DETMcGrady 10' Jump Shot (8 PTS)50
44.4%
44
55.6%
Q2 - 1:44MILBogut 3' Hook Shot (14 PTS)48
40.4%
44
59.6%
Q2 - 2:07DETDaye 1' Layup (5 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)48
43.1%
42
56.9%
Q2 - 2:10DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)46
40.2%
42
59.8%
Q2 - 2:11DETMISS Daye 18' Jump Shot46
38.0%
42
62.0%
Q2 - 2:32MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)46
40.2%
42
59.8%
Q2 - 2:36MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
46.3%
39
53.7%
Q2 - 2:37DETMISS Prince 14' Jump Shot46
47.3%
39
52.7%
Q2 - 2:57MILBogut 8' Hook Shot (12 PTS)46
49.6%
39
50.4%
Q2 - 3:09DETMonroe 6' Jump Shot (5 PTS)46
51.3%
37
48.7%
Q2 - 3:30MILMaggette 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Jennings 3 AST)44
48.9%
37
51.1%
Q2 - 3:36MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
51.4%
35
48.6%
Q2 - 3:39DETBogut BLOCK (1 BLK)44
52.5%
35
47.5%
Q2 - 4:01MILBogut 6' Hook Shot (10 PTS)44
53.5%
35
46.5%
Q2 - 4:13DETGordon 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Monroe 1 AST)44
56.3%
33
43.7%
Q2 - 4:34MILMaggette 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)42
53.6%
33
46.4%
Q2 - 4:52DETHamilton 11' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wilcox 3 AST)42
56.4%
31
43.6%
Q2 - 5:12MILJennings 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)40
52.6%
31
47.4%
Q2 - 5:32DETHamilton 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wilcox 2 AST)40
55.6%
29
44.4%
Q2 - 5:53MILDelfino Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)38
52.6%
29
47.4%
Q2 - 5:55MILBUCKS Rebound38
49.7%
29
50.3%
Q2 - 5:55MILMISS Delfino 16' Jump Shot38
51.7%
29
48.3%
Q2 - 6:16MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
48.4%
29
51.6%
Q2 - 6:17DETSalmons BLOCK (1 BLK)38
49.5%
29
50.5%
Q2 - 6:28MILSalmons Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)38
51.8%
29
48.2%
Q2 - 6:43DETBynum 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)38
48.5%
29
51.5%
Q2 - 7:02MILDelfino Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)36
44.9%
29
55.1%
Q2 - 7:02MILDelfino Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)36
45.5%
28
54.5%
Q2 - 7:10MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
47.6%
27
52.4%
Q2 - 7:11DETMISS Bynum 17' Jump Shot36
48.5%
27
51.5%
Q2 - 7:25MILMbah a Moute Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T5)36
50.5%
27
49.5%
Q2 - 7:33MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
47.6%
27
52.4%
Q2 - 7:34DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot36
48.5%
27
51.5%
Q2 - 7:42DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
50.6%
27
49.4%
Q2 - 7:43MILMISS Dooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
49.7%
27
50.3%
Q2 - 7:53MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
47.6%
27
52.4%
Q2 - 7:55DETMISS Villanueva 8' Hook Shot36
48.5%
27
51.5%
Q2 - 8:10DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
49.3%
27
50.7%
Q2 - 8:12MILMISS Ilyasova 15' Jump Shot36
48.5%
27
51.5%
Q2 - 8:27DETBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)36
46.6%
27
53.4%
Q2 - 8:27DETMISS Bynum Free Throw 1 of 235
46.2%
27
53.8%
Q2 - 8:42MILDooling Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)35
46.7%
27
53.3%
Q2 - 8:47DETWilcox Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)35
44.0%
27
56.0%
Q2 - 9:03MILDooling Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)35
45.6%
27
54.4%
Q2 - 9:18DETHamilton 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)35
43.0%
27
57.0%
Q2 - 9:32DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
40.6%
27
59.4%
Q2 - 9:33MILMISS Salmons 16' Jump Shot33
39.8%
27
60.2%
Q2 - 9:44MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
38.0%
27
62.0%
Q2 - 9:45DETMISS Wilcox 1' Layup33
38.8%
27
61.2%
Q2 - 9:57DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
40.6%
27
59.4%
Q2 - 9:58MILMISS Salmons 17' Jump Shot33
39.8%
27
60.2%
Q2 - 10:14DETVillanueva 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)33
37.6%
27
62.4%
Q2 - 10:29MILDooling 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ilyasova 2 AST)31
35.5%
27
64.5%
Q2 - 10:50DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wilcox 1 AST)31
40.1%
24
59.9%
Q2 - 11:14MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
37.5%
24
62.5%
Q2 - 11:14MILIlyasova Layup (4 PTS)29
37.5%
24
62.5%
Q2 - 11:15MILMISS Delfino 3PT Jump Shot29
41.6%
22
58.4%
Q2 - 11:43DETHamilton 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Daye 1 AST)29
39.8%
22
60.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL26
35.3%
22
64.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETDaye 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)26
32.8%
22
67.2%
Q1 - 0:24.0MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)23
28.0%
22
72.0%
Q1 - 0:24.0MILMISS Mbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 223
28.6%
21
71.4%
Q1 - 0:26.0MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
28.4%
21
71.6%
Q1 - 0:27.0MILMISS Dooling 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
29.6%
21
70.4%
Q1 - 0:42.0DETBynum 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
28.4%
21
71.6%
Q1 - 0:49.0DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
26.2%
21
73.8%
Q1 - 0:50.0MILMISS Bogut 6' Hook Shot21
25.7%
21
74.3%
Q1 - 1:08MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
24.6%
21
75.4%
Q1 - 1:09DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 2 of 221
24.7%
21
75.3%
Q1 - 1:09DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
25.7%
21
74.3%
Q1 - 1:25MILDooling Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)20
24.1%
21
75.9%
Q1 - 1:40MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
22.9%
21
77.1%
Q1 - 1:41DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot20
23.2%
21
76.8%
Q1 - 1:55MILBogut 6' Hook Shot (8 PTS)20
24.1%
21
75.9%
Q1 - 2:11DETHamilton Foul Turnover (P1.T6)20
26.3%
19
73.7%
Q1 - 2:21MILSalmons 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Maggette 2 AST)20
27.9%
19
72.1%
Q1 - 2:41MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
30.0%
17
70.0%
Q1 - 2:42DETMISS McGrady 28' 3PT Jump Shot20
30.5%
17
69.5%
Q1 - 2:52DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
31.8%
17
68.2%
Q1 - 2:53MILMISS Ilyasova 19' Jump Shot20
31.2%
17
68.8%
Q1 - 3:07DETGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)20
29.5%
17
70.5%
Q1 - 3:07DETGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)19
29.3%
17
70.7%
Q1 - 3:19DETPistons Rebound18
27.8%
17
72.2%
Q1 - 3:19MILMISS Ilyasova 27' 3PT Jump Shot18
27.2%
17
72.8%
Q1 - 3:38DETGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)18
25.9%
17
74.1%
Q1 - 3:38DETGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)17
25.7%
17
74.3%
Q1 - 4:01MILBogut 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Maggette 1 AST)16
23.8%
17
76.2%
Q1 - 4:17DETMcGrady 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)16
25.3%
15
74.7%
Q1 - 4:28DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
23.9%
15
76.1%
Q1 - 4:29MILMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
23.3%
15
76.7%
Q1 - 4:46DETGordon 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)14
22.2%
15
77.8%
Q1 - 5:00MILMaggette Layup (9 PTS) (Salmons 1 AST)12
20.8%
15
79.2%
Q1 - 5:03DETSalmons STEAL (1 STL)12
22.2%
13
77.8%
Q1 - 5:14DETMISS Gordon Free Throw Technical12
23.9%
13
76.1%
Q1 - 5:35MILMaggette 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ilyasova 1 AST)12
23.8%
13
76.2%
Q1 - 5:50MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
26.9%
10
73.1%
Q1 - 5:52DETMISS Gordon 15' Jump Shot12
27.5%
10
72.5%
Q1 - 6:07DETPistons Rebound12
28.3%
10
71.7%
Q1 - 6:07MILMISS Jennings 27' 3PT Jump Shot12
27.8%
10
72.2%
Q1 - 6:21DETMcGrady 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
26.6%
10
73.4%
Q1 - 6:46MILIlyasova 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jennings 2 AST)10
25.1%
10
74.9%
Q1 - 6:52DETDelfino STEAL (2 STL)10
26.6%
8
73.4%
Q1 - 7:02DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
27.9%
8
72.1%
Q1 - 7:03MILMISS Maggette 15' Jump Shot10
27.4%
8
72.6%
Q1 - 7:22DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 110
26.4%
8
73.6%
Q1 - 7:22DETPrince 2' Layup (4 PTS)10
26.2%
8
73.8%
Q1 - 7:25DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
24.8%
8
75.2%
Q1 - 7:26MILMISS Delfino 15' Jump Shot8
24.3%
8
75.7%
Q1 - 7:50DETMonroe 1' Layup (2 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)8
23.2%
8
76.8%
Q1 - 8:03DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
21.6%
8
78.4%
Q1 - 8:04MILMISS Bogut 5' Hook Shot6
21.2%
8
78.8%
Q1 - 8:24DETPrince 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)6
20.3%
8
79.7%
Q1 - 8:47MILMaggette 1' Layup (4 PTS)4
19.1%
8
80.9%
Q1 - 8:50DETMaggette STEAL (1 STL)4
20.3%
6
79.7%
Q1 - 9:03MILBogut 2' Layup (4 PTS)4
21.7%
6
78.3%
Q1 - 9:04MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
23.0%
4
77.0%
Q1 - 9:05MILMISS Ilyasova 18' Jump Shot4
24.0%
4
76.0%
Q1 - 9:16DETMonroe Foul Turnover (P1.T2)4
23.0%
4
77.0%
Q1 - 9:35MILMaggette Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)4
24.4%
4
75.6%
Q1 - 9:47DETGordon 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)4
23.0%
4
77.0%
Q1 - 10:05DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
21.8%
4
78.2%
Q1 - 10:06MILMISS Delfino 27' 3PT Jump Shot2
21.4%
4
78.6%
Q1 - 10:20MILMaggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
20.4%
4
79.6%
Q1 - 10:21DETMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
20.8%
4
79.2%
Q1 - 10:27DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
21.8%
4
78.2%
Q1 - 10:29DETMISS Gordon 13' Jump Shot2
20.8%
4
79.2%
Q1 - 10:49MILMaggette 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jennings 1 AST)2
21.8%
4
78.2%
Q1 - 11:04DETMcGrady 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
22.7%
2
77.3%
Q1 - 11:18DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
21.4%
2
78.6%
Q1 - 11:19MILMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
21.1%
2
78.9%
Q1 - 11:27DETDelfino STEAL (1 STL)0
20.4%
2
79.6%
Q1 - 11:44MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
21.5%
2
78.5%
Q1 - 11:44MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
21.9%
1
78.1%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Bogut vs. Wallace: Tip to Ilyasova0
22.7%
0
77.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.07 53.6%
MIL
0.90 44.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
10
18
56%
MIL
15
20
75%
Midrange
DET
23
42
55%
MIL
12
42
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
2
3.0
8
25%
38%
MIL
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
Free Throws
DET
17
24
71%
MIL
12
13
92%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady2059%10.0 / 17
R. Hamilton1554%7.5 / 14
T. Prince1255%6.0 / 11
B. Gordon1260%6.0 / 10
W. Bynum975%4.5 / 6
G. Monroe750%3.5 / 7
A. Daye770%3.5 / 5
C. Villanueva643%3.0 / 7
B. Wallace125%0.5 / 2
C. Wilcox0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Bogut1856%9.0 / 16
C. Maggette1563%7.5 / 12
C. Delfino833%4.0 / 12
C. Douglas-Roberts880%4.0 / 5
E. Ilyasova627%3.0 / 11
J. Salmons643%3.0 / 7
E. Boykins650%3.0 / 6
B. Jennings429%2.0 / 7
L. Mbah a Moute4100%2.0 / 2
K. Dooling330%1.5 / 5
L. Sanders0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
72
+9
-15
81
MIL
74
+12
-13
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.07 53.6%
MIL
0.90 44.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
101.9
DET 102.3
MIL 89.7 +12.6
Pace
89.3
89.6
DET 84.9
MIL 89.2 +4.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.6
16.6
DET 17.0
MIL 16.1 +0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.5%
46.7%
DET 52.9% +11.1%
MIL 41.8%
TO %
13.5%
13.9%
DET 16.9%
MIL 13.3% +3.6%
ORB %
27.4%
24.8%
DET 15.6%
MIL 21.4% +5.8%
FTrt
27.9
28.7
DET 35.3 +18.8
MIL 16.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.6%
54.9%
DET 51.4%
MIL 51.6% +0.2%
STL %
8.0%
8.3%
DET 3.4%
MIL 6.9% +3.5%
BLK %
6.6%
7.9%
DET 1.6%
MIL 6.7% +5.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.9%
49.5%
DET 53.6% +8.8%
MIL 44.8%
Rim FG%
59.2%
53.9%
DET 55.6%
MIL 75.0% +19.4%
Mid FG%
38.8%
39.0%
DET 54.8% +26.2%
MIL 28.6%
3P %
37.6%
34.2%
DET 25.0% +1.5%
MIL 23.5%
FT %
73.7%
75.7%
DET 70.8%
MIL 92.3% +21.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.3%
33.9%
DET 26.5% +1.2%
MIL 25.3%
Mid Att. %
44.8%
44.5%
DET 61.8%
MIL 53.2% +8.6%
3P Att. %
18.9%
21.6%
DET 11.8%
MIL 21.5% +9.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.
Game TotalsDETMIL
Possessions8787
Possession Minutes24.623.4
Points8978
Rebounds3836
Assists1816
Steals36
Blocks14
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (4)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (3)27 (0)
Field Goals35-6831-79
At-the-Rim FG10-1815-20
Midrange FG23-4212-42
2-Point FG33-6027-62
3-Point FG2-84-17
Free Throws17-2412-13
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 212 · 31
33.9
12
55%
11
1
0
0
0
0
0
11
0-1
0%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 21
33.3
7
50%
7
1
1
0
2
3
0
7
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'8" 225 · 32
29.6
20
59%
2
2
0
0
4
2
1
1
6-6
100%
7-11
64%
0-3
0%
G · 6'3" 205 · 28
27.8
12
60%
2
1
0
0
3
2
1
1
6-7
86%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 36
27.1
1
25%
5
2
1
0
1
3
1
4
1-4
25%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 220 · 23
28.3
7
70%
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
G · 6'7" 193 · 33
20.2
15
54%
1
3
0
0
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
6-13
46%
1-1
100%
G · 6'0" 185 · 28
18.4
9
75%
3
4
0
0
3
2
0
3
1-2
50%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 232 · 26
14.1
6
43%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-3
0%
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28
7.3
0
0%
3
3
1
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 25
F · 6'8" 240 · 23
#23 · G · 6'5" 213 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · F · 6'10" 231 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#54 · F · 6'7" 260 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
54%
38
18
3
1
15
0
5
33
17-24
71%
33-60
55%
2-8
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.