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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 4, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Cavaliers19%91105
18Grizzlies81%103112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 34.6
42.8
32.5
19
40%
6
0
2
1
2
4
1
5
4-4
100%
6-14
5-11
43%
47%
1-8
13%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.8
40.8
32.4
20
68%
4
11
1
1
1
3
2
2
4-4
100%
8-13
5-10
62%
45%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 22.4
39.2
29.1
31
61%
15
2
0
1
1
0
6
9
9-10
90%
11-21
5-12
52%
47%
0-0
-
Christian Eyenga
F · 6'7" 210 · 21.6
35.6
29.5
10
67%
2
1
3
1
2
1
0
2
1-1
100%
3-3
3-6
100%
45%
1-4
25%
Manny Harris
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.4
18.4
28.1
0
0%
2
2
1
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
2-6
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 35.6
28.6
20.9
18
98%
1
5
3
1
0
1
1
0
4-5
80%
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
4-5
80%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 30.6
20.6
5.8
4
100%
3
1
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
52%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.3
14.0
11.7
3
39%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
54%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 24.9
16.1
0
1-3
40%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.7
15.2
0
2-4
50%
Samardo Samuels
· 6'9" 260 · 22.1
12.5
0
2-3
46%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 23.7
10.1
0
1-2
43%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 28.1
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.0
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 28.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.5
45.2
36.8
26
52%
11
4
3
1
2
2
1
10
9-11
82%
7-17
7-13
41%
52%
1-3
33%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.6
44.1
32.8
29
68%
13
2
0
1
0
6
5
8
5-5
100%
12-19
8-16
63%
52%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.3
37.8
35.5
21
67%
2
8
1
2
0
1
0
2
5-6
83%
5-9
5-9
56%
51%
2-4
50%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 25.7
33.5
30.8
19
78%
1
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
5-5
100%
7-10
4-9
70%
52%
0-0
-
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.0
23.8
30.7
6
50%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
5-8
50%
58%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 29.1
16.2
18.8
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
3-5
0%
53%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.9
15.9
19.4
4
69%
2
0
0
1
2
3
2
0
2-2
100%
1-2
4-7
50%
53%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 24.1
10.8
12.3
7
64%
3
1
2
0
1
0
2
1
1-1
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
51%
0-1
0%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 25.7
6.3
0.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
55%
0-0
-
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 24.0
5.7
9.1
0
0%
1
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
57%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 19.9
0.7
4.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.2
9.3
0
1-2
50%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.