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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 4, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Nets42%9482
24Pistons58%9792
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.9
39.1
33.3
9
61%
1
13
2
1
1
3
0
1
3-3
100%
3-5
4-9
60%
47%
0-1
0%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 22.8
38.3
34.2
16
54%
4
3
0
1
2
3
1
3
2-2
100%
7-14
8-16
50%
51%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.4
36.8
26.4
22
83%
4
3
0
1
0
1
1
3
3-3
100%
5-6
2-5
83%
50%
3-6
50%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 26.4
26.9
31.3
6
33%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
45%
0-3
0%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 19.6
20.1
20.7
4
33%
5
0
1
0
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
2-6
3-5
33%
53%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.0
25.4
24.6
6
44%
9
0
0
1
1
0
2
7
2-4
50%
2-5
3-7
40%
49%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.9
19.8
21.5
7
29%
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
44%
1-5
20%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 29.8
13.4
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0-0
0%
42%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 25.0
9.7
11.7
6
51%
6
0
1
0
1
0
2
4
0-2
0%
3-5
2-3
60%
47%
0-0
-
Ben Uzoh
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.9
8.9
9.7
6
75%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 29.0
1.5
1.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
41%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.7
12.3
0
1-2
48%
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.3
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.2
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 30.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 20.7
42.1
31.9
20
62%
11
2
0
1
2
1
5
6
0-5
0%
10-14
4-7
71%
54%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 30.9
36.8
37.3
22
54%
7
4
1
1
2
0
1
6
4-5
80%
9-17
6-13
53%
50%
0-1
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.8
36.3
35.4
11
51%
2
4
2
1
0
1
1
1
4-4
100%
2-7
4-9
29%
49%
1-2
50%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 31.7
33.9
29.3
16
40%
8
4
1
1
0
2
4
4
0-0
-
8-19
3-7
42%
47%
0-1
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 36.4
17.6
13.8
4
82%
5
0
1
1
1
0
1
4
0-1
0%
2-2
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 22.7
25.6
23.4
12
60%
4
1
0
1
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
49%
2-5
40%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.1
16.3
17.5
6
55%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
3-5
2-5
60%
48%
0-0
-
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.0
11.2
3.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.4
10.7
21.6
1
57%
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
3-6
-
53%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 26.4
9.5
17.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 24.8
11.5
0
2-4
46%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.0
2.3
0
0-0
53%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 23.9
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 33.0
Terrico White
G · 6'5" 213 · 20.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.