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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 4, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Magic67%101110
25Wizards33%9692
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 30.0
37.4
31.2
18
61%
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
4-6
67%
4-7
3-5
57%
51%
2-5
40%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.2
32.2
40.8
22
83%
15
1
0
1
0
3
4
11
2-5
40%
10-11
9-15
91%
59%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 31.9
32.2
31.7
7
32%
5
4
2
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
1-8
3-6
13%
47%
1-2
50%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 29.0
31.5
29.8
9
36%
6
11
3
1
0
1
0
6
0-1
0%
0-4
3-6
0%
49%
3-8
38%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.7
30.1
21.7
19
64%
8
0
0
1
0
2
4
4
2-2
100%
4-7
2-3
57%
50%
3-7
43%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 29.1
24.6
22.2
10
39%
6
6
2
1
1
3
1
5
2-2
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
46%
0-4
0%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.6
18.3
20.1
15
84%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
48%
3-5
60%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.1
17.9
9.0
10
38%
7
0
2
0
1
1
4
3
0-3
0%
5-12
2-3
42%
47%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.6
15.8
4.1
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 25.8
17.1
0
3-6
51%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 30.8
12.7
0
1-2
45%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.4
6.2
0
0-1
46%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 20.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.4
37.5
36.5
14
51%
5
5
0
2
0
3
0
5
4-4
100%
5-11
4-10
45%
43%
0-1
0%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.7
36.3
36.3
17
38%
1
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
3-5
60%
7-18
6-12
39%
47%
0-2
0%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.5
34.7
31.7
14
64%
8
1
3
1
1
1
1
7
2-2
100%
6-8
3-6
75%
49%
0-2
0%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 24.5
31.5
34.3
10
63%
6
6
2
1
0
1
3
3
2-2
100%
4-7
6-14
57%
47%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.0
17.0
20.1
2
20%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
3-5
20%
53%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 30.1
26.2
22.0
17
65%
3
5
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-8
2-5
50%
46%
3-5
60%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.2
23.8
17.4
6
60%
6
1
0
1
6
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
50%
0-0
-
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 23.3
18.3
18.6
6
33%
6
2
0
0
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
3-9
2-6
33%
43%
0-0
-
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.2
7.5
13.7
4
69%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 26.2
4.0
1.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.2
1.9
4.4
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 21.2
1.3
3.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 30.8
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 24.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.