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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 4, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Timberwolves44%104100
28Raptors56%106111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 22.4
36.6
33.1
20
69%
15
2
0
1
0
3
3
12
7-8
88%
2-5
5-10
40%
50%
3-6
50%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 24.9
36.4
18.9
15
64%
2
1
2
1
0
3
0
2
3-4
75%
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
2-4
50%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 25.6
32.4
22.7
15
54%
7
0
2
1
4
2
3
4
1-2
50%
7-13
4-8
54%
49%
0-0
-
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.0
26.2
22.7
8
44%
1
7
1
1
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
45%
0-2
0%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.1
12.6
26.5
4
29%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-6
6-11
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 24.2
24.8
20.1
7
40%
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
48%
1-4
25%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.6
22.8
20.2
10
45%
3
3
2
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
49%
2-5
40%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 25.7
21.8
14.1
16
63%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
3-4
75%
2-5
1-3
40%
45%
3-6
50%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.7
18.4
20.4
3
30%
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.9
4.2
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 25.1
3.9
14.0
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
51%
0-0
-
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 24.2
6.9
0
1-1
46%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.0
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 21.5
40.3
33.8
20
77%
5
2
3
1
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
10-13
7-15
77%
50%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.4
37.5
34.6
6
38%
1
19
3
1
0
5
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
4-7
50%
52%
0-3
0%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 25.3
36.8
31.9
30
51%
6
3
0
1
0
5
1
5
7-8
88%
7-19
7-14
37%
50%
3-7
43%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 23.8
36.1
33.5
19
84%
12
6
3
1
2
0
5
7
3-3
100%
8-10
6-10
80%
61%
0-0
-
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 24.6
32.5
29.6
16
55%
3
3
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-1
0%
8-13
5-10
62%
51%
0-1
0%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.7
19.5
21.7
6
75%
9
0
0
0
1
1
1
8
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
56%
0-0
-
Trey Johnson
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.4
18.2
7.4
10
57%
3
1
0
0
1
2
0
3
4-4
100%
3-7
1-2
43%
47%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.7
16.1
16.4
4
100%
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
52%
0-0
-
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 22.7
2.9
5.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.5
18.1
0
2-5
47%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 27.1
2.8
0
0-0
52%
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 22.9
2.1
0
0-1
53%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 28.2
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 30.7
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 26.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.