FinalWin Prob.pScore
169%97
109
2331%90
97
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
128.28586.2
CHA logo CHA
111.58786.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BobcatsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BobcatsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA109
100%
97
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)109
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:02.0CHAHenderson 1' Tip Shot (14 PTS)109
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:03.0CHAMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot109
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)109
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot109
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0CHAJackson 2' Driving Layup (25 PTS)109
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)109
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAHeat Rebound109
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAHenderson BLOCK (3 BLK)109
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:04MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)109
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:06CHAMISS Diaw 6' Hook Shot109
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:11CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)109
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:12CHAMISS Wallace 1' Layup109
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:16CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)109
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:18CHAMISS Diaw 19' Jump Shot109
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:31MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)109
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:31MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 2108
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:31MIAHeat Rebound108
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:32MIAMISS James 32' 3PT Jump Shot108
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:53CHADiaw Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)108
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 2:04MIAWade 4' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)108
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 2:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)106
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 2:25CHAMISS Diaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot106
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 2:48MIABosh 3' Driving Layup (14 PTS)106
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 3:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)104
99.7%
93
0.3%
Q4 - 3:08CHAMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot104
99.7%
93
0.3%
Q4 - 3:22MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)104
99.5%
93
0.5%
Q4 - 3:22MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)103
99.5%
93
0.5%
Q4 - 3:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)102
99.3%
93
0.7%
Q4 - 3:22MIAMISS House 17' Jump Shot102
99.0%
93
1.0%
Q4 - 3:46CHAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)102
98.6%
93
1.4%
Q4 - 3:46CHAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)102
98.7%
92
1.3%
Q4 - 3:51CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)102
99.0%
91
1.0%
Q4 - 3:52MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot102
99.1%
91
0.9%
Q4 - 4:16CHAHenderson 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)102
99.4%
91
0.6%
Q4 - 4:34MIABosh 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)102
99.6%
89
0.4%
Q4 - 4:57CHAHenderson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)100
99.4%
89
0.6%
Q4 - 5:13MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (19 PTS)100
98.5%
89
1.5%
Q4 - 5:27MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)98
97.9%
89
2.1%
Q4 - 5:28CHAMISS Henderson 22' Jump Shot98
97.7%
89
2.3%
Q4 - 5:46CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)98
97.1%
89
2.9%
Q4 - 5:48MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 198
97.2%
89
2.8%
Q4 - 6:02MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)96
95.1%
89
4.9%
Q4 - 6:04CHAMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
94.6%
89
5.4%
Q4 - 6:22MIAWade Foul Turnover (P4.T11)96
93.4%
89
6.6%
Q4 - 6:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)96
95.1%
89
4.9%
Q4 - 6:23MIAHenderson BLOCK (2 BLK)96
94.0%
89
6.0%
Q4 - 6:38MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)96
95.2%
89
4.8%
Q4 - 6:40CHAMISS Henderson Free Throw 2 of 296
95.0%
89
5.0%
Q4 - 6:40CHAHenderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)96
94.0%
89
6.0%
Q4 - 6:40CHABOBCATS Rebound96
95.1%
88
4.9%
Q4 - 6:40CHAMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
96.0%
88
4.0%
Q4 - 6:45CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)96
95.1%
88
4.9%
Q4 - 6:46MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot96
95.5%
88
4.5%
Q4 - 6:55MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)96
96.4%
88
3.6%
Q4 - 6:56CHAMISS Augustin 28' 3PT Jump Shot96
96.0%
88
4.0%
Q4 - 7:12MIABosh 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)96
94.3%
88
5.7%
Q4 - 7:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)94
92.8%
88
7.2%
Q4 - 7:28CHAMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot94
92.2%
88
7.8%
Q4 - 7:34CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)94
90.5%
88
9.5%
Q4 - 7:36MIAHenderson BLOCK (1 BLK)94
91.3%
88
8.7%
Q4 - 8:01CHAWallace 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Augustin 8 AST)94
91.9%
88
8.1%
Q4 - 8:16MIAJackson STEAL (2 STL)94
95.0%
85
5.0%
Q4 - 8:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)94
96.1%
85
3.9%
Q4 - 8:20MIADiaw BLOCK (1 BLK)94
95.4%
85
4.6%
Q4 - 8:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)94
96.1%
85
3.9%
Q4 - 8:43CHAMISS Henderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
95.8%
85
4.2%
Q4 - 9:14MIAHouse 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (James 9 AST)94
94.3%
85
5.7%
Q4 - 9:25CHAHenderson Layup (9 PTS)92
92.9%
85
7.1%
Q4 - 9:30MIAJackson STEAL (1 STL)92
94.3%
83
5.7%
Q4 - 9:41CHADiaw Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)92
95.5%
83
4.5%
Q4 - 9:48CHABOBCATS Rebound92
97.2%
80
2.8%
Q4 - 9:51CHAMISS Collins 19' Jump Shot92
97.6%
80
2.4%
Q4 - 10:09MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)92
96.7%
80
3.3%
Q4 - 10:14MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)89
94.9%
80
5.1%
Q4 - 10:16MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
94.1%
80
5.9%
Q4 - 10:27CHAHenderson Foul Turnover (P1.T14)89
94.9%
80
5.1%
Q4 - 10:35CHACollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
93.7%
80
6.3%
Q4 - 10:36MIAMISS House 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
94.1%
80
5.9%
Q4 - 10:51CHACollins 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)89
95.0%
80
5.0%
Q4 - 11:14MIAHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 8 AST)89
96.3%
77
3.7%
Q4 - 11:20CHACollins Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)86
94.4%
77
5.6%
Q4 - 11:47MIAHouse 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 7 AST)86
93.2%
77
6.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA83
89.8%
77
10.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound83
89.8%
77
10.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 39' 3PT Jump Shot83
88.4%
77
11.6%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)83
89.1%
77
10.9%
Q3 - 0:04.0CHAMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 283
88.9%
77
11.1%
Q3 - 0:04.0CHAWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)83
87.5%
77
12.5%
Q3 - 0:13.0MIAMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)83
89.3%
76
10.7%
Q3 - 0:13.0MIAMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)82
88.9%
76
11.1%
Q3 - 0:31.0CHAAugustin Foul Turnover (P5.T12)81
87.0%
76
13.0%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)81
84.8%
76
15.2%
Q3 - 0:46.0CHAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)78
78.4%
76
21.6%
Q3 - 0:46.0CHAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)78
79.0%
75
21.0%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAHenderson STEAL (1 STL)78
81.9%
74
18.1%
Q3 - 1:01MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)78
84.2%
74
15.8%
Q3 - 1:03MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot78
82.4%
74
17.6%
Q3 - 1:14MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
84.2%
74
15.8%
Q3 - 1:15CHAMISS Diaw 6' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot78
83.4%
74
16.6%
Q3 - 1:41MIAMiller 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 6 AST)78
81.7%
74
18.3%
Q3 - 2:09CHAJackson 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Augustin 7 AST)76
78.1%
74
21.9%
Q3 - 2:29MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 5 AST)76
83.9%
71
16.1%
Q3 - 2:44CHAJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)73
78.1%
71
21.9%
Q3 - 2:53CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)73
74.8%
71
25.2%
Q3 - 2:55CHAMISS Henderson 19' Jump Shot73
77.1%
71
22.9%
Q3 - 3:12MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)73
75.2%
71
24.8%
Q3 - 3:37CHAWallace 2' Layup (21 PTS) (Henderson 1 AST)73
78.5%
71
21.5%
Q3 - 3:53MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)73
81.3%
69
18.7%
Q3 - 3:53MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)72
80.7%
69
19.3%
Q3 - 4:16CHAWallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)71
78.5%
69
21.5%
Q3 - 4:36CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)71
83.5%
66
16.5%
Q3 - 4:38MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot71
84.3%
66
15.7%
Q3 - 4:48MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
86.1%
66
13.9%
Q3 - 4:49CHAMISS Wallace 3' Layup71
85.4%
66
14.6%
Q3 - 4:55CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)71
83.5%
66
16.5%
Q3 - 4:56CHAMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
85.4%
66
14.6%
Q3 - 5:19MIABosh 1' Layup (6 PTS) (James 4 AST)71
82.9%
66
17.1%
Q3 - 5:40MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
80.7%
66
19.3%
Q3 - 5:42MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
78.6%
66
21.4%
Q3 - 6:00CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)69
80.8%
66
19.2%
Q3 - 6:00CHADiaw 1' Tip Shot (11 PTS)69
80.8%
66
19.2%
Q3 - 6:01CHAMISS Wallace 16' Jump Shot69
84.6%
64
15.4%
Q3 - 6:29MIAIlgauskas 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)69
82.9%
64
17.1%
Q3 - 6:48CHABrown 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Diaw 4 AST)67
80.7%
64
19.3%
Q3 - 6:59MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)67
82.9%
62
17.1%
Q3 - 7:11CHAWallace 9' Jump Bank Shot (16 PTS)67
84.7%
62
15.3%
Q3 - 7:34MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
86.6%
60
13.4%
Q3 - 7:34MIAChalmers Reverse Layup (4 PTS)67
86.6%
60
13.4%
Q3 - 7:37MIAWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)65
83.3%
60
16.7%
Q3 - 7:59CHAJackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)65
84.8%
60
15.2%
Q3 - 8:16CHABrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
88.1%
57
11.9%
Q3 - 8:17MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 265
88.3%
57
11.7%
Q3 - 8:17MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)65
89.3%
57
10.7%
Q3 - 8:33MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
88.2%
57
11.8%
Q3 - 8:37CHAMISS Augustin 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
87.6%
57
12.4%
Q3 - 8:43CHABrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
86.4%
57
13.6%
Q3 - 8:44MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot64
86.9%
57
13.1%
Q3 - 9:10CHAJackson 2' Alley Oop Layup (13 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)64
87.9%
57
12.1%
Q3 - 9:39MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)64
89.4%
55
10.6%
Q3 - 9:48CHAAugustin Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)61
86.3%
55
13.7%
Q3 - 9:56CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
84.4%
55
15.6%
Q3 - 9:57MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot61
85.0%
55
15.0%
Q3 - 10:07MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
86.2%
55
13.8%
Q3 - 10:09CHAMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
85.7%
55
14.3%
Q3 - 10:30MIAJames 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS)61
84.4%
55
15.6%
Q3 - 10:43MIAHeat Rebound59
82.5%
55
17.5%
Q3 - 10:44CHAMISS Jackson 1' Layup59
81.8%
55
18.2%
Q3 - 10:52CHAAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
80.2%
55
19.8%
Q3 - 10:53MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Layup59
80.9%
55
19.1%
Q3 - 11:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
82.5%
55
17.5%
Q3 - 11:07CHAMISS Augustin 27' 3PT Jump Shot59
81.9%
55
18.1%
Q3 - 11:22MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)59
80.3%
55
19.7%
Q3 - 11:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
82.5%
55
17.5%
Q3 - 11:46CHAMISS Diaw 17' Jump Shot59
81.9%
55
18.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA59
80.3%
55
19.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
82.5%
55
17.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHAMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 159
82.2%
55
17.8%
Q2 - 0:09.0MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)59
84.4%
53
15.6%
Q2 - 0:34.0CHAJackson 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS)56
80.0%
53
20.0%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)56
82.5%
51
17.5%
Q2 - 1:07CHAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)54
80.1%
51
19.9%
Q2 - 1:07CHAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)54
80.4%
50
19.6%
Q2 - 1:20MIAChalmers 1' Layup (2 PTS)54
82.6%
49
17.4%
Q2 - 1:43MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
80.0%
49
20.0%
Q2 - 1:45CHAMISS Henderson Free Throw 2 of 252
79.8%
49
20.2%
Q2 - 1:45CHAHenderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)52
78.4%
49
21.6%
Q2 - 2:06MIAWade 1' Driving Reverse Layup (13 PTS)52
80.2%
48
19.8%
Q2 - 2:22CHAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)50
78.2%
48
21.8%
Q2 - 2:22CHAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)50
78.6%
47
21.4%
Q2 - 2:24CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
80.2%
46
19.8%
Q2 - 2:26MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot50
80.9%
46
19.1%
Q2 - 2:38CHAAugustin Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)50
82.2%
46
17.8%
Q2 - 2:53CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
80.3%
46
19.7%
Q2 - 2:55MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 150
80.5%
46
19.5%
Q2 - 3:10MIAHeat Rebound48
78.7%
46
21.3%
Q2 - 3:10CHAMISS Wallace 2' Driving Layup48
77.9%
46
22.1%
Q2 - 3:31CHABOBCATS Rebound48
76.1%
46
23.9%
Q2 - 3:32MIAMISS Bosh 10' Jump Shot48
76.9%
46
23.1%
Q2 - 3:52CHAHenderson 1' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Augustin 5 AST)48
78.7%
46
21.3%
Q2 - 4:07MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
80.3%
44
19.7%
Q2 - 4:07MIADampier 1' Layup (2 PTS)48
80.3%
44
19.7%
Q2 - 4:10MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup46
77.0%
44
23.0%
Q2 - 4:29CHAAugustin Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)46
78.6%
44
21.4%
Q2 - 4:32MIAHeat Rebound46
80.5%
43
19.5%
Q2 - 4:32CHAMISS Wallace 2' Layup46
79.9%
43
20.1%
Q2 - 4:50MIABosh 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)46
78.4%
43
21.6%
Q2 - 5:10CHAWallace 1' Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (Augustin 4 AST)44
76.6%
43
23.4%
Q2 - 5:15CHAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
78.7%
41
21.3%
Q2 - 5:16MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot44
79.3%
41
20.7%
Q2 - 5:27CHAHenderson 2' Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Augustin 3 AST)44
80.6%
41
19.4%
Q2 - 5:46MIAWade 10' Jump Shot (9 PTS)44
82.3%
39
17.7%
Q2 - 5:52CHAWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)42
80.5%
39
19.5%
Q2 - 6:05MIAJames Foul Turnover (P1.T4)42
78.1%
39
21.9%
Q2 - 6:17CHAWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)42
80.4%
39
19.6%
Q2 - 6:17CHAWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)42
80.7%
38
19.3%
Q2 - 6:27CHABOBCATS Rebound42
81.8%
37
18.2%
Q2 - 6:29MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
82.4%
37
17.6%
Q2 - 6:51MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
83.7%
37
16.3%
Q2 - 6:51CHAMISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot42
83.2%
37
16.8%
Q2 - 7:06MIAHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)42
82.1%
37
17.9%
Q2 - 7:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
78.6%
37
21.4%
Q2 - 7:18CHAMISS Brown 18' Jump Shot39
78.0%
37
22.0%
Q2 - 7:31MIAWade 2' Layup (7 PTS)39
76.6%
37
23.4%
Q2 - 7:42CHABOBCATS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)37
74.6%
37
25.4%
Q2 - 7:42CHABOBCATS Rebound37
72.3%
37
27.7%
Q2 - 7:42CHAMISS Henderson 15' Jump Shot37
73.9%
37
26.1%
Q2 - 8:10MIAHouse 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)37
72.6%
37
27.4%
Q2 - 8:23CHAHenderson 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Livingston 1 AST)35
70.5%
37
29.5%
Q2 - 8:35CHABOBCATS Rebound35
72.6%
35
27.4%
Q2 - 8:35MIAMISS Bosh 11' Fadeaway Jumper35
73.3%
35
26.7%
Q2 - 8:58CHAWallace 1' Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS)35
74.8%
35
25.2%
Q2 - 9:14CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
76.7%
33
23.3%
Q2 - 9:15MIAMISS Ilgauskas 18' Jump Shot35
77.2%
33
22.8%
Q2 - 9:27MIAWade Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (5 PTS)35
78.5%
33
21.5%
Q2 - 9:27MIAMISS Wade Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 234
78.1%
33
21.9%
Q2 - 9:30CHAJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)34
76.7%
33
23.3%
Q2 - 9:46MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)34
74.7%
33
25.3%
Q2 - 10:01CHAMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 134
76.2%
33
23.8%
Q2 - 10:01CHABrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
76.5%
33
23.5%
Q2 - 10:01CHABrown 2' Putback Layup (2 PTS)34
76.5%
33
23.5%
Q2 - 10:01CHAMISS Augustin 2' Layup34
79.4%
31
20.6%
Q2 - 10:27MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)34
78.1%
31
21.9%
Q2 - 10:47CHAJackson 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)31
74.6%
31
25.4%
Q2 - 11:07MIAWade 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
76.1%
29
23.9%
Q2 - 11:35CHAWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)29
74.4%
29
25.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHA29
77.9%
26
22.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
79.7%
26
20.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0CHAMcGuire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
78.0%
26
22.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0CHAMISS McGuire 2' Tip Shot29
78.9%
26
21.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0CHAMISS Jackson 2' Layup29
78.9%
26
21.1%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)29
78.0%
26
22.0%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)28
77.6%
26
22.4%
Q1 - 0:19.0CHADiaw Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)27
75.9%
26
24.1%
Q1 - 0:25.0CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
74.4%
26
25.6%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
74.9%
26
25.1%
Q1 - 0:46.0CHADiaw 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)27
75.9%
26
24.1%
Q1 - 1:02MIAMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 3 AST)27
78.1%
24
21.9%
Q1 - 1:16CHADiaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)24
74.3%
24
25.7%
Q1 - 1:16CHADiaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)24
74.7%
23
25.3%
Q1 - 1:34MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)24
76.5%
22
23.5%
Q1 - 1:47CHAWallace Foul Turnover (P2.T4)22
74.2%
22
25.8%
Q1 - 2:06CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
72.8%
22
27.2%
Q1 - 2:06MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot22
73.4%
22
26.6%
Q1 - 2:18MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
74.5%
22
25.5%
Q1 - 2:19CHAMISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot22
74.0%
22
26.0%
Q1 - 2:42MIAJones 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)22
72.9%
22
27.1%
Q1 - 3:04CHAAugustin 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)20
71.3%
22
28.7%
Q1 - 3:21MIAIlgauskas 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)20
74.8%
19
25.2%
Q1 - 3:33CHAAugustin Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)18
73.1%
19
26.9%
Q1 - 3:58MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)18
71.2%
19
28.8%
Q1 - 4:11CHAMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
67.9%
19
32.1%
Q1 - 4:11CHAMohammed 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)15
67.9%
19
32.1%
Q1 - 4:13CHAMISS Wallace 2' Layup15
71.0%
17
29.0%
Q1 - 4:36MIAWade 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)15
69.6%
17
30.4%
Q1 - 4:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
67.9%
17
32.1%
Q1 - 4:42CHAMISS Mohammed 4' Hook Shot13
67.2%
17
32.8%
Q1 - 5:07MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
65.7%
17
34.3%
Q1 - 5:25MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
64.0%
17
36.0%
Q1 - 5:25CHAMISS Mohammed 2' Layup11
63.4%
17
36.6%
Q1 - 5:46MIAIlgauskas 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 2 AST)11
61.8%
17
38.2%
Q1 - 5:54MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
60.0%
17
40.0%
Q1 - 5:55CHAMISS Jackson 8' Jump Shot9
59.3%
17
40.7%
Q1 - 6:19CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
58.4%
17
41.6%
Q1 - 6:20MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot9
59.0%
17
41.0%
Q1 - 6:24MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
60.5%
17
39.5%
Q1 - 6:27MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
59.0%
17
41.0%
Q1 - 6:49CHAJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Augustin 2 AST)9
60.5%
17
39.5%
Q1 - 6:55CHAAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
64.3%
14
35.7%
Q1 - 6:57MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot9
64.9%
14
35.1%
Q1 - 7:11CHABrown 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)9
66.9%
14
33.1%
Q1 - 7:24CHAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
68.5%
12
31.5%
Q1 - 7:25MIAMISS Bosh 6' Turnaround Bank Shot9
69.1%
12
30.9%
Q1 - 7:49CHABrown 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)9
70.4%
12
29.6%
Q1 - 8:02CHAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
72.5%
10
27.5%
Q1 - 8:02MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot9
72.9%
10
27.1%
Q1 - 8:16CHAAugustin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)9
74.0%
10
26.0%
Q1 - 8:20MIADiaw STEAL (1 STL)9
72.4%
10
27.6%
Q1 - 8:38CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
74.0%
10
26.0%
Q1 - 8:38CHADiaw 1' Layup (5 PTS)9
74.0%
10
26.0%
Q1 - 8:40CHAMISS Wallace 2' Layup9
76.5%
8
23.5%
Q1 - 8:56MIAIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)9
75.5%
8
24.5%
Q1 - 9:06CHAWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
73.0%
8
27.0%
Q1 - 9:29MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)6
71.4%
8
28.6%
Q1 - 9:29MIAHeat Rebound6
72.9%
8
27.1%
Q1 - 9:29MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot6
71.9%
8
28.1%
Q1 - 9:53CHAWallace 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)6
72.9%
8
27.1%
Q1 - 10:02CHABrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
74.4%
6
25.6%
Q1 - 10:04MIAMISS Bosh 18' Turnaround Jump Shot6
74.9%
6
25.1%
Q1 - 10:20CHAWallace Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)6
75.9%
6
24.1%
Q1 - 10:20CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
77.2%
5
22.8%
Q1 - 10:20CHAWallace 2' Layup (2 PTS)6
77.2%
5
22.8%
Q1 - 10:20CHAMISS Wallace 2' Layup6
79.3%
3
20.7%
Q1 - 10:39MIAJames 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)6
78.3%
3
21.7%
Q1 - 10:47MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
77.2%
3
22.8%
Q1 - 10:48CHAMISS Augustin 18' Jump Shot4
76.8%
3
23.2%
Q1 - 11:06MIAIlgauskas 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)4
76.1%
3
23.9%
Q1 - 11:21CHADiaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)2
74.7%
3
25.3%
Q1 - 11:42MIAIlgauskas 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
77.2%
0
22.8%
Q1 - 12:00CHAJump Ball Brown vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to Bosh0
75.9%
0
24.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 59.9%
CHA
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
19
24
79%
CHA
20
33
61%
Midrange
MIA
15
35
43%
CHA
6
21
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
19
47%
71%
CHA
9
13.5
20
45%
68%
Free Throws
MIA
14
19
74%
CHA
18
23
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2250%11.0 / 22
L. James1963%9.5 / 15
E. House16100%8.0 / 8
C. Bosh1441%7.0 / 17
Z. Ilgauskas1393%6.5 / 7
M. Miller13130%6.5 / 5
M. Chalmers770%3.5 / 5
J. Jones233%1.0 / 3
E. Dampier2100%1.0 / 1
J. Anthony150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Bobcats
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Jackson2560%12.5 / 21
G. Wallace2557%12.5 / 22
B. Diaw1464%7.0 / 11
G. Henderson1458%7.0 / 12
K. Brown6100%3.0 / 3
D. Augustin433%2.0 / 6
D. Brown450%2.0 / 4
S. Collins375%1.5 / 2
N. Mohammed233%1.0 / 3
D. McGuire0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+13
-8
90
CHA
72
+14
-15
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 59.9%
CHA
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
103.6
MIA 128.2 +16.7
CHA 111.5
Pace
91.3
89.5
MIA 86.2
CHA 86.9 +0.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.2
MIA 16.7
CHA 16.6 +0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
48.2%
MIA 60.9% +7.5%
CHA 53.4%
TO %
14.4%
15.2%
MIA 12.2% +3.8%
CHA 16.0%
ORB %
25.2%
25.7%
MIA 29.0% +0.1%
CHA 28.9%
FTrt
36.3
31.4
MIA 24.4
CHA 31.1 +6.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
60.1%
MIA 55.8%
CHA 62.9% +7.1%
STL %
7.3%
7.1%
MIA 14.1% +9.5%
CHA 4.6%
BLK %
8.5%
8.9%
MIA 5.6%
CHA 8.5% +2.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
51.3%
MIA 59.9% +4.2%
CHA 55.7%
Rim FG%
64.7%
55.8%
MIA 79.2% +18.6%
CHA 60.6%
Mid FG%
42.2%
40.3%
MIA 42.9% +14.3%
CHA 28.6%
3P %
37.0%
32.7%
MIA 47.4% +2.4%
CHA 45.0%
FT %
76.9%
75.6%
MIA 73.7%
CHA 78.3% +4.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
40.6%
MIA 30.8%
CHA 44.6% +13.8%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
40.5%
MIA 44.9%
CHA 28.4% +16.5%
3P Att. %
23.5%
18.9%
MIA 24.4%
CHA 27.0% +2.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMIACHA
Possessions8587
Possession Minutes23.724.0
Points10997
Rebounds3633
Assists2422
Steals124
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)8 (4)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (3)22 (3)
Field Goals43-7835-74
At-the-Rim FG19-2420-33
Midrange FG15-356-21
2-Point FG34-5926-54
3-Point FG9-199-20
Free Throws14-1918-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 235 · 27
40.9
14
41%
5
1
3
1
0
2
0
5
0-1
0%
7-16
44%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 220 · 29
40.3
22
50%
12
10
0
0
4
4
4
8
5-7
71%
7-16
44%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
36.6
19
63%
8
9
0
0
3
3
1
7
5-6
83%
7-10
70%
0-3
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 25
27.2
7
70%
2
4
3
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
C · 7'3" 260 · 36
16.9
13
93%
3
0
0
1
0
3
1
2
1-1
100%
6-7
86%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 28
24.8
1
50%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
20.8
16
100%
0
0
2
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
4-5
80%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
19.1
13
130%
2
0
0
0
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
3-3
100%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30
7.1
2
33%
1
0
2
0
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 265 · 36
6.2
2
100%
2
0
2
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 32
C · 6'11" 265 · 33
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#5 · F · 6'9" 250 · 38
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
109
60%
36
24
12
3
8
0
9
27
14-19
74%
34-59
58%
9-19
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.