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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 3, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Bucks35%9694
19Warriors65%101100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 28.4
44.9
30.5
20
45%
8
5
5
1
0
2
2
6
0-0
-
7-12
2-5
58%
44%
2-10
20%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.4
40.7
27.7
15
56%
19
5
2
1
0
3
11
8
3-3
100%
6-12
3-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.7
34.1
29.4
23
55%
13
2
1
1
1
3
5
8
2-2
100%
9-18
4-8
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 31.2
30.0
30.0
21
61%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
5-7
71%
8-13
5-10
62%
50%
0-1
0%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 21.4
19.6
19.7
2
17%
2
6
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
41%
0-1
0%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.7
28.4
21.0
9
50%
2
9
2
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
45%
3-7
43%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 31.1
21.1
11.4
2
20%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 22.2
14.1
4.4
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 24.7
7.1
10.6
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 24.1
24.7
1
3-7
47%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 34.7
15.5
0
2-5
45%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 23.9
8.3
0
1-1
52%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 26.2
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 29.4
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 31.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.3
43.6
36.4
24
51%
5
6
1
2
0
4
0
5
3-3
100%
9-17
7-13
53%
49%
1-5
20%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 25.2
40.9
40.1
16
67%
4
6
2
1
1
3
0
4
2-2
100%
1-4
3-7
25%
48%
4-7
57%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 27.8
34.7
32.5
15
55%
7
4
1
1
0
3
2
5
3-4
75%
6-12
6-11
50%
53%
0-0
-
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.9
33.5
34.9
16
67%
5
5
1
2
1
7
1
4
2-2
100%
4-7
4-9
57%
50%
2-4
50%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.8
27.5
24.5
6
50%
10
0
1
1
3
0
4
6
0-0
-
3-6
3-5
50%
58%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.2
24.0
10.0
10
71%
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
47%
2-4
50%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 24.4
21.0
14.8
13
94%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
2-3
1-3
67%
52%
3-3
100%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 23.7
9.1
15.8
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.9
5.7
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-1
0%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.2
10.8
0
1-3
50%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.3
3.0
0
1-1
53%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.0
2.7
0
0-1
45%
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 26.0
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.