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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 3, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Heat47%98104
5Magic53%99100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 26.1
42.6
36.1
51
79%
11
8
1
1
1
3
2
9
14-17
82%
14-20
8-15
70%
52%
3-5
60%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 26.9
37.7
29.9
13
42%
6
4
1
1
0
2
0
6
7-8
88%
3-12
6-11
25%
50%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 29.0
34.5
31.9
14
45%
4
1
1
1
2
1
0
4
4-8
50%
5-11
7-14
45%
51%
0-1
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.7
14.5
25.4
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-2
0%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.7
3.5
15.9
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.7
32.5
18.8
10
56%
6
3
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
2-5
40%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.6
24.6
4.1
4
46%
2
2
0
0
2
1
2
0
0-3
0%
2-3
0-0
67%
57%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.0
20.3
27.5
5
83%
11
1
0
0
0
1
3
8
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
1-1
100%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.5
19.9
27.7
2
100%
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.3
9.8
19.4
5
63%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
38%
1-2
50%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 31.5
5.4
0
0-1
46%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.7
2.2
0
0-0
46%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 22.9
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 38.0
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.2
48.0
36.4
17
45%
16
1
0
1
0
2
6
10
3-13
23%
7-13
8-14
54%
58%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 29.0
35.8
25.4
22
71%
6
6
0
1
0
1
3
3
8-8
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
48%
2-5
40%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 31.9
30.4
33.1
13
73%
2
3
0
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
46%
1-1
100%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 30.0
30.1
32.7
18
64%
4
1
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
50%
4-9
44%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.7
16.7
25.2
9
41%
6
0
0
1
0
0
4
2
0-2
0%
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
3-8
38%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 29.1
27.3
18.2
10
43%
0
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
3-6
50%
2-7
2-4
29%
45%
1-2
50%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 30.8
19.6
7.3
7
58%
7
2
1
0
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
44%
1-3
33%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.6
17.7
20.5
2
13%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
47%
0-4
0%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.0
14.4
4.1
2
20%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
45%
0-1
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 25.8
26.5
0
5-9
50%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.4
9.4
0
0-1
44%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.6
4.2
0
0-1
42%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 20.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.