for complete access.
All Games Thursday, February 3, 2011
FinalWin Prob.pScore
1
Heat
47%98
104
5
Magic
53%99
100
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
118.28881.1
ORL logo ORL
112.48998.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL104
100%
100
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)104
99.6%
100
0.4%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2103
99.5%
100
0.5%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)103
99.4%
100
0.6%
Q4 - 0:06.0ORLMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot103
98.3%
100
1.7%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)103
93.8%
100
6.2%
Q4 - 0:10.0ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)103
98.4%
100
1.6%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (51 PTS)103
99.7%
97
0.3%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (50 PTS)102
99.6%
97
0.4%
Q4 - 0:17.0ORLNelson Driving Layup (19 PTS)101
99.3%
97
0.7%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (49 PTS)101
99.4%
95
0.6%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (48 PTS)100
99.3%
95
0.7%
Q4 - 0:22.0ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)99
98.8%
95
1.2%
Q4 - 0:22.0ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)99
98.9%
94
1.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)99
99.2%
93
0.8%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 299
99.3%
93
0.7%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (47 PTS)99
99.6%
93
0.4%
Q4 - 0:28.0ORLNelson 1' Layup (15 PTS)98
99.2%
93
0.8%
Q4 - 0:30.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)98
99.6%
91
0.4%
Q4 - 0:31.0ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot98
99.8%
91
0.2%
Q4 - 0:35.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)98
99.6%
91
0.4%
Q4 - 0:37.0ORLMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot98
99.8%
91
0.2%
Q4 - 0:40.0ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)98
99.3%
91
0.7%
Q4 - 0:41.0ORLMISS Richardson 23' Jump Shot98
99.6%
91
0.4%
Q4 - 0:51.0ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)98
98.9%
91
1.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAHeat Rebound98
99.5%
91
0.5%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 298
99.0%
91
1.0%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 298
99.3%
91
0.7%
Q4 - 0:57.0ORLRichardson 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)98
99.3%
91
0.7%
Q4 - 1:03ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)98
99.8%
88
0.2%
Q4 - 1:04ORLMISS Nelson 22' Jump Shot98
99.8%
88
0.2%
Q4 - 1:16ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)98
99.6%
88
0.4%
Q4 - 1:17MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 298
99.7%
88
0.3%
Q4 - 1:17MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (46 PTS)98
99.8%
88
0.2%
Q4 - 1:18MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)97
99.6%
88
0.4%
Q4 - 1:19ORLMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
99.5%
88
0.5%
Q4 - 1:29MIAJames 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (45 PTS)97
99.1%
88
0.9%
Q4 - 1:51ORLRichardson 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS)94
96.4%
88
3.6%
Q4 - 1:59ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)94
97.8%
86
2.2%
Q4 - 2:01ORLMISS Arenas 2' Driving Layup94
98.5%
86
1.5%
Q4 - 2:06MIARichardson STEAL (1 STL)94
97.7%
86
2.3%
Q4 - 2:34ORLAnderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Arenas 4 AST)94
98.9%
86
1.1%
Q4 - 2:48ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)94
99.5%
83
0.5%
Q4 - 2:49MIAMISS Bosh 16' Turnaround Jump Shot94
99.6%
83
0.4%
Q4 - 3:12ORLArenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)94
99.5%
83
0.5%
Q4 - 3:19ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)94
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 3:20MIAMISS House 3PT Jump Shot94
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 3:37ORLAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arenas 3 AST)94
99.6%
80
0.4%
Q4 - 3:52MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (42 PTS)94
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 3:52MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (41 PTS)93
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 4:07ORLRichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)92
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 4:16ORLClark REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)92
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 4:17MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot92
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 4:45ORLNelson 20' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Arenas 2 AST)92
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 5:00MIAWade 9' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS) (James 8 AST)92
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:04MIADampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)90
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 5:06MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot90
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 5:30ORLRichardson 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)90
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 5:35ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 5:36MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot90
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 5:44MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)90
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 5:45ORLMISS Clark 10' Jump Shot90
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 6:00ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)90
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 6:01MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot90
99.7%
70
0.3%
Q4 - 6:15ORLArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)90
99.8%
70
0.2%
Q4 - 6:15ORLMISS Arenas Free Throw 1 of 290
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 6:19ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)90
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 6:20MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot90
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 6:34MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)90
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 6:35ORLMISS Clark 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 6:53ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)90
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 6:54MIAMISS Dampier 17' Jump Shot90
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 7:08MIAHeat Rebound90
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 7:09MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot90
99.7%
69
0.3%
Q4 - 7:25ORLClark 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)90
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 7:40MIAHouse 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 7 AST)90
99.8%
67
0.2%
Q4 - 7:57ORLRichardson 2' Driving Dunk (7 PTS) (Arenas 1 AST)88
99.8%
67
0.2%
Q4 - 8:10MIAWade 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 6 AST)88
99.7%
65
0.3%
Q4 - 8:24MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)86
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q4 - 8:24ORLMISS Arenas 17' Jump Shot86
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q4 - 8:33ORLMAGIC Rebound86
99.5%
65
0.5%
Q4 - 8:33ORLMISS Arenas 3' Layup86
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q4 - 8:38MIAArenas STEAL (2 STL)86
99.5%
65
0.5%
Q4 - 8:58MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)86
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q4 - 9:00ORLMISS Arenas Free Throw 2 of 286
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q4 - 9:00ORLMISS Arenas Free Throw 1 of 286
99.5%
65
0.5%
Q4 - 9:13MIAWade 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 5 AST)86
99.3%
65
0.7%
Q4 - 9:27MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
99.1%
65
0.9%
Q4 - 9:29ORLMISS Nelson 3' Driving Layup84
99.0%
65
1.0%
Q4 - 9:43MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 4 AST)84
98.9%
65
1.1%
Q4 - 9:59MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)81
98.2%
65
1.8%
Q4 - 10:00ORLMISS Arenas 22' Jump Shot81
98.0%
65
2.0%
Q4 - 10:18ORLMAGIC Rebound81
97.1%
65
2.9%
Q4 - 10:20ORLMISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
97.5%
65
2.5%
Q4 - 10:35MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (House 3 AST)81
97.1%
65
2.9%
Q4 - 10:54ORLArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)79
96.5%
65
3.5%
Q4 - 10:54ORLArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)79
96.6%
64
3.4%
Q4 - 10:58ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)79
97.2%
63
2.8%
Q4 - 10:59MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot79
97.3%
63
2.7%
Q4 - 11:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
97.2%
63
2.8%
Q4 - 11:23ORLMISS Redick 11' Pullup Jump Shot79
97.0%
63
3.0%
Q4 - 11:38MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)79
96.6%
63
3.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL79
97.2%
63
2.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAAnthony 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)79
96.6%
63
3.4%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
95.0%
63
5.0%
Q3 - 0:07.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 277
94.9%
63
5.1%
Q3 - 0:07.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 277
94.4%
63
5.6%
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAJames 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (40 PTS)77
94.1%
63
5.9%
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
92.7%
63
7.3%
Q3 - 0:37.0ORLMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
92.4%
63
7.6%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAMiller 5' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)75
91.4%
63
8.6%
Q3 - 1:12MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)73
88.5%
63
11.5%
Q3 - 1:14MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot73
87.2%
63
12.8%
Q3 - 1:31MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)73
88.6%
63
11.4%
Q3 - 1:32ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 273
88.3%
63
11.7%
Q3 - 1:32ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 273
87.2%
63
12.8%
Q3 - 1:48MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (38 PTS)73
86.6%
63
13.4%
Q3 - 1:51ORLRichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)70
81.1%
63
18.9%
Q3 - 1:57MIARichardson STEAL (1 STL)70
78.2%
63
21.8%
Q3 - 2:12MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)70
79.8%
63
20.2%
Q3 - 2:13ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 270
79.4%
63
20.6%
Q3 - 2:13ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)70
77.8%
63
22.2%
Q3 - 2:26ORLMAGIC Rebound70
79.9%
62
20.1%
Q3 - 2:27MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
80.8%
62
19.2%
Q3 - 2:29MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)70
82.7%
62
17.3%
Q3 - 2:30MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
80.8%
62
19.2%
Q3 - 2:52ORLTurkoglu 15' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)70
82.8%
62
17.2%
Q3 - 3:09ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)70
84.3%
60
15.7%
Q3 - 3:10MIAMISS Miller 22' Jump Shot70
85.0%
60
15.0%
Q3 - 3:29ORLRichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)70
86.6%
60
13.4%
Q3 - 3:48ORLMAGIC Rebound70
90.2%
57
9.8%
Q3 - 3:49MIAMISS Bosh 13' Fadeaway Jumper70
90.7%
57
9.3%
Q3 - 4:02ORLRichardson Foul Turnover (P2.T9)70
91.2%
57
8.8%
Q3 - 4:25MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)70
89.5%
57
10.5%
Q3 - 4:47MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)70
91.3%
57
8.7%
Q3 - 4:49ORLMISS Turkoglu 23' Step Back Jump Shot70
90.8%
57
9.2%
Q3 - 5:07MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)70
88.4%
57
11.6%
Q3 - 5:07MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)69
88.2%
57
11.8%
Q3 - 5:21ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)68
86.9%
57
13.1%
Q3 - 5:21ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)68
87.1%
56
12.9%
Q3 - 5:31MIAMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST)68
88.5%
55
11.5%
Q3 - 5:52ORLAnderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)65
84.9%
55
15.1%
Q3 - 6:03ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
87.6%
52
12.4%
Q3 - 6:04MIAMISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot65
88.1%
52
11.9%
Q3 - 6:07MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)65
89.4%
52
10.6%
Q3 - 6:08MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
88.1%
52
11.9%
Q3 - 6:23ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)65
89.4%
52
10.6%
Q3 - 6:23ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)65
89.6%
51
10.4%
Q3 - 6:30MIABosh 8' Running Hook Shot (11 PTS)65
90.7%
50
9.3%
Q3 - 6:51MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
89.4%
50
10.6%
Q3 - 6:52ORLMISS Howard 5' Hook Shot63
88.9%
50
11.1%
Q3 - 7:07ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
86.4%
50
13.6%
Q3 - 7:08MIAMISS Bosh 16' Pullup Jump Shot63
87.0%
50
13.0%
Q3 - 7:24MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
88.3%
50
11.7%
Q3 - 7:26ORLMISS Turkoglu 11' Pullup Jump Shot63
87.7%
50
12.3%
Q3 - 7:48MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (35 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)63
86.5%
50
13.5%
Q3 - 7:57MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
82.6%
50
17.4%
Q3 - 7:59MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot60
80.9%
50
19.1%
Q3 - 8:17ORLNelson 7' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)60
82.0%
50
18.0%
Q3 - 8:38ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
84.0%
48
16.0%
Q3 - 8:40MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot60
84.7%
48
15.3%
Q3 - 8:54MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
86.0%
48
14.0%
Q3 - 8:55ORLMISS Nelson 3PT Jump Shot60
85.5%
48
14.5%
Q3 - 9:09ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)60
83.4%
48
16.6%
Q3 - 9:10MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot60
84.0%
48
16.0%
Q3 - 9:30ORLNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)60
85.4%
48
14.6%
Q3 - 9:43MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)60
88.7%
45
11.3%
Q3 - 9:43MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)59
88.4%
45
11.6%
Q3 - 9:56ORLHoward Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T8)58
87.2%
45
12.8%
Q3 - 9:56ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)58
85.4%
45
14.6%
Q3 - 9:57ORLMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
86.6%
45
13.4%
Q3 - 10:13MIABosh Foul Turnover (P1.T5)58
84.5%
45
15.5%
Q3 - 10:16MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
86.4%
45
13.6%
Q3 - 10:18ORLMISS Howard 1' Layup58
85.8%
45
14.2%
Q3 - 10:21ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)58
84.5%
45
15.5%
Q3 - 10:22ORLMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
85.8%
45
14.2%
Q3 - 10:47MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (32 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)58
84.6%
45
15.4%
Q3 - 10:59ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)55
80.6%
45
19.4%
Q3 - 11:12ORLMAGIC Rebound55
77.4%
45
22.6%
Q3 - 11:13ORLMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
79.1%
45
20.9%
Q3 - 11:23ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)55
77.4%
45
22.6%
Q3 - 11:24MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
78.2%
45
21.8%
Q3 - 11:45MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
79.9%
45
20.1%
Q3 - 11:46ORLMISS Anderson Free Throw 2 of 255
79.6%
45
20.4%
Q3 - 11:46ORLMISS Anderson Free Throw 1 of 255
77.9%
45
22.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL55
77.4%
45
22.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIADampier 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)55
77.4%
45
22.6%
Q2 - 0:15.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
73.9%
45
26.1%
Q2 - 0:16.0ORLMISS Howard 4' Hook Shot53
73.3%
45
26.7%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAHouse 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dampier 2 AST)53
71.9%
45
28.1%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)51
68.5%
45
31.5%
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAMISS James 7' Jump Shot51
66.9%
45
33.1%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
68.5%
45
31.5%
Q2 - 0:58.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 251
68.2%
45
31.8%
Q2 - 0:58.0ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)51
66.6%
45
33.4%
Q2 - 0:58.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)51
69.1%
44
30.9%
Q2 - 0:58.0ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
70.6%
44
29.4%
Q2 - 1:02ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)51
68.7%
44
31.3%
Q2 - 1:03ORLMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
70.2%
44
29.8%
Q2 - 1:19MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)51
68.8%
44
31.2%
Q2 - 1:19MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 250
68.1%
44
31.9%
Q2 - 1:29MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
68.0%
44
32.0%
Q2 - 1:30MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot50
66.6%
44
33.4%
Q2 - 1:40MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)50
68.0%
44
32.0%
Q2 - 1:41ORLMISS Anderson 3' Layup50
67.4%
44
32.6%
Q2 - 1:42ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)50
65.9%
44
34.1%
Q2 - 1:43ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
65.9%
44
34.1%
Q2 - 1:43ORLMISS Anderson 1' Tip Shot50
67.4%
44
32.6%
Q2 - 1:44ORLMISS Redick 12' Jump Shot50
67.4%
44
32.6%
Q2 - 2:13MIAJames 5' Jump Bank Shot (29 PTS)50
64.9%
44
35.1%
Q2 - 2:14MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)48
62.1%
44
37.9%
Q2 - 2:16MIAMISS Bosh 13' Jump Shot48
59.9%
44
40.1%
Q2 - 2:38ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)48
62.1%
44
37.9%
Q2 - 2:38ORLRichardson 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)48
62.1%
44
37.9%
Q2 - 2:40ORLMISS Richardson Tip Shot48
67.0%
42
33.0%
Q2 - 2:40ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)48
65.0%
42
35.0%
Q2 - 2:41ORLMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
67.0%
42
33.0%
Q2 - 2:49ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
65.0%
42
35.0%
Q2 - 2:50MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot48
65.9%
42
34.1%
Q2 - 3:09ORLRedick 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)48
67.7%
42
32.3%
Q2 - 3:16ORLMAGIC Rebound48
69.9%
40
30.1%
Q2 - 3:16ORLMISS Howard 5' Jump Shot48
72.0%
40
28.0%
Q2 - 3:32MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)48
69.9%
40
30.1%
Q2 - 3:32MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 247
69.5%
40
30.5%
Q2 - 3:48ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)47
70.4%
40
29.6%
Q2 - 4:05ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
74.2%
37
25.8%
Q2 - 4:06MIAMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 147
74.5%
37
25.5%
Q2 - 4:27ORLTurkoglu Layup (11 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)45
72.1%
37
27.9%
Q2 - 4:32ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
74.2%
35
25.8%
Q2 - 4:34MIAMISS James 14' Jump Shot45
75.0%
35
25.0%
Q2 - 4:53MIAHeat Rebound45
76.7%
35
23.3%
Q2 - 4:55MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot45
75.0%
35
25.0%
Q2 - 5:03MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
76.1%
35
23.9%
Q2 - 5:04ORLMISS Redick 3PT Jump Shot45
75.4%
35
24.6%
Q2 - 5:21ORLMAGIC Rebound45
73.9%
35
26.1%
Q2 - 5:21MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup45
74.6%
35
25.4%
Q2 - 5:29ORLNelson Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)45
76.1%
35
23.9%
Q2 - 5:42MIAJames 2' Layup (27 PTS)45
73.9%
35
26.1%
Q2 - 5:44MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
71.6%
35
28.4%
Q2 - 5:45MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot43
69.9%
35
30.1%
Q2 - 6:01MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
70.9%
35
29.1%
Q2 - 6:03ORLMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
70.0%
35
30.0%
Q2 - 6:17MIAJames 3' Jump Shot (25 PTS)43
68.1%
35
31.9%
Q2 - 6:31MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
66.0%
35
34.0%
Q2 - 6:33ORLMISS Arenas 18' Pullup Jump Shot41
65.1%
35
34.9%
Q2 - 6:51MIABosh 2' Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)41
63.1%
35
36.9%
Q2 - 6:56ORLTurkoglu Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)39
60.8%
35
39.2%
Q2 - 7:01ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
57.5%
35
42.5%
Q2 - 7:02MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot39
58.3%
35
41.7%
Q2 - 7:24ORLTurkoglu 8' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)39
60.3%
35
39.7%
Q2 - 7:44MIAWade 2' Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)39
62.8%
33
37.2%
Q2 - 7:48MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
60.3%
33
39.7%
Q2 - 7:50ORLMISS Howard 2' Layup37
59.4%
33
40.6%
Q2 - 8:09MIABosh 10' Fadeaway Bank Shot (6 PTS)37
57.1%
33
42.9%
Q2 - 8:30ORLRichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)35
54.6%
33
45.4%
Q2 - 8:55MIAWade 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)35
59.8%
30
40.2%
Q2 - 9:24ORLHoward 1' Reverse Dunk (12 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)33
56.8%
30
43.2%
Q2 - 9:43MIADampier Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)33
59.3%
28
40.7%
Q2 - 10:00ORLTurkoglu 19' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)33
61.9%
28
38.1%
Q2 - 10:19ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)33
63.7%
26
36.3%
Q2 - 10:21MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot33
64.5%
26
35.5%
Q2 - 10:29MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
66.2%
26
33.8%
Q2 - 10:30ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
65.5%
26
34.5%
Q2 - 10:46ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
63.7%
26
36.3%
Q2 - 10:47MIAMISS Dampier Free Throw 2 of 233
64.0%
26
36.0%
Q2 - 10:47MIAMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 233
65.2%
26
34.8%
Q2 - 10:54MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
66.2%
26
33.8%
Q2 - 10:55ORLMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
65.5%
26
34.5%
Q2 - 11:13MIAHouse 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST)33
63.3%
26
36.7%
Q2 - 11:41MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
58.7%
26
41.3%
Q2 - 11:43ORLMISS Arenas 3PT Jump Shot30
57.9%
26
42.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA30
56.1%
26
43.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLRichardson 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)30
58.7%
26
41.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
63.0%
23
37.0%
Q1 - 0:03.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 230
64.5%
23
35.5%
Q1 - 0:03.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 230
63.3%
23
36.7%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAJames 23' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (House 1 AST)30
63.0%
23
37.0%
Q1 - 0:42.0ORLArenas 11' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)28
60.3%
23
39.7%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)28
63.0%
21
37.0%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 227
62.5%
21
37.5%
Q1 - 1:00ORLHoward 8' Hook Bank Shot (10 PTS)27
62.6%
21
37.4%
Q1 - 1:18MIAJames Foul Turnover (P2.T3)27
64.8%
19
35.2%
Q1 - 1:35ORLArenas Driving Layup (2 PTS)27
66.4%
19
33.6%
Q1 - 1:39MIAArenas STEAL (1 STL)27
69.0%
17
31.0%
Q1 - 1:53MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
70.5%
17
29.5%
Q1 - 1:55ORLMISS Redick 18' Pullup Jump Shot27
70.1%
17
29.9%
Q1 - 2:18MIAJames 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS)27
68.6%
17
31.4%
Q1 - 2:46ORLTurkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)25
66.3%
17
33.7%
Q1 - 3:00MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)25
70.6%
14
29.4%
Q1 - 3:07ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)22
66.2%
14
33.8%
Q1 - 3:25MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS)22
64.1%
14
35.9%
Q1 - 3:36ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
62.0%
14
38.0%
Q1 - 3:36ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
62.4%
13
37.6%
Q1 - 3:41ORLClark REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
64.1%
12
35.9%
Q1 - 3:43MIAMISS Wade 6' Pullup Jump Shot20
64.7%
12
35.3%
Q1 - 4:00ORLHoward 3' Dunk (8 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)20
66.2%
12
33.8%
Q1 - 4:13MIAJames 10' Turnaround Fadeaway (16 PTS)20
67.4%
10
32.6%
Q1 - 4:28MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
65.6%
10
34.4%
Q1 - 4:29ORLMISS Clark 19' Jump Shot18
65.0%
10
35.0%
Q1 - 4:48MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)18
63.4%
10
36.6%
Q1 - 4:48MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)17
63.0%
10
37.0%
Q1 - 5:01MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
60.8%
10
39.2%
Q1 - 5:02ORLMISS Nelson 12' Fadeaway Jumper16
60.1%
10
39.9%
Q1 - 5:15MIAJames 18' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)16
58.5%
10
41.5%
Q1 - 5:30ORLHoward 2' Layup (6 PTS)14
56.7%
10
43.3%
Q1 - 5:50MIAJames 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)14
58.6%
8
41.4%
Q1 - 6:13ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
56.3%
8
43.7%
Q1 - 6:13ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
56.6%
7
43.4%
Q1 - 6:19ORLClark REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
58.2%
6
41.8%
Q1 - 6:20ORLMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
59.7%
6
40.3%
Q1 - 6:35MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)12
58.2%
6
41.8%
Q1 - 6:54ORLHoward 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)10
56.3%
6
43.7%
Q1 - 7:13MIAJames 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)10
57.8%
4
42.2%
Q1 - 7:30ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)8
56.0%
4
44.0%
Q1 - 7:33ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)8
53.8%
4
46.2%
Q1 - 7:34MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot8
54.5%
4
45.5%
Q1 - 7:59ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
56.0%
4
44.0%
Q1 - 7:59ORLHoward 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)8
56.0%
4
44.0%
Q1 - 8:00ORLMISS Clark 3' Driving Layup8
59.3%
2
40.7%
Q1 - 8:17MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P1.T1)8
57.8%
2
42.2%
Q1 - 8:30MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
59.7%
2
40.3%
Q1 - 8:31ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 28
59.4%
2
40.6%
Q1 - 8:31ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 28
58.4%
2
41.6%
Q1 - 8:39ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
57.8%
2
42.2%
Q1 - 8:40MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
58.4%
2
41.6%
Q1 - 8:57MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
59.7%
2
40.3%
Q1 - 8:58ORLMISS Howard 5' Hook Shot8
59.1%
2
40.9%
Q1 - 9:02ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
57.5%
2
42.5%
Q1 - 9:05ORLMISS Turkoglu 22' Jump Shot8
58.8%
2
41.2%
Q1 - 9:29MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
57.5%
2
42.5%
Q1 - 9:29MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
57.2%
2
42.8%
Q1 - 9:31ORLClark Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)6
55.7%
2
44.3%
Q1 - 9:43ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
53.8%
2
46.2%
Q1 - 9:44MIAMISS Ilgauskas 20' Jump Shot6
54.4%
2
45.6%
Q1 - 9:54MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
55.7%
2
44.3%
Q1 - 9:55ORLMISS Richardson 21' Jump Shot6
55.1%
2
44.9%
Q1 - 10:07MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
53.1%
2
46.9%
Q1 - 10:07MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
52.8%
2
47.2%
Q1 - 10:32ORLRichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
51.7%
2
48.3%
Q1 - 10:53MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
49.6%
2
50.4%
Q1 - 10:53MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
49.3%
2
50.7%
Q1 - 11:16ORLRichardson 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)2
47.6%
2
52.4%
Q1 - 11:33MIAJames 14' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
49.4%
0
50.6%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to0
47.7%
0
52.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.14 57.1%
ORL
0.97 48.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
11
12
92%
ORL
15
28
54%
Midrange
MIA
18
44
41%
ORL
9
24
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
ORL
12
18.0
33
36%
55%
Free Throws
MIA
25
36
69%
ORL
16
31
52%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James5177%25.5 / 33
D. Wade1444%7.0 / 16
C. Bosh1341%6.5 / 16
E. House1056%5.0 / 9
M. Miller583%2.5 / 3
J. Jones563%2.5 / 4
E. Dampier450%2.0 / 4
J. Anthony2100%1.0 / 1
M. Chalmers0-0.0 / 2
Z. Ilgauskas0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Nelson2269%11.0 / 16
J. Richardson1864%9.0 / 14
D. Howard1745%8.5 / 19
H. Turkoglu1372%6.5 / 9
G. Arenas1042%5.0 / 12
R. Anderson941%4.5 / 11
Q. Richardson758%3.5 / 6
J. Redick213%1.0 / 8
E. Clark220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+12
-10
90
ORL
79
+22
-10
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.14 57.1%
ORL
0.97 48.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
108.1
MIA 118.2 +5.8
ORL 112.4
Pace
91.3
91.2
MIA 81.1
ORL 98.1 +17.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.6
MIA 17.8
ORL 14.7 +3.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
52.1%
MIA 54.9% +5.5%
ORL 49.4%
TO %
14.4%
15.7%
MIA 11.1%
ORL 9.2% +1.9%
ORB %
25.2%
26.1%
MIA 25.0%
ORL 32.7% +7.7%
FTrt
36.3
32.8
MIA 50.0 +13.5
ORL 36.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
55.3%
MIA 52.8%
ORL 55.6% +2.8%
STL %
7.3%
7.3%
MIA 6.8% +2.3%
ORL 4.5%
BLK %
8.5%
7.5%
MIA 11.5% +11.5%
ORL 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
53.8%
MIA 57.1% +8.6%
ORL 48.5%
Rim FG%
64.7%
61.7%
MIA 91.7% +38.1%
ORL 53.6%
Mid FG%
42.2%
40.4%
MIA 40.9% +3.4%
ORL 37.5%
3P %
37.0%
36.6%
MIA 43.8% +7.4%
ORL 36.4%
FT %
76.9%
69.2%
MIA 69.4% +17.8%
ORL 51.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
32.6%
MIA 16.7%
ORL 32.9% +16.3%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
34.5%
MIA 61.1%
ORL 28.2% +32.9%
3P Att. %
23.5%
32.8%
MIA 22.2%
ORL 38.8% +16.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.63 and 2.63.
Game TotalsMIAORL
Possessions8889
Possession Minutes26.121.8
Points104100
Rebounds4444
Assists1920
Steals64
Blocks60
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)17 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (0)27 (3)
Field Goals36-7236-85
At-the-Rim FG11-1215-28
Midrange FG18-449-24
2-Point FG29-5624-52
3-Point FG7-1612-33
Free Throws25-3616-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
1 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
42.6
51
77%
11
8
1
1
3
2
2
9
14-17
82%
14-20
70%
3-5
60%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 27
37.7
13
41%
6
4
1
0
2
3
0
6
7-8
88%
3-12
25%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 29
34.5
14
44%
4
1
1
2
1
2
0
4
4-8
50%
5-11
45%
0-1
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 25
14.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 36
3.5
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
32.5
10
56%
6
3
0
0
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-4
50%
2-5
40%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 36
24.6
4
50%
2
2
0
2
1
3
2
0
0-3
0%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
20.3
5
83%
11
1
0
0
1
5
3
8
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28
19.9
2
100%
2
0
1
1
1
5
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30
9.8
5
63%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 32
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 33
Dexter Pittman
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Juwan Howard
#5 · F · 6'9" 250 · 38
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Udonis Haslem
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
57%
44
19
6
6
10
0
9
35
25-36
69%
29-56
52%
7-16
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.